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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 736

XxSoulxX | Posted 5/31/2009 9:10:43 PM | message detail
These modern games are all just weak, people- wait until it hits some real competition!

True, although Brawl/TP/RE4 and possibly MGS4 are a cut above the rest here. All should lose comfortably to strong games of the past gens though.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 9:10:44 PM | message detail
Fallout 3 is doing much better.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SSBB > MGS4 Points: 259/368
Xcarvenger | Posted 5/31/2009 9:10:44 PM | message detail
fallout 3 got this
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PegasusLover123 | Posted 5/31/2009 9:12:11 PM | message detail
What would you guys say if Brawl somehow managed to defeat FF7 and OOT to win this contest?
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/31/2009 9:12:34 PM | message detail

From: PegasusLover123 | #054
What would you guys say if Brawl somehow managed to defeat FF7 and OOT to win this contest?


"huh"
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/31/2009 9:12:36 PM | message detail
Twilight Princess has not impressed me at all this contest, while Brawl has been DOMINANT in three matches. I'd be stunned if Brawl didn't lay down the SFF hammer.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/31/2009 9:12:37 PM | message detail
I'd say the worst game of the three won
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Today's prediction: Brawl 34.56% - Nanomachines 28.68% - Duty 18.42% - Fallout 18.34%
Status:
transience | Posted 5/31/2009 9:13:16 PM | message detail
yeesh, Brawl is sick

time to tier stuff again!

FF7
OOT

Mario 3
Mario World
Mario 64
LTTP
Brawl
RBY

Melee
FFX
MGS
CT
TP
MGS4

Mario 1
FF8
FF6
KH
RE4
MGS3
G/S
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 9:13:42 PM | message detail
I didn't say TP > Brawl next round. I said TP > MGS4 in terms of strength. I'm not even sure MGS4 is that far ahead of MGS3 at this point.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 5/31/2009 9:13:42 PM | message detail

From: PegasusLover123 | #054
What would you guys say if Brawl somehow managed to defeat FF7 and OOT to win this contest?


"**** YEAH"

I would seriously be gloating like a mother-****er.
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Wylvane's current main account.
red sox 777 | Posted 5/31/2009 9:13:51 PM | message detail
If Brawl beats FFVII and OOT to win the contest, it'd be about time for me to stop following these contests.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 5/31/2009 9:14:33 PM | message detail
That's pretty agreeable, although I question the placement of RBY and LttP. RBY should probably be under FFX, and LttP is probably somewhere in that Mario pack.
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ZFS | Posted 5/31/2009 9:14:38 PM | message detail
What would you guys say if Brawl somehow managed to defeat FF7 and OOT to win this contest?

Worst contest ever confirmed

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transience | Posted 5/31/2009 9:14:40 PM | message detail
Brawl beating FF7 and OOT would be awesome.
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xyzzy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/31/2009 9:15:04 PM | message detail
It won't happen, but it would be awesome for Wylvane :D
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 9:15:04 PM | message detail
Hmmm...LTTP under all three Mario games? I guess we'll see in two days.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 5/31/2009 9:15:05 PM | message detail
I'm up to #4 in the leaderboard, #3 in Guru.

I'm also the only person in Guru insane/ballsy enough to have Brawl win the contest.
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Wylvane's current main account.
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/31/2009 9:15:22 PM | message detail
Where is KHII, tranny.

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The Real Truth | Posted 5/31/2009 9:15:36 PM | message detail
Brawl winning anything would make this the worst contest ever. It was already ruined when it was made a FFA. That would just make it worse.
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ZFS | Posted 5/31/2009 9:15:51 PM | message detail
I dunno that I like Mario 64 and CT in separate tiers.

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transience | Posted 5/31/2009 9:16:00 PM | message detail
KH2 and KH might as well be the same thing
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xyzzy
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 5/31/2009 9:16:04 PM | message detail
Maybe if Brawl had 50+% here or something obscene you could POSSIBLY entertain the CHANCE, but as it stands I give it a 0% chance of happening.
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" - trancer1
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 9:16:06 PM | message detail
Brawl just died there

Brawl is going to look much more human by morning.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SSBB > MGS4 Points: 259/368
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/31/2009 9:16:14 PM | message detail
MGS4 stall!
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 9:16:37 PM | message detail
KH2 and KH might as well be the same thing

I'm not sure I believe this, but it's not like we'll ever find out.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 9:16:54 PM | message detail
Heh, I love when 50 vote gains are considered stalls.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 5/31/2009 9:18:28 PM | message detail
Here's hoping Nintendo redeems itself and announces all sorts of awesome **** at E3 that makes the Nintendo fanbase so optimistic that the Nintendo games magically boost to obscene levels in the final days of the contest.
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Wylvane's current main account.
red sox 777 | Posted 5/31/2009 9:18:35 PM | message detail
It really isn't very surprising that Brawl is killing this poll, and it doesn't necessarily imply that Brawl is a top 10 game or that it will advance next round.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/31/2009 9:19:32 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #078
It really isn't very surprising that Brawl is killing this poll, and it doesn't necessarily imply that Brawl is a top 10 game or that it will advance next round.


uhh theres no question its a top 10 game
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Yesmar | Posted 5/31/2009 9:20:36 PM | message detail
I'm not liking this Brawl to the finals business.

I doubt it's more popular than Melee to a noticeable extent, and if it can beat FFX, so can Melee most likely, which would doom either of their shots at making the finals.

As of now I'd peg the odds of making the finals at:

FFVII: 100%
OoT: 100%
FFX: 63%
LttP: 50%
SMB3: 25%
Pokemon R/B/Y: 20%
SMW: 18%
MGS4: 10%
LoZ: 5%
RE4: 5%
SM64: 2%
Brawl: 2%
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 9:20:38 PM | message detail
Another stall!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
red sox 777 | Posted 5/31/2009 9:20:45 PM | message detail
How many games have we said that about this contest? Seems like it might be more than 20!
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 9:20:51 PM | message detail
CoD4 cut!
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SSBB > MGS4 Points: 259/368
ZFS | Posted 5/31/2009 9:21:07 PM | message detail
Ha, seriously. 'Guaranteed top 10' has probably been used to describe about 20 games at this point.

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transience | Posted 5/31/2009 9:21:13 PM | message detail
Brawl has a lot of percentage to drop here with two bad early votes.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 9:21:30 PM | message detail
Oh junk, Fallout 3 in trouble.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/31/2009 9:21:33 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #082
How many games have we said that about this contest? Seems like it might be more than 20!


honestly tell me 10 games you'd put over brawl
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/31/2009 9:21:45 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #079
uhh theres no question its a top 10 game


Sure there is. Brawl still hasn't seen elite competition. Until it does, there'll be questions.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 5/31/2009 9:22:14 PM | message detail
16 people fell off the top 50 today. Arc_Angel2790, Scott_Pilgrim, turbopuns, kingcraz1, xXWarchiefXx, stncldrwg, SpazDood, _gloomy, FastFalcon05, WaterMario222, Mirrorzzz, mongeeser, Dracosage, iamdaman1984, MajorMitch and Stroumbert did not have Zelda:TP > RE4 as yesterday's winners.

15 people scored half points and lived. Jufes, JayLabPrime, Mistah_T_1337, Vivi_XIII, Dramus18, stu300189, VincentLauw, theawesomestevr, realseniorleach, Shadow_StalkerX, Silphyness, VolantPieMan, menji76, funkyspunkymonk and King0fRedLions also did not have Zelda:TP > RE4 as yesterday's winners.

2 people scored quarter points and lived. Aecioo and EvilDave219 had something vaguely similar to Zelda:TP > RE4 as yesterday's winners.

1 person didn't score any points at all and survived. Former third place goldeliteking had neither Zelda:TP not RE4 advancing yesterday.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/31/2009 9:22:54 PM | message detail
Heh, I love when 50 vote gains are considered stalls.

Brawl gained 124 on the 12:10 AM update, so a 50 vote gain is a pretty big drop from 124. I remember when L-Block only got a 36 vote gain on Link during the second hour of the match and people were calling that a stall.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/31/2009 9:23:00 PM | message detail
I like this Brawl dropping business. It's now actually looking worse than I predicted in relation to MGS4.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/31/2009 9:23:02 PM | message detail
Can we please just completely throw out the usage of Top 10 for this contest? This isn't like characters. We don't have a Noble Nine. There's around 20 games that could be 'Top 10'. I'm wary enough of using Top 20 as it is.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 9:23:14 PM | message detail
Brawl is about as untested as it gets. When the strongest game you've faced is a PS3-exclusive, that's not good, even if that game is MGS4. Next round is where it proves itself.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Janus5000 | Posted 5/31/2009 9:24:15 PM | message detail
Brawl is falling pretty hard right now.

Brawl = joke game confirmed
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Stay a while and breathe me in.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 5/31/2009 9:24:16 PM | message detail
The only thing we should be using is top 2. That's the only certainty in this entire contest. That FF7 and OoT are top.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
transience | Posted 5/31/2009 9:25:19 PM | message detail
I dunno what 'established' competition is unless you mean 'stuff from 2004'. Brawl's taken down the 2007 GOTY and runner up, and is now beating the hell out of the 2008 runner up. nothing's been close to it. Brawl certainly has strength.
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xyzzy
red sox 777 | Posted 5/31/2009 9:25:49 PM | message detail
honestly tell me 10 games you'd put over brawl

I posted a top 20 list a couple hours ago with 11 games ahead of Brawl. In the Oracle, I have Brawl beating MGS4 with about 55.5%. It looks like it'll end around there, or a bit lower. So, this match has given me no reason to change my prior opinion, and I'll take all 11 of those games over Brawl still.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 9:26:18 PM | message detail
Yeah Brawl will look normal by the end.

TP/RE4/SSBB/MGS4 is still anybody's game.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SSBB > MGS4 Points: 259/368
KrahenProphet | Posted 5/31/2009 9:27:54 PM | message detail
This week is going to be so interesting.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/31/2009 9:28:49 PM | message detail

From: transience | #096
I dunno what 'established' competition is unless you mean 'stuff from 2004'. Brawl's taken down the 2007 GOTY and runner up, and is now beating the hell out of the 2008 runner up. nothing's been close to it. Brawl certainly has strength.


Established from the last contest. Games like FFX and Melee, which are the most recent things we knew were beasts coming in. Of course, if Brawl puts a hurt on TP, I'll consider it an elite game, but there'll still be questions after this. I mean, MGS4 is in prime position to finish closer to Brawl than MGS3 did to TP. What if those Metal Gears are surprisingly close in strength? Questions linger!
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!