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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 735

LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 12:05:05 PM | message detail
MGS3 has to advance first. RE4's got it down to 200 now.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/31/2009 12:08:24 PM | message detail
RE4 will eat MGS3's second night vote even if it does break this measly lead.

Doomed

DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMED
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
paulg235 | Posted 5/31/2009 12:09:10 PM | message detail
Liquid had a last minute rally topic on LL. I should know - I made it.

You're gonna make one should the result be close for MGS3, Rock?

Anyway, MGS3 is still winning updates.

Hang in there, baby.
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The Gamer In Me
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=158
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/31/2009 12:10:13 PM | message detail
BARRIERS

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/31/2009 12:23:32 PM | message detail
If RE4 wins, will it break some sort of record for longest comeback ever?
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Today's prediction: Twilight 30.21% - Shoot it in the head 28.24% - Snake Eater 23.57% - Oblivion 17.98%
Status: meh
GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/31/2009 12:23:42 PM | message detail
or slowest, whatever
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Today's prediction: Twilight 30.21% - Shoot it in the head 28.24% - Snake Eater 23.57% - Oblivion 17.98%
Status: meh
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 12:24:57 PM | message detail
I'm thinking there's been one that was slower than this, at least.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/31/2009 12:31:07 PM | message detail
Oblivion showin' these chumps what's up.
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In-de-structable. Nothing's gonna stop me now.
http://i521.photobucket.com/albums/w333/usagiaruku/1224857053726.jpg
voltch | Posted 5/31/2009 12:31:11 PM | message detail
RE4 has probably been one of the shakiest strong games of the contest,always looks in trouble,never really impresses but manages to keep things interesting.
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It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455
shane15 | Posted 5/31/2009 12:31:38 PM | message detail
One of my fav battles was the Bomberman vs Phoenix Wright battle for 2nd place afew contests ago.I was watching that one unfold all day.I still have my "I voted" Phoenix Wright sticker someone made on here XD.
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"School Rumble rocks your world,Stay tuned to see hot girls!" - Class 2-C Cheerleaders
<3 Yuko Ogura
paulg235 | Posted 5/31/2009 12:31:45 PM | message detail
MGS3's back at a 200 vote lead.
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The Gamer In Me
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=158
The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/31/2009 12:33:03 PM | message detail
RE4 is so screwed
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 12:33:37 PM | message detail
PW/Bomberman is another case of pretty obvious cheating, but the board loves PW and is rather indifferent toward Bomberman, so who cares?
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 5/31/2009 12:36:52 PM | message detail
The only suspicious one in Alucard/Liquid was Alucard. Alucard with well over 100 votes per update, until it gets a "safe" 17 vote lead with one to go. Then Alucard drops 50 votes.

23:56
Alucard - 136
Liquid - 122
Ness - 62
Zidane - 43

00:01
Alucard - 86
Liquid - 106
Ness - 62
Zidane - 42
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FastFalcon and Solid Snake snapped my neck in the guru contest.
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 12:39:28 PM | message detail
If you don't take "cheating" into account you deserve to get the match wrong IMO.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 12:41:36 PM | message detail
Oh, Bomberman/PW is basically the slowest comeback attempt ever, now that someone has brought it up.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/31/2009 12:44:57 PM | message detail
If RE4 wins, it's combined margin of victory will probably be under 2,000 votes for three rounds. Leon Kennedy, splitting hairs as usual.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 12:47:26 PM | message detail
Sadly RE4 won't win MGS3 looks like it has this.

Too bad, I wanted to see it at least in the lead for a while
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 12:57:20 PM | message detail
It was in the lead for a while, at the very beginning!
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 1:00:19 PM | message detail
Time | MGS3
1:00 | 50.06%
2:00 | 51.25%
3:00 | 50.87%
4:00 | 49.50%
5:00 | 52.58%
6:00 | 53.67%
7:00 | 55.09%
8:00 | 52.33%
9:00 | 50.24%
10:00 | 50.00%
11:00 | 48.74%
12:00 | 48.93%
13:00 | 49.26%
14:00 | 47.74%
15:00 | 48.34%
16:00 | 50.50%

I think that's game.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/31/2009 1:00:32 PM | message detail
Yes, I remember saying "RE4 has this" at 12:01 AM
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Today's prediction: Twilight 30.21% - Shoot it in the head 28.24% - Snake Eater 23.57% - Oblivion 17.98%
Status: meh
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 1:01:00 PM | message detail
Okay, I've finished every chart for the 2007 contest, and as a tribute, L-Block's last two matches!

Time | The Chief | Dante | L-Block | Snake | Demographic
EBV | 15.10% | 8.16% | 56.89% | 19.85% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 19.10% | 11.18% | 46.23% | 23.50% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 20.36% | 15.46% | 36.21% | 27.97% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 19.94% | 17.13% | 33.05% | 29.88% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 26.03% | 15.17% | 32.67% | 26.13% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 26.31% | 15.34% | 33.06% | 25.29% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 26.78% | 16.24% | 32.01% | 24.97% | (22:00-24:00)

Time | Link | Cloud | L-Block | Snake | Demographic
EBV | 21.36% | 15.41% | 54.99% | 8.23% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 24.93% | 19.07% | 45.40% | 10.60% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 27.12% | 23.85% | 36.38% | 12.65% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 31.29% | 26.48% | 28.40% | 13.83% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 31.60% | 24.46% | 31.91% | 12.03% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 30.67% | 25.48% | 31.57% | 12.28% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 29.21% | 26.23% | 31.93% | 12.63% | (22:00-24:00)

Totally forgot that this match got 190,000 votes. Whoa.

Snake's percentage against L-Block across four matches:

53.12%
49.85%
43.08%
26.80%
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 5/31/2009 1:12:07 PM | message detail
christ
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/31/2009 1:12:09 PM | message detail
Poor MGS4. I believe that split will be closer than most people envision.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
MegatokyoEd | Posted 5/31/2009 1:13:05 PM | message detail
This is seriously the worst result possible. The last thing we needed was a guarantee of Brawl > TP next round.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/31/2009 1:13:30 PM | message detail
Hmm... right now I still think its anyones match.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 1:14:19 PM | message detail
This is seriously the worst result possible. The last thing we needed was a guarantee of Brawl > TP next round.

Brawl could SFF TP and give a Brawl > MGS4 result.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 1:15:23 PM | message detail
Hmm... right now I still think its anyones match.

MGS3 will only get stronger from now. At worst it'll stall RE4 out.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
transience | Posted 5/31/2009 1:16:20 PM | message detail
well, one of our two chances we had at slowing down Nintendo is now gone.

save_us.ffx
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xyzzy
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/31/2009 1:16:29 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #178
Hmm... right now I still think its anyones match.

MGS3 will only get stronger from now. At worst it'll stall RE4 out.


Why? Its only 250 vote difference, and what proof do we have that MGS3 will dominate the rest of the match?
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/31/2009 1:18:03 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #177
This is seriously the worst result possible. The last thing we needed was a guarantee of Brawl > TP next round.

Brawl could SFF TP and give a Brawl > MGS4 result.


Possible, sure, but very unlikely. Given the overlap, you're already looking at the Nintendo games combining for 60%+ (especially when considering both of them could easily be stronger than either MGS rep), which would require a monumental SFF beatdown on the part of either Brawl or MGS4.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 1:18:39 PM | message detail
Why? Its only 250 vote difference, and what proof do we have that MGS3 will dominate the rest of the match?

MGS tends to have a good SNV and while it won't dominate it will at least stall RE4 for the rest of the match.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/31/2009 1:19:12 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #182
Why? Its only 250 vote difference, and what proof do we have that MGS3 will dominate the rest of the match?

MGS tends to have a good SNV and while it won't dominate it will at least stall RE4 for the rest of the match.


Wish I could be as confident as you! I'm still nervous about RE4 coming back D:
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 1:20:23 PM | message detail
Possible, sure, but very unlikely. Given the overlap, you're already looking at the Nintendo games combining for 60%+ (especially when considering both of them could easily be stronger than either MGS rep), which would require a monumental SFF beatdown on the part of either Brawl or MGS4.

Brawl did it to Galaxy, I just wouldn't call Brawl > TP a lock right now, though it is the most likely result.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
Zylo the wolf | Posted 5/31/2009 1:21:45 PM | message detail
If only Re4 could do more cuts like this. Right now Metal Gear Solid 3 is the obvious bigtime favourite.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. FastFalcon05 > Me
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 1:21:50 PM | message detail
Wish I could be as confident as you! I'm still nervous about RE4 coming back D:

Personally I wish that I will be wrong.

:)
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/31/2009 1:23:48 PM | message detail
IF RE4 wins this match I will change my sig to the most humiliating thing anyone here can think of
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 5/31/2009 1:24:35 PM | message detail
PRESS A!
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. FastFalcon05 > Me
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/31/2009 1:24:47 PM | message detail
looks like you might need to consider that sig, avenger...
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 1:24:58 PM | message detail
Brawl won't beat down TP. Don't point to Melee/Wind Waker because TP would beat WW just as badly.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/31/2009 1:27:16 PM | message detail
can you guys please start being doom and gloom for mgs3 again so it doesnt blow this lead
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
Janus5000 | Posted 5/31/2009 1:29:30 PM | message detail
If MGS3 advances, Brawl > TP is pretty much a lock. The difference between the two games shouldn't even be that large, and I'd have a hard time seeing Brawl kill it.
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http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/31/2009 1:30:13 PM | message detail
cut about 70 in 3 updates

oh god im scared
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 5/31/2009 1:30:26 PM | message detail
can you guys please start being doom and gloom for mgs3 again so it doesnt blow this lead

What lead? RE4 obviously has this match easily.

That good enough? >_>
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Shall I take you with me? To the place in this town where wishes come true...
MegatokyoEd | Posted 5/31/2009 1:30:31 PM | message detail
Mr. Kennedy's done fooling around!
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Demyx is better than Axel.
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 1:31:01 PM | message detail
You know if the upset happens I'd gladly eat my words.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
Janus5000 | Posted 5/31/2009 1:31:08 PM | message detail
Wasn't MGS3 supposed to be picking up steam right about now?
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http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 1:32:13 PM | message detail
Snake has obviously taken the Fake Death Pill and is fooling Leon Kennedy into thinking he has it won so he will let down his guard. Take the Revival Pill, and BAM! Headshot.

...Just don't forget to take that Revival Pill, Snake.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 1:32:18 PM | message detail
Wasn't MGS3 supposed to be picking up steam right about now?

I forgot the RE series was half decent with the SNV as well.

>_>
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/31/2009 1:32:57 PM | message detail
Um... why are we talking about the second night vote at 4:30 PM?
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg