GameFAQs Contests

Relative to each other, that is.
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Oh, I've got one. A Mexican, a Jew and a colored guy go into a bar. The bartender looks up to them and says: "Get the **** out of here" -- Gran Torino

Yeah, the 'it's common sense' argument has never done anything for me.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

Sounds like a baseless assumption based on personal expectations to me! I'd probably still take FFX over MGS, but wouldn't be confident in it at all.

FFX has been more impressive in every single match it has been in in my opinion, and you would just expect it to be stronger anyway so I see absolutely no reason to even remotely consider MGS > FFX.

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Oh, I've got one. A Mexican, a Jew and a colored guy go into a bar. The bartender looks up to them and says: "Get the **** out of here" -- Gran Torino

Both round 1 matches were on the weekend, so they make for a good comparison. I'd say MGS3 improved a slight bit more after 6pm, but the trends looked pretty similar. I'd say this is definitely a toss-up.
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FastFalcon and Solid Snake snapped my neck in the guru contest.

Yeah, the 'it's common sense' argument has never done anything for me.

What has MGS done to deserve this much respect? Would you all take it to beat SSBM as well?
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Oh, I've got one. A Mexican, a Jew and a colored guy go into a bar. The bartender looks up to them and says: "Get the **** out of here" -- Gran Torino

And it's not like that KH argument is the only thing. MGS2 only did 5% worse than FFX on Melee in Snake's worst year, when Square was still the top force on this site, or at least even with Nintendo. MGS beat FFX on the list by several spots on the List in 2005. And it just put up 35% on OOT and beat FFVIII fairly easily, which is more impressive than anything FFX has ever done (SSBM got 37% on FFVII, but it also got 54% on....GTA: VC). Man, the more I think about this the more I want to actually take MGS > FFX 1v1!
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

SSBB > TP's the favourite, but MGS4 has some great odds there.

MGS4 could sneak through next round if SSBB can actually SFF TP. We've already seen SSBB SFF Galaxy, which lost to GTA IV. Both SSBB and Galaxy are huge Wii releases. The same applies for SSBB and TP, so it should be logical that SSBB SFFs TP as well. But there's a little less overlap between SSBB and TP, though.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

MGS2 only did 5% worse than FFX on Melee in Snake's worst year, when Square was still the top force on this site, or at least even with Nintendo. MGS beat FFX on the list by several spots on the List in 2005. And it just put up 35% on OOT and beat FFVIII fairly easily, which is more impressive than anything FFX has ever done (SSBM got 37% on FFVII, but it also got 54% on....GTA: VC). Man, the more I think about this the more I want to actually take MGS > FFX 1v1!

It being Snake's worst year doesn't necessarily mean anything for the games though. You would expect Snake to become more popular for getting more games.

And the top 100 isn't very credible either. FFVI and FFVII cost FFX a lot of votes, MGS fans flock to the original.

I just don't see it.


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Oh, I've got one. A Mexican, a Jew and a colored guy go into a bar. The bartender looks up to them and says: "Get the **** out of here" -- Gran Torino

Officially calling this for RE4 now. It will likely have the lead no later then 7, and plenty of time to pad it.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

I'd probably take FFX > MGS too if it came to it, but common sense just doesn't apply here (not to mention it's officially replaced blindly following x-stats as the most overused, worst, argument in this topic)- I see no reason why MGS couldn't be stronger than FFX. Could I imagine Nintendo fans voting Samus over Mario? I had a hard time doing that, and I think most people did, even those who took Samus. Can I imagine people voting for MGS over FFX? Yes, yes I can. FFX > MGS is not "common" sense.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

all of MGS's matches involved Pokemon. it is extremely difficult to say anything definitive there. FFX has not looked great.

this might be the best match of the contest. this is a gruel 10 hour comeback for a small amount of votes that could go anywhere. weekend trends have always shown a shift to a night vote around 6:30.
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xyzzy

It cut like 90 votes in 150 minutes. At that rate it'll be like 9 PM before it even takes a lead, at which point MGS3 should start picking up steam
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

From: The n00b Avenger | #262
It cut like 90 votes in 150 minutes. At that rate it'll be like 9 PM before it even takes a lead, at which point MGS3 should start picking up steam

or you could look at it that its cut 70 votes last hour, which makes it take the lead about 7 if it continues at that pace
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

I wonder whether the MGS ralliers are going to try to do anything tonight given that it hurts MGS4 next round.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

I'm calling it now, RE4 loses by 27 votes.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352

I like to think that the longer this match goes on, the more the voters are realizing what MGS3 next round means and how that can't happen in order for the master plan to succeed.

(c'mon voters sacrifice MGS3 to let MGS4 advance and eventually win imho)
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 55 - Bracket: TP > RE4 - Vote: RE4 (247/352)

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #263
or you could look at it that its cut 70 votes last hour, which makes it take the lead about 7 if it continues at that pace

Those kind of events have been happening for the past 3 hours. There's no reason to assume that RE4 will continue on like this
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

under 100 now
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

I'm calling it now, RE4 loses by 27 votes.

Not that again, Jill losing by 27 votes has already cost me two matches and one Guru Contest, and possibly a sitewide contest victory.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Really impressed that RE4 has pulled this back; I half-expected this to be one of those day-long stalls at around 600 votes or so a la Halo 2/World of Warcraft and other weekend matches. Come on Mr Kennedy!

More like let RE4 win so RE4 > TP can happen next round.

Down to double digits.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352

And finally it's under 100. RE4 might have the lead after all for some time.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. FastFalcon05 > Me

I wonder whether the MGS ralliers are going to try to do anything tonight given that it hurts MGS4 next round.

That's what I was thinking. The MGS ralliers should be aware of the consequences of their rallying this round, because I don't think they would want MGS4 to be eliminated next round. If anything, the MGS ralliers would prefer to have one of the MGS games go as far as it can into the contest before being eliminated.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

People who rally cares to much about the results, they aren't smart enough to figure it out.

Besides if RE4 can win over MGS3, why wouldn't it be able to win over a PS3 exclusive game?
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. FastFalcon05 > Me

ok wtf MGS3 where is the regular stall
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

re4 might take the lead even before 7
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

Comeback is looking good for completion.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352

Hey look a stall...
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352

this is a great match
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

Well, RE4 was up against KH2, which has a very good second night vote, so it shouldn't be too surprising if it does a bit better with it here than with the day. It's still too early to tell how the SNV will go though.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

I would expect MGS to have a bad SNV actually due to Europe feeding its strength during the FNV.

By the time the SNV rolls in, voting from Europe will come to an almost complete halt. It'll be mostly dominated by North America, South America, Asia, and Australia. There isn't too much difference between ASV and SNV trends. The big difference is that the SNV benefits characters/games that could be rallied, like Frog. Characters/games that are strong with the ASV aren't really going to drop off much going into the SNV. And with a bad ASV, you won't be going up much during the SNV either. Take a look at Chief/Snake in the 2007 semifinal:

Time | The Chief | Dante | L-Block | Snake | Demographic
ASV | 26.31% | 15.34% | 33.06% | 25.29% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 26.78% | 16.24% | 32.01% | 24.97% | (22:00-24:00)

Chief actually went up slightly during the SNV and Snake dropped a bit. Chief was still cutting Snake in the SNV. And that was a weekend match too, so expect something similar to that. If RE4 has at least a 300 vote lead going into the final 2 hours, I think it will be safe since MGS3 is no Frog.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #020
and then mgs3 takes it all back

yeah, mgs3 is winning this

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #029
I wouldn't call this match over yet... RE4 wants to tease us into thinking it has a chance apparently.

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #045
RE4 is officially the favorite here. I'd be surprised to see it lose at this point

Good old Albion. And all on the front page.
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Current Score: 256
Today's pick: Twilight Princess > Resident Evil 4

*cheers RE4 on*

Beat MGS3 to save MGS4!

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The greatest minds are capable of the greatest vices as well as of the greatest virtues. ~ Descartes
Currently playing: Persona 3 FES

Vicious update.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

RE4 fans predicted the rallying MGS3 fans would do. They're taking preemptive action!

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

RE4 this is what you should have been doing for the last 3 hours what the hell have you been slacking off for
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Nice spike RE4
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352

40 vote swing and RE4 takes the lead

next
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

At first I was like, oh, MGS3 stall.

Then I was like oh snap lead change
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Finally!
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. FastFalcon05 > Me

the most grueling comeback of all time ends with an absolute whimper from MGS3.
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xyzzy

And of course the next update will be MGS3 taking back the lead. Because that's just how these matches work
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Ive been waiting for this all day.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352

From: The n00b Avenger | #292
And of course the next update will be MGS3 taking back the lead. Because that's just how these matches work

I'm not feeling it. I think RE4 is just gonna win easily now
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

I'm hoping MGS3 can keep things in check for the next few hours en route to an epic SNV finish. That would easily make this the match of the contest, and really, I'd love the best match to be put on by two non-Nintendo, non-Square entrants.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=3500&sort=time&type=DESC&num=2
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg

I definitely don't think this match is over.
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xyzzy

3 straight cuts on MGS3 by Oblivion you know where this is going
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I can feel it coming over me; I feel it all around me.
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg

Whoa, more like 5.
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I can feel it coming over me; I feel it all around me.
http://www.rosebride.com/lyn/otakon2k6/chronotrigger.jpg

It would be the greatest justice in the world if RE4 had a big lead going into the last hour and only ended up winning by 27 votes.
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http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.