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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 739

paulg235 | Posted 6/2/2009 7:32:56 PM | message detail
New Zelda Wii Vs Super Mario Glaxy 2 & New Super Mario Bros Wii
The stage is set. Who will win?

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. The earliest example we have of this is Arthas/Diablo leeching each other half to death and letting KOS-MOS sneak into second place back in 2007. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days.

Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no expected chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength dictates. A lot of these entrants are naturally weak, but a lot of things come along that make little to no sense. A great example is Zero -- he scored 47% on Crono and won several updates, then one round later he gets disproportionally blown out once Link enters the picture. This factor also works in reverse, when an obvious first place game does worse than expected thanks to smart voters helping a game come in second place. The final of 2008 is a good example of this, where Snake stayed even with Link until the day vote and ultimately defeated Cloud. (Credit to red sox 777 and Leonhart4 for the examples)

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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The Gamer In Me
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=158
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/2/2009 7:49:58 PM | message detail
New Zelda Wii Vs Super Mario Glaxy 2 & New Super Mario Bros Wii

IN SUCH A RUSH YOU CAN'T SPELL AW ****
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/2/2009 7:52:35 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy VII set to dominate now that it's on the PSN!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
paulg235 | Posted 6/2/2009 7:52:45 PM | message detail
Glaxy > Galaxy

Galaxy chocolate bars > Super Mario Galaxy
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The Gamer In Me
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=158
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/2/2009 7:53:17 PM | message detail
Never heard of that candy
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
Mannequin Depressive | Posted 6/2/2009 7:53:57 PM | message detail
too bad, they're gr8

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-_-...-_-
...-_-... Bera:12x Ice/Lit Mage
Silver Shadow X | Posted 6/2/2009 7:55:25 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
paulg235 | Posted 6/2/2009 7:57:57 PM | message detail
Never heard of that candy

It's one of the best chocolates in the UK.

http://www.sweetstall.com/acatalog/Galaxy-Bar.jpg
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The Gamer In Me
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=158
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/2/2009 8:40:06 PM | message detail
SLOBBERKNOCKER

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
Master Moltar | Posted 6/2/2009 8:41:50 PM | message detail
hey guys what's going on

...

holy crap when did this get so close
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 57 - Bracket: SMB3 > SMW - Vote: SMW (279/384)
BrettEagles | Posted 6/2/2009 8:41:59 PM | message detail
Craziness!
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http://www.backloggery.com/bretteagles
http://backloggery.com/bretteagles/sig.gif
RockMFR 5 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:42:06 PM | message detail
We're filling up a lot of these today.
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/2/2009 8:42:12 PM | message detail
Master loltar

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
red sox 777 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:42:13 PM | message detail
Frog he come to town!
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
Gnomestone | Posted 6/2/2009 8:42:15 PM | message detail
OMG! Zelda with a 2 vote lead!!! THIS IS A REAL NAIL BITER!
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Text.
Krodis | Posted 6/2/2009 8:42:18 PM | message detail
2 vote lead for Zelda.
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Gamertag: Krodis
Go Tar Heels/Scarlet Knights, Panthers, Diamondbacks, Thunder, Penguins! (Mish-mash of teams!)
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/2/2009 8:42:30 PM | message detail
http://www.darkknightandjoekerr.com/AndHereWeGo.gif
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
The Real Truth | Posted 6/2/2009 8:42:38 PM | message detail
bad contest
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
PegasusLover123 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:42:50 PM | message detail
What a fierce final hour this is!

Only 2 votes separate SMB3 and Zelda!

Tightest match of this contest?
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"If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh." -Magus
MetricTrout | Posted 6/2/2009 8:43:16 PM | message detail
I knew I should not have voted for World.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147
Meeks54 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:43:19 PM | message detail

From: PegasusLover123 | #019
What a fierce final hour this is!

Only 2 votes separate SMB3 and Zelda!

Tightest match of this contest?




Tightest match of the EVER
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DO YOU REALIZE THAT JACK BAUER JUST KILLED 3 MEN WHILE HANDCUFFED, BAREHANDED, DISEASED, DRUGGED AFTER HAVING A NEEDLE STUCK IN HIS NECK???
Gnomestone | Posted 6/2/2009 8:43:21 PM | message detail
Wow I hope this ends in a 1 vote win
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Text.
paulg235 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:43:25 PM | message detail
STOP POSTING THAT JOKER GIF!
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The Gamer In Me
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=158
shadow8021 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:43:42 PM | message detail
Take the lead next update!!!
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2008 Hickory Cross Country
Becoming One
Master Moltar | Posted 6/2/2009 8:43:45 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #013
Master loltar


hey it's been a busy day!
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 57 - Bracket: SMB3 > SMW - Vote: SMW (279/384)
red sox 777 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:43:54 PM | message detail
Link: I have the Triforce, Mario, it's over!

Mario: .......I AM FREAKING FROG!!
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
Silver_Ermine | Posted 6/2/2009 8:44:07 PM | message detail
I HAVEN'T VOTED YET!

omgomgomg

who should I vote for?
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Animals Forever! Otters, Red Pandas, Pine Martens and Ermines are where its at =D
Red Pandas have wet mouths and soft tongues. It's a good thing ^_^
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/2/2009 8:44:19 PM | message detail
Vote for Mario 1.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Yesmar | Posted 6/2/2009 8:44:19 PM | message detail
Hopefully my last minute Facebook status update rally for LoZ will work!!!
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/2/2009 8:44:38 PM | message detail
who should I vote for?

Super Mario Bros. 3
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 6/2/2009 8:44:48 PM | message detail
Hahahaha I love this match
Master Moltar | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:09 PM | message detail
also time to rally SMW back over 31%
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 57 - Bracket: SMB3 > SMW - Vote: SMW (279/384)
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:27 PM | message detail
Watch FFVII board vote becomes even more of a failure due to voters from Zelda and Mario sticking around.

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
RockMFR 5 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:34 PM | message detail
WHAT THE ****
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:37 PM | message detail
SHENANIGANS
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:42 PM | message detail
HAHAHAHA

what
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:43 PM | message detail
Hopefully my last minute Facebook status update rally for LoZ will work!!!

Unless you have a lot of friends on Facebook, I don't see this working. Plus, many of them probably aren't even online right now.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
Master Moltar | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:47 PM | message detail
LEGITIMATE UPDATE ALERT
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 57 - Bracket: SMB3 > SMW - Vote: SMW (279/384)
paulg235 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:48 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yblUDD2INjQ
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The Gamer In Me
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=158
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:50 PM | message detail
well crap
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
shadow8021 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:51 PM | message detail
WHOAMG SPIKE!!!
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2008 Hickory Cross Country
Becoming One
charmander6000 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:51 PM | message detail
Good old Mario.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ > SMB3 Points: 275/384
MetricTrout | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:52 PM | message detail
Woohoo, vote stuffing for the win!
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147
transience | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:52 PM | message detail
uhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
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xyzzy
tennisboy213 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:56 PM | message detail
yessssssssssssssssss
RPGuy96 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:57 PM | message detail
It's goddamn Mario 3!
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
xp1337 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:59 PM | message detail
Oh boy! Let the speculation begin!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:59 PM | message detail
Tag

And hot damn, this is TIGHT!
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
red sox 777 | Posted 6/2/2009 8:45:59 PM | message detail
WHAT WAS THAT MARIO?!?
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 6/2/2009 8:46:00 PM | message detail
soooo legit
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Today's prediction: This guy are sick 37.09% - Link to the Past 25.90% - Mario 22.02% - Mog 14.99%
Status: