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Contest Stats and Discussion -Part 724

Denzokuken | Posted 5/22/2009 12:02:31 PM | message detail
lol what is KH2 doing...you're chasing Resi 4, not Half-Life 2, Sora!
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:03:04 PM | message detail
and thats it, I think

If RE4 is getting 50 vote gains now, its done

Good show RE4


You're not going to jump ship so easily, captain.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
ScorpioVS | Posted 5/22/2009 12:03:38 PM | message detail
If RE4 comes back that would make this the best ASV ever.

But it won't.
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Dark Defender
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/22/2009 12:03:50 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #052
and thats it, I think

If RE4 is getting 50 vote gains now, its done

Good show RE4


You're not going to jump ship so easily, captain.


Why not? I was expecting KH to already be making constant cuts at this time if it stood a chance. 50 vote gains shows it doesn't have the asv to pull this off.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v212/gelupeh/axel_post_top2.png
__Smurf__ | Posted 5/22/2009 12:04:24 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #049
If people argue with me, I'm not just gonna back down! If others back down, I would too.


That'd be a lot more credible if you actually had legitimate grounds for your argument. Maybe try admitting you don't quite know as much as you thought about trends, maybe don't throw wild predictions around so often. Maybe?
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:04:26 PM | message detail
If RE4 comes back that would make this the best ASV ever.

You're damn right it will be.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
HaRRicH | Posted 5/22/2009 12:05:02 PM | message detail
From 3:00 PM until the end of KH2/RE4 last round, RE4's lead went from 736 to 725; KH2 only cut eleven votes. Weekend or not, RE4's up by 2,000 now and LoZ:TP is also strong enough with the ASV. KH2 is out.
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/22/2009 12:05:28 PM | message detail
I can admit I was wrong about this match. You can all laugh at me if you want.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v212/gelupeh/axel_post_top2.png
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:05:36 PM | message detail
Why not? I was expecting KH to already be making constant cuts at this time if it stood a chance. 50 vote gains shows it doesn't have the asv to pull this off.

You said 2000 votes, here it is.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/22/2009 12:05:45 PM | message detail
Heh, looks like TP decided that it's going to rule the ASV today.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:07:38 PM | message detail
From 3:00 PM until the end of KH2/RE4 last round, RE4's lead went from 736 to 725; KH2 only cut eleven votes. Weekend or not, RE4's up by 2,000 now and LoZ:TP is also strong enough with the ASV. KH2 is out.

The ASV is stretched across the day and is probably done by 3:00.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
KingButz | Posted 5/22/2009 12:07:44 PM | message detail
Albion, KHII only made up what, like 450 or something votes in the ASV last round. This is impossible.
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My Japanese alter-ego.
Butz: FFV, not Larry.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/22/2009 12:07:51 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #059
Why not? I was expecting KH to already be making constant cuts at this time if it stood a chance. 50 vote gains shows it doesn't have the asv to pull this off.

You said 2000 votes, here it is.


I also said earlier in the topic if it gets to 2000, I feel RE4 is safe. Lemme try to find that post
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v212/gelupeh/axel_post_top2.png
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:08:20 PM | message detail
Albion, KHII only made up what, like 450 or something votes in the ASV last round. This is impossible.

To his defence it was a weekend match.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:09:11 PM | message detail
I also said earlier in the topic if it gets to 2000, I feel RE4 is safe. Lemme try to find that post

You seemed pretty confident at 1954, not much of a difference.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/22/2009 12:09:19 PM | message detail
We have another big match coming up in nine hours. I've got Brawl > CoD4, and while I'm feeling confident that those two will advance, I don't have any idea about the order.
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Yoblazer: http://i37.tinypic.com/x1d2s9.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/22/2009 12:09:52 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/detail.php?board=8&topic=49606440&message=543882789
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v212/gelupeh/axel_post_top2.png
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/22/2009 12:11:33 PM | message detail
CoD4 is going to destroy that poll, plain and simple.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:12:43 PM | message detail
CoD4 is going to destroy that poll, plain and simple.

More like Galaxy is weak and will lose to GTAIV here.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/22/2009 12:13:59 PM | message detail
We're not sure how GTAIV is going to affect it. Those two games target a pretty similar audience and have been released on both the 360 and PS3. It might not have as much relative overlap as TF2 because of the genres, but it is a significantly stronger game. Plus, CoD4 did have a very nice fanbase split to its advantage last time. If enough Nintendo fans jump off Galaxy's ship, I could see Brawl competing.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
transience | Posted 5/22/2009 12:14:44 PM | message detail
tomorrow's match is a mess. it'd be pretty amazing to see Brawl lose out to Galaxy after what happened last round, but I guess it's possible.
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yzzyx
transience | Posted 5/22/2009 12:15:25 PM | message detail
check out this killer KH day vote
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xyzzy
http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg
Karma Hunter | Posted 5/22/2009 12:17:17 PM | message detail
Yeah, this is all between RE4 and TP now (yes, I'm still holding out hope - ooh! another good cut)
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turnturnturn your brain in
http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:18:20 PM | message detail
If Brawl is weaker than Galaxy Call of Duty 4 has a chance to make the finals.

CoD4/Galaxy/MGS4/FO3 - If Brawl is weak so are the other two.
CoD4/Galaxy/TP/RE4 - CoD4 is the odd one, plus Galaxy/TP kill off each other
CoD4/RE4/OoT/SSBM - If FFVIII advances and kills off FFX we could have this which means CoD4 only has RE4 stopping it from reaching the finals.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/22/2009 12:19:22 PM | message detail
If I were to make a bold prediction here, I'd say that RE4 is looking golden to make the semifinals. That Brawl/TP split will be huge, and MGS4 is going to have to really prove to me that it has chops. It'll need to do that against Brawl, not the entire Xbox 360 library while its overlapping.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Karma Hunter | Posted 5/22/2009 12:22:00 PM | message detail
CoD4/RE4/OoT/SSBM - If FFVIII advances and kills off FFX we could have this which means CoD4 only has RE4 stopping it from reaching the finals.

Of which there would be zero chance of happening. CoD4 beat a split SMG, RE4 is going toe to toe with this generation's Zelda.
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turnturnturn your brain in
http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg
ChronicBoom | Posted 5/22/2009 12:23:23 PM | message detail
Holy ****... RE4 has actually been winning a good portion of the match? Damn you kiddies...

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He who shall not be named.
transience | Posted 5/22/2009 12:23:34 PM | message detail
COD4 needs to show it beat Fallout 3 tonight before you can even entertain talk like that.
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xyzzy
XIII_rocks | Posted 5/22/2009 12:23:42 PM | message detail
RE4 in second still looking sweet >_>
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Justice for FD
"This topic is now about Renee Walker aka Rack Bauer." - LostHisHardcore http://i39.tinypic.com/2ps1s76.jpg
XIII_rocks | Posted 5/22/2009 12:23:53 PM | message detail
(overall second, that is)
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Justice for FD
"This topic is now about Renee Walker aka Rack Bauer." - LostHisHardcore http://i39.tinypic.com/2ps1s76.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:23:54 PM | message detail
Of which there would be zero chance of happening. CoD4 beat a split SMG, RE4 is going toe to toe with this generation's Zelda.

Not zero, but I do find it funny that CoD4 could make the semi-finals if the 2k8 games turn out to be a dud.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:25:07 PM | message detail
COD4 needs to show it beat Fallout 3 tonight before you can even entertain talk like that.

You just said that Galaxy beating Brawl was a possibility, personally I think Galaxy has 0 chance against Brawl.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/22/2009 12:27:01 PM | message detail
The only thing I'd call a certainty about tonight's match is GTA not advancing. Brawl is the overwhelming favorite against Galaxy, obviously, but I still wouldn't call that a sure thing. SFF can be weird, remember.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:28:45 PM | message detail
The only thing I'd call a certainty about tonight's match is GTA not advancing. Brawl is the overwhelming favorite against Galaxy, obviously, but I still wouldn't call that a sure thing. SFF can be weird, remember.

It'd have to be rSFF for that to happen.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:30:43 PM | message detail
Looks like KHII's ASV is starting to kick in.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
SonicRaptor | Posted 5/22/2009 12:33:10 PM | message detail
COD4 needs to show it beat Fallout 3 tonight before you can even entertain talk like that.

After it's first match, there is no doubt in my mind that CoD4 can take out Fallout 3.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/22/2009 12:34:04 PM | message detail

From: SonicRaptor | #086
COD4 needs to show it beat Fallout 3 tonight before you can even entertain talk like that.

After it's first match, there is no doubt in my mind that CoD4 can take out Fallout 3.


So you'd have CoD4 at Brawl/MGS4 level then?
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v212/gelupeh/axel_post_top2.png
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/22/2009 12:40:45 PM | message detail
40 vote cut... hmm.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v212/gelupeh/axel_post_top2.png
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:40:56 PM | message detail
Looks like KHII is kicking it to high gear.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
ShatteredElysium | Posted 5/22/2009 12:41:53 PM | message detail
Now there's a meaningful cut. Not that i think the comeback is on but we need some more of the same just to make things interesting if nothing else.
Big Bob | Posted 5/22/2009 12:45:23 PM | message detail
More like Brawl & Portal escaping the division.

What? I think it's safe to take an upset simply due to the fact that something is going to go horribly wrong somewhere.
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http://backloggery.com/big_bob
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/22/2009 12:50:53 PM | message detail
KH2 will probably cut about 1k here or so. No where near enough.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v212/gelupeh/axel_post_top2.png
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 12:56:30 PM | message detail
RE4's ASV is better than I thought, even TP isn't rising like crazy.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/22/2009 12:57:31 PM | message detail
I think its more of TPs ASV not being that great. RE4 has still lost .10% in the last hour, but TP has only gained .05%
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v212/gelupeh/axel_post_top2.png
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/22/2009 12:58:36 PM | message detail

From: transience | Posted: 5/22/2009 2:39:28 PM | #030
also Albion is just screwing around and doesn't actually believe what he posts

that's why most people don't even read it


Albion is actually a really cool guy if you get to know him, you just have to ignore the obvious "haha just screwin with you guys" stuff.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
HaRRicH | Posted 5/22/2009 12:58:45 PM | message detail
Look for CoD4 to impress again tomorrow. SSBB > D/P, but I'm pretty sure the people expecting it to beat CoD4 with SMG in the poll are crazy. SMG lost by 7% with D/P in the poll and it's not like SSBB blew away expectations in R1; it still did worse against Persona 4 and GTA4 than it did in the GotY-polls this year, and it only killed SF4 because SF4 bombed. CoD4 will win.

I still think SMG's got a decent shot for second place, though SSBB's gotta be the fave. If CoD4 ~= FO3 and SMG can still beat CoD4 one-on-one, then SSBB/SMG should be close enough where it's all about how the SFF lies. SMG's probably more unanimously liked than SSBB and we know SMB > SSB, so it's not impossible and should still be pretty close. Don't let D/P fool you -- I really don't think SSBB could have pulled away from it much better than SMG did, considering what we've seen from Pokemon this contest...

...but the board vote is going to crush SMG very early anyway; it will have to make a comeback and prepare to survive the ASV with its night-vote if their trends up up, and I don't think SMG can do it if SSBB comes out swinging particularly strong (on top of this board and brackets).
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 1:01:01 PM | message detail
Albion is actually a really cool guy if you get to know him, you just have to ignore the obvious "haha just screwin with you guys" stuff.

While he sometimes screws with us he's not exactly done his homework when it comes to trends.

He's a pretty cool guy though.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
charmander6000 | Posted 5/22/2009 1:02:16 PM | message detail
14:00 | 53.70%
15:00 | 52.36%
16:00 | 48.67%

A nice jump by KHII.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/22/2009 1:03:17 PM | message detail
At this point the only way KH stands any type of chance is if it gets like 55% hours from now on.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v212/gelupeh/axel_post_top2.png
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/22/2009 1:06:44 PM | message detail
If CoD4 ~= FO3

I think you're stretching it with this one, but maybe I'm wrong. I wouldn't expect it though.

SMG's probably more unanimously liked than SSBB

If it was, it'd beat SSBB tomorrow.

And it probably won't.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif