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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 735

transience | Posted 5/31/2009 9:18:59 AM | message detail
barrierz
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xyzzy
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/31/2009 9:24:39 AM | message detail
even if re4 does advance, its done next round. its not strong enough to make any noise
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
Master Moltar | Posted 5/31/2009 9:31:08 AM | message detail
I figured RE4 would go out next round anyway. Didn't think it was strong enough to capitalize on the TP/Brawl split (while MGS4 would be strong enough). Need to see how MGS4 does tomorrow, but augh if that turns out to be right and MGS3 comes along to ruin things.
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 55 - Bracket: TP > RE4 - Vote: RE4 (247/352)
MegatokyoEd | Posted 5/31/2009 9:32:58 AM | message detail
I don't see how RE4 doesn't have this. It should keep making these cuts into the night vote which isn't for hours.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 9:33:00 AM | message detail
Yeah my RE4 > TP pick next round seems unlikely at this point.

Well if I get this match right I at least survive until round 4 then I get eliminated by either LoZ > SMB3, OoT > FFX or RE4 > TP.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/31/2009 9:35:14 AM | message detail
Never thought I'd see Resident Evil win a match with the day vote lol
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
transience | Posted 5/31/2009 9:40:20 AM | message detail
Oblivion's gonna end with a higher percentage on MGS3 than last round.

RE4 just sucks. sheesh.
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xyzzy
BDawg | Posted 5/31/2009 9:40:22 AM | message detail
How about if oblivion cuts both of them? Battle for day vote of least suck gooooo!
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Should I start running now?
ffmasterjose | Posted 5/31/2009 9:40:42 AM | message detail
I don't get the "I can make a man out of you" pic. Someone fill me on on the reference >_>
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230/352 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Resident Evil 4 > Metal Gear Solid 3 | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/31/2009 9:41:26 AM | message detail

From: ffmasterjose | #059
I don't get the "I can make a man out of you" pic. Someone fill me on on the reference >_>


its just zen being zen
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/110/akaitsuki02avi0001540295ns.jpg
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/31/2009 9:52:50 AM | message detail
Can someone who has played MGS4 please explain to me the level of confidence as to why it should be stronger than MGS3? Will this confidence be reconsidered if Brawl dominates the upcoming match? I'm assuming this is based largely on their first and second round performances, because GotY voting really doesn't strike me as an effective indicator.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
Yesmar | Posted 5/31/2009 9:53:48 AM | message detail
Oh my god Resident Evil 4. If you can pull this off and either you or MGS4 advance next round, all is forgiven!!
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 9:59:38 AM | message detail
Time | MGS3
1:00 | 50.06%
2:00 | 51.25%
3:00 | 50.87%
4:00 | 49.50%
5:00 | 52.58%
6:00 | 53.67%
7:00 | 55.09%
8:00 | 52.33%
9:00 | 50.24%
10:00 | 50.00%
11:00 | 48.74%
12:00 | 48.93%
13:00 | 49.26%

MGS3's barriers are too strong.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
Master Moltar | Posted 5/31/2009 10:08:01 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #061
Can someone who has played MGS4 please explain to me the level of confidence as to why it should be stronger than MGS3? Will this confidence be reconsidered if Brawl dominates the upcoming match? I'm assuming this is based largely on their first and second round performances, because GotY voting really doesn't strike me as an effective indicator.


Speaking as someone who has played both, I think that others who have actually played through both would vote 4 over 3. 4 was bigger and had a greater overall impact on the player.

The problem lies in the franchise votes MGS4 relies on to do well. More people played 3 than 4 here, so you put 3 in against 4, and MGS4 loses out on franchise votes and is stuck with just its fans. Meanwhile MGS3 also suffers because it's losing out on voters from the people who have played both and prefer 4. The MGS fanbase isn't huge to begin with, so a split just wrecks both games.

I don't believe Brawl dominates tomorrow. If it does, well then 3 probably is stronger than 4. I wouldn't be surprised if there's a TP/MGS3 and Brawl/MGS4 correlation to be made.
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 55 - Bracket: TP > RE4 - Vote: RE4 (247/352)
Zylo the wolf | Posted 5/31/2009 10:10:17 AM | message detail
Can someone who has played MGS4 please explain to me the level of confidence as to why it should be stronger than MGS3?

I really doubt that MGS3 would be close to Smash Bros Brawl while the game still was hot.


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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. FastFalcon05 > Me
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/31/2009 10:11:47 AM | message detail
This is the ultimate vindication that nobody cares about Resident Evil on this site, and all the sucky spin-offs took the attention away from RE. I've already made this argument over and over, so yeah.

Pokemon making the finals will be funny though, especially considering how fun Pokemon is. I'd bank more on Final Fantasy X doing so though.

And I love how, in my bracket, a game that I picked to lose in the first round beat a game that I picked to make the finals. OOPS
RPGuy96 | Posted 5/31/2009 10:16:58 AM | message detail
This is going to be the most tortuously slow comeback ever. Given that RE4 is (ever so slowly) coming back in the day, I still like MGS3 here. Why? Check out MGS's round 2 (weekend) match:

Time | Metal Gear Solid
01:00 | 30.95%
02:00 | 33.30%
03:00 | 34.37%
04:00 | 33.97%
05:00 | 36.98%
06:00 | 37.27%
07:00 | 38.80%
08:00 | 35.62%
09:00 | 34.05%
10:00 | 30.97%
11:00 | 32.67%
12:00 | 31.76%
13:00 | 31.77%
14:00 | 31.31%
15:00 | 31.83%
16:00 | 31.59%
17:00 | 33.69%
18:00 | 33.22%
19:00 | 33.05%
20:00 | 33.25%
21:00 | 33.29%
22:00 | 34.43%
23:00 | 34.16%
00:00 | 36.14%

Remember that was with 2x Pokes and Zelda - MGS did poorly until 4 PM, where it picked up the pace. Once we get into the evening MGS3 should have the same sort of advantage on RE4 that it had in the night vote. I don't think that's going to be enough to come back from any notable lead RE4 builds up, but I also don't think RE4 is going to build a lead before then.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/31/2009 10:19:08 AM | message detail
My first 0-point match...
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/31/2009 10:22:02 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | Posted: 5/31/2009 12:52:50 PM | #061
Can someone who has played MGS4 please explain to me the level of confidence as to why it should be stronger than MGS3? Will this confidence be reconsidered if Brawl dominates the upcoming match? I'm assuming this is based largely on their first and second round performances, because GotY voting really doesn't strike me as an effective indicator.


Most (but not all of us) hardcore MGS fans think 4 is a contender for the best game in the series, if not the best outright. 3, while amazing, isn't quite at the same level. It's got a weak story and the gameplay is.... off.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
transience | Posted 5/31/2009 10:25:04 AM | message detail
4 > 3 but if you think 3's going to lie down to 4, you're sorely mistaken.

I'm starting to like MGS3 as well. this is a pathetic comeback attempt.
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xyzzy
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/31/2009 10:26:08 AM | message detail
Though, to be honest, it wasn't all that hard to envision MGS3 beating RE4, though maybe that was because of IGN's Readers' Choice Top 100 Games List where MGS3 was 5th and RE4 was 9th, and Twilight Princess was 37th. Actually, here's how the whole division would go according to the list.

Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas > God of War (yep, San Andreas was 18th and God of War was 26th)
Metal Gear Solid 3 > Halo 2
Resident Evil 4 > Shadow of the Colossus
Half-Life 2 > Zelda: Twilight Princess (Wind Waker was ahead of Half-Life 2, though)

Metal Gear Solid 3 > Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas
Resident Evil 4 > Half-Life 2 (HL2 at 33rd on the list)

Metal Gear Solid 3 > Resident Evil 4

And the last division, going by the list:

Super Smash Bros. Brawl > Grand Theft Auto IV
Super Mario Galaxy > Call of Duty 4
Metal Gear Solid 4 > Portal
Mass Effect > ??? (well, the list was made before Fallout 3's and Left 4 Dead's release)

Super Smash Bros. Brawl > Super Mario Galaxy
Metal Gear Solid 4 > Portal

Super Smash Bros. Brawl > Super Mario Galaxy
Lopen | Posted 5/31/2009 10:31:18 AM | message detail
I haven't met many that think MGS4 is the best. I know you may be wearing a bit of the rose tinted glasses having just played the game but are you just making things up, Ulti? What I tend to hear about it is "why are there so many cutscenes" and "lol Act 3"

MGS3 tends to have complaints about the camo system but most fans tend to be like "you don't need ideal camo so the system is fine." I personally don't agree but that's what I tend to notice.

If RE4 can beat MGS3 I'd say it can beat MGS4 at well.

I wonder why the heck RE4's dropped from 47% on TP to 42%
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transience | Posted 5/31/2009 10:41:45 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
transience | Posted 5/31/2009 10:42:43 AM | message detail
hmm.. I doubt anybody would have taken Oblivion > Fallout 3. Fallout 3 looks like it could compete with MGS3 and RE4 at the least. MGS4 just lit those Fallout 3 up.

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xyzzy
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/31/2009 10:42:49 AM | message detail
Well, this was how the top 41 of the list went; it's all I remember.

1. Zelda: Ocarina of Time
2. Chrono Trigger
3. Soul Calibur
4. Zelda: A Link to the Past
5. Metal Gear Solid 3
6. Super Metroid
7. GoldenEye
8. Metal Gear Solid
9. Resident Evil 4
10. Shenmue II
11. Super Mario 64
12. Splinter Cell: Chaos Theory
13. Castlevania: Symphony of the Night
14. Final Fantasy VI
15. Halo
16. Super Smash Bros. Brawl
17. Super Smash Bros. Melee
18. Grand Theft Auto: San Andreasa
19. Conker's Bad Fur Day
20. Super Mario Bros. 3
21. Super Mario Galaxy
22. Metal Gear Solid 4
23. Super Mario RPG
24. Ratchet and Clank: Up Your Arsenal
25. Metroid Prime
26. God of War
27. EarthBound
28. Xenogears
29. Zelda: Wind Waker
30. Final Fantasy VII
31. Guitar Hero
32. Perfect Dark
33. Half-Life 2
34. Knights of the Old Republic
35. Super Mario World
36. Suikoden II
37. Zelda: Twilight Princess
38. Grand Theft Auto: Vice City
39. Ninja Gaiden (Xbox)
40. Metroid Prime 2
41. Call of Duty 4
transience | Posted 5/31/2009 10:43:31 AM | message detail
err, -those
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xyzzy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/31/2009 10:45:19 AM | message detail
You hear that stuff from casual idiots who don't know you can skip scenes. From true MGS fans, the only real gripes are some gameplay problems (admittedly more than I'd like, but hey).

I know "lol My Games", but 9.5 to 9.1 is a decent jump given people are stupid and use LL's plus-minus system.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
Lopen | Posted 5/31/2009 10:48:26 AM | message detail
Eh, it all depends on what round you're basing it on. When RE4 goes from 47% to what will likely be sub 42% on Twilight Princess, I have to wonder about things. MGS3 beat it by a lot more last round, too.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/31/2009 10:49:14 AM | message detail
By the way, have we proclaimed Kingdom Hearts as the undisputed day vote king after yesterday? Smash had the better morning, but KH sustained it longer and increased a greater percentage throughout the day.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/31/2009 10:50:13 AM | message detail
I still think Sonic or Master Chief (the characters, not the games) are the day vote kings. Not that we could compare unless you put Sora in a match with them.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
transience | Posted 5/31/2009 10:50:34 AM | message detail
nah, Smash wins that still.
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xyzzy
Lopen | Posted 5/31/2009 10:51:05 AM | message detail
You hear that stuff from casual idiots who don't know you can skip scenes.

Anyone who calls skipping a scene a valid solution is more of an idiot in my eyes. "HEY SKIP 70% OF THE GAME AND BE COMPLETELY LOST SHOULD YOU DECIDE TO STOP SKIPPING IT"

It's not limited to casual fans. Living proof here. I mean, the game is still quite good, but MGS3 is better.
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This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 10:51:06 AM | message detail
hmm.. I doubt anybody would have taken Oblivion > Fallout 3. Fallout 3 looks like it could compete with MGS3 and RE4 at the least. MGS4 just lit those Fallout 3 up.

You can't really use Oblivion as an example since we all underestimated it.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
transience | Posted 5/31/2009 10:52:06 AM | message detail
Fallout 3 > Oblivion seems like common sense to me. it's like saying that RBY > GS.
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xyzzy
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 10:52:41 AM | message detail
By the way, have we proclaimed Kingdom Hearts as the undisputed day vote king after yesterday? Smash had the better morning, but KH sustained it longer and increased a greater percentage throughout the day.

On weekends, morning vote = ASV while the late afternoon becomes closer to the SNV.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/31/2009 10:55:00 AM | message detail

From: transience | #081
nah, Smash wins that still.


That's a tough sell. Smash only gained 1.3% on its overnight low and actually declined for the last seven hours, finishing 1% ahead overall. Kingdom Hearts kept increasing from morning to poll end. It managed a 1.5% total increase and had still increased about a percent when Smash reached its 1.3% high. Considering that KH had a much lower percentage to begin with, I'd say it was the clear winner.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 10:55:25 AM | message detail
Fallout 3 > Oblivion seems like common sense to me. it's like saying that RBY > GS.

Maybe when it was released, but that game has been on a downward spiral since November and the GotY.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
Mac Arrowny | Posted 5/31/2009 10:59:40 AM | message detail
KH's best time was the second night vote though, not the day vote.
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 10:59:48 AM | message detail
It's got a weak story

what (Don't bring up the Cobras to back this up. That's just personal preference, nothing to do with the story; The End, The Sorrow, The Fury, and The Boss make up for the insignificance of The Pain and the Fear anyway)

I still think Sonic or Master Chief (the characters, not the games) are the day vote kings. Not that we could compare unless you put Sora in a match with them.

Sonic had a match with Sora in 2007. I don't remember how it went. Sonic also went 50/50 with Mega Man during the day in 2005, which is downright pathetic. Sonic's more morning vote than ASV. The Crono comeback was more due to Crono's awful ASV that year than Sonic.

And I think KH vs. SSB is a draw. We need an actual weekday match. KH's day vote is much more diluted on the weekend, for whatever the reason. Sora's day vote seems stronger than KH's in general (and Axel is a day vote beast, too, for whatever the reason).

And I hope red sox wasn't serious when he was proclaiming RE4 to win this match by over 1000 votes.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 11:00:24 AM | message detail
KH's best time was the second night vote though, not the day vote.

It almost always is anyway.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/31/2009 11:00:35 AM | message detail
MGS3 is *not* better, jesus christ. Nothing whatsoever happens in that game until you reach Groznj Grad, 70% of the way in. There's no story, or tension, or any sense of urgency at all like in the other three games.

"He (Volgin) could mass produce them (Shagohods) tomorrow if he wanted". -EVA

Okay, then why doesn't he? I love MGS3 a lot, but defending its story and constant menu stuff is just stupid. Opinion on the other gameplay is subjective, so I'll leave it alone. If you like jungle hopping, good you. But the menu stuff sucks. I leave Snake's injuries to heal by themselves most of the time, because I hated all the menu crap. MGS4 toning this down is probably the biggest reason I think it's a better game. You rarely have to switch weapons or items or camos, especially if you're like me and don't kill anyone.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 11:01:24 AM | message detail
Time | MGS3
09:00 | 50.24%
10:00 | 50.00%
11:00 | 48.74%
12:00 | 48.93%
13:00 | 49.26%
14:00 | 47.74%

Nice hour by RE4
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 11:02:15 AM | message detail
Nothing whatsoever happens in that game until you reach Groznj Grad, 70% of the way in. There's no story, or tension, or any sense of urgency at all like in the other three games.

Nothing happens between The Pain and The End, really. The beginning up to The Pain and everything from The End to, uh, the end is AWESOME.

Okay, then why doesn't he?

Because Snake owned his face, that's why.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/31/2009 11:06:06 AM | message detail
Oh, and for the record, MGS3's first round match was on a weekend. Its worst time was the normal DSV time, but it picked up around the time the ASV started, just like MGS did against RBY/GS/MM.

So I think MGS3 is still in good shape to win.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
Lopen | Posted 5/31/2009 11:08:12 AM | message detail
Oh I hate the menus plenty. I just think MGS4's absurd amount of cutscenes, poor writing at times (wayyyy too much exposition on some topics), fairly weak set of bosses, extremely weak Codec crew etc etc are enough to make MGS3 the better game.

2 >> 1 >= 3 > 4 to me.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
transience | Posted 5/31/2009 11:09:20 AM | message detail
this match obviously comes down to who wins the night vote. I still have Alucard/Liquid vibes here and won't forget how Liquid tanked in that second night vote.
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xyzzy
charmander6000 | Posted 5/31/2009 11:10:04 AM | message detail
Yeah despite RE4's faster pace MGS3 is still looking like the favourite right now.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/31/2009 11:19:32 AM | message detail
The Fury is only in there for Kojima to tell us how much he disliked the space race. Keep political rambling to a minimum in my games, please. I understand not liking war or nukes or child soldiers or even America, but jeez.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/31/2009 11:21:29 AM | message detail
I loved MGS3's boss fights because they were an explosion of cheesiness - almost an RE level of cheese, really. That's in addition to their being very fun, of course.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
Yesmar | Posted 5/31/2009 11:22:37 AM | message detail
this match obviously comes down to who wins the night vote. I still have Alucard/Liquid vibes here and won't forget how Liquid tanked in that second night vote.

And who owned the Dead Hours in both matches?

Oh year, gogogo Resident Evil 4!!
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!