GameFAQs Contests

I still believe LttP will take first next round.. I believed it when i saw the bracket the first time and i still do now! .. I just don't see FFVII taking first next round with FFVI and Chrono Trigger(if it makes it)

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII

After this show by FFVII.....I think not. By the way, it looks like SM64 is SFFing Goldeneye a fair amount, as it's doing much worse against FFVII now, despite this poll being 2 Square games and 2 Nintendo games, while the last was 1 Square game and 3 Nintendo games.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

The way I see it, CT really doesn't bother FFVII that much because the overlap is not that large, and FFVI is going to get slaughtered.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

No, I think this more or less confirms what I said before the contest. There is no game on Earth, no matter what the SFF that will ever beat FF VII or OoT in a poll here, unless it is each other. 2 Nintendo/Square games dragging down the other while going against the second strongest Nintendo/Square game, and they will still win every time. Such completely different animals.
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DO YOU REALIZE THAT JACK BAUER JUST KILLED 3 MEN WHILE HANDCUFFED, BAREHANDED, DISEASED, DRUGGED AFTER HAVING A NEEDLE STUCK IN HIS NECK???

42 vote gain to push us over 400, and CT gains percentage too that time.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

But i also believe LttP to be quite a beast itself .. <.<

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII

Buh.

Goldeneye cut.

More updates like that SM64 plz
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http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.

SM64 just completely died that updated ..

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII

With competition like this Mario 64 is going to have one hell of a day vote
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

And I guess the important thing here is how Chrono Trigger does with the during school vote hours. If it doesn't make any lead progress there it loses by default
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

If it wants a 1500 vote lead by morning (6:00), Chrono Trigger needs to gain 27.61 votes per update.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

1500 by morning isn't happening, but CT doesn't need it, not with FFVII taking up over 40% of the votes by 6 AM. I'll feel fairly good about it with 1000 by 6 AM.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Well obviously there's no way it gets that before morning. It's only hope is to build one combining the night and the 10:00-15:00 hours. Hence why not doing anything there would mean auto-lose
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

I like how everyone in the stats topic is rooting for CT. This performance by FFVII is also more impressive than anything OoT has done thus far.

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I will bury you.

Like ten, no, FIFTEEN times more impressive.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

Aw yeah, GoldenEye cut Mario 64 a little bit ago.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

Considering CT's track record in 4-ways, I'd say it needs at least 1500 before the ASV in order to make me feel remotely confident. Some higher power going OM NOM NOM PERCENTAGE didn't stop Axel from coming back from more than that, nor did it stop (augh) Sandbag.
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http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/stayawhile.jpg
Stay a while and breathe me in.

I think its safe to say its going to get 1000 before morning. I just hope it can hold on enough in the morning to keep at least 500 then build it back up during the day
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://bulk.destructoid.com/ul/user/2/2784-66688-Pic1JPG-550x.jpg

And with the pure imbalance here with Mario 64 and the other games being nowhere near its ASV potential, I don't even know if 1500 would be enough
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

To be fair, the last few days have been nothing but Nintendo dominance and the greater vast majority ascertained that this is bull**** and decided to stick it to Nintendo
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I will bury you.

Yeah, but as good as Mario's day vote is, it's not as good as SSB's or KH's. And CT's day vote isn't as bad as Frog's or Magus's.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

SM64's day vote is not nearly as strong as that of KH or Smash, and CT's isn't as bad as Frog's or Magus's. 1500 would be safe, 1000 at 3 PM would be winnable even, but Mario would be the favorite in that case.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Hey we saw Paper Mario cream KH with the ASV. You never know
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Remember when SMB3 only gained like 1% against CT during the day?
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://bulk.destructoid.com/ul/user/2/2784-66688-Pic1JPG-550x.jpg

...wtf
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://bulk.destructoid.com/ul/user/2/2784-66688-Pic1JPG-550x.jpg

Well, CT only lost 3% to Mario with the day last round. Crono lost more to Sonic, Bowser, and Auron, among others.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Three hours into the poll, CT's lead was 404 and it had 51.20% on Mario 64. It peaked at 6:15 A.M. at 645.

Right now, CT leads by 432 and it has 51.88% on Mario 64.

Not much difference.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Crono_vs_Mario_2004

Remember the good ol' days of CT?
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://bulk.destructoid.com/ul/user/2/2784-66688-Pic1JPG-550x.jpg

Hey we saw Paper Mario cream KH with the ASV. You never know

Kingdom Hearts made sizable gains with the ASV in that match, too, last I checked.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

From: LeonhartFour | #127
Three hours into the poll, CT's lead was 404 and it had 51.20% on Mario 64. It peaked at 6:15 A.M. at 645.

Right now, CT leads by 432 and it has 51.88% on Mario 64.

Not much difference.

much lower percentages. the lead here it has is a much bigger deal
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://bulk.destructoid.com/ul/user/2/2784-66688-Pic1JPG-550x.jpg

Bad update, but we always get a fair share of those every match. CT is still doing about 1% better this hour than last round, pending the final update.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Mario cut. Uh oh.
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You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far.

Three hours into the poll, CT's lead was 404 and it had 51.20% on Mario 64. It peaked at 6:15 A.M. at 645.

Right now, CT leads by 432 and it has 51.88% on Mario 64.

Not much difference.


Wrong. There is a huge difference. CT has the same lead at 20%. Last round these games had 40%. 40% is greater than 20%.


What's happening here is FFVII and CT are working together. FFVII is cutting off all the oxygen for the rest of the games. SM64 cannot swing what it did last round because FFVII is obstructing it's path.

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I will bury you.

Well % comparisons take into account how much of a "bigger deal" it is. 51.88% Vs. 51.20% isn't really that much of a difference. Especially considering Mario 64 won by 4% in the end
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

That was Mario 64's best update since 20 minutes into the match. Probably an anomaly.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

Yep, Mario 64 back down to where it was before.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

The difference between 51.20% and 51.88% actually accounts for more than 1/3 of Mario's final winning margin last round. You also have to remember that 25 minutes in, CT was doing way worse than last round. That early vote hasn't melted away yet.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

That's true. CT has gained 582 votes on Mario 64 in 2 and a half hours. In five hours total, that'd be over 1000. CT won't keep up that pace though because of dead hours and Europe, but hey.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

Time | Last Round | This Round

1:00 | 50.22% | 50.51%
2:00 | 51.56% | 52.86%
3:00 | 52.64% | 53.61%

Projection: Super Mario 64 wins with 51.09%.

The projection is declining a bit too slowly for my liking.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

To be fair, the last few days have been nothing but Nintendo dominance and the greater vast majority ascertained that this is bull**** and decided to stick it to Nintendo

It's frequently overlooked that we only have results that support Nintendo dominance because that same vast majority prefers Nintendo games in general. Otherwise they wouldn't vote for it. And there would not be Nintendo dominance. That and outside people do not care about these contests as much as we do, barring the anomalous exceptions.




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One of the most troublesome things in life is that what you do or do not want has little to do with what does or does not happen. 4983-4640-3352 Brawl Code

CT is done. Night
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://bulk.destructoid.com/ul/user/2/2784-66688-Pic1JPG-550x.jpg

unless europe backs VII and removes 64's votes from that section,but SM64 likely has this.
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It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455

It's like you guys are ^5ing with every post... oh hey, don't mind me - I'm just thinking up ways to spin this for LttP!
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!

Yeah, no way does FFVII lose to Lttp even if CT and FFVI are there. Hell, throw in FFX and FFVIII and FFX too. FFVII still wins
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I will bury you.

CT's lead at 3 last time was 400. This time, it's 450.

But like I've said, last round was a much better position for Mario 64 than this one. 400 on a ready to charge Mario isn't as good as 450 on a clearly weakened Mario. Chrono Trigger is much happier with Goldeneye sucking Mario down and FF7 dominating than it is fighting with Mario 64 for first place. Mario's day vote will get weakened quite a lot by the monster day vote FF7 also has, and the same also works for CT's bad day vote. It might not be so bad when FF7 is there killing everything (side note: nice to say this, welcome back to the table FF7), and Mario 64 also has Goldeneye to worry about. This is a much better spot for CT to be in, and it's performing as such.

Is Mario 64 still the clear favorite given its day vote last time? Unquestionably. But there was literally nothing in Mario's way last time; now it has Goldeneye leeching it and FF7's day vote to deal with. Chrono is in a realistic place to win, but we have to see how the morning goes yet. I'm liking CT's chances a lot more now than I was two hours ago, I'll say that much.
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"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

From: hochiminhX | Posted: 5/28/2009 3:00:33 AM | #133
Three hours into the poll, CT's lead was 404 and it had 51.20% on Mario 64. It peaked at 6:15 A.M. at 645.

Right now, CT leads by 432 and it has 51.88% on Mario 64.

Not much difference.


Wrong. There is a huge difference. CT has the same lead at 20%. Last round these games had 40%. 40% is greater than 20%.


What's happening here is FFVII and CT are working together. FFVII is cutting off all the oxygen for the rest of the games. SM64 cannot swing what it did last round because FFVII is obstructing it's path.

Or you could be awesome and put it this way. Can I just have your babies now and get it over with? =p
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

FF7's monstrous day vote? It's actually pretty bad
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

If FFVII's ASV is what it's been the first two rounds, it won't be as dominant as this. I don't know what has happened to this game's ASV in the last year or so. The fact that FFVII lost its ASV dominance was basically why Crono beat Vincent last year. That was when Vincent crushed Crono in 2007.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

FFVII has dropped off about 4% in the ASV on average compared to what it got in the DSV both rounds, so yeah.
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From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 5/28/2009 3:10:10 AM | #147
FF7's monstrous day vote? It's actually pretty bad

Really? I recall FF7, Cloud and Sephiroth always starting bad, then rising to heaven all match. But you guys know more about recent trends than I do, so I'll take your word on it.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid