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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 743

MadGamer_11 | Posted 6/5/2009 1:34:36 PM | message detail
Hey so what do you guys think of OoT>>MGS4?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 6/5/2009 1:35:36 PM | message detail
Yeah, MGS4 is dead.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Janus5000 | Posted 6/5/2009 1:35:58 PM | message detail
It's too bad RBY got buried so easily. This could've been a great series of quarterfinals.

As is, it's still the best stretch we've had all contest, but then we haven't had many really good matches.
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draarrowgant | Posted 6/5/2009 1:37:59 PM | message detail
Hey so what do you guys think of OoT>>MGS4?

uhh- well thats not happening in this contest... you talking about one on one or some crazy scenario.... The only situation I think were it is even POSSIBLE for MGS4>OoT would be

OoT/LttP/TP/MGS4....

and even then I think I would still pick OoT>MGS4

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psn aarrowgant
Janus5000 | Posted 6/5/2009 1:38:37 PM | message detail
I had a dream that MGS4 was winning by 3 votes at the 23:55 update.

Brawl then won the match by about 2000. It also broke the updater and got more than 100% that update. <_<

A vision, perhaps?
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paulg235 | Posted 6/5/2009 1:38:50 PM | message detail
He wasn't talking about MGS4>OoT...
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/5/2009 1:40:01 PM | message detail

From: Janus5000 | #455
I had a dream that MGS4 was winning by 3 votes at the 23:55 update.

Brawl then won the match by about 2000. It also broke the updater and got more than 100% that update. <_<

A vision, perhaps?


heh i thought i was the only one to ever have dreams about the contest xD
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Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/5/2009 1:48:51 PM | message detail
I can see Brawl getting SFF'd MORE by OoT than Melee.
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Playing: Star Ocean: TLH | Ninja Gaiden Black | Ar tonelico II
Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
transients | Posted 6/5/2009 1:54:01 PM | message detail
looks like a good match to me. unlike the other close matches, MGS will rock those last few updates relative to Brawl.
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 6/5/2009 1:56:41 PM | message detail
Doesn't matter if it's just going to lose ground constantly until those final updates. Like MGS3 before it, it's going to be the SNV that kills MGS4 here, not the ASV.
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hochiminhX | Posted 6/5/2009 1:57:16 PM | message detail
If it is close at the end MGS4 wins. MGS fans are the biggest bunch of cheaters this contest has ever knowns sans Mario fans.

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I will bury you.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/5/2009 2:00:10 PM | message detail
63 vote cut for Brawl to end the hour. MGS4 is so done here its not even funny. Its likely gonna be about a 600 vote win for brawl
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Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/5/2009 2:00:32 PM | message detail
So who progresses next round? MGS4 or FFX?
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Playing: Star Ocean: TLH | Ninja Gaiden Black | Ar tonelico II
Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
charmander6000 | Posted 6/5/2009 2:01:09 PM | message detail
Based on the past hour SSBB will take the lead at 19:55

Based on the past half hour SSBB will take the lead at 19:55
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: RE4 > LoZ: TP Points: 355/480
paulg235 | Posted 6/5/2009 2:01:16 PM | message detail
FFX. MGS4 is going to be shown a lot weaker than expected next round.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 6/5/2009 2:02:53 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy X's going to beat MGS4 next round, and probably pretty easily. MGS4 can't even beat a heavily LFF'd Brawl. FFX at least beat RBY.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/5/2009 2:04:05 PM | message detail
Man, kinda hard to believe we've only got three matches left. Doesn't seem like it should be over already.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 6/5/2009 2:07:43 PM | message detail
I plan to campaign for open rosters for the next contest (any character who has appeared in a video game), so savor these next few days while you can, old timers.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/5/2009 2:08:44 PM | message detail
batman vs. goku here we go
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paulg235 | Posted 6/5/2009 2:09:15 PM | message detail
Vegeta would trash all.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 6/5/2009 2:09:20 PM | message detail
35% update for Brawl, 21% update for MGS4.

ASV indeed.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/5/2009 2:10:10 PM | message detail
MGS4 only got up to 1600? Man, worse than last round
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/5/2009 2:13:46 PM | message detail
yes RE4 cut TP!

You have to admit RE4 has done pretty damn well in this competition. Especially considering the other RE were out first round.
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Playing: Star Ocean: TLH | Ninja Gaiden Black | Ar tonelico II
Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
HaRRicH | Posted 6/5/2009 2:14:50 PM | message detail
I'm fine with that -- it's not like very many would make it in, anyway. The nomination-process would have a "When in Rome..."-like effect, anyway; I doubt many other fictional characters get a ton of nominations for a contest hosted on a major video game site. We'd get a few new power-houses, a few surprises, probably some bombs that would be fun to watch, and I doubt they make up more than 20% of the bracket anyway. If it's like 50/50 with the types of characters, I'm not going to be cool with that at all...but sure, let the highlights in. They couldn't easily get more than the highlights nominated, so it's not all bad.
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BT > Harrich
lol me
deadeyedllv | Posted 6/5/2009 2:18:02 PM | message detail
As far as MGS4 vs FFX next round, I'm choosing FFX no doubt. MGS4 has no chance. On another note, Brawl has slowed down the last couple of updates. This match could be interesting.
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You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far.
Scott_Pilgrim | Posted 6/5/2009 2:19:51 PM | message detail
Does Brawl still have a shot at this? Its cut more than half the lead, but there's still a long way to go.
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Oh, sorry, I got distracted by FastFalcon.
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charmander6000 | Posted 6/5/2009 2:23:41 PM | message detail
It's about 50/50 IMO the next couple of hours are important.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: RE4 > LoZ: TP Points: 355/480
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/5/2009 2:24:42 PM | message detail
I'd say it's more than 50/50, honestly. Brawl has ALREADY cut 800 votes, and we're not even three hours into the ASV.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/5/2009 2:24:51 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #477
It's about 50/50 IMO the next couple of hours are important.


-sigh- I can't believe people are still holding on hope for some reason.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/5/2009 2:25:22 PM | message detail
I'd say it's more like 70/30

Hard not to see Brawl as the favorite here
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 6/5/2009 2:25:33 PM | message detail
This last quarter of the bracket has functioned just like Division 128 did in 2004. Everything of note looks equal. RE4, KHII, and MGS3 are within a hair of each other. MGS4 probably beats them 1v1, but certainly not by much. Brawl and TP are a bit ahead of the pack (Brawl more so, obviously), but once again, they certainly wouldn't crush anything in that earlier group. I'd like to see where these games will be in five years, which begs the question...

It's 2014. How do you rank these:

Brawl
TP
MGS4
MGS3
KHII
RE4

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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/5/2009 2:26:38 PM | message detail
If MGS4 would have built 1900 like it was supposed to this would have been epic

*shakes fist*
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/5/2009 2:26:40 PM | message detail
In 2014?

Brawl
TP
MGS4
RE4
KHII
MGS3

Yeah, probably the same order I have them now.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
transients | Posted 6/5/2009 2:26:53 PM | message detail
in 2014, MGS4 probably wins. but Brawl already crushed MGS4 last round -- I don't see why it couldn't do it again unless you think there's some weird Fallout 3 LFF (which was already disproved in GOTY)
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xyzzy
deadeyedllv | Posted 6/5/2009 2:30:29 PM | message detail
Brawl not looking too good right now...
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paulg235 | Posted 6/5/2009 2:30:43 PM | message detail
Brawl > TP > MGS4 >> KH2 > RE4 >= MGS3
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shane15 | Posted 6/5/2009 2:31:20 PM | message detail
I see the fanboys are finally coming out in force.If it was up to me it would be Resi 4 and MGS4.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 6/5/2009 2:37:41 PM | message detail
Current lead: 695
Updates left: 77
Votes per update: 9.03

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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 6/5/2009 2:46:22 PM | message detail
-sigh- I can't believe people are still holding on hope for some reason.

If you haven't noticed Brawl has slowed down.

Based on the last hour Brawl will take the lead at 20:30
Based on the last half hour Brawl will take the lead at 23:00

This is like LttP/SM64
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: RE4 > LoZ: TP Points: 355/480
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 6/5/2009 2:47:50 PM | message detail
Only 15 minutes from the West Coast ASV aka ZWT when Twilight Princess will be making 100 vote cuts.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
TheRye | Posted 6/5/2009 2:48:50 PM | message detail
MGS wins its first update in 3 hours
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/5/2009 2:55:17 PM | message detail
save us west coast asv
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transients | Posted 6/5/2009 2:59:28 PM | message detail
yeah, one thing this contest has taught me is not to assume trends will continue like they will in character battles. this looks like a good match.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/5/2009 3:04:05 PM | message detail
Hmmm...MGS4 is stalling out. Not bad, MGS4.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/5/2009 3:04:39 PM | message detail
here comes the west coast asv
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transients | Posted 6/5/2009 3:05:04 PM | message detail
is there a more balanced game trendwise than RE4?
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xyzzy
Smurf FAQs | Posted 6/5/2009 3:07:13 PM | message detail
MGS4 is fine here.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 6/5/2009 3:09:37 PM | message detail
Brawl back at work.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/5/2009 3:10:15 PM | message detail

From: Smurf FAQs | #497
MGS4 is fine here.


lol smurf
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TheRye | Posted 6/5/2009 3:10:33 PM | message detail
Brawl Doin' Work
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