GameFAQs Contests

FFX is looking pretty good if VIII dies early and even then Melee might die to OoT.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: LoZ: OoT > Starcraft Points: 137/200

If RBY advances next round, FFX/RBY/OoT/SSBM will be interesting to see.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

And the lead breaks 100.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

Nice gain by Starcraft to push the lead over 100 as the power hour closes. Going by last round, we'll probably see another 2 hours of this, and then FFVIII will go berserk. Unlike last round, it's only got 3 hours from 3 AM until morning, however- I wonder what that will do to the trends.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

If FF8 advances, I've gotta favor it advancing in R3 too. If Starcraft advances, give me MGS. Either way, it's a shame this format allows FF8 to possibly lose to SC after blowing it out last round.


Two random thoughts:

1) Looking at how FF1+2/4 couldn't match what FF1 got on SMW and how we may see the same thing today with FF8+9 on Starcraft, I wonder if people voting out of FF-respect just don't vote if they see two FF-games they have to pick between. Just an odd thought.

2) It could be interesting to see how FFX and KH react to each other around MGS2; They could have a similar split, MGS2 was beaten by FFX similarly to how Starcraft was beaten by FF8, and MGS is a bigger name than Starcraft around here.
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!

1) Looking at how FF1+2/4 couldn't match what FF1 got on SMW and how we may see the same thing today with FF8+9 on Starcraft, I wonder if people voting out of FF-respect just don't vote if they see two FF-games they have to pick between. Just an odd thought.

The only explanation I've come up with for the FF1/FF4 thing is that having over 20,000 less votes between the rounds hurt Team FF in comparison to SMW. Otherwise it just makes little to no sense.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile

Either way, it's a shame this format allows FF8 to possibly lose to SC after blowing it out last round.

Good thing Bacon's all about legitimacy with this Games Contest so we can see stuff like this happen!

And FFX/KH does worry me a bit. I don't think they'll split quite as bad though.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

If I took Diablo instead of Ridley I would have won a prize.

I hate to be that guy, but I would have had a perfect bracket if I made that same pick. Instead, I'm not even on the leaderboard...!
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!

Here's a wild theory for why we did so poorly with in votals the very tail end of round 1 and the first half of this round: final exams at universities.

Also, the votals for this match have come back down to earth a bit. We're still only about 250 votes ahead of yesterday's poll, about the same as we were after 5 minutes. That would still put us on track for 130,000 though, which is very good for this contest.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Here's a wild theory for why we did so poorly with in votals the very tail end of round 1 and the first half of this round: final exams at universities.


Wilder theory: swine flu
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, FastFalcon05

FF8 has this. Last round, Starcraft just collapsed after the first 3 hours and never really recovered, and that was without OoT or anything with a good ASV in the poll.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147

Wilder theory: swine flu

XD
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

I fail to see how OoT being here would hurt Starcraft's ASV (not really because holiday tomorrow) with regards to FF8.....
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http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg

What holiday?
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

bad match is bad

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a metal slime appears

From: red sox 777 | Posted: 5/18/2009 1:07:49 AM | #159
Here's a wild theory for why we did so poorly with in votals the very tail end of round 1 and the first half of this round: final exams at universities.

Also, the votals for this match have come back down to earth a bit. We're still only about 250 votes ahead of yesterday's poll, about the same as we were after 5 minutes. That would still put us on track for 130,000 though, which is very good for this contest.

You know that actually makes more sense that it should. Finals week is hellacious.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

Bad contest is worse.
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gamefaqscontests.com
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It's Victoria Day up here in Canada.
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Hail FastFalcon, our new guru overlord!

There we go! First big cut of the match!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

ha... Starcraft may not even build a 500-vote lead during the night
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Today's prediction: Ocarina 44.10% - Orphanage 22.67% - Starcrap 19.06% - Vivi 14.17%
Status:

Although the fact that FFVIII and FFIX are getting killed by LFF so hard here, despite what we saw last round, makes me a bit more confident (as much as you can be after having seen the last few matches) that FFIV has a good shot to do something in its match.

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a metal slime appears

Ouch. 34 vote cut for FFVIII.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Very nice. I want FFVIII to bury this thing as quickly as possible. Still not trusting that damned Starcraft.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Ladies and germs this one is over. FFVIII moves on!
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You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far.

Just a temporary setback! Starcraft back on the (painfully slow, won't be enough) march!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile

Starcraft is going to end up closer to FF9 than FF8.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147

I don't think so. FF9 is going to completely collapse now that the Poor Taste Power Hour is over. And FF8 won't be going THAT crazy tonight.
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http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg

I'm not so sure that FFVIII will rise as much as last round. It could be a case of the obvious winner (to people who don't remember Starcraft 2004, it was obvious I guess) doing badly early. Whether or not that's the case, it feels a bit like Crono/Vincent- like the increase was so out of this world that it's hard to believe it would happen again, even between the same games. And of course it doesn't get many hours of late night/early morning vote to work with this time.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Starcraft is going to end up closer to FF9 than FF8.

maybe if FF8 ends up in fourth.
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, FastFalcon05

And of course it doesn't get many hours of late night/early morning vote to work with this time.

The result would've been the same no matter what day of the week. It just determines HOW it happens.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

Although the fact that FFVIII and FFIX are getting killed by LFF so hard here, despite what we saw last round, makes me a bit more confident (as much as you can be after having seen the last few matches) that FFIV has a good shot to do something in its match.

Yeah, it certainly can't hurt. I think we might be forgetting that FFVIII wasn't even at full strength last round; it had to deal with Xenogears, and it still put a mighty hurt on Starcraft. Now we replace Xenogears with a (admittedly stronger) game that shares the same name, and Starcraft is making a huge jump. These series splits are serious business, and I still think FFIV has a great chance.
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

The result would've been the same no matter what day of the week. It just determines HOW it happens.

The result is the same, but the trends can be different. We don't know that FFVIII wouldn't have started higher in the power hour last round had it been a weekday.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

hmm..Starcraft had the better day vote, leading me to believe it should be the favourite.

strange match.
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yzzyx

We don't know that FFVIII wouldn't have started higher in the power hour last round had it been a weekday.

Yes, we do. FFVIII's board vote and Power Hour will always be bad, no matter what day of the week it is. The first hour of the match is usually the same no matter what day of the week it is.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

FFVIII is going to go up, no question. There is a question about how much it will go up, though.

Basically, Starcraft is in the same position as Crono was in last year. Going by previous trends, victory is impossible. I think FFVIII is a very big favorite, but it's not 100% over yet.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Time | R/B/Y | LOZ: MM | MGS | G/S | Demographic
EBV | 28.93% | 22.40% | 30.48% | 18.20% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 28.90% | 21.45% | 30.88% | 18.78% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 26.47% | 20.02% | 34.97% | 18.53% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 23.26% | 20.76% | 35.63% | 20.34% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 25.90% | 22.39% | 31.81% | 19.90% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 26.62% | 22.26% | 33.01% | 18.11% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 26.31% | 21.05% | 35.08% | 17.56% | (22:00-24:00)

MGS has a bad board vote and Power Hour, but an awesome night vote and early morning vote. It went down quite a bit with the late morning and early afternoon, it held up pretty well during the afternoon. Weird trends for RBY here, strong Power Hour and decent night vote, but that early morning timeframe really killed it. No serious move all day. Majora's Mask did its best work from mid-morning and on. G/S's best time was the early morning, for whatever the reason.

Yesterday's stats:

Metal Gear Solid – 50.00%
Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow – 44.15%
Majora’s Mask – 39.38%
Pokemon Gold/Silver – 36.29%

Upper Half Stats

Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow (Round 1) – 50.00%
Metal Gear Solid – 46.06%
Pokemon Gold/Silver (Round 1) – 42.99%
Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow (Round 2) – 40.67%
Majora’s Mask – 36.28%
Final Fantasy Tactics – 35.07%
Pokemon Gold/Silver (Round 2) – 33.43%
Perfect Dark – 18.77%
Deus Ex – 15.80%
Banjo-Kazooie – 14.72%

The adjustments are based on the Majora's Mask ratio, about the fairest thing I can think of at this point, so take it for what you will.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3464&type=2&seconds=3600&max=0

looks like 3am is the dying point for Starcraft. damn, that's one hell of an FF8 night vote.
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xyzzy
"Actually, fire didn't make Sephiroth awesome. Sephiroth made fire awesome." -Karma Hunter

looks like 3am is the dying point for Starcraft. damn, that's one hell of an FF8 night vote.

Europe loves its FF. Both games should skyrocket, FFIX made huge progress on OoT last round as well.
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FastFalcon and Solid Snake snapped my neck in the guru contest.

Yeah, it certainly can't hurt. I think we might be forgetting that FFVIII wasn't even at full strength last round; it had to deal with Xenogears, and it still put a mighty hurt on Starcraft. Now we replace Xenogears with a (admittedly stronger) game that shares the same name, and Starcraft is making a huge jump. These series splits are serious business, and I still think FFIV has a great chance.

Yeah, FF4 has a great chance to beat Sonic the Hedgehog for third place.

Seriously, Starcraft has 38.5% on FF8 and FF9 right now. Starcraft had 37.1% on FF8 and Xenogears at this point last match. Starcraft and FF8 are performing as expected right now.
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147

Whether or not that's the case, it feels a bit like Crono/Vincent

haha I love you sometimes
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

Yes, I did expect this. You know what else I expect FINAL FANTASY 4 MOVING ON OH GLORIOUS DAY
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Yoblazer: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

FFVII is going to have a lot of fun for a couple hours next round against 3 games that suck in Europe.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

You know what else I expect FINAL FANTASY 4 MOVING ON OH GLORIOUS DAY

Hell yeah let's do this

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a metal slime appears

Starcraft by the hour against Final Fantasy VIII:

1:00 | 51.13%
2:00 | 49.50%
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Well that was quick. *sigh*
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.

Let's double - no, triple!, this lead in the next update!
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

FFVIII in the lead. I'm not sure how the day vote trends were last time, but FFVIII should have a good shot at winning this.

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a metal slime appears

Looks like game. Starcraft draws fuel from people calling the match against it, so hopefully this counts as calling it.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

ooh, a tie.

But yeah, time to call this for FF8!
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Hail FastFalcon, our new guru overlord!

Ocarina's in for over three hours of bleeding, but I think it can come back and exceed FFVII's percentage. One-upsmanship at its finest.
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Yoblazer: http://i42.tinypic.com/avk9ie.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!