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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 720

MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/19/2009 9:03:09 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #347
Halo was beating Diablo II at the end of the board vote last round, for the record.


halo always seems to have a pretty good board vote for some reason
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transients | Posted 5/19/2009 9:03:11 PM | message detail
quick reactions

I'm liking Diablo 2 for fourth here - it'll get the lead overnight, but should get buried come day. Wind Waker should do a lot better soon, so it'll be WW vs. Halo I think.

then again, I think Diablo 2 had a bad board vote last time so we'll obviously need to wait for anything concrete.


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charmander6000 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:03:20 PM | message detail
Halo was beating Diablo II at the end of the board vote last round, for the record.

I blame bracket voters.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > SSBM Points: 145/216
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/19/2009 9:03:46 PM | message detail
diablo in 2nd now
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KingBartz | Posted 5/19/2009 9:04:07 PM | message detail
gogogo halo
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transients | Posted 5/19/2009 9:04:12 PM | message detail
hey, there Diablo goes.

SSBM looks kinda bad here. if it's at 39 now, it'll be at 35 by 2am.
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xyzzy
red sox 777 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:04:15 PM | message detail
It's just that Halo is so bad at the deep night/Europe vote. It's a very American-centric game, like the other ASV monsters.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/19/2009 9:04:26 PM | message detail
And here comes Satan. Not many people have Diablo in their brackets here, so it makes sense that it would start off slowly.
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 5/19/2009 9:04:37 PM | message detail
It's all the Ice Climbers!
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/19/2009 9:04:38 PM | message detail
I'd call Halo a slight favorite at this point, but Xbox fans and PC fans seem to have a very heavy overlap. Halo and Diablo could very well LFF each other into Wind Waker getting second place.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/19/2009 9:05:00 PM | message detail
diablo is gonna be ripping apart the other two games at night. just gotta hope it builds enough of a lead
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:05:01 PM | message detail
Yeah, I think I'm liking Halo here.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 9:05:11 PM | message detail
And if this match doesn't confirm how overrated StarCraft was, I don't know what does. Melee is doubling two games that StarCraft beat.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:05:37 PM | message detail
Diablo with a 4 vote lead...
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > SSBM Points: 145/216
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 9:05:49 PM | message detail
Diablo in the lead at the freeze by 4, Wind Waker trailing behind slightly.
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KingBartz | Posted 5/19/2009 9:05:54 PM | message detail
dammit i watched halo tie it up five times before diablo pulled away

Diablo II: Lord of Destruction 20.82% 285
Halo: Combat Evolved 20.53% 281
Super Smash Bros. Melee 39.3% 538
The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker 19.36% 265
TOTAL VOTES 1369

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red sox 777 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:06:18 PM | message detail
Actually, yeah, Melee doesn't look so good now. It came down really fast from the early board vote.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:06:53 PM | message detail
And if this match doesn't confirm how overrated StarCraft was, I don't know what does. Melee is doubling two games that StarCraft beat.

Using the three games Melee gets 38% on Ocarina of Time.

>_>
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > SSBM Points: 145/216
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/19/2009 9:07:20 PM | message detail
for reference, at the freeze last round:

Diablo 2: 24.91%
GTA3: 23.27%
Halo: 26.77%
Kotor: 25.06%

And Halo lost by 2k votes
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/19/2009 9:07:22 PM | message detail
A 4 vote lead is pulling away?
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transients | Posted 5/19/2009 9:07:34 PM | message detail
yeah, Halo was up 25 votes last time at the freeze, so this actually looks worse for it than last time.
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xyzzy
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:07:59 PM | message detail
And Wind Waker doesn't stand a chance here. It's getting 4th place no matter what.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/19/2009 9:08:06 PM | message detail
Diablo didn't overtake Halo until the 15 minute mark last time. I'd say this is a decent start.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/19/2009 9:08:15 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | Posted: 5/20/2009 12:06:18 AM | #367
Actually, yeah, Melee doesn't look so good now. It came down really fast from the early board vote.


Hey I said before this match that FFX had a good chance of beating Melee. Granted it likely won't without Metroid Prime or Wind Waker's presence, but still.
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KingBartz | Posted 5/19/2009 9:08:28 PM | message detail
diablo was up ten for a second there
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XxSoulxX | Posted 5/19/2009 9:08:42 PM | message detail
Halo won't be coming back that well with the ASV either, because of WW and SSBM. Diablo has second.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/19/2009 9:08:47 PM | message detail
KOTOR/Diablo LFF seems a pretty good bet, at least so far.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/19/2009 9:08:49 PM | message detail
Halo was also probably getting a lot of bracket support in round 1 in the opening hours. Hard to say it's still getting that here
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 9:09:22 PM | message detail
Diablo ought to be able to build quite a lead overnight. It's the only night game here. Heck, Wind Waker probably has the second best night vote here, so I wouldn't be surprised to see Halo in last in the morning.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 9:10:03 PM | message detail
Halo won't be coming back that well with the ASV either, because of WW and SSBM. Diablo has second.

That's not necessarily true.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/19/2009 9:10:19 PM | message detail
Stamp it.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/19/2009 9:10:20 PM | message detail
match
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 9:10:23 PM | message detail
Oh wow, nice update for Diablo there.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:10:26 PM | message detail
Halo won't be coming back that well with the ASV either, because of WW and SSBM. Diablo has second.

??? Halo will perform the same whether the three opponents were night favourites or day. Assuming same strength.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > SSBM Points: 145/216
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:10:28 PM | message detail
Alright then.
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KingBartz | Posted 5/19/2009 9:10:40 PM | message detail
wow halo you suck.
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transients | Posted 5/19/2009 9:10:40 PM | message detail
that's one of the biggest updates we've seen all contest.
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xyzzy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/19/2009 9:10:53 PM | message detail
NICE update. Melee > D2 would be such an awesome result.
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:10:59 PM | message detail
Diablo rises, Halo falls, and Melee actually gains a bit. Game over.
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 5/19/2009 9:11:02 PM | message detail
Wind Waker wants third place Halo.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:11:07 PM | message detail
Not looking good for Halo.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > SSBM Points: 145/216
XxSoulxX | Posted 5/19/2009 9:11:36 PM | message detail
Aren't WW and SSBM day vote games too? The day vote will split between the three.

I mean, yeah, Halo will make a come back, but it won't be as huge as last round.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/19/2009 9:11:42 PM | message detail
Freakin' Melee goes up after the board vote despite three games fighting for second. What a brute.
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TheRye | Posted 5/19/2009 9:11:51 PM | message detail
KOTOR/Diablo LFF seems a pretty good bet

I would argue that KOTOR, as the XBox's second-biggest game, sapped more votes from Halo than Diablo
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/19/2009 9:12:10 PM | message detail
Aw yeah Melee

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XxSoulxX | Posted 5/19/2009 9:12:20 PM | message detail
And yes! SSBM > D2 will help my bracket tremendously after the last five matches.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/19/2009 9:12:25 PM | message detail

From: TheRye | #394
I would argue that KOTOR, as the XBox's second-biggest game, sapped more votes from Halo than Diablo


And then today's result would prove that wrong
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:12:50 PM | message detail
Freakin' Melee goes up after the board vote despite three games fighting for second.

That's probably the reason for it.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 9:12:56 PM | message detail
Freakin' Melee goes up after the board vote despite three games fighting for second. What a brute.

Well, usually whenever there's a close race for second, especially between three games, first place will suffer, even when it's Melee.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:13:28 PM | message detail
Aren't WW and SSBM day vote games too? The day vote will split between the three.

Augh. That just means Diablo II's day vote will be that much worse, and the relative comeback will be exactly the same.
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