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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 715

PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/15/2009 10:49:18 AM | message detail
I don't think many (any?) people think Mario 64 has a realistic shot. I'd consider breaking 40% to be an alright performance.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/15/2009 10:52:10 AM | message detail
40% with Yoshi's Island there would either mean Mario 64's a beast or CT's fallen off.
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/15/2009 10:55:18 AM | message detail
I assume you mean 40% on CT, and not 40% on the poll, Yoblazer, in which case, I agree.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/15/2009 10:55:18 AM | message detail
Last round certainly hints at the former.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/15/2009 10:56:11 AM | message detail
I assume you mean 40% on CT, and not 40% on the poll, Yoblazer, in which case, I agree.

Of course. I thought the context made that clear, since 40% in the poll would assure a Mario 64 win.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/15/2009 10:58:03 AM | message detail
Mainline Mario games have been killing everything these days, but there's no doubt that SOTN isn't the same game that got 40% on GoldenEye in 2004. Alucard's only gotten weaker since then. Heck, 2004 was probably his best year. RE1 only got 30% on MGS in 2004, so it's nothing special either. And we know KSS is weak.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/15/2009 11:23:48 AM | message detail
Damnit, why did FF7 have to end up doing fine? Bah.

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/15/2009 11:25:33 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #357
Damnit, why did FF7 have to end up doing fine? Bah.


I think it just looked worse then expected against 3 games with good board votes. I wonder if this might be the biggest change in percentage from 5 minute mark to end of the match
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
MnMZero | Posted 5/15/2009 11:29:16 AM | message detail
Just looked at a comment earlier about Yoshi's Island getting 15%. Really? The game only got 23% last round when the other two games besides CT were Earthbound and Lufia. It's now going to get 15% when you add SM64 and SotN? SM64 won't SFF Yoshi's Island because the games are different? Huh? Since when has that stopped Nintendo SFF? SM64 is going to put a hurting on Yoshi's Island. SotN has a niche but strong fanbase, so I could see it holding up to get 15%. Yoshi's Island? Uh, there might be Yoshi's Island purist like myself who absolutely love the game, but for the most part SM64 should easily be preffered over the late-SNES spinoff Mario game. Chrono Trigger being there won't help YI at all. Yoshi's Island might be happy to get 10% I think. CT and SM64 simply outclass it too much, and that's before you account for SM64 SFF.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/15/2009 11:30:15 AM | message detail
I'm thinking 6-8% for Yoshis Island.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
ZFS | Posted 5/15/2009 11:30:59 AM | message detail
Great rebound for FFVII here. It did a lot better than I thought it would after how it started last night.

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MnMZero | Posted 5/15/2009 11:32:05 AM | message detail
"preffered".... that's what happens when you had a huge lunch and just downed a cup of coffee while being dead tired in the afternoon.
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Proud Supporter of Zero
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/15/2009 11:38:59 AM | message detail
Yoshi's Island breaking 10% would be the biggest surprise of the round.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 5/15/2009 11:40:24 AM | message detail
Sounds like some Yoshi's Island haters in this topic.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/15/2009 11:42:03 AM | message detail

From: The Mana Sword | #364
Sounds like some Yoshi's Island haters in this topic.


the split between FF4/FF1 will look like nothing compared to SM64 and YI
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/15/2009 11:42:31 AM | message detail
Now that I don't believe for a second.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/15/2009 11:43:04 AM | message detail
Hah, no. FF1/FF4 was the worst split we've ever seen. SM64/YI won't even be close.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/15/2009 11:44:35 AM | message detail
There won't be a "split" between Mario 64 and Yoshi's Island. There will only be Mario 64 pulverizing it.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/15/2009 11:45:15 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #368
There won't be a "split" between Mario 64 and Yoshi's Island. There will only be Mario 64 pulverizing it.


Yeah this is what I mean. I'm expecting 85-15% abouts.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 5/15/2009 11:46:50 AM | message detail
the split between FF4/FF1 will look like nothing compared to SM64 and YI

CT > SotN

>_>

Though yes I think I have SM64/YI pegged at around 80/20.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > GoldenEye 007 Points: 121/176
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/15/2009 11:46:50 AM | message detail
85-15, huh? Expecting Yoshi's Island to barely crack 5%?
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/15/2009 11:47:26 AM | message detail

From: The Mana Sword | #371
85-15, huh? Expecting Yoshi's Island to barely crack 5%?


Well I said I expected it about 6-8%, so thats not that far off!
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 5/15/2009 11:47:55 AM | message detail
85/15 may be pushing it though, I don't think SMW would be able to do that...
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVII > GoldenEye 007 Points: 121/176
ZFS | Posted 5/15/2009 11:47:56 AM | message detail
FFIV/FFI is an extreme example of what can happen with a split, but it shouldn't be looked at as something that'll happen again, if ever, this contest. Just like how we shouldn't expect to see overperformances from other games compared to how they did in round 1. That was a really weird, unique match.

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The Mana Sword | Posted 5/15/2009 11:49:03 AM | message detail
And remember, the worse Yoshi's Island looks, the worse EarthBound looks~!

(I know this matters to some people!)
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/15/2009 11:49:21 AM | message detail

From: The Mana Sword | #375
And remember, the worse Yoshi's Island looks, the worse EarthBound looks~!

(I know this matters to some people!)


suck it earthbound
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http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 5/15/2009 11:49:29 AM | message detail
80-20 sounds good. SM64 would probably double it without any SFF.
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ZFS | Posted 5/15/2009 11:50:08 AM | message detail
Yoshi's Island is gonna look pretty awful here, no doubts about that!

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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/15/2009 11:50:10 AM | message detail
EB's comparisan to CT is far more reliable than its comparisan to Yoshi's Island.

So gogo CT!

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red sox 777 | Posted 5/15/2009 11:50:48 AM | message detail
No, Earthbound just got SNES RPG SFFed by CT. Lufia 2 did too, so in fact CT was being triple LFFed last round. Prepare for utter domination tonight!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/15/2009 11:50:51 AM | message detail
but aww man if Yoshis Island gets like 6% here, imagine how bad lufia is gonna look on final stats

xD
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
MnMZero | Posted 5/15/2009 11:50:59 AM | message detail
Yeah, but the gap between FF1's and FF4's strength indirectly is much smaller than between SM64's and SMW2's. I agree it won't be the same situation. SM64 will beat down YI because it's simply that much stronger, and then you apply SFF!
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/15/2009 11:51:24 AM | message detail
Lufia ASS
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/15/2009 11:52:08 AM | message detail
Bold Prediction: Yoshi's Island beats SotN.

Lopen's got nothin' on this.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
Janus5000 | Posted 5/15/2009 11:52:16 AM | message detail
Sounds like some Yoshi's Island haters in this topic.

You should be grateful - it just inspired me to change my oracle that had YI getting 17% and SOTN getting the same % as it did last round. <________<

Also, I could see a huge split between SM64 and YI. The FF4/FF1 split is what, a projected doubling? Yeah, that's nothing.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/15/2009 11:52:23 AM | message detail
So, rank the only shooting games that have done well so far!

Goldeneye
MGS
Call of Duty 4
MGS4
Half-Life 2

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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/15/2009 11:52:50 AM | message detail
Probably because Lopen knows when to stop!

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ZFS | Posted 5/15/2009 11:53:34 AM | message detail
MGS
Call of Duty 4
Goldeneye
MGS4
Half-Life 2

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/15/2009 11:54:49 AM | message detail
MGS > Goldeneye > MGS4 > CoD4 > HL2
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/15/2009 11:55:23 AM | message detail
MGS
Goldeneye
MGS4
Call of Duty 4
Half-Life 2
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Denzokuken | Posted 5/15/2009 11:55:31 AM | message detail
is this by performances are just overall strength? by individual performances:

Call of Duty 4
Half-Life 2
MGS
Goldeneye
MGS4

strength:

MGS
Call of Duty 4 (yeah)
Goldeneye
MGS4
Half-Life 2
HaRRicH | Posted 5/15/2009 12:06:59 PM | message detail
Since everybody's putting Goldeneye between MGS and MGS4...

...GE versus SSBB, who ya got?
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Shorthand, do you speak it?!
transience | Posted 5/15/2009 12:07:03 PM | message detail
MGS
MGS4
COD4
Goldeneye
Half-Life 2
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xyzzy
http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg
XxSoulxX | Posted 5/15/2009 12:09:41 PM | message detail
So, rank the only shooting games that have done well so far!

It's too bad GFAQS has such horrible tastes. Otherwise, HL2 would be up front easily. Blah!

Goldeneye
Call of Duty 4
MGS
Half-Life 2
MGS4
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 5/15/2009 12:09:50 PM | message detail
MGS
Resident Evil 4
Call of Duty 4
Goldeneye
MGS4
Half-Life 2
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/15/2009 12:10:07 PM | message detail
Brawl right now, but I think MGS4 was inflated, anyway. In a contest match against Brawl and two neutral games, I doubt it can put up 48% again.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
transience | Posted 5/15/2009 12:10:40 PM | message detail
Goldeneye over MGS4, really?

I guess SMRPG > MGS4 is alive and well!
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xyzzy
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/15/2009 12:11:00 PM | message detail
Give me Goldeneye. The N64's biggest multiplayer game (a game that was actually liked!) > The Wii's biggest multiplayer game (lol disappointment).
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HaRRicH | Posted 5/15/2009 12:11:36 PM | message detail
I like:

MGS
MGS4
GE
CoD4
HL2

The bottom three can't be too far apart, but I do think the MGS-games are a small-yet-clear tier above them all.
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
red sox 777 | Posted 5/15/2009 12:12:29 PM | message detail
But I would have taken Goldeneye > Brawl before the contest too.
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