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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 740

KamikazePotato | Posted 6/3/2009 1:46:45 PM | message detail
Replace OoT with GS, and maybe FFVI advances there. It's weaksauce these days.

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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 6/3/2009 1:56:07 PM | message detail
Curse you and your stall, LttP! SM64 needs to go on a tear now, or its probably finished. WHY must it lose?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/3/2009 1:58:34 PM | message detail
I think this match is over, its likely just gonna become one massive stall
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/3/2009 1:58:38 PM | message detail
GS? Golden Sun?

Damn where the HELL IS GOLDEN SUN!!!!??
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Playing: COD4 | Ninja Gaiden Black | Devil Summoner 2
Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 6/3/2009 1:59:36 PM | message detail
Well you gotta applaud Mario 64. Great show. Although i think Goldeneye should have won here.
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Playing: COD4 | Ninja Gaiden Black | Devil Summoner 2
Favourite game ever - Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/3/2009 2:01:28 PM | message detail
Yeah what the hell was that. Mario64 goes on a major cutting spree for like an hour and suddenly decides it wants to start losing votes instead. Weird ass game
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/3/2009 2:02:06 PM | message detail

From: The n00b Avenger | #306
Yeah what the hell was that. Mario64 goes on a major cutting spree for like an hour and suddenly decides it wants to start losing votes instead. Weird ass game


Its not like its doing worse... its just Lttp decided it wanted to start going up in % during the asv as well.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 6/3/2009 2:02:20 PM | message detail
15:00 | 48.81%
16:00 | 46.59%
17:00 | 49.36%


Based on the last hour SM64 takes second at 12:55 tomorrow

Based on the last half hour SM64 takes second at never

I think that's game...
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > LoZ: LttP Points: 291/416
Janus5000 | Posted 6/3/2009 2:06:45 PM | message detail
Its not like its doing worse... its just Lttp decided it wanted to start going up in % during the asv as well.

It's doing worse - it hasn't broken 140 votes since the update before LttP gained 34. LttP is doing a little better, but it's really only going up because it's against two FF games and the sun is up.
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http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/3/2009 2:08:02 PM | message detail

From: Janus5000 | #309
Its not like its doing worse... its just Lttp decided it wanted to start going up in % during the asv as well.

It's doing worse - it hasn't broken 140 votes since the update before LttP gained 34. LttP is doing a little better, but it's really only going up because it's against two FF games and the sun is up.


Well I meant more in terms of %. Its still going up in % pretty fast, its just LttP decided it wanted to go up in % as well
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 6/3/2009 2:08:57 PM | message detail
FINALLY! A new cut, and a good one to boot! Maybe SM64 has decided to put up a fight again!
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/3/2009 2:09:46 PM | message detail
Yeah, I think LTTP may hold here. Mario 64 had a good run at it, but it can't stall for this long and expect to win.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/3/2009 2:10:13 PM | message detail
Good timing, Mario 64. Good timing.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Janus5000 | Posted 6/3/2009 2:10:40 PM | message detail
And suddenly Mario wakes up.
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http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/3/2009 2:11:03 PM | message detail
Mario is back in the game
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http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
deadeyedllv | Posted 6/3/2009 2:11:10 PM | message detail
"It's a me, Mario! Heeere we go!"
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You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far.
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 6/3/2009 2:12:15 PM | message detail
Oh yeah! Another cut! C'mon, Mario, you can do this!
hochiminhX | Posted 6/3/2009 2:12:53 PM | message detail
Does FFVII stay above 40%? That kinda is an important milestone.

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I will bury you.
Piazza | Posted 6/3/2009 2:13:41 PM | message detail
As much as I want it to come back, Mario will lose by 400 or so.
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People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring. ~ Rogers Hornsby
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/3/2009 2:13:46 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/3/2009 2:14:10 PM | message detail
LttP improved thehour from 23.11% to 24.39%. Mario 64 dropped the hour from 26.49% to 25.00%

So technically, Mario 64 did a bit worse than LttP did better. But really, it's like they met 50. Hey, you drop 1.5% and then I'll raise 1.5% okay?!
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/3/2009 2:14:53 PM | message detail
mario got a shroom
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http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
deadeyedllv | Posted 6/3/2009 2:15:32 PM | message detail
**** a shroom, Mario got a ****ing star!
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You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far.
Janus5000 | Posted 6/3/2009 2:15:52 PM | message detail
That wasn't a good update for Mario.

Fortunately, it was a terrible one for LttP.
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http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/3/2009 2:16:20 PM | message detail
Mario 64 gained 87 votes in the last hour. At that pace, it'll take the lead in slightly over 8 hours. It'd fall just short.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 6/3/2009 2:17:27 PM | message detail
WHOA THERE! 28 vote cut! Looks like Mario is going nuclear!
hochiminhX | Posted 6/3/2009 2:19:20 PM | message detail
28 vote cut =/= going nuclear


Still what SM64 needs though assuming it can consistently do this.


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I will bury you.
Janus5000 | Posted 6/3/2009 2:19:29 PM | message detail
It could be noted that 82 of those votes were cut in the last 15 minutes.

A projection based on the last 15 minutes, then, has it taking the lead at 7:30. Unrealistic, probably, but as long as it doesn't stall like mad again...
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http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/3/2009 2:20:28 PM | message detail
how epic would it be if it didnt take the lead till the very final update
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http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
Karma Hunter | Posted 6/3/2009 2:20:41 PM | message detail
...wow, that is annoying.

So to actually go into something that might have some substance - which is stronger, SM64 or the SMW/SMB3 duo?

The former implies CT >= SMW/SMB3, the latter implies that the Mario series outclasses every single Zelda not named OoT.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 6/3/2009 2:20:51 PM | message detail
Heh, LTTP spike.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 6/3/2009 2:21:08 PM | message detail
Shush, you. Speaking of stalls makes LttP wake up and get votes, and that's not good for the SM64 fanboy inside me.
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/3/2009 2:21:21 PM | message detail
the latter implies that the Mario series outclasses every single Zelda not named OoT.

I'm game.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 6/3/2009 2:22:39 PM | message detail
the latter implies that the Mario series outclasses every single Zelda not named OoT.

I'm game.


Ditto.

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
Karma Hunter | Posted 6/3/2009 2:25:27 PM | message detail
Which is funny, because Mario 3's antics last match cost SMW a spot in the finals if it's stronger than LttP (just the idea of that makes my head spin, but the probability is undeniable at this point), and very possibly an overall win for OoT.

good job nintendo
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turnturnturn your brain in
http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg
Janus5000 | Posted 6/3/2009 2:26:33 PM | message detail
The former implies CT >= SMW/SMB3, the latter implies that the Mario series outclasses every single Zelda not named OoT.

I could very easily buy the first of these. CT didn't look bad from what we saw of it if you take SM64 to be a beast (which should be obvious). It's probably not the same game it was in 2004, but I'd still have a hard time thinking it would lose to SMW or SMB3. Then again, SMW/SMB3 >= LttP isn't too unrealistic - both of them have looked scary this contest.

In any case, all three of them should be very close.
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http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/3/2009 2:29:20 PM | message detail
By the way, GoldenEye's round 2 performance seems to imply that it's not that far behind Mario 64 and CT. Acceptable?
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
charmander6000 | Posted 6/3/2009 2:37:04 PM | message detail
I think SM64 was held back by GE and LttP, but it should still get about 45%
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > LoZ: LttP Points: 291/416
Zylo the wolf | Posted 6/3/2009 2:40:20 PM | message detail
Just for fun, how many votes do Super Mario 64 need to cut per update to win?
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. FastFalcon05 > Me
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/3/2009 2:41:27 PM | message detail
9.36 votes per update to tie, if I'm doing the math correctly.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
xp1337 | Posted 6/3/2009 2:43:22 PM | message detail
Yeah, I'm also getting 9.36 votes per update to tie, 9.37 votes per update to win.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
charmander6000 | Posted 6/3/2009 2:44:49 PM | message detail
More updates like that please.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > LoZ: LttP Points: 291/416
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 6/3/2009 2:45:18 PM | message detail
Keep with that update Mario!

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 6/3/2009 2:46:47 PM | message detail
Whoa, new massive spike for Mario. Probably won't matter, in the end, but at least he's finally passed the 700 barrier.
hochiminhX | Posted 6/3/2009 2:48:05 PM | message detail
What does OoT need tomorrow to match FFVII


Considering OoT has a significantly weaker 4 pack tomorrow, at least 44%. I doubt it gets 40% though.


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I will bury you.
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 6/3/2009 2:48:10 PM | message detail
SMB3 and SMW are equal.

I say SM64 is equal to vote. If SM64 manages to pull the upset, I wouldn't be surprised to see all three Mario games even and fighting for second.

Such a match would be awesome for me to watch as a Mario fanboy, a Nintendo fan, a contest observer, and a human being
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Wylvane's current main account.
charmander6000 | Posted 6/3/2009 2:49:13 PM | message detail
SMB3 and SMW are equal.

I say SM64 is equal to vote. If SM64 manages to pull the upset, I wouldn't be surprised to see all three Mario games even and fighting for second.

Such a match would be awesome for me to watch as a Mario fanboy, a Nintendo fan, a contest observer, and a human being


I know, too bad FFVII will have over 50% of the vote.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > LoZ: LttP Points: 291/416
charmander6000 | Posted 6/3/2009 2:49:39 PM | message detail
Just die Zelda.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > LoZ: LttP Points: 291/416
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 6/3/2009 2:50:22 PM | message detail
Complete stall <.<

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 6/3/2009 2:51:02 PM | message detail
At this point, does anyone but the people who are still voting for LttP want it to win? Most people here seem to want SM64 to advance, for good reason.