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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 734

PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/30/2009 9:06:14 PM | message detail

From: Karma Hunter | #143
But yeah, if I had to guess I'd say that RE4 and MGS3 are hurting each other to a decent extent here. MGS3's doing significantly worse against Oblivion, and RE4's gonna end up much more below TP than it did last round by the time all is said and done.


Yes, but the extent of TP's improvement relative to RE4 may also suggest that the Zelda game was overlapping more heavily with Kingdom Hearts.

Will someone admit that this theory is at least plausible? It's not that unlikely!
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L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 5/30/2009 9:06:35 PM | message detail
Come on crazy Oblivion spike!
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/30/2009 9:06:53 PM | message detail
RE4 beat KHII by the same amount in Round 2 as Round 1, yoblazer.

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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/30/2009 9:06:57 PM | message detail
Eh, MGS's board vote is usually pretty good. It's doing better than I'd hoped, but unless RE4 got a bracket push, it should be safe.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:07:10 PM | message detail
Yes, but the extent of TP's improvement relative to RE4 may also suggest that the Zelda game was overlapping more heavily with Kingdom Hearts.

Will someone admit that this theory is at least plausible? It's not that unlikely!


Then why did HL2 stay relative to TP?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
Karma Hunter | Posted 5/30/2009 9:07:12 PM | message detail
That is, RE4 should be safe.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/30/2009 9:07:17 PM | message detail
the scary thing is that oblivion, and bethesda titles in general, have horrid board votes, and typically raise 3-4% from the freeze. Oblivion might still be in this..
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:07:29 PM | message detail
It's plausible, yes. But let's wait a while longer before concluding that TP is doing much better on RE4 this round!
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HaRRicH | Posted 5/30/2009 9:07:58 PM | message detail
So, wait, we wrong wrong about RE4 being quasi-Nintendo...it's quasi-Konami now?

This needs a few more updates to settle before we can really tell who's hurting who or if the board's just being funny tonight. People were really scared of RE4 being eliminated last round, now they were scared RE4 may beat LoZ:TP. That can make for a decent difference in the first five minutes. Patience, guys.....
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RockMFR 5 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:08:09 PM | message detail
Zelda in first in every match of round 4 CHOO CHOO!
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:08:16 PM | message detail
the scary thing is that oblivion, and bethesda titles in general, have horrid board votes, and typically raise 3-4% from the freeze. Oblivion might still be in this..

Looking at the drop off I think Oblivion may have had the board vote this round.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
Karma Hunter | Posted 5/30/2009 9:08:39 PM | message detail
Will someone admit that this theory is at least plausible? It's not that unlikely!

My illustrious sig says that would require RE4 and HL2 to overlap as well (not THAT crazy either, but we're starting to make a lot of assumptions...!).
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/30/2009 9:08:47 PM | message detail
RE4 beat KHII by the same amount in Round 2 as Round 1, yoblazer.

Yeah, TP had overlap with both games, which meant that it was the game that suffered. Opening five minutes clearly confirm this, but we've still got 23:55 to go, so anything can happen.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/30/2009 9:08:52 PM | message detail
Wow, TP is beating down RE4 even worse this time around. Last time, RE4 was in first at the freeze.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/30/2009 9:09:43 PM | message detail
Why they're overlapping is a good question, but they are.

It's not that hard to figure out. RE4 is more like MGS than it is previous RE games.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 5/30/2009 9:10:13 PM | message detail
RE4 and HL2 having overlap makes sense since they are the two best games released in the past decade or so.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/30/2009 9:10:36 PM | message detail
Down goes Twilight Princess.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 5/30/2009 9:10:39 PM | message detail
Well, this is boring.

Team Fortress 2 it is.
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/30/2009 9:10:41 PM | message detail
What a board vote!

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charmander6000 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:10:44 PM | message detail
Zelda dies and RE4 looks safer...
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
ZFS | Posted 5/30/2009 9:11:06 PM | message detail
That's not a cut but hey MGS3 improved it's percentage let's do this

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red sox 777 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:11:14 PM | message detail
Good update. RE4 goes up almost 1%, TP drops almost 1.5%.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/30/2009 9:11:18 PM | message detail
Alright, Zelda back to earth as people realize there's a battle for second place here.

Unless MGS and RE go at it all day, Zelda will probably still look noticeably better than last round. That unfortunately suggests that Brawl might do bad, bad things to its poll.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
Karma Hunter | Posted 5/30/2009 9:11:21 PM | message detail
Hmm, not a *massive* jump. Interesting. MGS3 might still have some life left if it decides to make a push of its own.
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transience | Posted 5/30/2009 9:11:28 PM | message detail
Brawl/RE4/TP/Brawl is gonna be a bloodbath.
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xyzzy
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/30/2009 9:11:52 PM | message detail
RE4 might not be able to take the lead over TP overnight if it builds up a big enough lead before the real night vote kicks in.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/30/2009 9:12:09 PM | message detail
Yeah, that one should be a good one. The biggest four games of the last five years right there.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
red sox 777 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:12:14 PM | message detail
As long as Brawl and TP kill each other next round, I'm fine with Brawl dominating tomorrow.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/30/2009 9:12:30 PM | message detail
RE4 definitely isn't getting any sort of lead on Twilight Princess.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
xp1337 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:12:36 PM | message detail
Brawl/RE4/TP/Brawl is gonna be a bloodbath.

I'm liking Brawl > Brawl, tbqh. >_>
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transience | Posted 5/30/2009 9:12:57 PM | message detail
er Brawl/MGS4/RE4/TP

I think TP's the least likely to place, even if I shouldn't.
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xyzzy
red sox 777 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:13:27 PM | message detail
Just wait until FFVII takes first and second in the final. That'll show Nintendo that people are angry with them!
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XxSoulxX | Posted 5/30/2009 9:13:31 PM | message detail
Brawl/RE4/TP/Brawl is gonna be a bloodbath.

I might be a little drunk right now, so please tell me I'm not the only one who sees two Brawl's in here?
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Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/30/2009 9:13:32 PM | message detail

From: transience | #175
Brawl/RE4/TP/Brawl is gonna be a bloodbath.


Such a Brawl fanboy.

Anyway, I wish that match turns crazy, but it's tough to envision TP beating Brawl now. Zelda or not, I doubt it can put up an insane 71% on Galaxy.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/30/2009 9:13:40 PM | message detail
I think TP will stand up fine to Brawl, for whatever the reason.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
charmander6000 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:13:43 PM | message detail
So how much does MGS4 > MGS3?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/30/2009 9:14:01 PM | message detail
Zelda or not, I doubt it can put up an insane 71% on Galaxy.

Galaxy is weaksauce. I can see it.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
red sox 777 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:15:06 PM | message detail
I think TP's the least likely to place, even if I shouldn't.

I think so too. RE4 and MGS4 are more likely to advance, not sure about which is more likely to advance or take first. Brawl and TP have a chance, but I think they're going to LFF pretty hard, and neither game is going to have a decisive SFF advantage.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/30/2009 9:15:35 PM | message detail
MGS3 with a stall. Oblivion going up.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
charmander6000 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:15:42 PM | message detail
Oblivion is going to make an epic comeback...
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 243/352
ZFS | Posted 5/30/2009 9:15:48 PM | message detail
MGS3 got this

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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/30/2009 9:15:53 PM | message detail
Alright if the next update is a cut I feel comfortable sounding the comeback clarion
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/30/2009 9:16:11 PM | message detail
ya'll ready for some oblivion
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/30/2009 9:16:14 PM | message detail
Oblivion, man. That game's for real.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/30/2009 9:16:29 PM | message detail
RE4 decided it would just phone it in for this match
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/30/2009 9:16:33 PM | message detail
If not sure why you people want MGS3 to win. TP/MGS3/Brawl/MGS4? Oh joy more Nintendo domination.

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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:17:02 PM | message detail
Oblivion's got this.
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/30/2009 9:17:11 PM | message detail
Exactly. Not sure why you MGS fans want 3 to win here, as it just about guarantees MGS4 loses next round.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/30/2009 9:17:19 PM | message detail
Oblviion may be the strongest Bethesda game. Gotta see how Fallout 3 looks tomorrow
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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/30/2009 9:17:33 PM | message detail
Also I have *really* big trouble seeing RE4 contend with MGS4 after this performance. Even if RE4 pulls away the rest of the match, MGS4 has just looked a flat-out ton stronger than MGS3 by nearly all level impressions.
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