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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 713

LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 11:07:12 AM | message detail
Super Mario Kart won the morning vote, which usually bodes well for the ASV, though not always.

For the record, SM/SMK trends from last round:

Mario Kart | S. Metroid | Demographic
32.14% | 35.57% | (0:00-0:05)
33.81% | 35.55% | (0:00-1:00)
34.02% | 34.96% | (1:00-6:00)
35.34% | 34.32% | (6:00-9:00)
35.75% | 34.99% | (9:00-14:30)
35.63% | 35.75% | (14:30-22:00)
35.21% | 36.28% | (22:00-24:00)

The ASV was essentially a draw, with the night vote decisively favoring Super Metroid. Basically, if this is still close when the ASV is over, chances are good Super Metroid's got it.
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jonthomson | Posted 5/13/2009 11:08:57 AM | message detail
please hold please hold please hold
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Jon Thomson - 1:10 pure 1:43 100% - HKP: 179
Super Metroid's Path To Glory: R2 vs. Super Mario Kart, A Link to the Past, Donkey Kong Country
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 11:11:24 AM | message detail
But with the asv beast that is Zelda there.... who knows who will win the asv
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 11:12:11 AM | message detail
The trends are holding up almost exactly the same from last round despite Zelda's presence.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/13/2009 11:13:57 AM | message detail
If SMK didn't decide to let SM go ahead and build an extra 100 votes on its lead it could have had a chance
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/13/2009 11:18:59 AM | message detail
I don't think I've ever cared less about a close match ever. Screw you, Sonic 3.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 11:19:51 AM | message detail
Chances are good that this wouldn't even be a close match if Sonic 3 were here, so...!

Plus, it's playing out exactly the same as last time, so unless something weird happens, I'd say Super Metroid's got the advantage.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 5/13/2009 11:22:23 AM | message detail
Remember when Crono/Vincent '08 was playing out exactly like Crono/Vincent '07 !!
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
Yesmar | Posted 5/13/2009 11:23:17 AM | message detail
Why do people keep saying that certain games can steal away other's ASV against competition? If LttP "steals" SM's ASV, it'll "steal" Super Mario Kart's as well. This sounds a lot like hardcore fanbases, in that people keep spouting it off despite no proof that it actually exists.
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 11:24:13 AM | message detail
Remember when Crono/Vincent '08 was playing out exactly like Crono/Vincent '07 !!

!
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HaRRicH | Posted 5/13/2009 11:24:47 AM | message detail
Yeah, until further notice, you have to assume history will repeat itself. SMK's done a good job of getting back into the match -- I thought it was going to be out of contention after last night. Still, we've seen them duke it out with SM winning in a close one just a few weeks ago...there's not much reason to bet otherwise yet.
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
Gr8CyberMonkey | Posted 5/13/2009 11:26:13 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | Posted: 5/13/2009 2:18:59 PM | #106
I don't think I've ever cared less about a close match ever. Screw you, Sonic 3.


Ha ha, I came here to post this.
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The question to everyone's answer.
MasterMoltar | Posted 5/13/2009 11:31:06 AM | message detail
Remember when Crono/Vincent '08 was playing out exactly like Crono/Vincent '07 !!

SMK isn't going to cheat its way to a victory in the last 15 minutes though, so the winner will be the same!
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no space
all business
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/13/2009 11:31:58 AM | message detail
Crono reversed the result by some 1500 votes, n00b.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
Yesmar | Posted 5/13/2009 11:32:25 AM | message detail
Time | Super Metroid Super Mario Kart
01:00 | 54.89% | 45.11%
02:00 | 53.98% | 46.02%
03:00 | 50.26% | 49.74%
04:00 | 48.86% | 51.14%
05:00 | 47.61% | 52.39%
06:00 | 45.51% | 54.49%
07:00 | 47.70% | 52.30%
08:00 | 47.98% | 52.02%
09:00 | 50.31% | 49.69%
10:00 | 49.77% | 50.23%
11:00 | 47.95% | 52.05%
12:00 | 48.57% | 51.43%
13:00 | 52.41% | 47.59%
14:00 | 50.63% | 49.37%

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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!
transience | Posted 5/13/2009 11:32:51 AM | message detail
I'm liking Super Metroid here. it's 250 votes above last time with no real reason for trends to change. anything's possible but SM's the fave.
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xyzzy
"Actually, fire didn't make Sephiroth awesome. Sephiroth made fire awesome." -Karma Hunter
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 11:32:55 AM | message detail
SMK isn't going to cheat its way to a victory in the last 15 minutes though, so the winner will be the same!

We'll see about that!!
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/13/2009 11:35:31 AM | message detail
More than that.....the way the match was going the first couple of hours, had it followed 2007 trends, Vincent would have won by 3000 to 4000 votes.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/13/2009 11:36:22 AM | message detail
What conclusion does our resident Crono/Vincent expert come to about today's match?
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
red sox 777 | Posted 5/13/2009 11:43:32 AM | message detail
Matches with such even trends are boring! Except for CT/LTTP alone it seems!

Have to trust in last round's trends until we see evidence to the contrary though, and those say the ASV is split evenly between these games. Super Metroid should have the advantage right now thanks to its lead.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 11:47:19 AM | message detail
darn dkc and your asv
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 11:51:44 AM | message detail
It Begins
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The Mana Sword | Posted 5/13/2009 11:54:07 AM | message detail
Yes a 10 vote cut surely signals the end for Super Metroid.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 11:54:21 AM | message detail

From: The Mana Sword | #123
Yes a 10 vote cut surely signals the end for Super Metroid.


Yep!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 11:54:46 AM | message detail
The journey of 264 votes begins with 10 votes.
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syco_coaster | Posted 5/13/2009 11:55:35 AM | message detail
Albion, Homer Simpson has some choice words for you:

"Don't you ever get tired of being wrong all the time?"
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Current Score: 116
Today's pick: Zelda: LttP > Super Metroid
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/13/2009 11:55:51 AM | message detail
10 votes becomes 20 votes. 20 votes becomes 100 votes. 100 votes becomes A THOUSAND VOTES.

Look out LttP.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 11:56:16 AM | message detail
We must bring everything...BACK TO ZERO!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 11:56:25 AM | message detail

From: syco_coaster | #126
Albion, Homer Simpson has some choice words for you:

"Don't you ever get tired of being wrong all the time?"


I was wrong when I messaged a gnome mage in Hyperion earlier asking if he went to b8 =\
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The Mana Sword | Posted 5/13/2009 11:57:23 AM | message detail
Looks like 10 votes actually becomes 6 votes.

Whoops.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 11:57:48 AM | message detail
ugh why is DKC doing better in the asv

are these games that sad as the asv
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syco_coaster | Posted 5/13/2009 11:57:54 AM | message detail
I'm in Aumentare Di Phoenix now.
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Current Score: 116
Today's pick: Zelda: LttP > Super Metroid
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 11:59:07 AM | message detail

From: syco_coaster | #132
I'm in Aumentare Di Phoenix now.


Oh. I started playing WoW again cuz a girl who's got me whipped forced me to come back to join her guild -.-
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HaRRicH | Posted 5/13/2009 12:02:05 PM | message detail
The difference between Crono/Vincent and SM/SMK is that there was a year between Crono/Vincent (as far as four-ways go) while SM/SMK had a match last round. Trends were allowed to change more, and last round showed that SM takes the match from this point onward -- albeit barely. Besides, Crono was much closer their second match than their first match while SMK is further behind this time than last time. We can also mention that it's unlikely SMK gets the same kind of support Crono got at the end of their matches.....


I like SM here. Go SMK and all that, but it looks like Metroid's finally got something good on the resume.
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Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 12:02:45 PM | message detail
Three cuts in a row! Sounds like a trend to me!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 12:03:25 PM | message detail
4 cuts actually
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/13/2009 12:06:12 PM | message detail
Alright, NOW it's 3 PM, time to do your thing LTTP (down with you, DKC).
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 12:06:33 PM | message detail
Whoa, 24 vote cut! Now we're in business!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/13/2009 12:06:44 PM | message detail
Woah, looks like SMK picked up a Golden Mushroom!

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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/13/2009 12:07:12 PM | message detail
Woah > Whoa, Leon

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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 12:07:13 PM | message detail
There are no Golden Mushrooms in SMK!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 12:07:18 PM | message detail
now it begins
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/13/2009 12:09:39 PM | message detail
On a side note, what do people consider a 'win' here nowadays? 2nd place? Does 3rd place count as a 'win' as it beat out 4th place, even while not advancing? I'm sure there are some 'everything but 1st place is a loss' people still around.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 12:10:16 PM | message detail
As long as you advance, I guess that's considered a win. Anything that's worth points on the bracket, basically.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 12:10:28 PM | message detail
I consider win as in advancing
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/13/2009 12:11:30 PM | message detail
aww yeah another big update for smk

your days are numbered metroid make your time
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__Smurf__ | Posted 5/13/2009 12:11:48 PM | message detail
n_n
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
The Mana Sword | Posted 5/13/2009 12:12:12 PM | message detail
LttP you suck.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/13/2009 12:12:15 PM | message detail
33 vote cut. SMK not messin' around now.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/13/2009 12:12:24 PM | message detail
SMK having more pronounced trends with LTTP in the poll?

Did it Euroverlap with Sonic last time or something?

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