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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 723

-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/21/2009 9:15:04 PM | message detail
Looks like RE4 > TP won't hold :(

It could very well hold. TP will do bad overnight and RE4 is looking to rise during that time period, plus RE4 is about the only European-friendly option here.
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/21/2009 9:15:05 PM | message detail
RE4 > MGS4 looking good.
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ZFS | Posted 5/21/2009 9:15:32 PM | message detail
Time to let go, RE4

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Gaddswell | Posted 5/21/2009 9:15:45 PM | message detail
Well, at least Leon's still holding!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/21/2009 9:15:45 PM | message detail
KHII and TP are rising, RE4 is falling. I think KHII is basically out of this though.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/21/2009 9:15:55 PM | message detail
At this time RE4's lead last round was 137
Now it is 179

I'm liking this already.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/21/2009 9:15:58 PM | message detail
RE4 goes down and down and down
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Today's prediction: Twilight 30.07% - Riku+Sora yaoi 26.24% - Shoot them in the head! 25.96% - HL2 17.73%
Status:
MegatokyoEd | Posted 5/21/2009 9:16:43 PM | message detail
RE4 is trying to hold on the best it can.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
creativename | Posted 5/21/2009 9:16:44 PM | message detail
9.79% / 13.19%
8.26% / 9.17%

No love for either game.


...whaaaaaaaaat
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/21/2009 9:16:57 PM | message detail
I've also got RE4 > TP. I didn't put much faith in Brawl and MGS4. I still don't, especially MGS4.

Same here plus Brawl will probably take last in that match.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
Gr8CyberMonkey | Posted 5/21/2009 9:16:58 PM | message detail
Almost the exact same % two updates in a row.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/21/2009 9:17:04 PM | message detail
For the record, RE4's trends were relatively even, but the Power Hour and the first night vote were easily its best time. TP didn't really drop off that much with the night vote, but it dominated the ASV. If it's close in the afternoon, TP's got it.
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ffmasterjose | Posted 5/21/2009 9:17:21 PM | message detail
Hang in there Leon, rain or shine rain or shine!
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162/232 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Resident Evil 4 > Zelda: TP | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/21/2009 9:18:09 PM | message detail
KH2 still has shot I think.
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xp1337 | Posted 5/21/2009 9:18:25 PM | message detail
TP will do bad overnight and RE4 is looking to rise during that time period, plus RE4 is about the only European-friendly option here.

TP drops during the night, but RE4 dropped in the morning last time and TP rose.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/21/2009 9:18:48 PM | message detail
RE4 may take the lead at night, but it's looking good right now and will win it with the ASV.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
creativename | Posted 5/21/2009 9:18:53 PM | message detail
It's much too early to know what the hell is going to happen in this match.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/21/2009 9:19:07 PM | message detail
KHII's gonna be down too far when the ASV rolls around at this rate. Its only hope is that it could catch RE4 'cause TP's ASV is too good to let KHII make a huge comeback, but it couldn't even do that last round.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/21/2009 9:19:08 PM | message detail
RE4 > MGS4 looking good.

Hey, that's what I got. I have RE4 > TP again next round, then RE4 > MGS4 in round 4.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/21/2009 9:20:28 PM | message detail
Hey, good update for RE4. Man, KHII had a really bad board vote. It's gaining percentage in chunks right now.
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creativename | Posted 5/21/2009 9:20:38 PM | message detail
I have RE4>MGS4 in my bracket, but it's way too premature to even guess what the hell is going to happen in that quarterfinal match in the chain reaction fest of a contest.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/21/2009 9:20:52 PM | message detail
At this time RE4's lead last round was 194
Now it is 207

Nice increase by RE4 against TP.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232
The Real Truth | Posted 5/21/2009 9:20:56 PM | message detail
NOT SO FAST
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 5/21/2009 9:21:00 PM | message detail
RE4 gets a decent gain while KH2 stalls TP!
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Demyx is better than Axel.
ZFS | Posted 5/21/2009 9:21:02 PM | message detail
RE4 hax must be yoblazer

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Gaddswell | Posted 5/21/2009 9:21:05 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #062
For the record, RE4's trends were relatively even, but the Power Hour and the first night vote were easily its best time. TP didn't really drop off that much with the night vote, but it dominated the ASV. If it's close in the afternoon, TP's got it.


But RE4 had to deal with KH2 and Gears last round while TP had Phoenix Wright and FF12. If RE4 held steady then, maybe it can hold steady here too.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/21/2009 9:21:08 PM | message detail
KHII stall!
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Master Moltar | Posted 5/21/2009 9:21:19 PM | message detail
KH2 is still in this for now.

Wrong way TP! Also, I doubt RE4 does as well as it did last round during the day.
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Match 46 - Bracket: TP > RE4 - Vote: RE4 (155/232)
ffmasterjose | Posted 5/21/2009 9:22:10 PM | message detail
RE4 not ready to let go of the lead just yet!
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162/232 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Resident Evil 4 > Zelda: TP | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
red sox 777 | Posted 5/21/2009 9:22:46 PM | message detail
Nintendo Early Vote winding down, TP only gains 4 on KH2. Hmm....I think what I'd like most would be for TP to barely survive a KH ASV comeback tomorrow.
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FastFalcon05 | Posted 5/21/2009 9:23:09 PM | message detail
Is gamefaqscontests.com not working for anyone else, or is it just me right now?
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creativename | Posted 5/21/2009 9:23:52 PM | message detail
I'm still floored at how low MGS3's prediction percentage. We could've figured it wasn't going to be great but that...I mean what I just don't get it. How is it THAT low. Under 10% for 1st?? When it was the big board fave? How does that happen in a 2nd round result that's just stupid
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 5/21/2009 9:24:03 PM | message detail
11 people fell off the Top 50 today. Vivi_XIII, zerosuit_skip, EvilDave219, spence1891, ULT1MA, MadGamer_11, Snoopdawwg22, BaconFlood, bryisdaguy313, Arc_Angel2790 and Naruto_kun84 did not have MGS3 > Oblivion as yesterday's winners.

27 people scored half points and not only survived but all of them stayed the same rank or went up. Current first place menji76, FinalFantasyXV, K1lr0y, Jufes, Xcarvengerx, Tirofog, kaonashi1, Mac_Arrowny, ZenOfThunder, mentalmike_2000, JimmyBo1515, Gaddswell, Gavin_Sykes, tiduslx, Megamanz777, Some_Character, Tendo128, MajorMitch, FinalFantasyVIl, Whuzatt, Takfloyd_mkII__, SingToMe14, 80Starfire08, MicFiend13, xcamel24, Mistah_T_1337 and pinoy_boi had something close to MGS3 > Oblivion as yesterday's winners.

6 people scored quarter points and lived. Current second place _gloomy, TheMaskedLemon, PieMan244, Dracosage, Bleak5 and sweats42 had something vgauely similar to MGS3 > Oblivion as yesterday's winners.

6 people didn't score and points at all and lived. Former first place Mirrorzzz, swrdof1000trths, JayLabPrime, thedragon31, crown_unit and stncldrwg had neither MGS3 nor Oblivion advancing yesterday.

No one on the Top 50 scored full points.

Petter_S was the highest ranked person to score full points. He went from tied for 47th(but not on the Top 50) to 16th place.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/21/2009 9:24:13 PM | message detail
But RE4 had to deal with KH2 and Gears last round while TP had Phoenix Wright and FF12. If RE4 held steady then, maybe it can hold steady here too.

RE4 isn't going to beat Zelda's ASV. Only the best can do that.
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ffmasterjose | Posted 5/21/2009 9:24:16 PM | message detail
I just tried to go, it worked for me.
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162/232 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Resident Evil 4 > Zelda: TP | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
MetricTrout | Posted 5/21/2009 9:24:21 PM | message detail
Still anyone's game right now. If there is a RE4/TP overlap, it will not be particularly noticeable until the day, anyway.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 5/21/2009 9:24:38 PM | message detail
Uhh...what's worse in Europe, Kingdom Hearts or Zelda?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/21/2009 9:24:43 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #082
I'm still floored at how low MGS3's prediction percentage. We could've figured it wasn't going to be great but that...I mean what I just don't get it. How is it THAT low. Under 10% for 1st?? When it was the big board fave? How does that happen in a 2nd round result that's just stupid


It was against such big games as GTA, WoW, Halo, etc. Casual fans would never pick MGS over those kind of names.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/21/2009 9:24:48 PM | message detail
I'm still floored at how low MGS3's prediction percentage. We could've figured it wasn't going to be great but that...I mean what I just don't get it. How is it THAT low. Under 10% for 1st?? When it was the big board fave? How does that happen in a 2nd round result that's just stupid

You've got Halo, San Andreas, God of War (Kratos always has great bracket support), and Blizzard.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/21/2009 9:24:56 PM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #087
Uhh...what's worse in Europe, Kingdom Hearts or Zelda?


KH I think
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creativename | Posted 5/21/2009 9:25:14 PM | message detail
Nintendo Early Vote winding down, TP only gains 4 on KH2. Hmm....I think what I'd like most would be for TP to barely survive a KH ASV comeback tomorrow.

This is possible.

And honestly, for all the RE4>MGS4 talk, something like KH2>TP is still possible in *this* match.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/21/2009 9:25:21 PM | message detail
Uhh...what's worse in Europe, Kingdom Hearts or Zelda?

Probably KH.

Whoa, big TP update.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/21/2009 9:25:33 PM | message detail
For the record, RE4's trends were relatively even, but the Power Hour and the first night vote were easily its best time. TP didn't really drop off that much with the night vote, but it dominated the ASV. If it's close in the afternoon, TP's got it.

Seeing as the ASV of the games are a lot weaker than the ASV of the characters representing the games, just a 1000 vote lead for RE4 going into the ASV is enough to win this match. We haven't seen any massive comebacks yet in this contest. The best was Halo cutting off about a 1000 votes from Diablo II. Not even KHII could use its ASV to take the lead over RE4 last round.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/21/2009 9:25:41 PM | message detail
Ouch. That's what we call a "You Are Dead" in the RE world.
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ffmasterjose | Posted 5/21/2009 9:25:43 PM | message detail
Oh well, that was a fun 25 minutes
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162/232 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Resident Evil 4 > Zelda: TP | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
The Real Truth | Posted 5/21/2009 9:25:45 PM | message detail
hey what
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/21/2009 9:25:51 PM | message detail
Its all about KH vs. RE4 now
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 5/21/2009 9:25:54 PM | message detail
...And TP decided to stop fooling around.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
xp1337 | Posted 5/21/2009 9:25:58 PM | message detail
Zelda done playing around. I thought that was just it undoing the last update, but it took the lead.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 5/21/2009 9:26:05 PM | message detail
yeowza, terrible update for RE4
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