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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 730

transience | Posted 5/28/2009 6:39:32 AM | message detail
well, how much stronger is CT from FF6? unless you think the overlap really killed LTTP last match, you should be able to judge LTTP vs. Mario 64 like that.
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xyzzy
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/28/2009 6:45:53 AM | message detail
It's really hard to use Chrono Trigger here, last time it got 41.76% against Final Fantasy VII.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > CT Points: 211/304
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/28/2009 6:49:33 AM | message detail
5 straight gains from CT. It might actually win this hour over Mario. Looks like CT is trying to pull away with the DSV.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 6:58:51 AM | message detail
Huh, CT still has the lead. Figured it woulda given it up by now

And holy FF7
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/28/2009 6:59:08 AM | message detail
Time | CT
1:00 | 50.50%
2:00 | 52.86%
3:00 | 53.61%
4:00 | 52.06%
5:00 | 52.61%
6:00 | 49.00%
7:00 | 44.46%
8:00 | 45.05%
9:00 | 47.76%
10:00 | 49.70%

Looks like Chrono Trigger will survive until the ASV.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > CT Points: 211/304
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/28/2009 6:59:41 AM | message detail
CT trying to pad its lead ever so slightly with the DSV?

This reeks of Crono/Vincent '08 !!
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
paulg235 | Posted 5/28/2009 7:05:27 AM | message detail
*Blares Bowser's theme at MAX VOLUME*

Let's end this SM64.
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The Gamer In Me
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transience | Posted 5/28/2009 7:08:03 AM | message detail
time for Mario to jump in the lava
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yzzyx
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 7:10:00 AM | message detail
god CT you're pathetic
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The Mana Sword | Posted 5/28/2009 7:10:53 AM | message detail
It's 10am. Do you know where your children are?

(voting for Mario 64 on GameFAQs)
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 7:12:09 AM | message detail
Yeah, it looks like the difference in trends between weekends and weekdays may save Chrono Trigger until the ASV this time.

Although with Mario 64 still cutting like that, maybe not. At least it lasted longer this time. Mario 64 and CT are both under 35% on FFVII here, though with GoldenEye getting tripled here, the prospect of Mario 64/GE LFF is there. LTTP being there next round won't help it either.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 7:12:09 AM | message detail
So I think FF7 stays over 41% here

Its not like its dealing with a bunch of good day votes
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 7:12:42 AM | message detail
Yeah, it looks like the difference in trends between weekends and weekdays may save Chrono Trigger until the ASV this time.

haven't checked last 2 updates eh?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 7:13:01 AM | message detail
So I think FF7 stays over 41% here

Its not like its dealing with a bunch of good day votes


Mario's day vote is good. FFVII dropped a bunch last round for a reason. There were two Mario games in the poll.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 7:13:24 AM | message detail
haven't checked last 2 updates eh?

Read the entire post.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 7:15:18 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #214
So I think FF7 stays over 41% here

Its not like its dealing with a bunch of good day votes


Mario's day vote is good. FFVII dropped a bunch last round for a reason. There were two Mario games in the poll.


thats 2 mario games, and this match should have CT losing at least 1% from here on out, so FF7 has some wiggle room to stay over 41%
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 7:16:48 AM | message detail
And FFVII did the same drop the first round with one Mario game, too.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 7:19:09 AM | message detail
aww yeah ct "Rallies"
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/28/2009 7:19:12 AM | message detail
Chrono Trigger, you teaser.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > CT Points: 211/304
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 7:19:33 AM | message detail
And it looks like CT will stall out until the ASV. It'll probably just go back and forth. Even if Mario 64 takes a lead, I don't expect it to be a big one until around 3.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/28/2009 7:24:06 AM | message detail
Bold Prediction - Chrono Trigger wins the ASV
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 7:26:03 AM | message detail
I'd love for that to happen. Mario 64 was getting around 54% on CT during the day vote though, so it'd take some very...unusual.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 5/28/2009 7:27:55 AM | message detail
After all the Nintendo domination of the past few days, and with how ridiculous Chrono fans are...I wouldn't be surprised if we some something crazy here.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/28/2009 7:28:47 AM | message detail
Bold Prediction: Mario 64 wins by more than 1000 votes
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Today's prediction: Zolom 36.02% - Luigi 64 26.64% - Trigger 22.88% - Pierce Brosnan 14.46%
Status: meh
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/28/2009 7:29:11 AM | message detail
The hell is bold about that prediction.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
transience | Posted 5/28/2009 7:55:01 AM | message detail
bold prediction more like obvious prediction
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xyzzy
"Actually, fire didn't make Sephiroth awesome. Sephiroth made fire awesome." -Karma Hunter
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 5/28/2009 7:58:39 AM | message detail
I concur with the mana sword, CT will win the ASV!

BEIEVE!

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
Piazza | Posted 5/28/2009 7:58:50 AM | message detail
Look like SM64 will have the edge very shortly.
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People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring. ~ Rogers Hornsby
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/28/2009 8:20:10 AM | message detail
Chrono Trigger unstoppable.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
creativename | Posted 5/28/2009 8:31:59 AM | message detail
Blech, so it looks like even Chrono Trigger won't be able to save us from contest boringness.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 5/28/2009 8:34:47 AM | message detail
For some reason CT matches always crack me up. I don't know why because they're always exactly the same. We all know what's coming and we all still kinda hope it can hold on.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 8:43:17 AM | message detail
lol I'm listening to CT OST on random, and right when Magus theme comes on, theres a huge mario cut
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paulg235 | Posted 5/28/2009 8:44:35 AM | message detail
I wonder what happens when you play Robo's theme?
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The Gamer In Me
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paulg235 | Posted 5/28/2009 8:46:04 AM | message detail
The answer: Mario Cut

*Blares Dire Dire Docks*
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The Gamer In Me
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=158
RockMFR 5 | Posted 5/28/2009 8:58:44 AM | message detail
Crono, you tease!
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 9:07:26 AM | message detail
Yep, just a massive stall fest until 3.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 5/28/2009 9:08:02 AM | message detail
When CT DOMINATES.

Yeah.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
xp1337 | Posted 5/28/2009 9:08:32 AM | message detail
Yep, just a massive stall fest until 3.

Followed by CT winning the ASV. All these years, Crono was saving his energy for one climactic ASV push. This is that time.

...Or CT just falls off a cliff and loses by over a 1000. But that's not nearly as fun.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/28/2009 9:16:06 AM | message detail
Yeah, this is boring now.

POSSIBLE MATCH PICS FOR TONIGHT

KP Edition
http://img148.imageshack.us/img148/3608/r3pokemonrby.png
http://img154.imageshack.us/img154/9200/r3pokemonrby2.png
http://img196.imageshack.us/img196/1180/r3pokemonrby3.png
http://img132.imageshack.us/img132/7200/r3pokemonrby42.png

Zen Edition
http://img.imgcake.com/Zen/1998---2000.png

Anyone Else Edition
Who knows?

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The Mana Sword | Posted 5/28/2009 9:17:12 AM | message detail
Man, whenever we have massive stall everyone says "this would be so much more exciting it the lead was smaller", and now that it's happening it's still boring!
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/28/2009 9:18:17 AM | message detail
Everyone in the stats topic has been completely spoiled by this point. Nothing short of 1500+ vote comebacks makes anyone happy here anymore.

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xp1337 | Posted 5/28/2009 9:19:14 AM | message detail
Actually, it's boring because it's almost certain that the stall is actually pretty pointless because we all know CT is just going to collapse when the ASV comes.

Now, if this stall is still going on a fair deal into the ASV, I think things change significantly.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/28/2009 9:19:25 AM | message detail
Yeah, seriously. I still enjoy close matches, but everyone is like "boring" during every close match we have. What more do you want geez
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The Mana Sword | Posted 5/28/2009 9:19:35 AM | message detail
Oh, there will be a 1500 vote comeback today.

Just not until 11:00pm.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 9:22:14 AM | message detail
Nah, I'm pretty sure if CT stalled Mario 64 all throughout the ASV and still managed to win, people would still get excited. We're spoiled because we have knowledge of trends. When something completely defies the trends, then we take notice.
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__hiei__ | Posted 5/28/2009 9:24:13 AM | message detail
i think everyone's underestimatying the monster that FFVII is now. Ocarina would at best repeat its 2004 performance or maybe do worse,and i don't think LTTP is much stronger than mario 64 or CT.

to compare,at this point in its last match,mario was already 1115 votes ahead...now it's behind by 50,we'll see what happens.
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/28/2009 9:25:11 AM | message detail
Goldeneye CUT

comeback imminent
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
BOOMSHAKALAKA1 | Posted 5/28/2009 9:25:35 AM | message detail
man ff7 is destroying.. even if it goes down a %.. over 40% is incredible
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/28/2009 9:25:46 AM | message detail
FF7 is just taking advantage of a good situation. Note how Goldeneye is 8% lower than it was last round.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/28/2009 9:25:58 AM | message detail
And if FFVII falls, it'll probably fall to around 40.50% or so, I guess.
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