GameFAQs Contests

Yea, OoT will finish 39-40

For some reason, I doubt OoT gains much with the ASV. It didn't last time, and now it has Melee's day vote to deal with. Basically, whatever it ends up with at the end of the night is pretty close to what it's gonna finish with.

It probably won't, because it's got to deal with 2 other ASV opponents in Melee and RBY.

6 AM: 1400
3 PM: 1500

A 100 vote gain between 6 AM and 3 PM?
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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RBY dying now as Melee used cut but missed.

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII

Yeah, if RBY is going to crush the ASV enough to make up 1500 votes, the morning + DSV should be mostly stalling.
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If RBY can't even gain an advantage during the power hour I find it hard to see how it would manage a stall during the DSV
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Resident Evil – 22.72%
Star Fox 64 – 20.86%
Super Mario Kart – 19.89%
Symphony of the Night – 19.40%

HAhaha raw stats.

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That would be why those are targets and not projections. I'm saying that if FFX is only at a 1400 vote lead at 6, I expect RBY to be able to mostly stall from then 'till 3.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Honestly, FFX is doing terrible. I had OoT pegged at about 40% here so its doing what it needed to. We really need a FFVII/OoT match after the final.



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I will bury you.

FFX will be getting consistent 50 vote gains in a few hours. It'll be up 2500 easy by the time RBY starts stalling it again.
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0

Just like MGS did right?
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From: RockMFR 5 | Posted: 6/4/2009 1:36:30 AM | #459
FFX will be getting consistent 50 vote gains in a few hours. It'll be up 2500 easy by the time RBY starts stalling it again.

And Pokemon might come back anyway.
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"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

FFVIII, FFVI or FFX - which is strongest? All of them kind of disappointed this contest.

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I will bury you.

FFX's problem here is that the hours it does best at are the hours that receive the least votes in the whole poll. It'll be demolishing RBY in a few more hours, but it'll still have difficulty getting consistent 30 vote gains, much less 50 vote gains.
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And Pokemon might come back anyway.

Eh, I think it'll have a hard time coming back from that far down. It won't be able to win the ASV decisively, which is why I think FFX is fine even if it is only up 1500 going into the ASV. Melee is really going to dilute RBY's ASV. FFX will fall, but RBY won't gain like it did last round.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
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From: hochiminhX | #462
FFVIII, FFVI or FFX - which is strongest? All of them kind of disappointed this contest.

Neither VIII or X have disappointed, they just ran into Nintendo brick walls. I think VIII fell victim to what Melee is facing right now - people are just supporting another option. I still wouldn't be surprised if VIII can challenge MGS in a 1v1, and I'd take Melee over Pokemon in a 1v1 outright.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
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Melee is really going to dilute RBY's ASV.

didn't we say this about Ocarina of Time?
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xyzzy
http://penny-arcade.com/images/2009/20090603.jpg

The idea that our final eight could possibly be seven Nintendo games and FFVII is pretty saddening, and I love Nintendo.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Melee is really going to dilute RBY's ASV.

didn't we say this about Ocarina of Time?

We did, yeah, but Melee's ASV is probably just as good, if not better than RBY's. I just don't see how all three of them could skyrocket during the ASV. It just won't happen.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

it doesn't have to skyrocket. all it needs is for FF10 to fall off -- and it will.

if Ocarina can't crush RBY's trends, SFF'd Melee won't.
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xyzzy
http://penny-arcade.com/images/2009/20090603.jpg

And to add on to that point, I think we saw some of that last round with SSBM and KH. KH cut a lot of votes off of FFX in round two, but it couldn't dominate the day vote like it normally would thanks to SSBM's presence (and SSBM likewise could not do the same), though FFX did fall a lot during the day. It just wasn't being cut by KH much.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

And as I said before, we saw MGS1 apparently benefit from three Nintendo games fighting for a day vote, one of which was RBY.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

FFX would have to pull a chokejob for the ages. MGS's largest lead was 100 votes. FFX is already up 300 and has those three dead vote hours to look forward to.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

KH didn't cut FFX last round because it was further behind than the round before, so it stalled instead. Down 6000 and stalling is pretty similar to down 5000 and cutting 500, that didn't have anything to do with Melee. Ocarina and Melee aren't going to affect RBY relative to FFX at all.
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RPGuy netbook remix

VI, VIII, and X are probably all pretty close. I don't think VI embarassed itself as much as most people do. Given the way people have been talking for a long time as if they expected CT and FFVI to have fallen off a cliff, I wouldn't have thought they'd be so surprised to see that FFVI, is, in fact, a lot weaker than in 2004. But getting 40-41ish on LTTP, which is around what it looks like it'd get, still makes it quite competitive with FFVIII and even X.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

And as I said before, we saw MGS1 apparently benefit from three Nintendo games fighting for a day vote, one of which was RBY.

That was a weekend match. MGS has a very good DSV (unlike, say, CT), which was distributed throughout the day. MGS still fell from peak to trough in the day before recovering a bit in the second night vote, which also strikes earlier on weekends.
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RPGuy netbook remix

I dunno. I just don't see how RBY could gain 2500 votes on MGS in round three and do virtually NOTHING to it in round two. What explanation is there other than three Nintendo games fighting for a day vote?
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Even if Melee is going to hurt RBY's ASV, it should also have already hurt its power hour, since Melee is excellent then also. And, Melee will fail utterly with the deep night, do poorly with the morning, and do abysmally with the DSV, which would presumably help RBY in those periods if Melee is going to be hurting its ASV.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Weekend trends really are quite different.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

After two hours last round: RBY leads by 337
After two hours tonight: FFX leads by 352
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

i would also imagine that splitting trends with another Pokemon game would be far worse than splitting with...anything else, really.

1500 is doable, i think.

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The explanation is that it was already down several thousands of votes in round 2 instead of down 0 in round 3. Even if that was a weekday match I don't think RBY would have cut in the ASV just because it was down so much.
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RPGuy netbook remix

Does this performance make anyone rethink Brawl's chances tomorrow? After the Galaxy route, I thought it was headed for 60/40 against Twilight Princes, but I'm not quite as sure now. Still wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see it, though; the Nintendo fanbase doesn't seem to be very "excited" about TP; it's just been the stock Zelda option with no other Nintendo stuff to get in its way.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

Weekend trends didn't stop RE4 from making a comeback on MGS3.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

FFX by the hour:

1:00 | 51.29%
2:00 | 53.11%

Pretty sharp improvement for FFX there.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

If Pokemon is down 1500 votes in this match, it ain't coming back.

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Even if that was a weekday match I don't think RBY would have cut in the ASV just because it was down so much.

Didn't stop G/S.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

RE4 also happens to have a good DSV, and a marginally better ASV. And it was still the slowest comeback ever.
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RPGuy netbook remix

Yeah, but MGS3's trends are supposed to be diluted on the weekend. The day vote still sucked to the point that it gave up a 600 vote lead to a Resident Evil game.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Weekend trends didn't stop RE4 from making a comeback on MGS3.

An agonizingly slow comeback. And remember RE4 holding off KH2 with only a 1200 vote lead? Go into the ASV against KH on a weekday with a 1200 vote lead, and unless you're SSB or Halo, that lead is going to vanish pretty quickly.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

GS was down 6400 going into the ASV; considering that RBY lost by 9000 it would've been down a lot more at 3:00 if it was going to cut, and nothing turns that much percentage around.
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RPGuy netbook remix

Yeah, but even if you're talking in terms of raw percentage, RBY didn't even gain that much, not like it did last round.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

I can't believe the discussion in here. If you're gonna listen to a game theme while using hand lotion in non-hand places, make it Otherworld instead of Pallet Town, ok?
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

That's because it didn't lose that percentage during the DSV. When those two get mixed everything gets muted.
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RPGuy netbook remix

You're right- RBY did really badly in round 2 with the day for whatever reason. Maybe it's just affected a lot by weekend trends. It's rather hard to argue that the other Nintendo games in the poll caused it though, when they combined to beat RBY by less than OOT alone beat it next round, and when MM and GS's day votes were just fine.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Besides, another difference is that FFX is better during non-ASV daylight periods than MGS is, which means I don't think RBY's going to cut like mad in the morning. Heck, even FFVIII was able to do better relative to RBY with the morning vote last round. FFX probably does the same here. MGS's morning vote is awful, FFX's is very good.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Like, last round, RBY was at 22.5% in the morning, fell to 21.85% in the DSV, and recovered to 22.6% with the ASV. Mash all those together and you have RBY gaining .1% in the day.
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RPGuy netbook remix

Oh, I think FFX has a great shot here. I just think arguing that Melee and Ocarina being in the poll means that RBY can't come back is dumb.
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RPGuy netbook remix

Pokemon looks damn primed for a comeback here, if not one of those dominant day vote comebacks. Final Fantasy X is performing like utter **** with nothing to SFF it.
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"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

Play EarthBound.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

What?
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Q. If your canoe is in a tree with its headlights on, how many pancakes does it take to get to the moon?
A. None. Snakes don't have armpits.