GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 747
BDawg | Posted 6/7/2009 9:55:21 PM | message detail |
At this rate team FF will be lucky to get this to 52/48. --- Should I start running now? |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/7/2009 9:55:28 PM | message detail |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #398 hatin' on the T. Hawk --- http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/356/484cc4215cae81cbd2ed258c3dbbfadc0b899894.gif |
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/7/2009 9:55:58 PM | message detail |
Man, I've done horribly all contest and could still end up in the Top 20 because I have OoT winning. Crazy. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 9:56:19 PM | message detail |
1000 vote barrier breached. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 6/7/2009 9:57:09 PM | message detail |
You
have Ocarina winning? Nice call! Wish I had the guts for that pick, but
I wouldn't have dared even in max fanboy mode (especially when LttP
seemed much safer to make it here than FFX). --- Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!! |
creativename | Posted 6/7/2009 9:57:20 PM | message detail |
The
reason it's possible is that FFVII has 44.20% on OOT right now. FFVII
will fall in the day, but that will be a fall from its overnight
numbers, and will still be way higher than what it's got right now.
You've got to look at the amount of percentage FFVII has to swing and
not which periods it will win. The only logic I can think of to support FF7's chances are that the day trends will be different than normal, because the early vote crowd was more aware. However while that should throw off the trends of the siblings, I don't think it affects the relative trends of FF7 and Ocarina much. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/7/2009 9:58:44 PM | message detail |
My thought process for OoT winning was this: "Okay. I had Snake>Cloud and then Link>Snake last contest AND THEN I CHANGED IT TO BE THE COOKIE PICKS. I'm not missing out on a bracket-making final decision again." --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:00:28 PM | message detail |
56-44 really isn't all that
big a swing for FFVII to make, if there was a big early push to get OOT
over it today. I mean, FFVII couldn't get the lead on CT in the 2004
final for an hour or so, and Bowser held up amazingly well early
against Sephiroth. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 10:00:59 PM | message detail |
Hey, OoT only gained 50 that time. Comeback time. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 10:01:21 PM | message detail |
55 vote gain for OoT to end the Power Hour. These gains are going to get smaller and smaller as we move later into the night. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ! |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/7/2009 10:01:50 PM | message detail |
56-44
isn't a big swing for something with a bad power our and and a good day
vote. For something with a bad power hour and a almost as bad day vote
however... --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
PegasusLover123 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:02:29 PM | message detail |
And OOT leads FF7 by 1123 votes at the end of the power hour. Even if OOT starts to lose steam now, will its lead be too sturdy for FF7 to knock down? --- "If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh." -Magus |
Yesmar | Posted 6/7/2009 10:02:38 PM | message detail |
"Okay.
I had Snake>Cloud and then Link>Snake last contest AND THEN I
CHANGED IT TO BE THE COOKIE PICKS. I'm not missing out on a
bracket-making final decision again." Same here, kind of. My last minute bracket changes saved me. I originally had MGS > FFX in the quarters and then RE4 making it into the finals the round after. I changed it to FFX making it all the way to the finals, causing FFVII to be leeched and then lose. I literally did this hours before the bracket closed. --- FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest! |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 10:02:49 PM | message detail |
"Okay.
I had Snake>Cloud and then Link>Snake last contest AND THEN I
CHANGED IT TO BE THE COOKIE PICKS. I'm not missing out on a
bracket-making final decision again." Excellent decision. I originally had OoT > FFVII, but then I had to switch them around. The one thing I didn't fall for was the insane amount of Punch-Out support in the first match of the contest. I correctly called Tetris > Donkey Kong. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ! |
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 6/7/2009 10:02:57 PM | message detail |
LttP's still gaining on FFX. I think that's the biggest sign that FF7 is ****ed. --- Wylvane's current main account. |
creativename | Posted 6/7/2009 10:03:01 PM | message detail |
56-44
really isn't all that big a swing for FFVII to make, if there was a big
early push to get OOT over it today. I mean, FFVII couldn't get the
lead on CT in the 2004 final for an hour or so, and Bowser held up
amazingly well early against Sephiroth. This is true, and big factor is that since these two games are gobbling up the percentage, the raw votes aren't comparable to say Brawl vs. MGS4. However again, the trends are really against FF7 this time. The ASV will be ugly. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:03:21 PM | message detail |
And
if this early vote really is enough to push us back to classic FFVII
trends, then it does not need to get a lead until the very end of the
match. Since the move of the start time to 12 Eastern until this year
really, FFVII has always ended the match at its highest percentage of
the day against Zelda. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
creativename | Posted 6/7/2009 10:04:18 PM | message detail |
56-44
isn't a big swing for something with a bad power our and and a good day
vote. For something with a bad power hour and a almost as bad day vote
however... The only thing one can say is that it isn't "bad power hour" for FF7, it's "worst power hour out of anything, ever". --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
MetricTrout | Posted 6/7/2009 10:05:10 PM | message detail |
FF7
had been on a steady decline since 2003. I did some caculations
pre-contest by plugging in Link percentage on Cloud last year, compared
that to Link's percentage on Cloud in 2003-2004, and multiplied that by
the ratio Cloud performance on Link vs. FF7's performance on OoT. I had
FF7 scoring 47.3% on OoT one-on-one. Look like it will be a lot lower than that, though. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147 |
creativename | Posted 6/7/2009 10:06:00 PM | message detail |
Since
the move of the start time to 12 Eastern until this year really, FFVII
has always ended the match at its highest percentage of the day against
Zelda. This will very likely happen again, but it can do that and still lose by a ton. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/7/2009 10:07:26 PM | message detail |
Don't
look at the %s. Look at the vote differences. By the time FF7 stems
this 'bleeding' (if you can call consistent 60+ vote updates bleeding),
it'll be down 1500 at the very least. Then it needs to erase that and
maintain a 1000 or so vote lead before the sun rises. Not happening. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
creativename | Posted 6/7/2009 10:07:36 PM | message detail |
The main question now is, does FF7 ever take the lead? My best guess is no - I think it can bring it down to like a few hundred, but never gets over the hump. red - how does the FF7 DSV compare to Ocarina's DSV? --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/7/2009 10:09:19 PM | message detail |
Well
I think the beginning of this week officially marks just about every
school being on break so we can definitely call it a weekend so FF7
does have to about 8-9 to take the lead for a moral victory at least. I don't think it can do it though --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:10:05 PM | message detail |
The
reason Crono/Vincent had such a huge swing was not because Vincent
killed Crono during the day- the vast majority of his percentage gains
were overnight and in the morning. You can make a much larger
percentage swing with the first night vote than with the day, simply
because fewer votes have already been cast. If there's anything that
can come back from this, it's FFVII, and its chances really aren't all
that bad, especially as I think we're pretty much into summer trends
now, and day characters always seem to rise somewhat more on school
days (presumably because kids are not staying up to vote at midnight). --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 10:10:13 PM | message detail |
There
isn't much difference between OOT's DSV and its ASV. The ASV is a
little better. Basically OoT will drop during the night and slowly get
better all day, especially in this match. I dunno though. The way this
match started makes me think trends might be off. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
Lucid Faia | Posted 6/7/2009 10:10:21 PM | message detail |
Stick a fork in FF7, it's done. V > < V > < --- The Ohio State Buckeyes 2005-2008 Big Ten Champions! |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/7/2009 10:10:44 PM | message detail |
Ooooh a stall --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
xp1337 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:10:52 PM | message detail |
Huh. What was that update? --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
MetricTrout | Posted 6/7/2009 10:11:57 PM | message detail |
Everyone knows that the real match is between LttP and FFX at this point. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 10:12:02 PM | message detail |
Yesterday's chart: Time | LOZ: OOT | FFX | MGS4 | SSBB | Demographic EBV | 38.62% | 21.65% | 21.21% | 18.53% | (0:00-0:05) PHV | 40.37% | 20.18% | 20.84% | 18.61% | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 38.88% | 22.99% | 21.95% | 16.18% | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 37.80% | 25.29% | 21.00% | 15.91% | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 41.49% | 21.22% | 18.69% | 18.60% | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 42.84% | 20.53% | 18.74% | 17.89% | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 42.84% | 21.90% | 18.63% | 16.63% | (22:00-24:00) Heck, if you want a good idea of how FFVII/OoT is going to go, just look at this. FFVII and FFX have similar trends. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
creativename | Posted 6/7/2009 10:12:11 PM | message detail |
Zelda vs. Final Fantasy consolidated is 55-45 right now. I wonder how the trends for that will compare to the series contest. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 10:12:33 PM | message detail |
Oh hey, 15 vote cut for FFX. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:12:38 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 6/8/2009 1:10:13 AM | #425 Most schools are either out or in graduation week, by the way. I doubt there's much of an ASV here. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 10:12:58 PM | message detail |
Well
I think the beginning of this week officially marks just about every
school being on break so we can definitely call it a weekend so FF7
does have to about 8-9 to take the lead for a moral victory at least. It's hard to say whether or not this match will follow weekend trends. We'll have to wait until the SNV of this match to determine that. Once I know the number of votes submitted during the DSV and ASV, I could determine if this match did follow weekend trends or not. On a weekend match, the number of votes during the DSV should be almost equal to (or greater than) the number of votes during the ASV. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ! |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/7/2009 10:14:59 PM | message detail |
the
crazy thing is... if ff7 somehow won this (which it won't), it would
actually be the biggest comeback win we've had this contest --- http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/356/484cc4215cae81cbd2ed258c3dbbfadc0b899894.gif |
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 10:15:42 PM | message detail |
That's because we've barely had any comebacks this contest. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
red sox 777 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:16:09 PM | message detail |
With classic
FFVII trends, it can seriously make a 2000 vote comeback starting from
1 PM. Final Fantasy cut 700 votes off a 3800 lead over the last 11
hours. Now, that's not likely to happen, but I don't think OOT is going to kill FFVII with the day either. And it will take some time for it to get going in the morning after Europe. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
xp1337 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:16:31 PM | message detail |
That's because we've barely had any comebacks this contest. Well, successful ones. Still can't believe we went 0 for 3 in successful massive comebacks in a span of 4 days. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
hochiminhX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:17:34 PM | message detail |
oot
(More like hoot) is only ahead by eight percentage points (8%). An hour
ago it was 10%. at this rate, how much does ffvii win by? --- I will bury you. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 10:18:08 PM | message detail |
The percentages have barely changed since the freeze. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:19:01 PM | message detail |
I
wonder if Link will cruise to a character contest win again. With all
of Board 8 whining about how Cloud always wins, of course. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/7/2009 10:19:15 PM | message detail |
In the series contest, FFVII started to stall about this time --- http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/356/484cc4215cae81cbd2ed258c3dbbfadc0b899894.gif |
creativename | Posted 6/7/2009 10:19:23 PM | message detail |
Batman is the only thing that could beat Link IMO. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 10:19:56 PM | message detail |
Of course he will. We're not going to get another L-Block, and Cloud can't do it without an FFVII remake announcement, honestly. Another 4-way character contest might be enough to make me bail out on these contests. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/7/2009 10:20:06 PM | message detail |
Link is untouchable. Cloud too. Let's not delude ourselves into thinking anyone can beat them at this point, even Batman. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
Chinballz | Posted 6/7/2009 10:20:07 PM | message detail |
Even
though I put out my second worst bracket ever, I'll take the fact that
I have Ocarina winning as a nice consolation prize (provided it holds).
My logic for it beating FF7 was that this contest would wind up the
same way the Series contest did, combined with the fact that maybe a
lot of people wouldn't want FF7 to win another Games contest, and also
the fact that this site has a raging boner for Zelda that would rival a
hentai monster in its size. --- Is this Osbourne Cox? |
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 10:20:13 PM | message detail |
Spider-Man > Batman Captain Jack Sparrow > Both, however --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/7/2009 10:20:34 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 6/8/2009 1:19:56 AM | #444 I wouldn't be far behind. This format is a ****ing joke. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 10:20:43 PM | message detail |
Oh hey, another stall. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ! |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 6/7/2009 10:20:55 PM | message detail |
FFVII with a huge update. Almost cut OoT there. Man, sounds wrong. --- Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!! |
