GameFAQs Contests

FEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEAR


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. The earliest example we have of this is Arthas/Diablo leeching each other half to death and letting KOS-MOS sneak into second place back in 2007. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days.

Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no expected chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength dictates. A lot of these entrants are naturally weak, but a lot of things come along that make little to no sense. A great example is Zero -- he scored 47% on Crono and won several updates, then one round later he gets disproportionally blown out once Link enters the picture. This factor also works in reverse, when an obvious first place game does worse than expected thanks to smart voters helping a game come in second place. The final of 2008 is a good example of this, where Snake stayed even with Link until the day vote and ultimately defeated Cloud. (Credit to red sox 777 and Leonhart4 for the examples)

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

http://i68.photobucket.com/albums/i24/Kratos_Aurion56/1122498477476.jpg
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http://hatshrapnel.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/01/5.JPG
http://cache.gawker.com/assets/images/kotaku/2009/04/demon_bath.jpg

Zelos Wilder

Biggest Awesome Character : Contest Strength disparity ever

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

From: KamikazePotato | Posted: 5/21/2009 12:10:01 AM | #003
Biggest Awesome Character : Contest Strength disparity ever

Laharl
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The question to everyone's answer.

INFERIOR BEINGS!!
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http://www.backloggery.com/bretteagles
http://backloggery.com/bretteagles/sig.gif

Biggest Awesome Character : Contest Strength disparity ever

Squall Leonhart.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

Time | Halo 2 | MGS3 | Okami | WoW | Demographic
EBV | 21.08% | 36.62% | 19.79% | 22.52% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 21.40% | 36.34% | 18.78% | 23.47% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 19.42% | 36.30% | 19.47% | 24.82% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 18.13% | 36.38% | 20.86% | 24.63% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 22.91% | 34.20% | 18.56% | 24.34% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 23.46% | 35.19% | 18.11% | 23.24% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 22.94% | 35.38% | 18.41% | 23.27% | (22:00-24:00)


Aw yeah, ToS!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

Symphonia up again!

Wonder how many lead changes we'll get from these 3.
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http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png
Hail FastFalcon, our new guru overlord!

Damn ToS ralliers

WoW should take some notes.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS3 > GTA: SA Points: 147/224

Yeah, wow is really balanced. Goes down a tiny bit during the asv, but fine otherwise.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img17.imageshack.us/img17/39/girugamesh.gif

Warcraft looks pretty balanced. it held up pretty well considering Halo 2 was in the poll.

MGS3 looks all right here - pretty much what you'd expect.
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xyzzy

That was a weekend match, for the record.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

Symphonia really doesnt want Oblivion to advance, its fighting tooth and nail for 2nd.
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"If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh." -Magus

Now where is the Elder Scrolls Rally?
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New_Jerusalem-I find it messed up that Thomas Jefferson is on the $2 bill.
SN_Ninja-Didn't Thomas steal the invention of the lightbulb? Or w/e.

And it's looking like WoW, Halo 2, SA, GoW, Oblivion, and ToS are all in the same general area, and Okami isn't that far behind. This might be the most balanced eight-pack we've ever seen.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

From: LeonhartFour | #015
And it's looking like WoW, Halo 2, SA, GoW, Oblivion, and ToS are all in the same general area, and Okami isn't that far behind. This might be the most balanced eight-pack we've ever seen.

Gotta hand it to bacon for that 8pack at least. It has given some damn good matches
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img17.imageshack.us/img17/39/girugamesh.gif

Psh. You think Bacon knew? He lucked into that one.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

meh, bring on tomorrow's slugfest
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yzzyx

We really, really need some sort of notice that says THIS WAS A WEEKEND MATCH on the contest updater site.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

ToS might be able to hold on until the Power Hour ends, at least.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

wow really needs to start showing some life here
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img17.imageshack.us/img17/39/girugamesh.gif

Well it's about time something got to 20 votes!
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http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png
Hail FastFalcon, our new guru overlord!

"Oh dear me, all this rushing around appears to have disrupted my tea."
"Quite right, my fellow sprawling friend."
"Taste the pain of this 'inferior' tea as you burn in hell!!!!"

"Well now, that was uncalled for."
"Indubitably."

"Excuse me, waiter, there's a snake in my tea."
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!

Nothing interesting here.

WoW should take the night better than Oblivion or ToS
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS3 > GTA: SA Points: 147/224

SOME DAYS YOU'LL FEED ON A TREE FROOOOOOOOOOOOOOG!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

Talking about WoW night vote

How much does it need to be safe? and remember, neither ToS nor Oblivion are day monsters nor is WoW bad at the day
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img17.imageshack.us/img17/39/girugamesh.gif

If WoW can build any sort of substantial lead, it's safe. Heck, if any of these games can do it, they're safe.

And by substantial, I mean something like 700-1000.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

rate my purchases :


Punch-Out!! -49.99(new)
Madworld - 29.99(new)
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.

I wouldn't say you can get much out of ToS's or Oblivion's day vote from last round, and if anything it makes them look good with it more than "not anything special." Remember when everyone was saying God of War was gonna dominate ToS with the day vote?
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

Punch-Out

12/10
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http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif

Well, the good news for ToS is that Oblivion's trends are completely different so far from round 1. It steadily gained percentage after the freeze there, and it's steadily lost it here. Still think ToS has the worst chance to advance here by far, but it's not completely dead.
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FastFalcon and Solid Snake snapped my neck in the guru contest.

horrible update
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img17.imageshack.us/img17/39/girugamesh.gif

Now Oblivion and ToS are kicking it into gear while WoW stalls.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

WoW may stay in last for the full hour.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS3 > GTA: SA Points: 147/224

WoW's out of juice.

Long live Symphonia.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

Justice and love will always prevail!
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http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif

Victory...
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

oh btw, expect 8-9 AM to possibly be a good hour for WoW. Servers are gonig down an hour then for matinence.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img17.imageshack.us/img17/39/girugamesh.gif

Goodness and love will always win!
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"Chiri to kashinasai! Kore de... owari desu! HIEN MESSHOUJIN!!! Toki wa modoranai, sore ga sizen no setsuri." ~Presea Combatir

Weird trends. At this point last round ToS had completely lost steam and was losing big updates to Oblivion.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

And man, Elder Scroll fanboys are whining yet again. They're a small but vocal bunch.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

well its a great game. If WoW wasn't here, I'd fully support it!
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img17.imageshack.us/img17/39/girugamesh.gif

yeah, they're brutal. Castlevania ones are pretty bad too.
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xyzzy
http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg

ToS kicking ass
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The question to everyone's answer.

Hey maybe WoW can avoid last.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS3 > GTA: SA Points: 147/224

ToS gets its biggest lead of the match. What's going on here?
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

*checks board*

...Ugh. Makes me feel bad to be an Oblivion fan.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

The ToS night vote strikes again

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

God, what is up with Elder Scrolls' fanbase? These people cry so much.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

Strange that ToS would have totally different trends this time around. Then again, it happened with Metroid/Mario Kart to some degree as well.

Who cares. Go Symphonia go!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!