GameFAQs Contests

A better estimate should have been 50-51% so it's doing about expected.

Even with the ASV, Zelda isn't going to rise up to 55%, but it could break 51% during that time.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

Are there any ROMHacks for LttP?
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Proud Supporter of Zero

Parallel Worlds is the only one I know about, but that one's kinda lol.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?

The only expectation you could really have for this match is for LttP to match its performance against SM in 2004. Which by the end of the match I suppose it'll be close enough to doing
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Now I will do my usual vote total stats. Yeah, you may say it's getting annoying, but Mario 3's match tells me that I HAVE to focus on vote totals to get matches right now. And my prediction score is ten points ahead of my bracket's.

Super Mario World's vote total was about 95.41% of its vote total in round 1.
Final Fantasy's vote total was about 28.09% of its vote total in round 1.
Final Fantasy IV's vote total was about 46.9% of its vote total in round 1.
Mega Man 3's vote total was about 25.79% of its vote total in round 1.

Comments: "Darling I don't know why I go to extremes." That pretty much sums it all up. Super Mario World did overwhelmingly well this match, to the point where we could consider it a top 20 game at worst (which is quite cool since it is one of the few games in this tourney which I've actually beaten, though that was on the GBA version, but still). What happened? Well, that's a question I have to ask to everybody in the match, because FFI, FFIV, and MM3 all lost over half of their votes, and the former and the latter both only kept less than a third of their votes from round 1. Is SFF just this bad? I'm extremely baffled!!! The list of vote totals just make everything more sick.

1. Super Mario World
2. Super Mario Bros. 3
3. Super Mario Bros.
4. The Legend of Zelda
5. Tetris
6. Mega Man 2
7. Final Fantasy IV
8. Sonic the Hedgehog
9. Street Fighter II
10. Pac-Man
11. Final Fantasy
12. Donkey Kong
13. Metroid
14. Mega Man 3
15. The Secret of Monkey Island
16. Ninja Gaiden

Comments: Our SFFd entries all dropped by quite a lot, but look who's the new #1 in town! I'm still confused. I wonder how things will go today, especially considering that Super Metroid, Mario Kart, and DK Country all weren't very high to begin with.

huh, looks like SMK has this

damn what a collapse frm Metroid
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg

Super Metroid and SMK have been stalling each other for the past hour or so, so I don't know how this will play out for the rest of the day.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

SMK has cut 70 the last hour...
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg

Going from the 8:59 to the 9:59 hour it cut 8
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

SMK has cut 70 the last hour...

More like past 2 hours I meant. Super Metroid's lead was 269 at 8:00 AM and now it is at 271 at 10:00 AM.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

30, actually.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg

279 - 271 = 8
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

and thats 33 votes last 2 updates

yep, metroid is dead
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg

From: The n00b Avenger | #062
279 - 271 = 8

Regardless, stalling before doesn't matter now that SMK is killing it.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg

Last round, Super Metroid was stalling during the first hour of the DSV before SMK starting pulling a second comeback. It looks like this is happening again in this match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

Don't look at individual updates for this kind of thing. They're very misleading due to the high variance between updates. Look at whole hours, or better, blocks of multiple hours. As I recall, SMK was doing this at around this time last round too- it turned into a stall fairly quickly, and should do so here as well.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

going by the last match, this is around the time when SMK made its push to take the lead.

Metroid better tough it out in the end like last time
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 37 - Bracket: LttP > Doom - Vote: SM (111/160)

Actually, SMK won this hour against SM last round too, pretty decisively too at 51.5 to 48.5

So yeah, SM is expected to lose some lead here
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Okay, as far as Final Fantasies go, according to those crummy votal things, VII > X > IV > VIII > I > VI > XII > IX. Today's match is too close to call, so time to analyze tomorrow's match and recap.

Final Fantasy VI - This is one of the three games in this division that I'd consider worthy of winning the entire contest, what with its excellent story, huge cast, and cutting-edge graphics, but its round 1 showing does make it look like contender to the Spring Contest crown in any way, shape or form. Last time Kefka's game scored about 72% on Mortal Kombat and DOOM before doing surprisingly well on Zelda 3. Unfortunately, it proved that performance to be a fluke right afterwards in this contest, not even breaking 60% on Link's Awakening. Did it overperform because of seeding last time? Will it need Dissidia to spring back into the limelight?

Zelda: Link's Awakening - Best handheld adventure ever? Certainly a candidate, if not immediate winner. And since this is ZeldaFAQs, Link's Awakening has a good amount of fans, who managed to propel it past Mega Man X and Phantasy Star IV last round at put a good number on what was thought to be a top 10 game. But its completely possible that its performance last right was just name value, right? Right? I mean, there's no way a handheld game could be THIS strong, right?

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 - The game that introduced Tails and Super Sonic, and it sold better than the first Sonic, didn't it? Sonic 2 has unfortunately disappointed in both contests its been in, as the first time it got blown out by Mario World and this time it disappointed against Mortal Kombat II and Secret of Mana. Sonic fading? Certainly so.

Mortal Kombat 2 - Perhaps the most overrated game of all time, but let's not get into that discussion right now. Plus, Mortal Kombat had a good amount of influence on the industry, didn't it? There isn't much to say about MK2's performance last round, so let's just say that Johnny Cage was one hell of an imposing figure in that pic.

Eh, let's right MK2 off right now, although I wouldn't be too surprised if it advanced given the Nintendo split. Link's Awakening will lose votes to Sonic 2, so which game will come out on top? Sonic 2 did better with vote totals last round, but only by about 5k votes, and that's not much, is it? I can honestly see any of the three games aside from Final Fantasy VI (the victor, of course) taking 2nd place, but for now I'll trust Link's Awakening.

Final Fantasy VI - 35%, Zelda: Link's Awakening - 25%, Sonic the Hedgehog 2 - 23%, Mortal Kombat 2 - 17%

Prediction: Final Fantasy VI > Zelda: Link's Awakening
Bracket: Final Fantasy VI > Sonic the Hedgehog 2
Favorites: Final Fantasy VI > Sonic the Hedgehog 2
Favorites Bracket: Final Fantasy VI > Sonic the Hedgehog 2

super metroid more like super choker

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He who shall not be named.

now that im back from a shower, lets get these smk updates back up imo
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg

[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]

It's interesting how comebacks seems to be just as easy in fourways regardless of percentages. A 500 vote lead when both entries combine for 40% of the votes is the same as a 500 vote lead when they combine for 70% of the vote, though logically we thought that wouldn't be true at all.
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All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.

Heh, I actually thought DKC had some strength on it, but I guess Super Metroid and SMK really are champions.
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: SMW > FFIV - Points: 112 Vote: SMW

SMK has seemed to continue the trend of at doing better or at least tying its performance from last round after the first 2 hours. I'd say its chances to win are probably a little better than they were in round 1
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

It's been narrowly ahead of pace over the last round. It's well poised for a 50/50 showdown.
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.

I'm not sure what you people are talking about. It's now 11:45.

Super Metroid's lead at 11:43 last time: 73
Super Metroid's lead at 11:45 this time: 161

Both in terms of percentage and votes it's doing better. Mario Kart fanboyz.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

The higher lead is a result of the better first 2 hours from Super Metroid.
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Looking at this in terms of sheer vote volume as you people like to do, Metroid's lead peaked at ~600 in both matches, so I'm not sure when the lead hit that point is relevant.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

The first couple of hours is when a huge group of people who generally know about the contest come and vote when the poll is first put up resulting in unsteady trends. Generally, the time after that is a better stick for judging how stuff will go. And the fact that SMK has overall been doing better than round 1 for 80% of the match is a good sign
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Calling either game at this point would be silly. Regardless of what the lead is not compared to last round, when it's this close that doesn't really matter.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?

The first two hours vs the first three hours shouldn't be considered vastly different, that's all I'm sayin. People are not robots and they pretty reasonably might come to vote at +/- one hour. You see it with Halo plenty, sometimes it has these fits of "time to fight" in hour 3 when it should be getting crushed by strict trends. You'd have a point if say, Super Metroid waited till like 6:00 to start dropping last time but by 3 hours in the lead was roughly the same.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

Sounds like you're just nervous about digging yourself into an even deeper hole in the Smurf topic !!
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?

Super Metroid gotz this "book it"
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

It's not clear whether the first couple of hours or the other hours will be a better predictor of how the ASV will look. I said jokingly it was as over as Crono/Vincent 2008 was after 5 minutes when Crono was way behind 2007's trends.....maybe that'll turn out to be true. (Crono was behind 2007 trends the first couple of hours, a little ahead of them from then until the ASV, and then well ahead of them during the ASV). I still like Super Metroid here though.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

I think Mario Kart will win this. Zelda is more likely to hurt Metroid than Mario Kart in a close match, especially after school.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

Whatever about the outcome, SMK is certainly going to take the lead here.
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.

Keep in mind that LttP isn't exactly a day vote beast. It's probably not going to go up that much with the ASV.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?

Psh, there goes its streak of performing better than last round. The hour it takes the lead before it's gone backwards like 50 votes

lol gj blowing your chances
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Zelda has this.
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Yoblazer: http://i42.tinypic.com/avk9ie.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

CT > LTTP hype train boarding now! Our stops:

1. CT destroys SM64.
2. LTTP beats FFVI despite Triple LFF.
3. CT dominates SM64 again with FFVII in the poll.
4. Off the tracks.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Oh we're going off the tracks alright.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

CT > LttP train time for this to crash and burn.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?

It is pretty interesting that this match is going almost exactly the same even with Zelda taking up half the votes.
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Should I start running now?

Not to mention that SFF is probably involved. 2 entries performing the same against each other round to round with no seemingly interfering factor seems to not occur that often. To manage to be SFFed identically too is O_o
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Super Mario Kart not finished yet!

Hmmm...Not sure whose chances I like more, but I guess I'll favor Super Metroid since it actually won this match under the same circumstances last time. We'll see.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

i am back, time for mario kart to flllyyyyyy
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg

Wow, SMK has done a great job stalling in the last 40 minutes. One more hour until the ASV, so if it keeps this up, it should have an excellent shot.
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Also, it might not make a difference at all, but I think a Mario Kart win is the best result for FFVI. Being sandwiched between Zelda/Mario/Zelda is the most advantageous thing it could hope for.
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Yoblazer: http://i37.tinypic.com/x1d2s9.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

ya as if
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg