GameFAQs Contests

advertisement

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 746

The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/7/2009 5:40:57 AM | message detail
2 consecutive cuts with what seems to be the morning vote in effect. Well, MGS4 relying on it's day vote to just be "not as bad" to make a comeback didn't come through... not surprisingly. And snailien loses his account? Don't know if he goes through with that but what a waste, losing your account to MWC.... how embarrassing
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 6/7/2009 5:42:31 AM | message detail
Man only one more day and this abortion of a contest is over!
---
Pittsburgh Penguins 2009 Eastern Conference Champions!!!
2 down, 2 to go
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 5:47:23 AM | message detail
MGS coming back with the day vote, lol

Well, RE4 came back with the day vote on MGS3 and both games have a bad day vote. It's just that RE4's day vote is a little bit better than MGS3's, since its trends are a little more balanced than the earlier RE games, giving it a slightly better day vote than the earlier RE games.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/7/2009 5:53:27 AM | message detail
WTF at those 2 last updates. It's like FFX temporarily forgot that it's morning
---
A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 6:00:21 AM | message detail
3 big updates for FFX in a row. Seems like MGS4 is dying with the morning and not FFX. Not sure if the rush of US voters seems to be favoring FFX more because of bracket voters.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 6:00:50 AM | message detail
The kiddies decided to go back to sleep.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 6:01:39 AM | message detail
MGS4 has more brackets going this far.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 6:04:48 AM | message detail
MGS4 tries to force a stall to end this hour.

Time
1:00 | 50.80%
2:00 | 51.24%
3:00 | 49.10%
4:00 | 47.81%
5:00 | 47.78%
6:00 | 46.52%
7:00 | 45.27%
8:00 | 46.74%
9:00 | 44.13%

Very bad hour for MGS4 and FFX has a new best hour.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 6:13:54 AM | message detail
With a performance like this by MGS4 it would take a crushing defeat tomorrow for Brawl not to take third place.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 6:40:35 AM | message detail
Looks like Brawl is trying to cut into MGS4's lead, but Brawl making a full comeback is not going to happen with the kind of lead MGS4 has.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 6/7/2009 6:42:45 AM | message detail
Hahaha, Brawl is stalling MGS4 now.
---
Wylvane's current main account.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 7:34:06 AM | message detail
FFX almost has the lead up to 1100. I think MGS4 is done for here.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/7/2009 7:34:58 AM | message detail
Uh, MGS was done the moment it lost the lead. MGS doesn't come back on things unless the margin is a 50 vote difference going into 11:30.

---
http://thengamer.com/guru/
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/7/2009 7:40:58 AM | message detail
Why are people saying FFVII/OoT is the same as 2004? OoT would put more than 47% on FFVII now. Zelda is stronger and so is link. Zelda series wouldn't have had a chance in hell to beat FF 5 years ago, thigns have changed...not enough for OoT to maybe pull a shock but the difference between the games is certianly smaller. LttP is gonna hurt it too much though we need antoher 1v1 after the final tomorrow.
---
Playing: Star Ocean: TLH | Ninja Gaiden Black | Ar tonelico II
Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
voltch | Posted 6/7/2009 7:47:39 AM | message detail
what's the longest standing top class rivalry in sports?
just to see how the oot/VII rivalry is by comparision.
---
It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455
Meeks54 | Posted 6/7/2009 7:48:33 AM | message detail
Yankees vs Red Sox. 1919
RockMFR 5 | Posted 6/7/2009 8:05:02 AM | message detail
Prediction: FFX builds up a lead of 800 over the next 7 hours.

FFX's lead 7 hours after I said that: 842

I am a trend master.
---
Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
Scott_Pilgrim | Posted 6/7/2009 8:12:03 AM | message detail
Well, the voting blocks that have been designated so far (EBV/PHV/FNV/BSV/DSV/ASV/SNV)

Early Board, Power Hour, Back to School, After School, Second Night.

I'm drawing 2 blanks here.
---
Oh, sorry, I got distracted by FastFalcon.
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=169
MnMZero | Posted 6/7/2009 8:34:49 AM | message detail
I'm the Atlanta Braves of the stats topic. Good every year, but can never win the big one.
---
Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 6/7/2009 8:48:58 AM | message detail
FFX beating MGS4 is even worse than MGS4 losing to TP or SSBB.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 8:50:14 AM | message detail
Early Board, Power Hour, Back to School, After School, Second Night.

I'm drawing 2 blanks here.


You got most of them, but you missed 2 of them and got one of them wrong. Here's what they stand for:

EBV - Early Board Vote
PHV - Power Hour Vote (usually called "Power Hour" instead)
FNV - First Night Vote
BSV - Before School Vote
DSV - During School Vote
ASV - After School Vote
SNV - Second Night vote
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/7/2009 8:51:53 AM | message detail
There is no school on sundays.
---
Playing: Star Ocean: TLH | Ninja Gaiden Black | Ar tonelico II
Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 9:05:58 AM | message detail
There is no school on sundays.

I realize that, but you should read this message I posted earlier:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/detail.php?board=8&topic=49856746&message=546700195
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
Scott_Pilgrim | Posted 6/7/2009 9:07:14 AM | message detail
Know I now, and knowing is half the battle.
---
Oh, sorry, I got distracted by FastFalcon.
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=169
Lucid Faia | Posted 6/7/2009 9:18:50 AM | message detail
G.I. JOOOOEEEEE

---
The Ohio State Buckeyes
2005-2008 Big Ten Champions!
transience | Posted 6/7/2009 9:44:57 AM | message detail
crisis averted

MGS4 for strongest non-Nintendo/Square game. Brawl..[ man, I don't even know what to say here. it's only going to have dropped like 1% relative to MGS4.
---
xyzzy
http://penny-arcade.com/images/2009/20090603.jpg
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 6/7/2009 9:49:01 AM | message detail
It had to deal with a Zelda game last round, and for all we know, it was also splitting with RE4 (maybe even more than RE4 was splitting with MGS4). Still a very solid performance, but I think Melee would have matched it without its unique disadvantage.
---
Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 6/7/2009 10:21:04 AM | message detail
come on MGS4!
---
The Straight Up G
The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/7/2009 10:26:26 AM | message detail
I still think Melee>Brawl 1v1. Anyone with me?
---
Playing: Star Ocean: TLH | Ninja Gaiden Black | Ar tonelico II
Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
creativename | Posted 6/7/2009 10:27:51 AM | message detail
Tomorrow is the last day of the contest, and I was kinda surprised to realize that for once I'm not really gonna miss it.

FF7 deserves to be the favorite going in to tomorrow, but I almost have a hard time envisioning it winning - Ocarina should build up a lead in the hundreds with the first 2 hours. FF7 won't start making a move until like 2am. And the night vote won't have enough volume to really allow it to build a big lead.

The DSV should be OK for it, but it's gonna get hurt real bad with it's now poor ASV vs. one of the top ASVs. The much larger ASV difference is probably the biggest change between these two since 2k4. It's like I know FF7 should be favored slightly, but I can't figure out how it actually achieves victory.
---
gamefaqscontests.com
gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:31:31 AM | message detail
MGS4 for strongest non-Nintendo/Square game. Brawl..[ man, I don't even know what to say here. it's only going to have dropped like 1% relative to MGS4.

MGS is already above MGS4 and GoldenEye has a great chance at taking that title if you don't consider it a Nintendo game.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 10:33:51 AM | message detail
MGS is already above MGS4 and GoldenEye has a great chance at taking that title if you don't consider it a Nintendo game.

If MGS4 did advance today, I would definitely consider it stronger than MGS. Although it won't advance, MGS/MGS4 is probably still up for debate on the strongest MGS game.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/7/2009 10:34:16 AM | message detail
FF7 deserves to be the favorite going in to tomorrow, but I almost have a hard time envisioning it winning - Ocarina should build up a lead in the hundreds with the first 2 hours. FF7 won't start making a move until like 2am. And the night vote won't have enough volume to really allow it to build a big lead.

The DSV should be OK for it, but it's gonna get hurt real bad with it's now poor ASV vs. one of the top ASVs. The much larger ASV difference is probably the biggest change between these two since 2k4. It's like I know FF7 should be favored slightly, but I can't figure out how it actually achieves victory.


FFVII will beat OoT in every region except NA, that's why it's favourite.
---
Playing: Star Ocean: TLH | Ninja Gaiden Black | Ar tonelico II
Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
transience | Posted 6/7/2009 10:34:59 AM | message detail

FF7 deserves to be the favorite going in to tomorrow, but I almost have a hard time envisioning it winning - Ocarina should build up a lead in the hundreds with the first 2 hours. FF7 won't start making a move until like 2am. And the night vote won't have enough volume to really allow it to build a big lead.

I think you're way too worried about trends. if FF7 is stronger it will win.

MGS is already above MGS4 and GoldenEye has a great chance at taking that title if you don't consider it a Nintendo game.

by raw percentages, sure.. but FFX already beat the game that beat MGS and MGS4 is even closer. I'll take direct matchups against the competition instead of direct matchups against Ocarina.

it looks like the morning vote has subsided and we're in for a big stall.
---
xyzzy
http://penny-arcade.com/images/2009/20090603.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:37:11 AM | message detail
by raw percentages, sure.. but FFX already beat the game that beat MGS and MGS4 is even closer. I'll take direct matchups against the competition instead of direct matchups against Ocarina.

So you'd rather rely on a SFF match than a direct match with OoT?
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
voltch | Posted 6/7/2009 10:38:38 AM | message detail
Hey anyone here think that OOT and LTTP's total will be below FFVII alone in Asia?
---
It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 6/7/2009 10:39:41 AM | message detail

From: voltch | #186
Hey anyone here think that OOT and LTTP's total will be below FFVII alone in Asia?


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3506&region=ASI

Yes.
---
Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/7/2009 10:39:47 AM | message detail
Seems that FFX/MGS4/SSBB are all in for a triple stall now

yay
---
http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/356/484cc4215cae81cbd2ed258c3dbbfadc0b899894.gif
voltch | Posted 6/7/2009 10:40:33 AM | message detail
ok,then in that case FFX vs OOT/LTTP combo in asia!
---
It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455
charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:41:42 AM | message detail
Pretty sure FFX will do the same

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3504&region=ASI
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/7/2009 10:42:16 AM | message detail
FFVII will beat OoT in every region except NA, that's why it's favourite.

I'm not sure how big of a lead North America would have to launch OoT over FFVII with. I'm thinking if North America could provide OoT with like a 5000 vote lead or higher, it could probably be the favorite to win.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
creativename | Posted 6/7/2009 10:42:37 AM | message detail
I think you're way too worried about trends. if FF7 is stronger it will win.

Oh I know that. (well with one caveat - the early vote/first two hours have more importance in 4ways, although FFX and LttP will have such low percentages that it's only slightly more importance here)

That's why I said I know it deserves to be the favorite. I'm just saying that I have a hard time envisioning in my head it how it actually pulls off the win.

The only thing I can really come up with in terms of mental imagery is if FFX does a couple points worse than LttP, which is quite possible, although which sibling is going to get humiliated more is hard to predict.
---
gamefaqscontests.com
gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
transience | Posted 6/7/2009 10:42:49 AM | message detail
So you'd rather rely on a SFF match than a direct match with OoT?

what's the SFF match? RBY/OOT? if so, it shouldn't be affected any more the second time around.
---
xyzzy
http://penny-arcade.com/images/2009/20090603.jpg
voltch | Posted 6/7/2009 10:42:50 AM | message detail
wow,checked FFIX vs OOT round 2,in asia both had the exact same amount of votes,pretty rare i'd say.
---
It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455
creativename | Posted 6/7/2009 10:45:09 AM | message detail
Pretty sure FFX will do the same

I doubt that, it'll get SFFed too hard.
---
gamefaqscontests.com
gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:45:27 AM | message detail
what's the SFF match? RBY/OOT? if so, it shouldn't be affected any more the second time around.

OoT/SSBM/RBY also SFF can be there the second time around. For example FFX did better against KH in round 3 than round 2.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 6/7/2009 10:45:49 AM | message detail
I doubt there'll be much of an ASV tomorrow. Last Friday was always the last day of school around here on the east coast.
---
FastFalcon and Solid Snake snapped my neck in the guru contest.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/7/2009 10:46:25 AM | message detail

From: Lieutenant Kettch | #197
I doubt there'll be much of an ASV tomorrow. Last Friday was always the last day of school around here on the east coast.


No it wasn't. Maybe in your area, but Maryland doesn't get out till this Friday.
---
http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/356/484cc4215cae81cbd2ed258c3dbbfadc0b899894.gif
charmander6000 | Posted 6/7/2009 10:46:55 AM | message detail
I doubt that, it'll get SFFed too hard.

Doesn't matter both OoT and LttP will be getting like 5% each in Asia.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > FFX Points: 387/576
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 6/7/2009 10:47:02 AM | message detail
It's still hard to picture LttP getting as badly hurt as FFX. For one, it's still a bit stronger, and it also has the 2D/SNES factor to broaden its appeal a bit. I definitely think it'll steal more of Ocarina's percentage, but I also think its added strength and appeal could help the Zelda games combine for over 50% of the vote.
---
Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!