GameFAQs Contests

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. The earliest example we have of this is Arthas/Diablo leeching each other half to death and letting KOS-MOS sneak into second place back in 2007. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days.

Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no expected chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength dictates. A lot of these entrants are naturally weak, but a lot of things come along that make little to no sense. A great example is Zero -- he scored 47% on Crono and won several updates, then one round later he gets disproportionally blown out once Link enters the picture. This factor also works in reverse, when an obvious first place game does worse than expected thanks to smart voters helping a game come in second place. The final of 2008 is a good example of this, where Snake stayed even with Link until the day vote and ultimately defeated Cloud. (Credit to red sox 777 and Leonhart4 for the examples)

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

See? RE4 to the final.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

KENNEDY!
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http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/CenaJFrog.gif
hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI

time for an RE4 flop
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xyzzy

TP should come back. RE4's board vote is decidedly un-REold, and a ton of people are supporting it to go far. It should fall, but it would take an epic collapse for KHII to challenge it.
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Yoblazer: http://i37.tinypic.com/x1d2s9.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Time for TP to rebound next update

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a metal slime appears

Dunno what I like here. RE4 is doing significantly better wrt to KHII, but KHII could still threaten and TP isn't doing so hot against it.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96

aww no that last minute
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 46 - Bracket: TP > RE4 - Vote: RE4 (155/232)

KH2 was catching up at the end there.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232

more like RE4 will end up losing to KHII
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Today's prediction: Twilight 30.07% - Riku+Sora yaoi 26.24% - Shoot them in the head! 25.96% - HL2 17.73%
Status:

Zelda's board vote should also be pretty good. Next few updates should tell us a lot.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

YOU'RE RIGHT HAND COMES OFF?!
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(|| ' ' ||) Not changing my sig until EBA2/Ouendan 3 is announced. (4/22/08)
. /|_|\ http://imgcake.com/img/40/all_eba.jpg

Yeah, don't count KH2 out here yet. Any of the three could still take any placement.
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No matter what, no matter how, I know I'll make it through somehow.
http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif

Metal Gear Solid 3 9.79% / 13.19%
TES IV: Oblivion 8.26% / 9.17%

I said 'what'
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http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/CenaJFrog.gif
hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI

Zelda is shutting down Kingdom Hearts. Lets do this RE4.
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC

And hey, how about that good start from Gordon? I very much doubt it gets buried now.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

so how about this RE4/Nintendo overlap idea?
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xyzzy

WITNESS THE POWER! </Krauser>

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162/232 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Resident Evil 4 > Zelda: TP | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4

YES! RE4 > TP at the freeze. Come on, I want this result to hold because I could end up getting another double green match for calling this one correctly in my bracket. Of course, with the board vote being TP's best time and TP lost that to RE4, this looks good for RE4 > TP by the end of this match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

9.79% / 13.19%
8.26% / 9.17%

No love for either game.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232

I just noticed that KHII cut that last minute. Hmmm...
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

Good lord what a prediction percentage for MGS3

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a metal slime appears

How does MGS3 only have 23% bracket support at this point... I am stunned
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The Rye - The one and only...
http://backloggery.com/the_rye/sig.gif

Of course, with the board vote being TP's best time

Except it isn't. It's the ASV.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile

From: transients | #017
so how about this RE4/Nintendo overlap idea?

If RE4 and Zelda stay this far ahead of KHII, it's obviously in the gutter. Or rather... there's more Nintendo/KH overlap, I guess.
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Yoblazer: http://i37.tinypic.com/x1d2s9.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

oh wow brackets got screwed on that match.
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Check out my Guru bracket: http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=60

TP and KHII closing in.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

For reference, 50% more brackets had MGS2 winning its first round matchup than had MGS3 advancing out of this 8-pack.
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http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/CenaJFrog.gif
hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI

awww yeah Twilight Princess

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a metal slime appears

looks like we've got a match for first.

I have a hard time seeing KH2 coming back here, but I'll give it a few updates.
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xyzzy

Nice hold, Mr. Scott!
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Yoblazer: http://i37.tinypic.com/x1d2s9.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

whoa what the hell was that
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The question to everyone's answer.

Not looking good for KHII...
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232

Leon iz gun get keyblade'd
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Today's prediction: Twilight 30.07% - Riku+Sora yaoi 26.24% - Shoot them in the head! 25.96% - HL2 17.73%
Status:

Keep holding on, Leon!
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I am absolute corruption.
Pokemon Platinum FC: 1934 6546 0293

So...

Resident Evil 4
Twilight Princess
Brawl
Metal Gear Solid 4
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

We had Halo and GTA and God of War, three huge bracket favourites. It's not too surprising that MGS3 and Oblivion are so low.

Good update for TP, bad update for KHII. The latter can probably afford to have bad updates in the Power Hour against these two, though.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96

9.79% / 13.19%
8.26% / 9.17%

o_0

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162/232 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Resident Evil 4 > Zelda: TP | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4

MGS4 > RE4, write it in a book
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xyzzy

I have no idea what is going on but this is awesome.
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Demyx is better than Axel.

How does MGS3 only have 23% bracket support at this point... I am stunned

Halo 2, GTA: SA and WoW all probably had higher percent.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232

Looks like RE4 > TP won't hold :(

Well at least KH2 looks done
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

I think I like RE4 to win here. It's going to rise all night, and it has a pretty good day vote too- TP isn't going to make any big comebacks on it with the day.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

tp > re4
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img17.imageshack.us/img17/39/girugamesh.gif

MGS4 would have to win that. It's almost all on its own there.
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC

So...

Resident Evil 4
Twilight Princess
Brawl
Metal Gear Solid 4

My bracket has RE4 > TP
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: TP > RE4 Points: 151/232

Resident Evil 4
Twilight Princess
Brawl
Metal Gear Solid 4


I have that happening with RE4 > MGS4.
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Demyx is better than Axel.

MGS4 > RE4
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

I've also got RE4 > TP. I didn't put much faith in Brawl and MGS4. I still don't, especially MGS4.
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Yoblazer: http://i37.tinypic.com/x1d2s9.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Resident Evil 4
Twilight Princess
Brawl
Metal Gear Solid 4

I am liking Brawl > RE4 at the moment.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147