GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 748
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 9:35:22 PM | message detail |
People
are asking me in private to make a new stats topic with a neutral first
post, so here you go. People can save their Ocarina gloating for
tomorrow and leave it out of spamming the opening post, thanks :D ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. The earliest example we have of this is Arthas/Diablo leeching each other half to death and letting KOS-MOS sneak into second place back in 2007. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days. Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no expected chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength dictates. A lot of these entrants are naturally weak, but a lot of things come along that make little to no sense. A great example is Zero -- he scored 47% on Crono and won several updates, then one round later he gets disproportionally blown out once Link enters the picture. This factor also works in reverse, when an obvious first place game does worse than expected thanks to smart voters helping a game come in second place. The final of 2008 is a good example of this, where Snake stayed even with Link until the day vote and ultimately defeated Cloud. (Credit to red sox 777 and Leonhart4 for the examples) For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
paulg235 | Posted 6/7/2009 9:36:23 PM | message detail |
Heading to a 1000 vote lead already. --- The Gamer In Me I've lost the guru. How? I don't know (lol). |
thirteeneon | Posted 6/7/2009 9:36:28 PM | message detail |
--- Donny: Are they gonna hurt us, Walter? Walter: No, Donny. These men are cowards. |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 6/7/2009 9:36:31 PM | message detail |
thx --- I can feel it coming over me; I feel it all around me. http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg |
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/7/2009 9:36:52 PM | message detail |
--- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 9:37:14 PM | message detail |
R.I.P. GameFAQs We hardly knew ye --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 9:37:23 PM | message detail |
From: paulg235 | Posted: 6/8/2009 12:36:23 AM | #002 IT'S OVER. I closed the poll results tab 15 minutes ago. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
Swifticuffs | Posted 6/7/2009 9:39:03 PM | message detail |
This
result is hilarious because now we'll get insanely long Vlado speeches,
far more whining than we would if 7 won about how this is the true end
of diversity (for endings) and the anti-nintendo people, especially jp
and hippo, will go off the walls. Add in a little MWC gloating and the
board will be an absolute mess for a good week until we go back to the
superior off season. Palmer is so right. --- *~Swift~* Proud NY sports fan |
aarsco | Posted 6/7/2009 9:41:09 PM | message detail |
nice neutrality hypocrite --- ||| A - A - A - A - A - A - A - R - O - N ||| http://www.explosm.net/db/files/Comics/guest4/MatiasBernasconi.jpg |
Gaddswell | Posted 6/7/2009 9:41:12 PM | message detail |
Yeah, I gotta admit that Vlado`s reaction is something I`m interested in seeing too. --- http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png Hail FastFalcon, our new guru overlord! |
psychward | Posted 6/7/2009 9:41:29 PM | message detail |
In
terms of sheer numbers, do you guys think Sony's fanbase was ever
larger than Nintendo's? Or what do you think about that argument in
general. --- Wall to Kentucky. Sig changed (: |
Heroic Hyatt | Posted 6/7/2009 9:42:04 PM | message detail |
I'm
not gonna go off the walls. But I won't say I'm pleased with this
result either. I've already made that point in the last topic, however. --- This space for rent... Line 2 reserved for the guru who pwns my bracket. |
Swifticuffs | Posted 6/7/2009 9:42:29 PM | message detail |
From: Gaddswell | Posted: 6/8/2009 12:41:12 AM | #010 like I'm serious I wonder just how many essays we're gonna get... --- *~Swift~* Proud NY sports fan |
Swifticuffs | Posted 6/7/2009 9:44:24 PM | message detail |
From: Heroic Hyatt | Posted: 6/8/2009 12:42:04 AM | #012 then I know Hippo will if you don't, jp. I mean you're already more chill than you were in the past as is, but damn, today's match is an allstar matchup so I'm happy either way, but epic Vlado speeches and MWC speeches = hilarious board for a good week. --- *~Swift~* Proud NY sports fan |
Heroic Hyatt | Posted 6/7/2009 9:46:53 PM | message detail |
Oh, well. TF2 anyone? --- This space for rent... Line 2 reserved for the guru who pwns my bracket. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 9:48:42 PM | message detail |
Zelda will probably lead by 2500 votes or so come 3 a.m. FF7 will probably do something there, before ultimately losing. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/7/2009 9:49:01 PM | message detail |
--- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
Bidoofaphilia | Posted 6/7/2009 9:54:43 PM | message detail |
Vlado-related
stuff is old. The kid's gimmick is as stale as it gets. What he needs
to do is take some time off and get more creative. Anyways, while I am surprised by how this contest went, I'll be happy when it's over. The whining just gets tiresome after awhile. |
Swifticuffs | Posted 6/7/2009 9:55:53 PM | message detail |
doesn't mean it won't attract mass chaos, which is my point --- *~Swift~* Proud NY sports fan |
hochiminhX | Posted 6/7/2009 9:56:14 PM | message detail |
Good thing I'm drunk right now. FFVII hasn't won a real contest since 2004. Honestly, this is scikening. --- I will bury you. |
Bidoofaphilia | Posted 6/7/2009 9:58:29 PM | message detail |
Anywho, is it too early to ask everyone what was the most surprising entrant in the contest? |
Heroic Hyatt | Posted 6/7/2009 9:58:40 PM | message detail |
Why are there two 748 topics? --- This space for rent... Krahenprophet pwned my bracket. I just wish I knew who he was. |
hochiminhX | Posted 6/7/2009 9:59:17 PM | message detail |
because meeks sucks and ulti is way better --- I will bury you. |
Heroic Hyatt | Posted 6/7/2009 10:00:04 PM | message detail |
Most surprising entrant? I'd say Pokemon R/B/Y. At least I was surprised, by it. --- This space for rent... Krahenprophet pwned my bracket. I just wish I knew who he was. |
Bidoofaphilia | Posted 6/7/2009 10:00:30 PM | message detail |
MWC wants some attention, jp. |
Lucid Faia | Posted 6/7/2009 10:00:44 PM | message detail |
Hey, Ulti. You realize of course that this makes MGS4 look even stronger, yes? --- The Ohio State Buckeyes 2005-2008 Big Ten Champions! |
Swifticuffs | Posted 6/7/2009 10:01:00 PM | message detail |
From: hochiminhX | Posted: 6/8/2009 12:56:14 AM | #020 lol you, as usual. yea definitely RBY --- *~Swift~* Proud NY sports fan |
Mr3790 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:02:13 PM | message detail |
RBY, obviously. Second? --- AC:WW Code: Name:Mr.378 Town:Darkcity FC: 4210-5769-8462 GENO WHIRL! |
Heroic Hyatt | Posted 6/7/2009 10:04:05 PM | message detail |
Second, Diablo II LoD. You never hear anyone on this site talk about it outside the D2 boards. --- This space for rent... Krahenprophet pwned my bracket. I just wish I knew who he was. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:04:26 PM | message detail |
From: hochiminhX | Posted: 6/8/2009 12:59:17 AM | #023 Well, hochi gave this topic the seal of approval. Looks like we're using this one after all =p --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:08:42 PM | message detail |
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 6/8/2009 1:00:44 AM | #026 Given MGS4 is an awesome game, fine by me. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
Heroic Hyatt | Posted 6/7/2009 10:10:45 PM | message detail |
Is it wrong that I think Zelda 2 is way more fun than OoT? --- This space for rent... Krahenprophet pwned my bracket. I just wish I knew who he was. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:11:29 PM | message detail |
FINALLY a stall. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:11:45 PM | message detail |
From: Heroic Hyatt | Posted: 6/8/2009 1:10:45 AM | #032 Zelda 2 is pretty much the most underrated game of all time. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
Heroic Hyatt | Posted 6/7/2009 10:12:40 PM | message detail |
Zelda 2 is pretty much the most underrated game of all time. Which is all the more comical when you consider that OoT is the most overrated game. --- This space for rent... Krahenprophet pwned my bracket. I just wish I knew who he was. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:13:17 PM | message detail |
From: Heroic Hyatt | Posted: 6/8/2009 1:12:40 AM | #035 OOT is just LTTP rendered in 3D, so it's rated fine. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:13:42 PM | message detail |
I just noticed it was only a 9 vote gain. Sweet. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
Lucid Faia | Posted 6/7/2009 10:14:02 PM | message detail |
Link's Awakening is the most underrated Zelda, imo. --- The Ohio State Buckeyes 2005-2008 Big Ten Champions! |
Heroic Hyatt | Posted 6/7/2009 10:14:11 PM | message detail |
So then what's the most overrated game? --- This space for rent... Krahenprophet pwned my bracket. I just wish I knew who he was. |
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 6/7/2009 10:14:15 PM | message detail |
:( I am not amused --- The Straight Up G The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:16:24 PM | message detail |
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 6/8/2009 1:14:02 AM | #038 Bull. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:16:37 PM | message detail |
It at least made this contest and won twice. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
Lucid Faia | Posted 6/7/2009 10:18:37 PM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:19:21 PM | message detail |
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 6/8/2009 1:18:37 AM | #043 Wimp. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
Heroic Hyatt | Posted 6/7/2009 10:20:40 PM | message detail |
There's only one thing that can truly salvage this depressing night now. Ramen. --- This space for rent... Krahenprophet pwned my bracket. I just wish I knew who he was. |
Lucid Faia | Posted 6/7/2009 10:20:48 PM | message detail |
Wimp. Thought better of it. --- The Ohio State Buckeyes 2005-2008 Big Ten Champions! |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:21:00 PM | message detail |
Ramen is terrible. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:21:40 PM | message detail |
From: Lucid Faia | Posted: 6/8/2009 1:20:48 AM | #046 Even worse. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:22:05 PM | message detail |
I hope FF7 comes back and wins with ease. **** NintendoFAQs. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
Heroic Hyatt | Posted 6/7/2009 10:22:11 PM | message detail |
But...it's ramen... ;_; --- This space for rent... Krahenprophet pwned my bracket. I just wish I knew who he was. |