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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 725

MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/23/2009 9:06:41 PM | message detail
Hey, Fallout 3 stalled at the end
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:07:50 PM | message detail
35.94% / 16.30%
32.45% / 17.67%

Pretty standard.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > Fallout 3 Points: 163/248
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/23/2009 9:07:51 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3492&region=ASI

Asia votes never cease to amaze. GTA > SSBB
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/23/2009 9:09:39 PM | message detail
Portal's at 36% and dropping though. I'll ask again - Portal or Half-Life 2?

Half-Life 2, easily. I don't see any reason Portal wins that.
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transience | Posted 5/23/2009 9:10:20 PM | message detail
I thought there'd be a couple of takers for Portal. guess not.

aww yeah bumpo back on the leaderboard, gg ZFS
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xyzzy
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/23/2009 9:10:22 PM | message detail
MGS4 is solid here for a big win

next
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/23/2009 9:10:22 PM | message detail
MGS4 and Portal...went up?
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:10:39 PM | message detail
Interesting that Portal's percent went up.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > Fallout 3 Points: 163/248
red sox 777 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:10:46 PM | message detail
Fallout and Halo won the board vote?
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:10:59 PM | message detail
darn you failout
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ZFS | Posted 5/23/2009 9:11:00 PM | message detail
damn you bumpo

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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/23/2009 9:11:12 PM | message detail
HL2 would stomp Portal.

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/23/2009 9:11:22 PM | message detail
Good lord, Halo.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/23/2009 9:11:29 PM | message detail
I'd give HL2 a 60% win on Portal.
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xp1337 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:11:45 PM | message detail
Fallout and Halo won the board vote?

MicrosoftFAQs confirmed imo.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
charmander6000 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:11:53 PM | message detail
Fallout and Halo won the board vote?

Fallout 3 has brackets and Halo for whatever reason does well during the board vote as well. I blame the casual bracket voters.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > Fallout 3 Points: 163/248
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/23/2009 9:12:05 PM | message detail
I wouldn't worry about Fallout 3 looking horrible here. It's had a bad board vote in both the GotY and in its round 1 match. It should rise once the Portal board vote starts wearing off.
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:12:22 PM | message detail
HL2 over Portal, easily. As Halo is flopping again, I ask once more: Magus or Master Chief?
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transience | Posted 5/23/2009 9:12:51 PM | message detail
it'll change, but 59% on Fallout 3 or 62% on COD4?
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xyzzy
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/23/2009 9:13:02 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #368
HL2 over Portal, easily. As Halo is flopping again, I ask once more: Magus or Master Chief?


Gotta still give it to Master Chief. Thought we could see the biggest asv comeback EVER.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:13:50 PM | message detail
For those wondering Fallout 3 got 47.5% against MGS4 during the GotY (final) poll.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > Fallout 3 Points: 163/248
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/23/2009 9:14:22 PM | message detail
I'm thinking Fallout 3 still ends up about 45% on MGS4 here.
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xp1337 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:14:42 PM | message detail
Thought we could see the biggest asv comeback EVER.

...What kind of lead would Magus need to be safe? 5000?
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/23/2009 9:14:57 PM | message detail
Gotta still give it to Master Chief. Thought we could see the biggest asv comeback EVER.

I doubt MC even needs a comeback to beat Magus at this point, honestly.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/23/2009 9:15:36 PM | message detail
why is portal still going up ...
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/23/2009 9:16:07 PM | message detail
Portal is beasting. Very nice.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:16:22 PM | message detail
Not So Bold Prediction: Fallout 3 will be doubled by MGS4 if another games contest is held next year.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > Fallout 3 Points: 163/248
red sox 777 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:16:25 PM | message detail
In 1v1, I'm not sure even that would be safe. Let's see....Sandbag swung 2500 on Magus from 2200 down last year with Magus/Sandbag taking up half the votes. So, make it a 1v1 match and you double the votes.....
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ZFS | Posted 5/23/2009 9:17:15 PM | message detail
Given that Magus lost to a Sandbag, I gotta figure that Master Chief wins that match pretty easy. Halo games bombing doesn't mean Chief does any worse than he did last contest. Run this contest during late 2008 and Halo is still this weak.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/23/2009 9:18:03 PM | message detail
Portal is doing 5% better on MGS4 compared to last round. That will change, but this could end up being a textbook example of hardcore fanbases at work.

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/23/2009 9:18:22 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
red sox 777 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:18:26 PM | message detail
I doubt MC even needs a comeback to beat Magus at this point, honestly.

You underestimate Chief's capacity for failure! Magus may prevail in failing more in the end, but Chief will show us 15 good hours of embarassment first!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/23/2009 9:19:02 PM | message detail
Portal is doing 5% better on MGS4 compared to last round.

Try 1% and will inevitably go down after the Power Hour.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/23/2009 9:19:04 PM | message detail
Also, its not like Master Chief is fodder. Sure hes not at his 2007 levels, but he's still a solid midcarder. Magus however...
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:19:33 PM | message detail
Portal is doing 5% better on MGS4 compared to last round. That will change, but this could end up being a textbook example of hardcore fanbases at work.

???

Portal is only doing 1% better
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > Fallout 3 Points: 163/248
transience | Posted 5/23/2009 9:19:41 PM | message detail
solid midcarder more like losing updates to Raiden
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oh god here comes Kleenex
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:19:58 PM | message detail
damn you transience
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Master Moltar | Posted 5/23/2009 9:20:16 PM | message detail
raiden's a beast
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 48 - Bracket: MGS4 > F3 - Vote: MGS4 (167/248)
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/23/2009 9:20:16 PM | message detail
Didn't Mario lose updates to Shadow?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/23/2009 9:20:29 PM | message detail
Haha, Portal just stalled Fallout 3.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:20:41 PM | message detail
Portal almost got a cut there.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > Fallout 3 Points: 163/248
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/23/2009 9:20:49 PM | message detail
... Fallout 3 might not be safe.
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Master Moltar | Posted 5/23/2009 9:21:01 PM | message detail
and wow portal stalling fallout 3

good show (for now)!
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 48 - Bracket: MGS4 > F3 - Vote: MGS4 (167/248)
ZFS | Posted 5/23/2009 9:21:03 PM | message detail
Failout 3

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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:21:04 PM | message detail
Portal's being mean, getting its fans' hopes up. :(
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/23/2009 9:21:09 PM | message detail
Whoops, read it wrong.

*refresh*

Hah. Go Portal.

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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 5/23/2009 9:21:19 PM | message detail
13 people fell off the Top 50 today. Aecioo, Petter_S, thedragon31, sweats42, Gigaduckman, Naruto_kun84, Tendo128, Xeybozn, fatwhitecat, SingToMe14, kangle5411, Xcarvenger and ZFS did not have SSBB > CoD4 as yesterday's winners.

24 people scored half points and lived. Current first place menji76, _gloomy, K1lr0y, Mirrorzzz, Xcarvengerx, JimmyBo1515, Gavin_Sykes, TheMaskedLemon, MajorMitch, FinalFantasyVIl, Whuzatt, Takfloyd_mkII__, Tirofog, mentalmike_2000, Gaddswell, DarkEvilShadow, xXWarchiefXx, Megamanz777, Ludwig_Von_3, Ludwig_Von_6, Some_Character, Balloonatic, CraZyDaVey31 and AndrewWarner also did not have SSBB > CoD4 as yesterday's winners.

4 people scored quarter points and lived. tiduslx, swrdof1000trths, 80Starfire08 and Dracosage had something vaguely similar to SSBB > CoD4 as yesterday's winners.

2 people didn't score any points at all and lived. FinalFantasyXV and Jufes had neither SSBB nor CoD4 advancing yesterday. I wonder what they had.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/23/2009 9:21:40 PM | message detail
http://gamingnirvana.files.wordpress.com/2008/11/failout3copy1.jpg
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xp1337 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:22:27 PM | message detail
Oh, I don't think Magus could keep that match competitive past the board vote, but it's just amusing to think that Magus could go into the day with a lead of 5000 and lose.

However, MC could pull a trick out of his "I almost lost to Felix" book and give Magus a run.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
charmander6000 | Posted 5/23/2009 9:23:13 PM | message detail
Don't worry Fallout 3 has the morning vote...
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > Fallout 3 Points: 163/248