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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 731

charmander6000 | Posted 5/28/2009 9:07:39 PM | message detail
What kind of lead would MGS need to weather the day vote? RBY doesn't have that great of one (comparatively), but it's still Pokemon vs. MGS.

I'll feel safe with 1500 by morning.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > MGS Points: 219/320
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 5/28/2009 9:07:56 PM | message detail
Heh, more people with FFVII in first this round than there were last round. Definitely helps a lot being one of the top two options.
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PiGuy96 | Posted 5/28/2009 9:08:10 PM | message detail
RBY looks good here, but MGS is far from out of it. FFVIII probably is, even with its awful board vote that's quite a deficit.

In the GS match, GS hung with MGS for the first five minutes and then promptly collapsed until the day. Last round, though, RBY was super Power Hour fueled.
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Xcarvenger | Posted 5/28/2009 9:08:12 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy VII 67.45% / 9.74%
Super Mario 64 28.20% / 6.45%

Best Game Ever with the bracket support !

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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 5/28/2009 9:08:16 PM | message detail
Think it's safe to say Pokemon comes in last here, or very close to it.

Looks like R/B/Y is out of this top 10 talk (thank god) and MGS is back into the top 5 talk
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/28/2009 9:08:26 PM | message detail
67.45% / 9.74%
28.20% / 6.45%

Lots of faith in FFVII
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > MGS Points: 219/320
L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 5/28/2009 9:08:38 PM | message detail
Sweet, up to #13 on the leaderboard.

Too bad I have Starcraft advancing, hahaha.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/28/2009 9:08:39 PM | message detail
it looks like we have zero true shows of fanbase overlap

RBY/GS?

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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/28/2009 9:08:47 PM | message detail
This Black Turtle post was endorsed by Kay Aitch
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/28/2009 9:09:00 PM | message detail

From: Lieutenant Kettch | #452
Heh, more people with FFVII in first this round than there were last round. Definitely helps a lot being one of the top two options.


I think this as well. Ocarina has been underperforming the whole contest.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/28/2009 9:09:02 PM | message detail
Pokemon did lead OoT for a brief. I caught these two poll results:

Metal Gear Solid 19.54% 17
Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow 39.08% 34
The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 25.29% 22
Final Fantasy VIII 16.09% 14
TOTAL VOTES 87

Metal Gear Solid 21.05% 32
Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow 29.61% 45
The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 34.87% 53
Final Fantasy VIII 14.47% 22
TOTAL VOTES 152

OoT quickly took the lead during that short amont of time.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/28/2009 9:09:17 PM | message detail
...That's uh, some spin there, BT.

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Lopen | Posted 5/28/2009 9:09:23 PM | message detail
Also: FFVII lookin better than OoT tbqh. Ocarina of Time more like No Chance To Survive Make Your Time.
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transience | Posted 5/28/2009 9:09:31 PM | message detail
yeah, that's one. I wonder how much it hurt RBY though - if MGS does indeed win this, it'll have only been hurt a few percent.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 9:09:36 PM | message detail

From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #455
Think it's safe to say Pokemon comes in last here, or very close to it.

Looks like R/B/Y is out of this top 10 talk (thank god) and MGS is back into the top 5 talk


<3 you turtle
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 5/28/2009 9:09:40 PM | message detail
And looks like FF7 > OoT is basically confirmed. I'd definitely take Mario/CT/Goldeneye over this pack, although it would be close.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 9:09:40 PM | message detail
Half expecting RBY to pull a Mario 64 and plummet like a rock from here though, on a serious note.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/28/2009 9:10:04 PM | message detail
Looks like R/B/Y is out of this top 10 talk (thank god) and MGS is back into the top 5 talk

MGS was never in Top 5 talk, but I hope whatever result we get puts the talk of MGS4 > MGS to rest. That one didn't seem very realistic to me.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
Drakzeel | Posted 5/28/2009 9:10:28 PM | message detail
FFVII wins yesterday and so far OoT is winning today. It's nice to know that GameFAQs loves overrated games.
transience | Posted 5/28/2009 9:10:31 PM | message detail
yeah, gimme MGS here with ease. I expect Ocarina to just tear everything apart come daytime.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/28/2009 9:10:40 PM | message detail
Good night FFVIII

Let's go MGS.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > MGS Points: 219/320
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 9:10:44 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #467
Half expecting RBY to pull a Mario 64 and plummet like a rock from here though, on a serious note.


So you expect it to win then?
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ZFS | Posted 5/28/2009 9:10:44 PM | message detail
Yeah, MGS should start cutting in the next few updates.

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GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/28/2009 9:10:47 PM | message detail
yep, there goes the plummet

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Today's prediction: Ocarinaz 38.62% - Orphanage 21.26% - Oak 20.42% - Otacon 19.70%
Status:
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 5/28/2009 9:10:59 PM | message detail
"MGS was never in Top 5 talk, but I hope whatever result we get puts the talk of MGS4 > MGS to rest. That one didn't seem very realistic to me."

...Cue MGS4 scoring 60% on its match. :P
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 9:11:04 PM | message detail
Yep, it begins.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/28/2009 9:11:40 PM | message detail
I'll feel better once MGS starts winning updates during the Power Hour (believe), but still feeling optimistic so far.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 9:11:41 PM | message detail
So you expect it to win then?

That's not what I said. Context, context, context.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/28/2009 9:11:42 PM | message detail
Man, only the Stats Topic can turn a gain into talk of doom and gloom!

(come on RBY)

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The Real Truth | Posted 5/28/2009 9:11:48 PM | message detail
Maybe I should have just voted for MGS.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 9:12:09 PM | message detail
Expecting OoT to probably stay about the same percentage is now once the match is done. OoT typically has a good early vote compared to other top games.
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Lopen | Posted 5/28/2009 9:12:13 PM | message detail
Eh. I wouldn't be so confident in MGS here. That was still a 19 vote gain. I expected Pokemon to drop a bit more than that honestly.
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transience | Posted 5/28/2009 9:12:48 PM | message detail
I still like MGS4 over MGS. this isn't really all that inspiring, beating a flop of a game and a game that's got a pretty bad opponent in OOT.

RBY for top 5 maybe
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 9:13:06 PM | message detail
MGS needs a 1500-2000 vote lead here overnight. Without another pokemon game in the poll, RBY should look a lot better at day I'd think.
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transience | Posted 5/28/2009 9:13:09 PM | message detail
the only thing that scares me is that MGS might have a lot of brackets.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/28/2009 9:13:39 PM | message detail
Looking at the Guru, brackets went Starcraft>MGS>>>>>everything else. So yes, it did have em'.

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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/28/2009 9:13:54 PM | message detail
I don't mean to disparage RBY's chances (okay, well, I do), but it had a monstrous Power Hour last time around. I'm okay with some vote gains, as long as the damage is kept to a minimum.
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ZFS | Posted 5/28/2009 9:14:19 PM | message detail
RBY for top 5 talk sounds like a 10 minute in reaction. Pokemon's going to drop hard from here on -- it did last round once we got out of the Power Hour, and I don't expect it to be any different here, especially with Ocarina around.

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charmander6000 | Posted 5/28/2009 9:14:20 PM | message detail
Eh. I wouldn't be so confident in MGS here. That was still a 19 vote gain. I expected Pokemon to drop a bit more than that honestly.

Considering RBY went from +54 to +19 MGS will at least lead at one point.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > MGS Points: 219/320
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/28/2009 9:14:48 PM | message detail
Actually, bracket went MGS>SC. Whoops.

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/28/2009 9:15:07 PM | message detail

From: transience | #483
I still like MGS4 over MGS. this isn't really all that inspiring, beating a flop of a game and a game that's got a pretty bad opponent in OOT.

RBY for top 5 maybe


Why though? It's not like MGS4 has gone above and beyond our expectations. I can buy it being the second strongest due to all the emotion it brought via ending the story arc, but above the original? It has to give Brawl a very respectable performance before I buy that.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
iGenesis | Posted 5/28/2009 9:15:13 PM | message detail
Have to agree with Drakzeel.

...Cue MGS4 scoring 60% on its match. :P

People tend to vote for series, not games. And MGS4 would be an easy finalist if it weren't for Smash (Brawl), which enjoys the advantage of having an extremely rabid, superficial fanbase that cares about character representation over actual gameplay quality and production values.
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L33t_Rappa_Sam | Posted 5/28/2009 9:15:20 PM | message detail
lol Pokemon.

Owned.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 5/28/2009 9:15:29 PM | message detail
Boom.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 9:15:31 PM | message detail
that update was a bit better
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Master Moltar | Posted 5/28/2009 9:15:35 PM | message detail
bad update
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Match 53 - Bracket: OoT > MGS - Vote: MGS (223/320)
FastFalcon05 | Posted 5/28/2009 9:15:40 PM | message detail
Looking at the Guru, brackets went Starcraft>MGS>>>>>everything else. So yes, it did have em'.

I think MGS has more Guru support for second than does Starcraft.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 9:15:40 PM | message detail
MGS's turn to plummet. OoT flying.
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MetricTrout | Posted 5/28/2009 9:15:45 PM | message detail
PokeFEAR
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/28/2009 9:15:46 PM | message detail
Damn MGS is going to get a beating during the power hour.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > MGS Points: 219/320