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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 730

MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/27/2009 10:37:38 PM | message detail
On a slightly different subject... I'm liking FF7 to hit 40% before the day here.
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SlikRick | Posted 5/27/2009 10:38:48 PM | message detail
CT was up 151 votes 2 updates ago.
CT dropped its percentage lead, but is now up 152 votes.
red sox 777 | Posted 5/27/2009 10:38:55 PM | message detail
In fact, as late as 7 AM or so, the main projection still showed a Vincent win by as much as 2007 (51.42%).
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/27/2009 10:42:16 PM | message detail
Hmm....Mario got a pretty big cut at the 1:50 update last round. After that it was smooth sailing for CT for about an hour.
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SlikRick | Posted 5/27/2009 10:42:24 PM | message detail
Up over 160 now.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/27/2009 10:42:57 PM | message detail
Bold Prediction

If CT isn't up by 500 by 3 AM, its done.
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FastFalcon05 | Posted 5/27/2009 10:44:24 PM | message detail
Not to derail the topic, but I still hate the Red Sox, especially since i go to school in Boston.

Either way, I'm glad this match is exciting!
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xp1337 | Posted 5/27/2009 10:46:24 PM | message detail
Gain of 28.

Now if only CT could do that consistently instead of stalling the next 20 minutes before putting up another update that makes it look like it's going to go on a run again.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
red sox 777 | Posted 5/27/2009 10:51:18 PM | message detail
Up over 200 we go. Last round, we were at 124 at this point, with more votes between CT and SM64.
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Brandon31577 | Posted 5/27/2009 10:51:25 PM | message detail
I think FFVII could beat obama
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KOTOR most game ever!
Julian_Caesar | Posted 5/27/2009 10:52:52 PM | message detail
Wow. In that last update, FFVII stole .1% off of Mario's percentage....and CT took the other .01%...

So much for SFF, at least for that update. If that trend continues then CT won't even need that large of a lead, with FFVII gobbling up so much of the remaining percentage...

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formerly known as The_LeppreKhan
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 5/27/2009 10:53:46 PM | message detail
that's the way, keep pulling the trigger consistently chrono! =)

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/27/2009 10:54:35 PM | message detail
Aren't most schools out?

Schools here are still in until Friday. The vote totals for the DSV are still much lower than those for the ASV, so it hasn't shifted to summer/weekend trends quite yet.

CT needs to move faster!
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/27/2009 10:54:59 PM | message detail
Time to reiterate this bold prediction again: FFVII is going to lose to ASV to CT tomorrow.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/27/2009 10:55:18 PM | message detail
And the thing is that Mario 64 really isn't doing any better than it has been since the first half hour of the match. FFVII is hindering CT's gains more than anything else right now.
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ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 5/27/2009 10:56:16 PM | message detail
38% barrier broken!

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/27/2009 10:56:23 PM | message detail
Speaking of which, FFVII goes out and gets a 44.5% update. Poor GoldenEye got an 11.80% update.
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ZFS | Posted 5/27/2009 10:56:37 PM | message detail
aw yeah

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deadeyedllv | Posted 5/27/2009 10:58:50 PM | message detail
Ok, next update is when CT really started taking off last match. If it doesn't this match, I'm officially calling this one.

Dammit, now I'm getting pulled into the delusional mindset of the CT diehards.
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You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far.
Julian_Caesar | Posted 5/27/2009 11:01:05 PM | message detail
and the lead keeps increasing....woot

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I'm gonna get me a backhoe and dig up da gold!...I wanna know where da gold at!
formerly known as The_LeppreKhan
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/27/2009 11:01:15 PM | message detail
CT gained 202 votes that hour. 4 more hours like that gives it an 800 or so lead, but it should do better in the up coming hours
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masseffect90 | Posted 5/27/2009 11:02:19 PM | message detail
Is there any point in getting excited for CT? We already know what will happen during the day.
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/27/2009 11:04:55 PM | message detail
Is there any point in getting excited for CT? We already know what will happen during the day.

Keep telling yourself that!

Seriously, Mario 64 has looked downright pathetic for the last 90 minutes.

Maybe my Yoshi's Island theory was correct!

Oh and Smurf: Enough evidence that FFVII and CT don't bother each other for you?
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/27/2009 11:05:21 PM | message detail
CT finishes with a gain of 202 votes that hour.

Chrono Trigger by the hour:

Time | Last Round | This Round

1:00 | 50.22% | 50.51%
2:00 | 51.56% | 52.86%

Current Projection: Super Mario 64 wins with 51.16%.
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ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 5/27/2009 11:06:02 PM | message detail
FFVII just is wrecking it now ..
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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
LordTMax | Posted 5/27/2009 11:06:20 PM | message detail
FF7 is reaching 40 %
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CT For Best game ever.
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/27/2009 11:06:34 PM | message detail
Although really, the only thing stopping CT from opening up on Mario 64 right now IS Final Fantasy VII. Those 45% updates don't give CT much wiggle room!
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/27/2009 11:06:36 PM | message detail
Yeah, FFVII, where were you these past 2 years? Glad to see you back though!
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Meeks54 | Posted 5/27/2009 11:06:39 PM | message detail
Barrett: "There ain't no getting off this train we're on."


Yeah, the FF VII>CT train


BELIEVE!!!


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deadeyedllv | Posted 5/27/2009 11:08:06 PM | message detail
A decent gain followed by another disappointing gain. If CT keeps acting like this it's gonna be up by less votes than it was last match within 3 or 4 updates. Not good.
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You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far.
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 5/27/2009 11:09:39 PM | message detail
Chrono Trigger having to fight the night vote with FFVII isn't doing it any good ..

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/27/2009 11:10:27 PM | message detail
FF7 being there to suck up all the percentage can help CT also, though. There shouldn't be huge percentage swings.
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ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 5/27/2009 11:12:22 PM | message detail
Looking very grim for chrono trigger ..

*Buys to more surround sound speakers* and continues blasting Frog's theme!

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
deadeyedllv | Posted 5/27/2009 11:12:26 PM | message detail
2 measly votes.
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You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far.
red sox 777 | Posted 5/27/2009 11:13:21 PM | message detail
FFVII is going to kill everything in a couple of hours. 3 games that are horrible in Europe up against the FFVII Total Domination Zone. Then it will stop rising, and a few hours later lose lots of ground with the ASV.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/27/2009 11:13:38 PM | message detail
Didn't Chrono Trigger lose the lead during the ASV last time?

Will GoldenEye split the ASV with Super Mario 64, causing Chrono Trigger to advance?

Of course, I wish that both Chrono Trigger and Mario 64 could move on. Oh well, 16 points for my bracket! (next thing we know, Mario 64 is going to take the lead during the ASV).
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 5/27/2009 11:14:35 PM | message detail
Pretty sure Mario 64 took the lead from CT around 9:30 AM.
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xp1337 | Posted 5/27/2009 11:22:57 PM | message detail
Horrible update for SM64 there, Goldeneye was 13 votes away from a cut.

A shame that CT can only take advantage of it with a gain of 27, though.
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SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
HaRRicH | Posted 5/27/2009 11:25:45 PM | message detail
Maybe my Yoshi's Island theory was correct!

I was pushing for the theory first, hands off!


I guess you just can't touch the core CT fanbase; I was hoping SM64 could be doing better here. That said, whoever said FF7's taking any big gains CT could be making is probably right...just don't forget that means FF7'll be fighting CT in the ASV too, and that battle should look a lot worse than their battle right now. I still like SM64 here, but it's not a gimme.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/27/2009 11:26:56 PM | message detail
over 48% update for FF7 there. Its gonna be hitting 50% during europe for sure
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ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 5/27/2009 11:27:31 PM | message detail
Just keep it like that trigger!

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
red sox 777 | Posted 5/27/2009 11:28:03 PM | message detail
You're finished, NintendoFAQs!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/27/2009 11:29:26 PM | message detail
i love how CT can gain 29 while still going down in %
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/27/2009 11:31:07 PM | message detail
Ahead by 0.53%. AND I VOTED FOR CHRONO FREAKING TRIGGER.
red sox 777 | Posted 5/27/2009 11:34:03 PM | message detail
FFVII has doubled SM64 8 of the last 9 updates.
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deadeyedllv | Posted 5/27/2009 11:35:01 PM | message detail
Eh I'm not as optimistic about CT right now. I think within the next update or two it will be ahead by less than it was the same time last match. I don't buy the Goldeneye leeching from Mario theory at all, and Mario is gonna be a beast (at least compared to CT) during the day/ASV. Unless CT really makes a move, this one is over folks.
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You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far.
FastFalcon05 | Posted 5/27/2009 11:35:11 PM | message detail
I'm torn on how to feel for SM64 here. On one hand it's doing a touch worse than it was doing last time, but on the other there are about 3000 more votes so you'd expect the leads to be a bit larger/more dramatic. Of course that's all irrelevant when you factor in that FFVII's in this poll, so last round's numbers may not mean anything at all...

I know the way out is to look at percentages, but still, it's intriguing...
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One of the most troublesome things in life is that what you do or do not want has little to do with what does or does not happen. 4983-4640-3352 Brawl Code
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/27/2009 11:36:03 PM | message detail
39%
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/27/2009 11:36:48 PM | message detail
Assuming CT holds on, does anyone give LttP a decent shot for first?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/27/2009 11:37:45 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #099
Assuming CT holds on, does anyone give LttP a decent shot for first?


Before today, I would have said yes. But after seeing FF7 do this? No.
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