GameFAQs Contests

But LTTP/SM64/CT/SMB3/SMW/RBY are probably all really close.....less than 55-45 from top to bottom probably, and maybe closer.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

FFVII isn't gaining as much right now.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Funny thing is I got the same number of points for my FFIV > SMB3 prediction as Ulti did with his.

Ulti, we have equal bragging rights as far as point values are concerned, ha!
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

But LTTP/SM64/CT/SMB3/SMW/RBY are probably all really close

Get that RBY out of here unless you want to add FFX and maybe MGS to that list.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > LoZ: LttP Points: 291/416

Why? RBY probably beats MGS/FFX with like 54-55% 1v1.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

From: red sox 777 | #401
But LTTP/SM64/CT/SMB3/SMW/RBY are probably all really close.....less than 55-45 from top to bottom probably, and maybe closer.

True, but man, if we just got some reliable evidence that LttP could take Melee, we could peg that in there as the #3. I doubt Pokemon is quite at Melee's level against neutral competition, and it would probably be weakened if we reverted to 1v1 for whatever that's worth (probably nothing since we're never going back).
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

RBY probably beats MGS/FFX with like 54-55% 1v1.

That's just guessing. We'll never know what RBY will actually get on MGS or FFX. MGS might have won last round if it was three Nintendo options and MGS, just like FFX might do it tomorrow.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

From: PartOfYourWorld | Posted: 6/3/2009 12:52:36 AM | #403
Funny thing is I got the same number of points for my FFIV > SMB3 prediction as Ulti did with his.

Ulti, we have equal bragging rights as far as point values are concerned, ha!

Yeah isn't that stupid? Why equal weight is given for right game, wrong spot or only getting second place right is beyond me.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

Yeah, that's why divisions by eras suck. The only comparisons we get across eras are through FFVII, OOT, and bandwagons. Melee's looked pretty underwhelming this year though.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Mario 64 is dying now. Man, what a frontloaded game.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Hmm...

What does RBY vs. MGS based on their respective scores against Majora's Mask give you?

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

RBY with like 53%.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Mario 3 was up by like 500 votes at this time last match. This is not over yet.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147

The difference is that Mario is the one coming from behind this time! For some reason, I doubt it's going to beat Zelda's day vote after yesterday!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Actually, it's closer to 54% for RBY. 53.94% to be precise.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

No, this isn't over yet. Mario 64 is very different from Mario 3. Unlike yesterday, the Mario game is the one that draws on the younger fanbase today. Let's set a target for LTTP of.....600 votes by 6 AM. I think Mario can come back from that.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Can't let LTTP get too many more of those updates though.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

yeah, Mario 64 sucks ass overnight. this match is over since we'll see LTTP up by a good 1500 votes come morning.

not a bad show by Mario 64 though.
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xyzzy

Hey, our most votes during the Power Hour since the Battletoads match!

Which basically means it's the most votes in the first hour legitimately in the contest.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Mario 3 just simply does not have the day vote that Mario World or 64 has. Neither does LttP. Actually, all of the strongest games in the 2004 (FF7, CT, SMB3, LttP, FF6, FFX, Starcraft) have not looked particularly impressive during the day, except for OoT and SSBM.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147

As for RBY, if it advances again we can start talking about Top 5 status (and by extension, MGS in the Top 10). Until then, I'm pretty comfortable with it in the 7-10 range.

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600 is probably too conservative actually, I think Mario can do like 800.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Yesterday's chart:

Time | Mario 1 | Zelda 1 | Mario 3 | Mario World | Demographic
EBV | 11.60% | 25.90% | 29.67% | 32.83% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 10.44% | 26.00% | 31.90% | 31.66% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 11.12% | 26.73% | 30.33% | 31.81% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 12.06% | 28.99% | 28.24% | 30.71% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 10.77% | 28.88% | 29.12% | 31.23% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 11.25% | 30.87% | 27.42% | 30.45% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 10.42% | 30.69% | 29.50% | 29.39% | (22:00-24:00)

I think we can let the numbers speak for themselves.

Yesterday's stats:

Super Mario World – 50.00%
Super Mario Bros. 3 – 48.36%
The Legend of Zelda – 48.33%
Super Mario Bros. – 26.33%


First Quarter Stats

Super Mario World – 51.64%
Super Mario Bros. 3 – 50.00%
Super Mario Bros. – 49.53%
Super Mario World (Round 3) – 49.52%
Super Mario Bros. 3 (Round 4) – 48.36%
The Legend of Zelda – 48.33%
Final Fantasy I – 44.11%
Final Fantasy IV – 38.57%
Sonic the Hedgehog – 31.69%
Mega Man 3 – 31.68%
Tetris – 30.06%
Street Fighter II – 28.19%
Mega Man 2 – 27.22%
Battletoads – 23.00%
Metroid – 20.91%
The Oregon Trail – 20.52%
Pac-Man – 17.39%
Pong – 17.35%
Donkey Kong – 16.23%
Contra – 15.40%
Punch-Out!! – 15.03%
Ninja Gaiden – 15.00%
Duck Hunt – 12.95%
River City Ransom– 12.78%
Civilization – 12.07%
The Secret of Monkey Island – 11.37%
Castlevania III – 11.23%
SimCity – 10.46%
Dragon Warrior III – 9.66%
Space Invaders – 8.36%
Galaga – 8.08%
Prince of Persia – 7.25%
Tecmo Super Bowl – 6.83%
Crystalis – 5.65%

Heh, these stats are just jacked up. I don't know what to do with 'em. Oh well, not like they're really worth anything anyway.

First Quarter Raw Stats

Super Mario World – 50.00%
Super Mario Bros. 3 – 48.36%
The Legend of Zelda – 48.33%
Final Fantasy IV – 37.30%
Sonic the Hedgehog – 29.73%
Street Fighter II – 28.80%
Super Mario Bros. – 26.33%
Battletoads – 23.22%
Final Fantasy – 19.12%
Contra – 16.60%
Tetris – 15.92%
Mega Man 2 – 14.47%
Mega Man 3 – 14.47%
The Secret of Monkey Island – 13.78%
River City Ransom – 12.36%
Civilization – 11.33%
The Oregon Trail – 11.03%
Castlevania III – 10.54%
Dragon Warrior III – 10.41%
SimCity – 10.12%
Pong – 9.32%
Pac-Man – 9.21%
Metroid – 8.86%
Punch-Out!! – 7.96%
Donkey Kong – 7.62%
Prince of Persia – 7.32%
Duck Hunt – 6.88%
Tecmo Super Bowl – 6.61%
Ninja Gaiden – 6.28%
Crystalis – 5.46%
Space Invaders – 4.43%
Galaga – 4.30%

Man, SMB winning the first division means a lot of games under 10% raw value.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Is anyone else expecting a relatively easy-ish victory for FFX tomorrow? Bandwagons or not, considering that all three of its opponents are potential Top 5, it's in the most advantageous position it could ask for. I also think Pokemon and Smash are going to hurt each other more than most people are predicting. The games are only about three years apart and are favorites among younger Nintendo fans (especially when considering both are from relatively new Nintendo series outside the traditional big three). I'm expecting definite overlap there, and with Ocarina in the mix and FFX packing some legit natural strength (last round showed me it can still put up a very respectable performance against Melee 1v1), I'll be pretty surprised if it's anything other than Ocarina > FFX.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

I'll be sad if Pokemon eliminates yet another favorite game of mine.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

And I'm here to argue that the chances of that happening are not very high!
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

I agree with you, but if this format has taught me anything, it's that you never count Pokemon out of it!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

If FFX does not advance tomorrow, it officially sucks, should be dropped from the Top 15, and put in whatever tier FF6 is in now.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147

It could happen, but I'm rather expecting Melee to get killed. The hype is gone, and it's in a very bad place to be- 3rd on an SFF ladder (which isn't to say that it couldn't beat Pokemon 1v1, but Ocarina makes a big difference), probably in last place in the match. RBY probably needs some bandwagoning to beat FFX in spite of that.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

I think Pokemon is going to overlap way, way less than people are expecting...but it probably only beats FFX by like 52% 1 on 1 anyway, so any nudge in a general direction probably kills it.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

So how badly does FFX need to beat RBY before we think FFX beats it one-on-one? Or does it matter how badly?
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

And honestly, I'm not seeing where this bandwagon thing is coming from. Nothing RBY has done has really been conducive to that.


So how badly does FFX need to beat RBY before we think FFX beats it one-on-one? Or does it matter how badly?

We'll see when the match comes, but there's a lot of factors to consider when looking at the match.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

I'm still trying to come up with a single instance of company SFF/LFF. the closest I can come up with is Wind Waker.
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xyzzy

Which is why RBY still has a shot. Honestly, I'm expecting it to overlap almost as much with FFX as the other two games. At least they're both RPGs.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

Going to go to bed, may as well do a projection first. I'm well aware this is not a very good projection, but assuming CT and FFVI drop off the same amount from here on, CT's Europe suckiness being compensated by FFVI's day vote, using R2 for SM64 to avoid the problem of its ridiculous early vote in R3......

Current Projection: Super Mario 64 wins with 50.30%.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

I was with you with Zelda coming back on Mario, but I can't get behind that one. LTTP should have this by at least a thousand votes.

we'll see who's right!
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xyzzy

nah, lttp has got this.
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Check out my Guru bracket: http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=60
GURU STATUS: Eliminated

whos ready for some pokeymans
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

Eh, LTTP probably wins this, but I feel decently good about SM64 keeping it under 1000 by the end.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

LOL. If the Zelda fans push LTTP over the edge today, the pretty much just committed suicide in the finals.
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I will bury you.

Three short comments:

- wow, what a fight last match. who would've thought SMB3 would have come within a razor thin margin of being eliminated in the quarters?
- this match suddenly makes Chrono Trigger look a heckuva lot better if SM64 keeps it respectable. contrary to my pre-contest impressions, it's making a case for being the strongest of all the Marios
- can't see FFX dropping the ball here against RBY. I'd love for MGS to be stronger than it, but that's very far-fetched - and MGS would have won in the position that FFX is in
- I said MGS4 would be a foregone conclusion for this round to advance unless it just bombed last match - and it did just that. Not sure if it even beats RE4 now, though that's counterintuitive to my impressions. Still has a chance to advance, but not a lock at all
- LttP and FFX seem like virtual locks for the finals now - the "best case" scenario for OoT is unfolding, but FF7 is not giving an inch on impressing in these late stages of the contest. OoT needs a mammoth performance this round to prove to me that it's stronger than FF7 1v1 - though FF7 not exactly killing FF6 here does give some hope. Quite possible that FF6 looks better than FFX though once FF7 gets challenged...
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turnturnturn your brain in
http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg

three for five comments what a bargain
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turnturnturn your brain in
http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg

three for five comments what a bargain

Someone needs to learn their counting. Go back to kindergarten! :)
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Looking at the SMB3 match again, that 50+ vote swing was out of nowhere. No buildup, no momentum, nothing. That wasn't really even like a Frog/Chrono Trigger rally, it was just an utter outlier. Clear fishiness of the highest order! I call shenanigans!

:( Match would've been more exciting at the end if not for that probably, because after that the match was done 15 minutes premature it seems. It should've rightly come down to the very last update. The match, and us, deserved that.

Hmm. Even easily the best match of the best gets tainted a bit, blargh
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gamefaqscontests.com
gamefaqscontests.com/gallery

FFVII is going to outdo what OoT did last round with the 3rd and 4th strongest game in the poll plus a top 15 game as well. OoT just had a bunch of scrubs.

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I will bury you.

XD

The end of that Mario match was AMAZING. 50 vote spike out of nowhere gotta love it. Mario is a cheating bastard. ... now to see how this match looks!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

Well, this match is going exactly as I expected it right now... my AC prediction is basically spot on. Of course, FF7 will rise a ton so that's not exactly going to hold up.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

Not sure if it even beats RE4 now, though that's counterintuitive to my impressions.

Well, unless MGS3 > MGS4, I think it'll beat RE4. Twilight Princess is the one it needs to be careful of this round, I think. Brawl > TP is still a realistic scenario, I think.

I'm still trying to come up with a single instance of company SFF/LFF. the closest I can come up with is Wind Waker.

FFX/KH seems pretty obvious to me. Depending on where Mario 64 finishes on FFVII, we could argue Mario 64/GoldenEye. GoldenEye/Mario Kart 64 seems like one, too. It's pretty obvious that LTTP's division had a ton of Nintendo LFF in it, too. Oh, and Brawl/Galaxy, obviously. But the thing is that it's going to be difficult to tell where SFF was and where it wasn't in this contest.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

My goodness, the Final Fantasies are already combining for 53% of the vote, and they should rise a fair bit higher before morning. I had them at 50%, figuring that the last two FF/FF matches (with 1, 4, 8, and 9) made the pairs look ugly, but this is the first one combining reps from each era, so maybe the appeal is broader. Who knows.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

FFVI is probably the game that resists LFF from FFVII the best, honestly, probably for that very reason. I think FFVII will beat FFX down way worse than this.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."