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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 714

LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 9:24:07 PM | message detail
I honestly wondered that about Link's Awakening, but I dunno.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 5/13/2009 9:24:48 PM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #250
I have a theory that LA is doing very good because the name of the game has "Link" in it. With Link being our greatest contest god, you can imagine that people will vote for anything that says "Link" or has "Link" in the name.


I would argue Zelda is just as big of a name (just look at the character Zelda).


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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: SMW > FFIV - Points: 112 Vote: SMW
red sox 777 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:25:44 PM | message detail
That theory has already fallen flat on its face with "The Legend of Zelda" and Majora's Mask, Wind Waker, and Zelda 1. As awesome as Link is, I don't see why "Link" would be a more powerful name than "The Legend of Zelda."
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:26:12 PM | message detail
Yes, but Link > Zelda

But that doesn't explain why Ocarina of Time does so well, where's the Link factor?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVI > Sonic 2 Points: 117/168
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 9:26:25 PM | message detail
I always thought as a kid the main character of zelda was named zelda
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ZFS | Posted 5/13/2009 9:27:10 PM | message detail
it's the combined power of ZELDA and LINK meaning FFVI has this contest all wrapped 'book it'

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creativename | Posted 5/13/2009 9:27:13 PM | message detail
Decent theory...except AoL would suck bad.

Also the pic-name switcheroo doesn't make sense because of course the written poll option would win over the picture placement.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 5/13/2009 9:27:31 PM | message detail
Yeah Link > Zelda, but Link also has to get popularity from being the main playable character. Who honestly cares about Zelda?
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: FFVI > MMX - Points: 124 Vote: Sonic 2
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 9:28:14 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #258
Yeah Link > Zelda, but Link also has to get popularity from being the main playable character. Who honestly cares about Zelda?


hentai fans
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:29:01 PM | message detail
Link would have won Link vs. Everyone, we all know it to be true (and it would have been glorious!)
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 9:29:08 PM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | S. Metroid | Mario Kart | LOZ: LTTP | DKC | Demographic
EBV | 21.02% | 17.76% | 49.21% | 12.01% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 20.82% | 17.11% | 49.69% | 12.38% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 19.10% | 18.93% | 50.00% | 11.97% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 18.76% | 19.46% | 50.14% | 11.65% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 18.66% | 18.82% | 51.24% | 11.27% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 18.20% | 19.12% | 50.66% | 12.02% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 20.45% | 18.40% | 49.87% | 11.28% | (22:00-24:00)

LTTP's trends don't vary too widely here, but trends in SFF matches tend to get watered down. Super Metroid with a great board vote, but didn't finish above 20% in any demographic until the second night vote. Super Mario Kart does its best work in the morning. This match followed last round's almost exactly, except Super Metroid did better at the very beginning and Mario Kart did better with the ASV. DKC did well with the Power Hour and the ASV.

Yesterday's stats:

A Link to the Past – 50.00%
Super Metroid – 27.22%
Super Mario Kart – 27.17%
Donkey Kong Country – 18.93%

Upper Half Stats

A Link to the Past – 50.00%
Super Metroid – 27.22%
Super Mario Kart – 27.17%
Donkey Kong Country (Round 1) – 24.26%
Doom (Round 1) – 23.77%
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 – 22.20%
Donkey Kong Country (Round 2) – 18.93%
Doom (Round 2) – 18.55%
Streets of Rage II (Round 1) – 12.74%
Streets of Rage II (Round 2) – 9.94%
Gunstar Heroes – 7.06%

LOL Sonic 3
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/13/2009 9:31:33 PM | message detail
Also the pic-name switcheroo doesn't make sense because of course the written poll option would win over the picture placement.

Maybe, it's easily possible, but I honestly can't come up with a reason why Classic Link could break 60% other than the fact that his match picture said "Link" under it instead of "Classic". That match is one of just several matches where the match picture resulted in an overperformance, in this case, it was Classic Link overperforming.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
red sox 777 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:33:08 PM | message detail
Why wouldn't Adult OOT Link break 60% on WW Link, Young Link, and CD-I Link? (Put LTTP Link in there and he stands up better, book it!)
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 9:33:41 PM | message detail
real fans like cdi link the best
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
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transience | Posted 5/13/2009 9:34:02 PM | message detail
so, do people think Mega Man and Sonic overlap with Nintendo? 'cause if that was the case, LA probably beats FF6.

given this match and the other Sonic match, I'm inclined to say that Sonic is its own thing and not very Nintendo-y.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 9:35:03 PM | message detail
Talking about the Link match though...

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3308&type=2&seconds=60&max=0

the graph for cdi link is hillarious
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 9:35:04 PM | message detail
So would you say SMW/Sonic 2 was legit, or just a weird match?

'Cause Sonic's got 36% on FFVI right now?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 9:35:33 PM | message detail

From: transience | #265
so, do people think Mega Man and Sonic overlap with Nintendo? 'cause if that was the case, LA probably beats FF6.

given this match and the other Sonic match, I'm inclined to say that Sonic is its own thing and not very Nintendo-y.


I think its more Mario that hurts him, not all Nintendo.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/13/2009 9:36:03 PM | message detail
Wow, FFVI might end up outdoing expectations. Pretty good considering the asscrap picture.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 9:36:25 PM | message detail
Man, Sonic 2 is dropping like crazy. 17% update there.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:36:36 PM | message detail
SMW/Sonic 2 was weird, though if Sonic 2 keeps dropping like this I may become hesitant.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVI > Sonic 2 Points: 117/168
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 9:36:41 PM | message detail
Sonic gonna end up below 20% during the power hour
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http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:38:00 PM | message detail
Wow, FFVI might end up outdoing expectations. Pretty good considering the asscrap picture.

More proof that the picture more or less has no effect besides a few cases...
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVI > Sonic 2 Points: 117/168
red sox 777 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:38:23 PM | message detail
Sonic probably overlaps with Nintendo a little, and Megaman somewhat more. Sonic the character likely overlaps with Nintendo more than his games though: Nintendo fans (especially the younger ones who started on the N64 or later) recognize Sonic as a character but often haven't played his Genesis games.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/13/2009 9:38:31 PM | message detail
SMW/Sonic 2 was weird, though if Sonic 2 keeps dropping like this I may become hesitant.

That was a weird match. It really does take a lot of SFF for Sonic 2 to drop over 50% from round 1 to round 2. Sonic 2 got almost 81% in round 1, then got slightly under 30% in round 2.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 9:39:51 PM | message detail
For the record, FFVI had 57.95% on LA after the first hour and finished with 56.09%. Got 54.76% on it right now.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 9:40:23 PM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #275
SMW/Sonic 2 was weird, though if Sonic 2 keeps dropping like this I may become hesitant.

That was a weird match. It really does take a lot of SFF for Sonic 2 to drop over 50% from round 1 to round 2. Sonic 2 got almost 81% in round 1, then got slightly under 30% in round 2.


Round 1 was a match with an exclusive Sega Genesis game by Sega.

Sonic 2 was obviously going to do a massive SFF beat down on it.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/13/2009 9:41:13 PM | message detail
After seeing the FF/FFIV split, I'm very hesitant calling the original Sonic stronger than 2, which seems to be the clearly preferred one among the fanbase. At best, I'd give it equal indirect strength, but it's going to end up looking so much better through two rounds.

The first one is easily explained by it being the most casual, Nintendo option and by SFII sucking ass. The second round is much tougher to explain, though. It outdid nearly everyone's expectations and barely fell against SFII in terms of relative percentage (when I believe more than half of us thought it would fall enough to lose). It really might be best explained by wonkiness whenever Mario and Sonic meet up, and if that's the case, I have no idea what we're in store for next round.

Seriously...

Mario
Sonic
Mario

Bananas!
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:41:35 PM | message detail
At this rate Sonic 2/MKII may not be that far off from last round.

>_>
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVI > Sonic 2 Points: 117/168
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 9:42:43 PM | message detail
Sonic's gonna look pretty bad next round.

Or maybe it'll look pretty good if it avoids being affected by Mario World and Mario 3.

Mario 3 > Sonic 1 repeat next round?
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creativename | Posted 5/13/2009 9:43:35 PM | message detail
Link would have won Link vs. Everyone, we all know it to be true (and it would have been glorious!)

Cloud probably beats "Everyone" too. Maybe even Mario. People don't care about "Everyone" unless it specifies explicitly.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 9:44:04 PM | message detail
Yeah, "Everyone" is too generic of a term unless it brings a specific character to mind.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/13/2009 9:44:18 PM | message detail
It should have looked bad two days ago. If anything, I'd wager on it looking better after throwing in another Mario option, not worse.
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Yoblazer: http://i37.tinypic.com/x1d2s9.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:45:12 PM | message detail
Hypothetically if SMRPG wasn't in tomorrow's match does anyone think MK64 would have a chance against GoldenEye?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVI > Sonic 2 Points: 117/168
charmander6000 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:45:54 PM | message detail
Can't wait to see MKII cut into Sonic 2's lead.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVI > Sonic 2 Points: 117/168
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 9:46:14 PM | message detail
FF6 is determined to show it doesn't suck
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 9:46:16 PM | message detail
I'd pick Mario Kart 64 > GoldenEye tomorrow if Mario RPG weren't there.

And Sonic 2 should drop below 20% next update.
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:46:19 PM | message detail
41% update for FFVI....looks like it can hit 40% overnight, and probably ends above 39%.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 9:47:22 PM | message detail
FFVI improved by nearly 2% from its end of Power Hour percentage, so it skyrocketed overnight before its bad day vote.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:47:23 PM | message detail
I'd pick Mario Kart 64 > GoldenEye tomorrow if Mario RPG weren't there.

Yup if SMK = SM, MK64 should have no problem out doing SMRPG.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVI > Sonic 2 Points: 117/168
red sox 777 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:47:43 PM | message detail
Oh, and it looks like FFVI is going to end up beating LA worse than last round pretty easily here. Back in contention for the top 10, it is!
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
Lopen | Posted 5/13/2009 9:47:53 PM | message detail
Link vs Everyone to me would be the ultimate test of whether pictures matter, as the match picture would have enough characters on the other side to beat him in a normal match.
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ZFS | Posted 5/13/2009 9:48:05 PM | message detail
Good show for FFVI. It's going to end up doing about what I expected it do here. LA's doing good here, too.

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 9:48:24 PM | message detail
are we so sure that smk > smrpg?
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lightsout06 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:48:39 PM | message detail
Anyone ready for FF7 > Goldeneye
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When you come in 2nd your the 1st loser
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 9:48:39 PM | message detail
Heck, I'd half entertain Mario RPG > GoldenEye tomorrow if Mario Kart 64 weren't there.

DKC2/Mario RPG LFF believe
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:49:14 PM | message detail
are we so sure that smk > smrpg?

That's a tough one, though MK64 > SMK
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: FFVI > Sonic 2 Points: 117/168
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 9:49:26 PM | message detail
Oh, and it looks like FFVI is going to end up beating LA worse than last round pretty easily here.

Not so sure about that. It should finish right around the same, honestly.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/13/2009 9:49:34 PM | message detail
Just for reference!

http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Bonus-1.png
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/13/2009 9:50:17 PM | message detail
That's a tough one, though MK64 > SMK

I'm not at all sure about that.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!