GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 719
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/18/2009 10:38:43 AM | message detail |
Old-school
Mario platformers have looked very good this round, and me likes that!
Super Mario RPG has also impressed somewhat by not being last place in
its match. On the other hand though, Mario Kart has proven to be a big disappointment, and it seems this site truly doesn't care about racing or sports games of any sort. If it did, the series would probably be vastly more popular on this site than it is. Many of us expected Super Mario Kart to take 2nd place in that match because it was a racing game against three adventure titles, but Mario Kart in the end proved to be just as SFF prone as Metroid is, if not more so. I mean, wasn't Mario Kart 64 the overwhelming favorite against Mario RPG? Whoops. Mario Kart = huge disappointment Sad, because Mario Kart is an undisputed classic. There are only 30 games in the whole tourney which I would vote for over Super Mario Kart. |
red sox 777 | Posted 5/18/2009 10:39:59 AM | message detail |
Final Fantasy VIII Goldeneye Super Mario RPG Final Fantasy IX Mario Kart 64 Starcraft I think OOT's pack is stronger. Yes, there is a lot of LFF here, but there was also a lot of LFF in FFVII's pack. We've seen how devastating triple SFF can be, and FFVII did not take advantage of it. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/18/2009 10:42:01 AM | message detail |
It's difficult to say how much LFF was in FFVII's match. --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
ZFS | Posted 5/18/2009 10:42:44 AM | message detail |
Final Fantasy VIII Goldeneye Final Fantasy IX Super Mario RPG Mario Kart 64 StarCraft --- a metal slime appears |
RPGuy96 | Posted 5/18/2009 10:50:09 AM | message detail |
There's
not even that much LFF here. Based on FFVIII/StarCraft last round,
FFVIII should be getting 34.25% on Ocarina and instead it's getting
31.56%. FFIX's getting hit harder, with 22.42% when it should be
getting 28.69%, but I think that's more due to SFF than LFF. And, since
the FFVIII number is based on StarCraft, which is going to fall
relative to Ocarina with the ASV, it's going to look like even less LFF
by the time the match is over. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/18/2009 10:57:01 AM | message detail |
Final Fantasy VIII GoldenEye Super Mario RPG StarCraft Final Fantasy IX Mario Kart 64 And wow, the 2004 stats project Chrono Trigger to score 58% on Mario 64. Look how well that went. Stars of the Round: Super Mario Bros., Sonic the Hedgehog, Super Mario World, Super Metroid, Super Mario RPG, Super Mario 64 Turds of the Round: Street Fighter II, Super Mario Kart, Mario Kart 64, Chrono Trigger, Metal Gear Solid |
hochiminhX | Posted 5/18/2009 10:58:04 AM | message detail |
There's
not even that much LFF here. Based on FFVIII/StarCraft last round,
FFVIII should be getting 34.25% on Ocarina and instead it's getting
31.56% Of course there is. FF8 went from destroying SC to barely beating it. Comparing to what "it should get" on OoT makes no sense at all, especially in a four-way all. That post is rejected. --- I will bury you. |
red sox 777 | Posted 5/18/2009 11:00:42 AM | message detail |
And wow, the 2004 stats project Chrono Trigger to score 58% on Mario 64. Look how well that went. You mean the Adjusted 2004 stats, which were adjusted based on essentially guesswork. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
RPGuy96 | Posted 5/18/2009 11:02:31 AM | message detail |
My
dear hochi, if you prefer it in FFVIII/StarCraft terms I'd be happy to
oblige. StarCraft went from 39% against FFVIII to 42% against it. That
is not particularly heavy LFF. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/18/2009 11:10:24 AM | message detail |
44% not 42% --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
Karma Hunter | Posted 5/18/2009 11:16:36 AM | message detail |
There's
no real evaluating how heavily FF8 or FF9 are being hurt here relative
to last round, as as I'm sure we all remember both were being hurt by
Xenogears and Chrono Cross respectively. Certainly not to the extent
that each game is being hurt here today, of course, but I definitely
wouldn't act like it's trivial here. As for the FF7/OoT comparisons, I'd have to say that OoT is certainly looking stronger at this point - but again, that's only one piece of the puzzle it has to complete if it actually wants to win this thing. LttP or SMB3 certainly look like near-locks for the finals at this point considering that CT and FFVI have pretty much disqualified themselves regardless of what FF7 does to them, while the conventional wisdom now is that FFVIII and FFX are going to hit each other. I don't see how they don't cannibalize themselves enough for Melee to take an easy win there if it happens, OoT be damned. --- turnturnturn your brain in http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
RPGuy96 | Posted 5/18/2009 11:19:39 AM | message detail |
Ah, my apologies. 44% it is...we'll see how that holds up in the day. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/18/2009 11:39:52 AM | message detail |
I'd
expect StarCraft to gain percentage on FFVIII during the day like it
did last time, though every game is going to go down overall. --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/18/2009 11:45:41 AM | message detail |
And there's StarCraft cutting FFVIII! So how is everyone expecting tomorrow to play out? --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
red sox 777 | Posted 5/18/2009 11:46:38 AM | message detail |
Starcraft gets its first cut in 11 hours, hurray! --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
RPGuy96 | Posted 5/18/2009 11:49:23 AM | message detail |
No
idea if MGS2 or KH wins, but it should be pretty obvious early on. MGS2
is going to need quite the lead to deal with KH's day vote. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/18/2009 11:51:49 AM | message detail |
MGS2's
day vote wasn't really that bad last round though. It doesn't seem to
be as bad as MGS's anyway, but yeah, it'll need to be on top early and
by a lot. --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
ffmasterjose | Posted 5/18/2009 11:51:50 AM | message detail |
*just saw the poll for the first time today* *insert Tiger Woods* --- 142/200 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest NP: Zelda: Ocarina of Time > FFVIII | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4 |
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/18/2009 11:52:03 AM | message detail |
Hard for me to see anything but FFX>KH. Rooting for MGS2, though. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/18/2009 11:53:25 AM | message detail |
Eh,
I can definitely see FFX > MGS2 because KH's win last round looks
less impressive as we watched the other GTAs bomb. FFX is probably a
step above KH in strength, but I don't know how much SFF/LFF will be
there. Sora has stood up like a champ against Squall three out of four
times they've faced. --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/18/2009 11:55:11 AM | message detail |
I have FFX > Melee in the division finals, so whatever makes it easier for FFX there I am doomed aren't I. --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
red sox 777 | Posted 5/18/2009 11:56:08 AM | message detail |
OOT with a 55% update and Starcraft stalling FFVIII. Floodgates are about to open. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
RPGuy96 | Posted 5/18/2009 11:56:24 AM | message detail |
Metroid Prime'd --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
syco_coaster | Posted 5/18/2009 11:57:05 AM | message detail |
I don't see two Square games in first and second. I think MGS2 has an easy second. --- Current Score: 152 Today's pick: Zelda: Ocarina of Time > Final Fantasy 8 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/18/2009 11:57:26 AM | message detail |
My bracket has FFX > MGS2, so two straight days of full points would be nice! --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/18/2009 11:57:27 AM | message detail |
Shoot for 49, Hero of Time! --- Yoblazer: http://i42.tinypic.com/avk9ie.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Karma Hunter | Posted 5/18/2009 11:58:45 AM | message detail |
It
was also hard to see two Square protagonists advance in
Squall/Sora/Yoshi/Fox, but it happened - comfortably. Granted, there's
nothing bringing MGS2 down like Fox did to Yoshi, but I'd feel a lot
better if all these games didn't share the same console. --- turnturnturn your brain in http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg |
ffmasterjose | Posted 5/18/2009 12:08:06 PM | message detail |
Well
Ulti, I have to hand it to you for convincing me to take FF8 in the end
with your "StarCraft gonna flop!" talk. The 6 points were definitely
worth it :D *looks at rest of bracket* Man I'm screwed --- 142/200 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest NP: Zelda: Ocarina of Time > FFVIII | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4 |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/18/2009 12:11:30 PM | message detail |
What
Leon and I were arguing just as hard (this is the moment where everyone
should conveniently forget that I have Metroid Prime winning tomorrow).
--- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
XxSoulxX | Posted 5/18/2009 12:15:49 PM | message detail |
So Starcraft screwed me over once again. Good work! --- ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'. - Topaz Kitsune Believe it or not, the Internet is serious business - Biolizard28 |
AmazingKirby | Posted 5/18/2009 12:41:44 PM | message detail |
I haven't gotten full points for any match this round, and I won't get them today either. =( In fact, I might not get a single match right in the second round... --- caps |
charmander6000 | Posted 5/18/2009 12:44:32 PM | message detail |
You didn't have SMW > FFIV or FFVII > GE? MGS4 > FO3 is still likely. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > Starcraft Points: 137/200 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/18/2009 12:45:38 PM | message detail |
Some
people (like me) had SMW > MM3 because we didn't expect MM3 to suck
so much and we expected FFI/FFIV LFF to be brutal. Got it half right at
least. --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
charmander6000 | Posted 5/18/2009 12:46:36 PM | message detail |
You guys didn't expect MM3 to be SFF by SMW? --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > Starcraft Points: 137/200 |
HaRRicH | Posted 5/18/2009 12:46:40 PM | message detail |
LoZ:OoT
matched FF7's percentage on probably a stronger set of opponents before
the ASV...that's all I really need to see. LoZ:OoT > FF7 looks to be
what's up until further notice with me, though they'll obviously still
be pretty close to each other. It's all about getting it an opponent it
can crush though...let's go SM64! It's also amazing how undignified Starcraft fans must have been in 2004 to pull what they did then despite what we're seeing now. I'm sure it was naturally stronger in 2004, too, but this is huge. --- Prototype Shorthand, do you speak it?! |
charmander6000 | Posted 5/18/2009 12:49:59 PM | message detail |
The thing is Starcraft/Halo was hyped for weeks, everyone on battle.net knew it was coming. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > Starcraft Points: 137/200 |
AmazingKirby | Posted 5/18/2009 12:58:56 PM | message detail |
You didn't have SMW > FFIV or FFVII > GE? MGS4 > FO3 is still likely. Oh. That's the thing. I kept seeing "FF2" in the bracket thinking it was the real FFII, not FFIV. Stupid. And I had FFVII > MK64. >_> The rest of my picks are: FFX > MGS2 (But I want KH to win, so forget this.) SSBM > Halo MGS3 > WoW TP > RE4 (But I want KH2 to win.) CoD 4 > SSBB MGS4 > FO3 --- caps |
lightsout06 | Posted 5/18/2009 1:01:33 PM | message detail |
SSBM > Halo and MSG4 > FO3 should be right --- "As a rule, men worry more about what they can't see than about what they can. " - Julius Caesar |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/18/2009 1:05:02 PM | message detail |
Most of those picks are right, actually. --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
ffmasterjose | Posted 5/18/2009 1:11:12 PM | message detail |
Some
people (like me) had SMW > MM3 because we didn't expect MM3 to suck
so much and we expected FFI/FFIV LFF to be brutal. Got it half right at
least. Precisely. Damn you Blue BOMBER --- 142/200 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest NP: Zelda: Ocarina of Time > FFVIII | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4 |
lightsout06 | Posted 5/18/2009 1:15:22 PM | message detail |
The MC needs to make his appearance in round 2. There has not been a match worth watching in the ASV this round. --- "As a rule, men worry more about what they can't see than about what they can. " - Julius Caesar |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/18/2009 1:26:57 PM | message detail |
Looks like OoT may push FFVIII under 30% by the end of this. --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/18/2009 1:40:21 PM | message detail |
Never again will I make fun of the stats topic for overreaction. After the Magic beat the Celtics last night, Charles Barkley picked the Magic to beat the Cavs and Chris Webber called the Magic the best team in the NBA. All because the Magic had a hot hand from 3 and beat a tired Celtics team playing something like it's 200th game since the beginning of last year. And the Celts were running something like a 7 man rotation because of injuries. Gimme a break. The Cavs will beat Orlando in 5 games, tops. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´ "You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/18/2009 1:56:40 PM | message detail |
Well,
they forgot that whole "Cavs are invincible at home" thing and the fact
that they have home court, so yeah. If they'd beaten the Celtics with
Kevin Garnett, that'd be different, but they didn't. --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
voltch | Posted 5/18/2009 2:54:58 PM | message detail |
huh,who are these people? me no follow BBall. --- It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455 |
transients | Posted 5/18/2009 2:57:15 PM | message detail |
OOT is a monster. --- xyzzy |
RockMFR 5 | Posted 5/18/2009 3:06:13 PM | message detail |
I'm waiting to see a 60% update. --- Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0 The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/18/2009 3:35:25 PM | message detail |
I
figured MGS2 should be the favorite today, but I didn't realize just
how badly FFX beat it up. That 62% win is much bigger than what Melee
managed in 2004, so even if MGS2 dropped significantly, it still may
have been console SFF'd. With four PS2 games in the mix, there'll be a
ton of overlap to go around. Even if KH gets the worst of it, it might
not be enough for Metal Gear. And yes, Ocarina is putting its division through the meat grinder (that's my favorite "really strong thing" analogy). --- Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
Master Moltar | Posted 5/18/2009 3:57:23 PM | message detail |
geez
Ocarina. Definitely looks better than FF7 at them moment. The winner is
going to come down to the other two games in the match though (which
sux) KH vs. MGS2 should be good. I would imagine KH is hurt more by FFX, but who knows. --- Moltar Status: complete global saturation Match 42 - Bracket: OoT > FF8 - Vote: OoT (135/200) |
creativename | Posted 5/18/2009 4:10:18 PM | message detail |
Calling
RBY a top 10 game is infinitely worse than saying the Magic will beat
the Cavs, because the Magic have at absolute bare minimum a 15% chance
to do so. The series price is currently +480/-430, implying about an
18%-19% chance for the Magic. There was never any chance of RBY being
top 10. huh,who are these people? me no follow BBall. If you've never heard of Charles Barkley, you must not live in the United States I'm guessing. On today's match, the results look a lot different now than last night - the LFF situation looks much better for Final Fantasy now. Looks like the logic that the new-school Final Fantasys LFF less than the old-school ones did was correct (I forget who the first to bring that up was). FF8 last round got 61.15% on Starcraft, getting about 56% here - quite an acceptable difference. That looks good for FF7/FFX as well, since they're also different generations. Also good for FF8/FFX for that matter. Though FF8 looks weaker now. Going by Starcraft's percent on OoT right now and FF8's percent on Starcraft last round, FF8 gets about 32.6% on OoT. Looks like FF8 vs. MGS might be a match after all. Of course, that doesn't account for any Xenogears LFF in the 1st round, though that probably wouldn't add more than a couple points to FF8's number. --- gamefaqscontests.com gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |