GameFAQs Contests

And now Zelda gets its first cut on SMW. See? The stats topic has to call at least one match in the first 10 minutes every year, and get it wrong. May as well be today!
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Yesterday's chart:

Time | SSBB | CoD4 | MGS4 | Fallout 3 | Demographic
EBV | 39.85% | 14.10% | 29.50% | 16.55% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 37.01% | 16.17% | 28.76% | 18.06% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 34.56% | 16.29% | 29.46% | 20.11% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 35.81% | 15.21% | 27.98% | 21.00% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 36.19% | 16.21% | 26.72% | 20.88% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 38.58% | 17.28% | 23.93% | 20.21% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 36.03% | 17.96% | 25.53% | 20.48% | (22:00-24:00)

Excellent board vote and Power Hour for Brawl, as expected. Dropped off at night and gradually rose for the rest of the match, climaxing in a good ASV, as expected. MGS4 with a good night but gradually dropped off for the rest of the match, including nearly a 3% drop during the ASV, ouch. Fallout 3 has an awful board vote and Power Hour as expected, but it's pretty stable from there on out. CoD4 also has an awful board vote and a bad morning vote, but it has a good ASV and second night vote here.

Yesterday's stats:

Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 50.00%
Metal Gear Solid 4 – 42.03%
Fallout 3 – 35.58%
Call of Duty 4 – 31.00%

Division Stats

Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 50.00%
Metal Gear Solid 4 – 42.03%
Call of Duty 4 (Round 2) – 38.24%
Fallout 3 (Round 3) – 35.58%
Fallout 3 (Round 2) – 35.13%
Grand Theft Auto IV (Round 1) – 35.76%
Super Mario Galaxy (Round 1) – 33.88%
Call of Duty 4 (Round 3) – 31.00%
Portal (Round 2) – 30.99%
Portal (Round 1) – 30.72%
Grand Theft Auto IV (Round 2) – 30.44%
Pokemon Diamond/Pearl – 30.23%
BioShock – 29.61%
Halo 3 (Round 1) – 29.34%
Halo 3 (Round 2) – 28.59%
Super Mario Galaxy (Round 2) – 27.48%
Left 4 Dead – 24.74%
Street Fighter IV – 22.14%
Persona 4 – 22.13%
Mass Effect – 20.01%
Team Fortress 2 – 19.60%
LittleBigPlanet – 17.68%
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Zelda has already gained .5% since the Power Hour ended. I guess it gets to be the night game today, which means it probably gets wiped during the day.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Zelda will improve with every period through the ASV- calling it now.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Man, you've always got to push your agenda, don't you!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Zelda has no chance, and it a moronic pick to think it could get through two of this site's three biggest Mario games in the same poll.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

Yeah, because everyone knew that Mario 3 and Mario World could split evenly and still win!

Gimme a break, Ulti.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Honestly, the only time period I'm really concerned about for that prediction is the DSV- not sure if Zelda can improve on the BSV there. But other Zelda games have a tendency of improving through the DSV, and Mario has a great morning vote, so Zelda can probably do better in the DSV than the BSV.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Zelda will be lucky to win a single block over either game, let alone make a massive comeback
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

This is E3. Zelda is going to attack their weak points for massive damage.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

I might get looked at crazy for this, but I'd like to see a wiki page for Leonhart's grades. And speaking of which...Have you done any grades lately, Leon?
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 6/2/2009 1:30:57 AM | #157
Yeah, because everyone knew that Mario 3 and Mario World could split evenly and still win!

Gimme a break, Ulti.

I knew pre-contest, and have laughed at FF4 and Zelda people from day one. This isn't me going haha for kicks, I've always thought it was dumb as hell.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

hochi will totally back me up on this
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

I had Mario 3 > Mario World last round, but if someone told me that Mario 3 and Mario World were going to split 50/50, I would've believed that one of them got eliminated.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

If the only Zelda game shown tomorrow is Spirit Tracks, does that help or hurt LOZ?
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0

My best guess is that Zelda does take first in the ASV, but that's the only period it does. Probably finishes around 49% on the Mario games. Victory is not impossible though, not at all.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Zelda has 45.5% on World right now. It's not getting 49%.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

From: RockMFR 5 | #165
If the only Zelda game shown tomorrow is Spirit Tracks, does that help or hurt LOZ?

I'd be too busy calling for Nintendo's collective head to care, really.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

From: LeonhartFour | #164
I had Mario 3 > Mario World last round, but if someone told me that Mario 3 and Mario World were going to split 50/50, I would've believed that one of them got eliminated.

Buh? That makes no sense. The best possible situation for both of them to rank would be an even split. An uneven split increases the odds of one of them being eliminated
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

The idea of a 50/50 split in theory means that one game finished first over them both due to the even split and thus one game got eliminated.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

The only possible way Zelda has a chance to advance now is if theres a bombshell at e3 like a new Zelda announced, and all the Zelda fans come here to talk about it
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

The original Legend of Zelda being remade for the Wii! Yeah, that would do it!

Just hang tight for like 12 more hours Zelda, when your remake is announced you'll be poised to strike!

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238/384 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Super Mario Bros. 3 > Tetris | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4

We're actually going to get full 3-D remakes of Mario 1, Lost Levels, and Mario 3, so Mario 3 and World will take the ASV to win by 1000000000 votes over Zelda, which will finish a distant 3th.
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http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif

Looks like Mario 3's the one struggling with the night vote this time.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Zelda 1 is dead. No comeback.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

From: LeonhartFour | #170
The idea of a 50/50 split in theory means that one game finished first over them both due to the even split and thus one game got eliminated.

True, but a 50-50 split is still the optimum situation for both to advance, so if you have them both advancing that can only be a good thing)
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Ok ok, what if a deranged fan cosplaying as Mario tries to assault Miyamoto tomorrow, and another fan cosplaying as Link saves him at the last moment? Does Zelda turn 5,000 votes?
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

From: LeonhartFour | #174
Looks like Mario 3's the one struggling with the night vote this time.

If its struggling now, its gonna look even worse once we get into Europe which is when it really died last time
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

If Mario did that as Miyamoto revealed Wii Fit 2, then a Mario game is winning the entire contest, and Ocarina of Time is getting eliminated this round.
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http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif

http://www.textually.org/tv/archives/images/set3/mario-ron-jeremy.jpg
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

If the only Zelda game shown tomorrow is Spirit Tracks, does that help or hurt LOZ?

Probably won't do much for LoZ. A new Zelda game being announced for a console (like the Wii) would help out LoZ much more than a handheld Zelda game being announced (like Spirit Tracks).
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

Looks like World has this. 3 was ahead by 288 votes at this time last match. World is up by 77 votes right now.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147

Comparisons time!

1:45 Last Round: SMB3 up by 288
1:45 This Round: SMW up by 77
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

Mario 3 is just dying here.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

damn you trout boy
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

World looks like the favorite for first.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

At the same update. That was freaky.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

SMB3 just has to hope the trends are different this round. If last round's trends hold, World is headed for a pretty comfortable victory.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Between 3 AM to 7 AM, Super Mario World cut about 240 votes from SMB3. That should be the toughest time for SMB3 here, so if it can hold on and not be down THAT much after that, it might still come back
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

If SMB3 is going to start picking up soon, it just hasn't happened yet since the second hour is more of hybrid Power Hour/night vote period.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

To be honest, I doubt there really are any noticeable trends between the two games. SMB3 and SMW is about the biggest SFF match you could possibly set up, so their individual trends should be more or less identical. Which means that cuts and gains are pretty much just random variation.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147

Personally, I'm glad that we'll be getting a different winner this time. The fact that SM/SMK and CT/SM64 went exactly the same for 2 rounds is somewhat of a sham.

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I will bury you.

Yeah, that's why asking SMB3 to win the day vote over SMW is asking a lot of it.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

From: MetricTrout | #192
To be honest, I doubt there really are any noticeable trends between the two games. SMB3 and SMW is about the biggest SFF match you could possibly set up, so their individual trends should be more or less identical. Which means that cuts and gains are pretty much just random variation.

First couple rounds though, SMB3 is by far strongest in America, and dies in Europe. I don't think that is just random variation, so it should be expected this time as well
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

SMB3 and SMW is about the biggest SFF match you could possibly set up, so their individual trends should be more or less identical. Which means that cuts and gains are pretty much just random variation.

I think trends are caused by whatever part of the world has the most control over the voting in a specific time period. Asia has control over the night vote, which is why you see beastly Final Fantasy performances at night. Between SMB3 and SMW, whichever one is best at night will be caused by what part of the world controls this time period and which game they prefer over the other. Zelda does worse than Mario in Asia, so it should be Zelda that should drop with the night vote.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

Zelda 1 by the hour against SMB3:

1:00 | 44.91%
2:00 | 47.23%

Zelda 1 by the hour against SMW:

1:00 | 45.09%
2:00 | 45.89%

SMB3 by the hour against SMW:

1:00 | 50.19%
2:00 | 48.65%
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

The reason Zelda does so poorly during the 3-7 AM block and FF does so well has less to do with Asians or Europeans voting and more to with most Americans and Canadians being asleep. Therefore, it is unfair to designate that block as a "European vote" or an "Asian vote", since Europeans and Asians vote 24 hours a day as well.

Doing some calculations, it looks like SMW won the rest of the world by 53.4%. So there may be trends, but they would be minimal at best.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147

From: MetricTrout | #198
The reason Zelda does so poorly during the 3-7 AM block and FF does so well has less to do with Asians or Europeans voting and more to with most Americans and Canadians being asleep. Therefore, it is unfair to designate that block as a "European vote" or an "Asian vote", since Europeans and Asians vote 24 hours a day as well.

Doing some calculations, it looks like SMW won the rest of the world by 53.4%. So there may be trends, but they would be minimal at best.

Those are times that Europe and Asia play a bigger role in votes since Americans are asleep though.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

From: MetricTrout | #198
it looks like SMW won the rest of the world by 53.4%

First the world, tomorrow, the universe!
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.