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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 720

LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 7:43:09 PM | message detail
The sad thing is that my bracket has Halo > SSBM tomorrow because I didn't think Halo would suck that badly and I thought the LFF between SSBM and WW would be enough to make a difference!

...This seriously might be the worst bracket I've ever had.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/19/2009 7:44:35 PM | message detail
my brack has SSBM > Diablo 2 since I expected a total sff beat down of Wind Waker, and for Diablo to be strong enough to pull out a close win against Halo (yay ralliers)
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/19/2009 7:51:56 PM | message detail
Match XLIV: Diablo II: Lord of Destruction vs. Halo: Combat Evolved vs. Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. LoZ: The Wind Waker

Last Round:

Diablo II: Lord of Destruction – 27.43%
Halo: Combat Evolved – 25.82%
Star Wars: KotOR – 24.65%
Grand Theft Auto III – 22.11%

Super Smash Bros. Melee – 48.58%
LoZ: The Wind Waker – 25.42%
Disgaea – 15.13%
Fire Emblem – 10.87%

Analysis

At least we have some variety in this match unlike todays. Here we will find out the extent of LFF Melee suffered last round and whether or not Halo was affected by KotOR’s performance last round. Also with both Final Fantasy X and Kingdom Hearts going to the next round the game that’s advancing with Super Smash Bros. Melee may have a chance to place next round.

While it made it through against weak competition Wind Waker will get last. Super Smash Bros. Melee did a number on it and both Halo and Diablo II are half decent opponents. Wind Waker was defeated so badly that it couldn’t even double Disgaea. It’s a shame that Wind Waker was thrown to the wolves it could have really surprised the board for better or worse.

Going against my upset I think Super Smash Bros. Melee will take first. Melee handled SFF much better than I thought and even with Wind Waker in the match I don’t see LFF hurting it enough for it to fail to take first. Of course it’s possible for Melee to choke and take second, but that will be as much of a surprise as Wind Waker placing.

Last round Halo did worse than I expected while KotOR did much better. It’s a great possibility that Halo can rebound from its last round loss to Diablo II and take second in this match. Halo only loss by 1900 votes, it wouldn’t be a great stretch to believe that Halo could easily make it up. There seems to be some arguments that Halo could be affected by Melee because they are both popular party games, though in reality those two tend to be more exclusive since they are on different systems.

Diablo II did well last round however it didn’t defeat Halo by enough for it to walk right through to the division final. Diablo II may take the lead at the beginning though unless it gets a massive rally which doesn’t look likely Halo may take the win with the ASV. It should be an interesting battle.

I’ll be rooting for my Melee upset pick though as things currently stand it likely won’t happen. Still don’t be surprised if Diablo II takes the lead over Melee at night since apparently it has the best night vote among its opponents despite being average throughout all times. Wind Waker will look terrible here marking our second Zelda that’s been eliminated.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Halo: Combat Evolved > Super Smash Bros. Melee

charmander6000’s Prediction: Super Smash Bros. Melee – 35.62%, Halo – 24.63%, Diablo II – 22.27%, LoZ: The Wind Waker – 17.48%

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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFX > GTA: VC Points: 141/208
RockMFR 5 | Posted 5/19/2009 8:00:58 PM | message detail
don’t be surprised if Diablo II takes the lead over Melee at night

wat
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 8:02:53 PM | message detail
Rank these games:

Metal Gear Solid
R/B/Y
Final Fantasy VIII
Final Fantasy X
Resident Evil 4
Twilight Princess
Super Smash Bros. Brawl
Metal Gear Solid 4
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/19/2009 8:04:15 PM | message detail
I thought Melee taking first is the huge favorite pick? Diablo will lucky to win an update on it; no chance of taking the lead.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 5/19/2009 8:06:42 PM | message detail
FFX
RBY
FFVIII
Brawl
TP
RE4
MGS
MGS4
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/19/2009 8:06:55 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy X
Final Fantasy VIII
R/B/Y
Metal Gear Solid
Resident Evil 4
Twilight Princess
Super Smash Bros. Brawl
Metal Gear Solid 4

Not confident in this at all.

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red sox 777 | Posted 5/19/2009 8:09:54 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy X
Pokemon R/B/Y
Final Fantasy VIII
Metal Gear Solid
Resident Evil 4
Twilight Princess
Super Smash Bros. Brawl
Metal Gear Solid 4

Not confident at all.
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transients | Posted 5/19/2009 8:11:16 PM | message detail
Pokemon R/B/Y
Final Fantasy X
Final Fantasy VIII
Super Smash Bros. Brawl
Twilight Princess
Metal Gear Solid 4
Metal Gear Solid
Resident Evil 4

ohhh yeah
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 8:13:11 PM | message detail
For me:

Final Fantasy X
Final Fantasy VIII
R/B/Y
Metal Gear Solid
Twilight Princess
Super Smash Bros. Brawl
Metal Gear Solid 4
Resident Evil 4

Can't beat bias!
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creativename | Posted 5/19/2009 8:15:05 PM | message detail
Soul...change your sig. See the ATTN: Soul topic :)
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 5/19/2009 8:17:11 PM | message detail
Zen Analyzes the Match Pic!

Because nobody else will lick my ass!


http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/bge09/bge09-44.jpg

Diablo II: Hey, it's Satan! Remember when you took away Spider-Man's marriage? Well he doesn't. **** you!

Halo: Hey, I made this one! And it sucks! I should have flipped Master Chief so that he was shooting the King of Red Lions in the face. Because we all wanted to when he asked us to blow all our cash on a sail. The only sail in town. In fact, the sail was the only thing on sale on the entire island. HE ORGANIZED THE WHOLE THING! THIS WAS JUST A GIANT SCHEME TO GET HIM THAT SAIL.

Melee: Hey, I made this one too! And it's bland! But I made sure it gets the biggest possible vote: The Ice Climbers vote!

Zelda: **** YOU KING OF RED LIONS

ADVANTAGE: ICE CLIMBERS
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/19/2009 8:18:56 PM | message detail
I completely forgot about the sail thing. Mostly because of Tingle and his maps existing later in the game.

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creativename | Posted 5/19/2009 8:25:35 PM | message detail
Hey, it's Satan! Remember when you took away Spider-Man's marriage? Well he doesn't.

Hah, I heard about that :)

Great pic for Smash.
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creativename | Posted 5/19/2009 8:32:58 PM | message detail
We'll see how much KOTOR really LFFed Halo to any significant degree.

Smash and Halo should have the best board votes. Halo will die overnight. Match will probably be close enough that it's got a shot with the ASV though. Might even see a double-comeback for Diablo at night if it's close.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 5/19/2009 8:39:04 PM | message detail
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Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever
Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/19/2009 8:40:22 PM | message detail
Halos comeback potential is big here if its down by alot. Didn't it cut like 2000 when it was down by 4000 to diablo last round?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 8:40:37 PM | message detail
1000-1500
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lightsout06 | Posted 5/19/2009 8:41:03 PM | message detail
Here comes Halo for the upset
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/19/2009 8:41:11 PM | message detail
wait, only 1000. Still good though
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 8:45:25 PM | message detail
Based on MGS2, FFX should be getting 57.81% on KH.

Based on Vice City, FFX should be getting 53.37% on KH.

So yeah.
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WarThaHedgehog | Posted 5/19/2009 8:46:40 PM | message detail
What should FFX be getting on KH based on KH?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 8:47:35 PM | message detail
It's getting 53.20% on it right now, so...
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/19/2009 8:54:25 PM | message detail
So... how long does Melee stay above 50%? Last match it did it for 10 minutes.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFX > GTA: VC Points: 141/208
WarThaHedgehog | Posted 5/19/2009 8:55:30 PM | message detail
less than a minute, Halo and Diablo II are both galaxies stronger than Fire Emblem and Disgaea
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Master Moltar | Posted 5/19/2009 9:00:14 PM | message detail
Diablo II: Lord of Destruction 8.33%

1
Halo: Combat Evolved 16.67%

2
Super Smash Bros. Melee 66.67%

8
The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker 8.33%

1
TOTAL VOTES 12

aww yeah
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 44 - Bracket: SSBM > Halo - Vote: SSBM (147/216)
GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/19/2009 9:00:21 PM | message detail
oh, hi, Melee Board vote

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Today's prediction: Melee 39.01% - Diablo 21.97% - Halo 20.65% - Boring Waker 18.37%
Status:
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 9:00:24 PM | message detail
Oh my, Melee.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:00:27 PM | message detail
Diablo II: Lord of Destruction 5.56% 1
Halo: Combat Evolved 11.11% 2
Super Smash Bros. Melee 77.78% 14
The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker 5.56% 1
TOTAL VOTES 18

lol board 8
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > SSBM Points: 145/216
transients | Posted 5/19/2009 9:00:27 PM | message detail
whoa

Diablo II: Lord of Destruction 5% 1
Halo: Combat Evolved 10% 2
Super Smash Bros. Melee 80%
16
The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker 5% 1
TOTAL VOTES 20

love that board vote
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xyzzy
Gaddswell | Posted 5/19/2009 9:00:32 PM | message detail
Diablo II: Lord of Destruction 9.09% 3
Halo: Combat Evolved 12.12% 4
Super Smash Bros. Melee 60.61% 20
The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker 18.18% 6
TOTAL VOTES 33

Melee!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 9:01:01 PM | message detail
And oh my, Wind Waker. Man, Halo and Diablo II suck.
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RockMFR 5 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:01:02 PM | message detail
3-way yes!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/19/2009 9:01:06 PM | message detail
we got a good match for 2nd
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:01:18 PM | message detail
Good show with that board vote, Melee, but it's down to 41% already now.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 9:01:29 PM | message detail
Diablo II: Lord of Destruction 19.65%

79
Halo: Combat Evolved 19.65%

79
Super Smash Bros. Melee 41.04%

165
The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker 19.65%

79
TOTAL VOTES 402

Three way tie!
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transients | Posted 5/19/2009 9:01:29 PM | message detail
Diablo II: Lord of Destruction 19.6% 78
Halo: Combat Evolved 19.6% 78
Super Smash Bros. Melee 41.21% 164
The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker 19.6% 78
TOTAL VOTES 398

whoa
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xyzzy
Gaddswell | Posted 5/19/2009 9:01:30 PM | message detail
Diablo II: Lord of Destruction 19.6% 79
Halo: Combat Evolved 19.6% 79
Super Smash Bros. Melee 41.19% 166
The Legend of Zelda: Wind Waker 19.6% 79
TOTAL VOTES 403

3-way tie!
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Hail FastFalcon, our new guru overlord!
GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/19/2009 9:01:32 PM | message detail
naah Wind Waker will fall flat on its face after a few updates
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Today's prediction: Melee 39.01% - Diablo 21.97% - Halo 20.65% - Boring Waker 18.37%
Status:
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 5/19/2009 9:01:34 PM | message detail
3 way race for 2nd


Melee is crushing
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Ah, you know it's funny, these people, they go to sleep. They think everything's fine, everything's good... They wake up the next day and they're on fire.
charmander6000 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:01:41 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3488&region=EUR

FFX > VC

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3488&region=SAM

FFX > MGS2
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > SSBM Points: 145/216
RPGuy96 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:01:50 PM | message detail
Gotta love that Melee board vote.

WW's board vote was *awful* last round, if that holds it has a chance. Probably won't with Halo and perhaps Diablo II sucking it up with the board, though.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/19/2009 9:01:54 PM | message detail
WW holding up better then I thought
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:02:06 PM | message detail
Wind Waker is doing better than I thought.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > SSBM Points: 145/216
lightsout06 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:02:11 PM | message detail
This contest is about to lose all of its credibility
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"As a rule, men worry more about what they can't see than about what they can. " - Julius Caesar
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 9:02:17 PM | message detail
Halo was beating Diablo II at the end of the board vote last round, for the record.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/19/2009 9:02:39 PM | message detail
Melee has this.
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/19/2009 9:02:52 PM | message detail
Wind Waker is doing pretty well here. Diablo looks good for second here.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/19/2009 9:03:04 PM | message detail
And it's not that Wind Waker is holding up. It's actually doing about the same as last round, if not a little worse. It's getting outright doubled by Melee right now. This is all Diablo II and Halo bombing.
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