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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 737

charmander6000 | Posted 6/2/2009 2:47:14 PM | message detail
LoZ still has a chance, but the favourite right now should be SMB3.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ > SMB3 Points: 275/384
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/2/2009 2:49:57 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/2/2009 2:51:38 PM | message detail
14:29 - 14:45: Zelda Up 25
14:45 - 15:00: Zelda Up 14
15:00 - 15:15: Zelda Up 91
15:15 - 15:30: Zelda Up 31
15:30 - 15:45: Zelda Up 49
15:45 - 16:00: Zelda Up 85
16:00 - 16:15: Zelda Up 46
16:15 - 16:30: Zelda Up 56
16:30 - 16:45: Zelda Up 47
16:45 - 17:00: Zelda Up 37
17:00 - 17:15: Zelda Up 47
17:15 - 17:30: Zelda Up 36
17:30 - 17:45: Zelda Up 37
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/2/2009 2:55:00 PM | message detail
Mario 3 is pulling a DK with these occasional stalls that could eventually prevent Zelda from winning.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
RPGuy96 | Posted 6/2/2009 2:55:08 PM | message detail
2nd Comeback
Votes needed (5m): 10.68

Based on last half hour:
Votes received: 10
Lead change at: 00:25

Based on last hour:
Votes received: 12
Lead change at: 23:18

Looks to be tight on this new, slower Zelda 1 pace.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/2/2009 2:57:34 PM | message detail
Zelda needs to hurry the hell up if it wants to win here
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 6/2/2009 2:59:15 PM | message detail
I'm thinking Mario 3 is the favorite. It did very well with the SNV last round.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
HaRRicH | Posted 6/2/2009 3:02:58 PM | message detail
SMB3 effectively stopped LoZ those past fifteen minutes. Only a gain of five votes? That's not a comeback!
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BT > Harrich
lol me
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/2/2009 3:04:51 PM | message detail
14:29 - 14:45: Zelda Up 25
14:45 - 15:00: Zelda Up 14
15:00 - 15:15: Zelda Up 91
15:15 - 15:30: Zelda Up 31
15:30 - 15:45: Zelda Up 49
15:45 - 16:00: Zelda Up 85
16:00 - 16:15: Zelda Up 46
16:15 - 16:30: Zelda Up 56
16:30 - 16:45: Zelda Up 47
16:45 - 17:00: Zelda Up 37
17:00 - 17:15: Zelda Up 47
17:15 - 17:30: Zelda Up 36
17:30 - 17:45: Zelda Up 37
17:45 - 18:00: Zelda Down 7

Uh oh
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/2/2009 3:05:05 PM | message detail
and another 1 cut. Yeah, I think LoZ is done
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 6/2/2009 3:05:22 PM | message detail
West Coast ASV coming up for Zelda: it's do or die time now.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
psychward | Posted 6/2/2009 3:06:57 PM | message detail
800 votes in 6 hours....call it.
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Wall to Kentucky. Sig changed (:
hochiminhX | Posted 6/2/2009 3:07:12 PM | message detail
Zelda 1 is finished


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I will bury you.
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/2/2009 3:07:20 PM | message detail
Well that was fun while it lasted.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
red sox 777 | Posted 6/2/2009 3:10:25 PM | message detail
I think I want to see SM64 beat LTTP tomorrow. I like LTTP more, but I want CT to look good (of course), and I'd rather see the 3 Mario games battle it out for strongest Mario game than see LTTP roll over them in a completely uninteresting semifinal. Voting for FFVII though.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/2/2009 3:10:31 PM | message detail
Wait! There's could still be a shift in the Canadian ASV!

Canadians love ZELDA, right?

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 6/2/2009 3:10:45 PM | message detail
and right when we all are doom and gloom for loz ... !
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/2/2009 3:10:48 PM | message detail
Back to 30 vote cuts.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
red sox 777 | Posted 6/2/2009 3:11:17 PM | message detail
More like the West Coast ASV! Which Zelda just cut 31 votes with!
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
Xialoh | Posted 6/2/2009 3:12:42 PM | message detail
wow, mario is divided against itself with 3 of its games and Zelda is still losing >.>? Sigh.
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Xialon, 80 Blood Elf Priest , Twisting Nether
Xialoh, 80 Blood Elf Rogue, Twisting Nether
red sox 777 | Posted 6/2/2009 3:14:04 PM | message detail
We should have listened to Hochi all along. Zelda has clearly fallen off the edge of a cliff. LTTP loses tomorrow, and OOT ends up in third place in the final.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/2/2009 3:14:44 PM | message detail
And more of the same.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/2/2009 3:15:16 PM | message detail
The final? You're thinking too conservatively.

RBY/Melee/FFX>OoT, let's do this

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
Xialoh | Posted 6/2/2009 3:16:14 PM | message detail
I think OOT will definitely make it to the final, at least..
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Xialon, 80 Blood Elf Priest , Twisting Nether
Xialoh, 80 Blood Elf Rogue, Twisting Nether
hochiminhX | Posted 6/2/2009 3:17:30 PM | message detail
After last rounds debacle, OoT might already be eliminated.

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I will bury you.
red sox 777 | Posted 6/2/2009 3:18:04 PM | message detail
Actually, neither of the things I said are impossible, or even all that unlikely. I've always thought the second strongest game had a less than 50% chance of placing in the final- the second strongest character has failed to do so both of the past two years.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
HaRRicH | Posted 6/2/2009 3:18:54 PM | message detail
On the plus side, I now get half-points instead of quarter-points with LoZ > SMB3 in my bracket...and we're one (pretty big) step away from an incredible Mario-battle, too. The only downside is that LoZ:LttP will definitely be in the championship if it advances tomorrow, which would likely cripple LoZ:OoT the most.
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BT > Harrich
lol me
HaRRicH | Posted 6/2/2009 3:22:22 PM | message detail
L-Block led Solid Snake in the last forty-eight hours of the contest when it didn't deserve to, so it was only fair for Solid to be rewarded with a similar favor last year...

...Cloud > Link twice confirmed. Don't even ask what happens next year for Link.
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BT > Harrich
lol me
red sox 777 | Posted 6/2/2009 3:29:11 PM | message detail
Actually, you know, Cloud > Link really wasn't impossible last year. Cloud beat Snake worse in round 4 than Link beat him in the final, suggesting that had people rallied around Cloud instead of Snake, Cloud would have actually beaten Link. Without that, I think it's pretty realistic for Cloud to break 48% on Link in a fair match (no Snake, no Crono, no bandwagoning) and 50% isn't completely impossible.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/2/2009 3:29:51 PM | message detail
Zelda cutting around 30-40 votes per 15 minutes, it seems.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/2/2009 3:32:54 PM | message detail
I'm not sure how I feel about Zelda's position. Those 30 vote cuts are great, those 15 vote losses...aren't.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
red sox 777 | Posted 6/2/2009 3:35:09 PM | message detail
Well, we're 2/3 of the way through the ASV proper, and Zelda has not yet cut off half of what Mario's lead was at 3. Zelda will keep cutting after 8 PM, but it'll be at a slower rate, so I think Mario looks good here, especially as it has the clutch factor on its side.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/2/2009 3:36:26 PM | message detail
Actually it did cut it in half. Just now
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
LeonhartFour | Posted 6/2/2009 3:38:18 PM | message detail
77 votes cut in the last 15 minutes. Best 15 minute span in 2 and a half hours.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/2/2009 3:43:19 PM | message detail
At this rate, Zelda could lead by 10. With a few stalls here and there, 11 or so. Could end up very close.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
psychward | Posted 6/2/2009 3:43:32 PM | message detail
Yeah, Zelda is starting to take some huge cuts again. Maybe i spoke to soon.
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Wall to Kentucky. Sig changed (:
HaRRicH | Posted 6/2/2009 3:43:59 PM | message detail
Eh...the separation between Link and Cloud has grown bigger every year since 2004 with the projections we have, and FF7 has probably fallen a decent bit over those past five years when it easily took out LoZ:OoT; compare that to how heated of a match they could have one-on-one today and the Nintendo-domination the rest of this contest has shown. The trends say the comparisons between Link and Cloud aren't entirely inaccurate.

Besides, Cloud didn't really have a reason for a bandwagon...Solid did. He was the star in the two most hyped and strongest games of this generation last year, MGS4 denotes the end of his story and legacy, and it was in a favorable position to get people behind him for big upsets. If Solid was ever going to do that well, it was do or die time for him. Cloud's not in a situation anything like that, and he'll have to wait a long time to be such a supportable underdog like that again since he's a former contest champ that's too strong to pull upsets without beating Link. Besides, FF7/Cloud draws quite a bit of hate for being so popular. It'd be hard to get more people on-board to bandwagon Cloud.
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BT > Harrich
lol me
RockMFR 5 | Posted 6/2/2009 3:44:47 PM | message detail
And here we go!
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/2/2009 3:45:07 PM | message detail
~200 votes cut with 15 minutes left in the hour, could be one of the best hours yet
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
KamikazePotato | Posted 6/2/2009 3:45:33 PM | message detail
14:29 - 14:45: Zelda Up 25
14:45 - 15:00: Zelda Up 14
15:00 - 15:15: Zelda Up 91
15:15 - 15:30: Zelda Up 31
15:30 - 15:45: Zelda Up 49
15:45 - 16:00: Zelda Up 85
16:00 - 16:15: Zelda Up 46
16:15 - 16:30: Zelda Up 56
16:30 - 16:45: Zelda Up 47
16:45 - 17:00: Zelda Up 37
17:00 - 17:15: Zelda Up 47
17:15 - 17:30: Zelda Up 47
17:30 - 17:45: Zelda Up 13
17:45 - 18:00: Zelda Up 5
18:00 - 18:15: Zelda Up 59
18:15 - 18:30: Zelda Up 35
18:30 - 18:45: Zelda Up 103 (holy)

Lead: 599
Votes Needed Per 5-Minute Update: 9.51
Votes Needed Per 15-Minute Update: 28.53

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/2/2009 3:45:40 PM | message detail
LOL, Mario 3 is toast.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/2/2009 3:48:17 PM | message detail
That was Mario 3's worst update in over four hours. A couple more of those and I'd feel safe calling this.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
HaRRicH | Posted 6/2/2009 3:49:34 PM | message detail
*pulls string*

The Legend of Zelda says...

...HiiiiiiiiYAH!


It turns out I don't know how to best type out the sounds of Link making a huge slash with his sword.
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BT > Harrich
lol me
RockMFR 5 | Posted 6/2/2009 3:50:52 PM | message detail
MARIO DISLIKES SMOKE
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
UltimaterializerX | Posted 6/2/2009 3:52:40 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | Posted: 6/2/2009 6:49:34 PM | #493
*pulls string*

The Legend of Zelda says...

...HiiiiiiiiYAH!


It turns out I don't know how to best type out the sounds of Link making a huge slash with his sword.


He just yells out SKANK over and over again.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
The n00b Avenger | Posted 6/2/2009 3:55:35 PM | message detail
California loves them some Zelda
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 6/2/2009 3:56:03 PM | message detail
West coast represent.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
red sox 777 | Posted 6/2/2009 3:56:56 PM | message detail
The West Coast loves Zelda!
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
Meeks54 | Posted 6/2/2009 3:57:09 PM | message detail
Come on LoZ. For all that is right in the world, end SMB 3.
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
Meeks54 | Posted 6/2/2009 3:57:17 PM | message detail
ZeldaFEAR
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton