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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 746

Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/7/2009 12:46:46 PM | message detail
Again there are a lot of Zelda fans that love LttP and think OoT is overrated.

Exactly. That's why i think FFVII has this won. BUT i am disagreeing with people sayingit's going to be a blowout. I still firmly believe OoT would get a bigger % on FFVII 1v1 than it did 5 years ago.
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Playing: Star Ocean: TLH | Ninja Gaiden Black | Ar tonelico II
Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
Ultimaphazon | Posted 6/7/2009 12:47:02 PM | message detail
I honestly think both LttP and FFX are going to get sub 10% tomorrow. Maybe not quite, but I'll be stunned if either game breaks 13%. Everyone knows that the real match is FFVII vs. OOT.
FFX is my favorite game in that match, but I'm sure as hell not going to give it my vote. I believe that most voters will just ignore LttP and FFX and choose their favorite among the big two. This is the final, where it really matters. No more time to play around, wasting votes for games that don't have a shot.
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/7/2009 1:16:49 PM | message detail
The final four should thoeretically be the strongest 4 games in the competition, due to heavy Nintendo SFF that was not possible, we've got the 1st 2nd and 3rd strongest games but FFX is not even in the top 5. So tomorrow we will see how weak FFX really is.
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Playing: Star Ocean: TLH | Ninja Gaiden Black | Ar tonelico II
Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 1:21:41 PM | message detail
Based on today's performance the following games are stronger than FFX in this half: Pokemon RBY, SSBM, SSBB, LoZ: TP and maybe MGS if it keeps dropping.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
MadGamer_11 | Posted 6/7/2009 1:28:10 PM | message detail
So is FFX the second strongest FF?
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"To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX
Pokemon Platinum FC: 1333 3631 7192 Name : Alex
lightsout06 | Posted 6/7/2009 1:34:47 PM | message detail
i will waste my vote on FFX tonight. Anyone think it has a chance in breaking 16%?
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Currently Playing: The Last Remnant and Star Ocean 4
charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 1:36:46 PM | message detail
So is FFX the second strongest FF?

Looks like it unless FFVII wins 60/40 or something.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
MyWorldIsLink | Posted 6/7/2009 1:37:30 PM | message detail
so the consensus is since ffx is weaker than lttp, ocarina of time doesn't have a chance?

Because we may see something most people didn't predict tomorrow, alla series contest.
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*~Swift~* Proud NY sports fan
charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 1:42:07 PM | message detail
Except in the series contest LoZ was looking like the favourite by the end. People were surprised it didn't win by more.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
MyWorldIsLink | Posted 6/7/2009 1:43:28 PM | message detail
oh i still have ff7 > oot

i just think this website's zelda love is to not be shunned just by lttp being in the match

hell i think both it and ffx get less than 9% votes and it comes down 42-40 ff7 in percent
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*~Swift~* Proud NY sports fan
RPGuy96 | Posted 6/7/2009 1:45:04 PM | message detail
To back up what char said, here's some sample stats

1. Ocarina of Time 50.00%
2. Super Smash Bros. Brawl 39.60%
3. Super Smash Bros. Melee 39.07%
4. Red/Blue/Yellow 36.90%
5. Twilight Princess 36.71%
6. Final Fantasy X 35.25%
7. Kingdom Hearts II 35.24%
8. Metal Gear Solid 35.11%
9. Resident Evil 4 34.67%
10. Metal Gear Solid 4 33.28%

And how they were arrived at:
Brawl - Brawl/MGS4 in division finals, Ocarina/MGS4 semifinals
Melee - Melee/FFX in division finals (WARNING: KH present, probably overrates Melee), Ocarina/FFX in semifinals
RBY - Ocarina/RBY in division finals (WARNING: Ocarina/RBY SFF, probably underrates RBY)
Twilight Princess - same chain as Brawl plus Brawl/TP in quarterfinals
Final Fantasy X - Ocarina/FFX in semifinals
Kingdom Hearts II - same chain as TP plus TP/KHII in round 2
MGS - Ocarina/MGS in division finals
RE4 - same chain as TP plus TP/RE4 in semifinals. Round 2 RE4 is higher, division final RE4 is lower
MGS4 - Ocarina/MGS4 in semifinals
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Ultimaphazon | Posted 6/7/2009 1:53:00 PM | message detail
Brawl - Brawl/MGS4 in division finals, Ocarina/MGS4 semifinals

I'm sorry, but no way was that result legit. It seems pretty obvious that Brawl had a massive overperformance in that match. Even though I know the GotY polls have been worthless, I think those give a more accurate read on Brawl vs MGS4.
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
lightsout06 | Posted 6/7/2009 1:56:00 PM | message detail
so how many FF7 and OoT fans have been voting for both of them the entire time? there may be a split between the two of them making the match a lot closer. people who have not voted for them will not vote for them now.
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Currently Playing: The Last Remnant and Star Ocean 4
RPGuy96 | Posted 6/7/2009 1:58:03 PM | message detail
Oh? Then I suppose MGS4 massively overperformed in both its matches against Fallout 3, because surely GotY polls can't be wrong?
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Mustache...and Green...
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HaRRicH | Posted 6/7/2009 2:08:15 PM | message detail
Besides that, is it more fair to judge SSBB against MGS4 based on matches it shared with a major LoZ-game?


Except in the series contest LoZ was looking like the favourite by the end. People were surprised it didn't win by more.

Once the semi-finals hit, yeah -- specifically seeing SMB get so close to FF7 the day before LoZ/FF, though LoZ nearly tripling MGS helped that too -- but up until then we mostly thought LoZ was taking advantage of SFF and FF would win the contest from its first update against Diablo.
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BT > Harrich
lol me
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 2:35:52 PM | message detail
I'll just go on the record and say that I won't accept KHII > FFX.

Kinda hard to accept KHII > RE4 when RE4 beat it twice. I'd base KHII off of RE4, not TP.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
MegatokyoEd | Posted 6/7/2009 2:39:03 PM | message detail
KH2 and MGS3 above RE4 is ridiculous when it beat them both straight up with neither having any handicaps.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
HaRRicH | Posted 6/7/2009 2:40:01 PM | message detail
Besides that, FFX beat KH twice by a decent amount and I don't know how many others will call for KH2 > KH -- especially by a significant margin.
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BT > Harrich
lol me
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 2:40:06 PM | message detail
Oh wait, RE4 above MGS4? Hmmm...

Looks like RPGuy's running into the same problems I did trying to adjust the bottom two divisions' stats. No matter how you do it, something feels off.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
ZFS | Posted 6/7/2009 2:40:47 PM | message detail
I do think Brawl overperformed in that division final match, but seeing as how there's nothing else to base it on, there's not much reason to bother changing it. Going off of the GotY polls would be worse.

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Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/7/2009 2:41:23 PM | message detail
both MGS4 and RE4 are stronger than KHII.
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Playing: Star Ocean: TLH | Ninja Gaiden Black | Ar tonelico II
Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
RPGuy96 | Posted 6/7/2009 2:42:20 PM | message detail
MGS1 is above RE4, not 3 MGS3 is below KH, GS, and FFVIII yet. But if you base KHII off of round 2 RE4/KHII and quarterfinal RE4, and use the 5:40 update, you get this:

1 Ocarina of Time 50.00%
2 Super Smash Bros. Brawl 39.41%
3 Super Smash Bros. Melee 38.88%
4 Red/Blue/Yellow 36.90%
5 Twilight Princess 36.53%
6 Metal Gear Solid 35.11%
7 Final Fantasy X 35.09%
8 Resident Evil 4 34.51%
9 Kingdom Hearts II 34.03%
10 Metal Gear Solid 4 33.12%

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Mustache...and Green...
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RPGuy96 | Posted 6/7/2009 2:48:26 PM | message detail
Incidentally, here's some series stuff:

ZELDA
1 Ocarina of Time 50.00%
5 Twilight Princess 36.53%
16 Majora's Mask 29.06%
23 Wind Waker 27.02%
24 Super Mario Galaxy 26.70%
36 Metroid Prime 24.07%

FF/KH
7 Final Fantasy X 35.09%
9 Kingdom Hearts II 34.03%
11 Kingdom Hearts 32.86%
13 Final Fantasy VIII 31.41%
19 Final Fantasy IX 28.39%
21 Final Fantasy Tactics 28.09%
22 Final Fantasy XII 27.54%

MGS
6 Metal Gear Solid 35.11%
10 Metal Gear Solid 4 33.12%
14 Metal Gear Solid 3 30.77%
25 Metal Gear Solid 2 26.49%

FPS
15 Call of Duty 4 30.14%
17 Half-Life 2 28.54%
31 Halo 25.68%
35 Portal 24.42%
40 Halo 2 23.46%
41 BioShock 23.34%
42 Halo 3 22.53%
45 Half-Life 21.30%
46 Gears of War 20.55%
47 Left 4 Dead 19.49%

GTA
29 Vice City 25.82%
32 San Andreas 25.27%
37 Grand Theft Auto IV 23.99%
43 Grand Theft Auto III 22.23%
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 6/7/2009 2:55:30 PM | message detail
A shameless copy of Kleenex's idea. How does it look?:
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/OoTvsFF7.PNG
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Shall I take you with me? To the place in this town where wishes come true...
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/7/2009 2:58:11 PM | message detail
It looks fine. The problem is that I seriously doubt Bacon actually accepts anything like that.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
HaRRicH | Posted 6/7/2009 3:00:40 PM | message detail
Just as lovely, TRE. You should send it to help make a point that we want to see FF7/LoZ:OoT without the extras!
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BT > Harrich
lol me
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 6/7/2009 3:01:14 PM | message detail
Probably not, but it's worth a try.
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Shall I take you with me? To the place in this town where wishes come true...
HaRRicH | Posted 6/7/2009 3:02:28 PM | message detail
Of course he won't accept them, but he knows how we feel about one-on-one matches and that we want a battle between FF7 and LoZ:OoT after tomorrow regardless of who wins. May as well send some pictures that will reflect the percentages tomorrow anyway as a bit of last-minute persuasion.
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BT > Harrich
lol me
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/7/2009 3:02:34 PM | message detail
Yeah. I'll refrain from making any more pics besides the one I already did to give those a better chance at being accepted, but don't get your hopes up.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
MrSmartGuy | Posted 6/7/2009 3:03:11 PM | message detail
Oh wow, FFX. What a pleasant surprise to come back from work to...

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Xbox GT/PSN name: TatteredUniform - SSBB FC: 1891-0831-5747 (TEETS)
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charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 3:05:40 PM | message detail
I based RE4 by adjusting MGS3 to what it got against Oblivion in round 2 so I get something like...

1. Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 50.00%
2. LoZ: Twilight Princess – 46.42%
3. Metal Gear Solid 4 – 42.02%
4. Resident Evil 4 – 41.38%
5. Metal Gear Solid 3 – 41.11%
6. Kingdom Hearts II – 40.79%
7. Half-Life 2 – 36.26%
8. TES IV: Oblivion – 36.17%
9. Fallout 3 – 35.58%
10. Final Fantasy XII – 34.98%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 6/7/2009 3:05:58 PM | message detail
I'd like to see LttP and FFX's spaces cut down even further, to be honest...
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
red sox 777 | Posted 6/7/2009 3:29:06 PM | message detail
FFX now below MGS's percentage on OOT. Next up: FFX falls below LTTP's percentage on FFVII yesterday despite Brawl being in this poll and 2 Marios being in yesterday's (not entirely sure it quite gets there actually as it'll start doing better with the SNV). I actually like FFX a lot, so I don't feel good ragging on it like this, but it was/is overrated.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
HaRRicH | Posted 6/7/2009 3:29:27 PM | message detail
Frankly, just send a picture like TRE's or Kleenex's but with only FF7/LoZ:OoT. No need to beat around the bush if this is going to be done.
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BT > Harrich
lol me
red sox 777 | Posted 6/7/2009 3:33:14 PM | message detail
I actually think tomorrow's match might look surprisingly normal. I haven't really gotten a feeling that the site is getting that hyped for an FFVII/OOT showdown, and FFVII/OOT have never done better as a result of the site or internet caring intensely about the final before. I figure there exists a sizable fanbase here that hates Link/Cloud or at least wants them to stop winning, and they've got to vote for something tomorrow.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
red sox 777 | Posted 6/7/2009 3:37:26 PM | message detail
I don't buy Brawl (or Melee) being as strong as those stats suggest, but we're probably better off leaving the raw numbers and letting everyone decide for themselves how strong the games really are. Of course, I guess you then run into the problem of choosing which extrapolations to be raw....

Another thing: OOT has had at least one Nintendo game with it every round since round 3, so it's likely that almost the entire bottom half is overrated relative to it.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
PiGuy96 | Posted 6/7/2009 3:46:21 PM | message detail
Whereas FFVII has had at least two Nintendo games in every single one of its matches, so it's quite likely that the entire top half is underrated relative to it.
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RPGuy netbook remix
transience | Posted 6/7/2009 3:55:48 PM | message detail
anything to get the old games looking good!

old games should be better than new ones as far as the top ones go anyway. Mario and Zelda zone.
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xyzzy
http://penny-arcade.com/images/2009/20090603.jpg
BDawg | Posted 6/7/2009 4:01:11 PM | message detail
I know people want FFVII vs. OoT but the fact is it's four ways. Lttp and FFX got here by whatever means, they deserve the face time.
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Should I start running now?
red sox 777 | Posted 6/7/2009 4:10:20 PM | message detail
old games should be better than new ones as far as the top ones go anyway. Mario and Zelda zone.

That's all there is to it, tranny. I really don't think old games are categorically stronger than new games, but they aren't categorically weaker either, and some specific old games (namely LTTP and CT) just happen to be really strong. I'm not even sure about how SMW and SMB3 stand, and I for one would still love to see SMB3 vs. SSBM or SMB3 vs. SSBB.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/7/2009 4:42:40 PM | message detail
OoT might end up at or near 41% here. Ended up a lot better then I expected
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hochiminhX | Posted 6/7/2009 5:08:23 PM | message detail
FFX in the finals. Talk about undeserving. Not even a Top 10 game.

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I will bury you.
charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 5:15:46 PM | message detail
For old time sakes what's your top 10?

1. Final Fantasy VII
2. LoZ: Ocarina of Time
3. Super Mario World
4. Super Mario Bros. 3
5. LoZ: A Link to the Past
6. Super Mario 64
7. Super Smash Bros. Brawl
8. Super Smash Bros. Melee
9. Pokemon RBY
10. Chrono Trigger

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/7/2009 5:17:52 PM | message detail
1. Final Fantasy VII
2. LoZ: Ocarina of Time
3. Super Mario World
4. Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow
5. Super Mario 64
6. Legend of Zelda: Link to the Past
7. Super Smash Bros. Brawl
8. Chrono Trigger
9. Super Mario Bros 3
10. Super Smash Bros Melee
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/356/484cc4215cae81cbd2ed258c3dbbfadc0b899894.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 5:22:39 PM | message detail
FFX now below MGS's percentage on OOT. Next up: FFX falls below LTTP's percentage on FFVII yesterday despite Brawl being in this poll and 2 Marios being in yesterday's

Not lookin' like that's gonna happen.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 5:31:02 PM | message detail
So...FFX vs. TP: Who you got?

FFX vs. MGS?

TP vs. MGS?

Brawl vs. Melee?
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/7/2009 5:32:11 PM | message detail
FFX vs. TP: Who you got?

FFX

FFX vs. MGS?

FFX


TP vs. MGS?

MGS

Brawl vs. Melee?

Brawl
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Yesmar | Posted 6/7/2009 5:43:17 PM | message detail
For old time sakes what's your top 10?

1. Final Fantasy VII
2. The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time:
3. The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past
4. Super Mario 64
5. Super Mario World
6. Chrono Trigger
7. Super Mario Bros. 3
8. Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow
9. Super Smash Brothers Brawl
10. Super Smash Brothers Melee

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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/7/2009 5:43:49 PM | message detail
1. Final Fantasy VII
2. Ocarina of Time
3. Uhhh
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Gnomestone | Posted 6/7/2009 5:48:44 PM | message detail
This is going to be a great finals. 2 Zelda games vs 2 FF games. It couldn't of turned out any better.
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