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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 710

transience | Posted 5/11/2009 12:11:18 AM | message detail
Sonic doesn't have to make day vote comebacks. it's against Street Fighter.
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xyzzy
http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 5/11/2009 12:11:57 AM | message detail
Sonic is pretty strong in the dead zone too. If SF2 can't get going quickly, it's not going to get out to much of a lead before morning hits.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
xp1337 | Posted 5/11/2009 12:15:47 AM | message detail
Isn't SFII going to wreck Sonic with the dead zone though?

Sonic isn't going to be making any day vote comebacks with a Mario game in the poll.


I believe we're entering Sonic's worst time period, but Sonic should take the morning easily. SMB3 did the worst in that time frame too, so it should be Sonic's (and Monkey Island's) time to shine.

That said, I'm more concerned about the day vote. Sonic was doing better than SF2 there last time, but with SMB3 I start wondering if Sonic shouldn't be looking for the day to finish any comebacks, and instead better make sure it happens in the morning... which it should, but...
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
xp1337 | Posted 5/11/2009 12:17:05 AM | message detail
All that said, if Sonic can keep stalling SF2 like it is right now, then it's not going to matter, and Sonic should have this pretty easily.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/11/2009 12:53:57 AM | message detail
I'm happy about this match. It proves once and for all SFF between Sonic and Mario, and we can finally laugh at the remaining stragglers who think Mario World's win over Sonic 2 was somehow legitimate.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/11/2009 12:56:24 AM | message detail
Aww yeah MI at 14% on SMB3, so 55.37% on it's R1 performance.

Aim for 15%!
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It's the little things that matter.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/11/2009 12:58:29 AM | message detail

From: nintendogirl1 | Posted: 5/11/2009 3:56:24 AM | #406
Aww yeah MI at 14% on SMB3, so 55.37% on it's R1 performance.

Aim for 15%!


I love stats.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/11/2009 1:35:39 AM | message detail
From: UltimaterializerX
I love stats.

I love the Europe vote. In the last 40 minutes MI has risen 0.35%.
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Meteoritic at least.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/11/2009 1:37:34 AM | message detail
They're just so sophisticated.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Lopen | Posted 5/11/2009 1:38:43 AM | message detail
To me this doesn't exactly prove SFF between the two and I'm actually a supporter of that theory. It's possible Sonic just owned up the apathy vote last round.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/11/2009 1:45:06 AM | message detail
I was expecting a lot more SFF than this. I was expecting this to be one of the standard setters for game SFF. It's still there - Sonic will go from 55.5% on Street Fighter II to substantially less (maybe even under 50%, although it's looking unlikely), and it's all because of Mario 3. Perhaps I was crazy to think Street Fighter could go from 44% to 55%+, especially since it's also gotta have overlap with Mario, but I think "apathy voting" is far less realistic than just attributing it to SFF. I doubt Sonic would be down right now if we replace Mario 3 with, say, FFVII.
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Yoblazer: http://i37.tinypic.com/x1d2s9.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/11/2009 1:50:54 AM | message detail
From: PartOfYourWorld
I was expecting a lot more SFF than this. I was expecting this to be one of the standard setters for game SFF. It's still there - Sonic will go from 55.5% on Street Fighter II to substantially less (maybe even under 50%, although it's looking unlikely), and it's all because of Monkey Island. Perhaps I was crazy to think Street Fighter could go from 44% to 55%+, especially since it's also gotta have overlap with MI, but I think "apathy voting" is far less realistic than just attributing it to SFF. I doubt Sonic would be down right now if we replace Monkey Island with, say, FFVII.

Fix'd
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14.79% and rising!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/11/2009 2:03:06 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/11/2009 2:03:50 AM | message detail
Monkey Island got a 15.32% update within the last hour. Earlier in this topic, I said I would be surprised if it could get a 15% update or better against this tough fourpack. Aim for 20%!
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/11/2009 2:04:20 AM | message detail
Hah, MI is coming closer and closer to a stall. Meanwhile, Mario 3 is getting hammered. Another hour to go before the early morning vote, so there is a chance we see it dip under 47%. This is a lot worse than I expected.
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Yoblazer: http://i42.tinypic.com/avk9ie.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/11/2009 2:06:50 AM | message detail
From: PartOfYourWorld
Hah, MI is coming closer and closer to a stall. Meanwhile, Mario 3 is getting hammered. Another hour to go before the early morning vote, so there is a chance we see it rise over 15.5%. This is a lot better than I expected.

Fix'd again. Dammit Yo, learn to spell properly.
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:D
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/11/2009 2:09:11 AM | message detail
And that IS a stall by Monkey Island on Sonic.

It lost 5 votes that update.
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Awwww yeah.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/11/2009 2:51:00 AM | message detail
So SF2 built a 200 vote lead with the night.

What a great performance
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Xuxon | Posted 5/11/2009 2:51:36 AM | message detail
hmm not many chances left for a MI 3rd (or 2nd) place update. i thought it might happen.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/11/2009 2:52:58 AM | message detail
More importantly, Monkey Island is now at 15.59% on Mario 3 and STILL RISING.
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So it's getting 57.82% on Round 1 Monkey Island.
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/11/2009 2:57:05 AM | message detail
Ever think a predominantly PC based Sim City might just have affected MI slightly? <_<;
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(\__/) Meet Ziggy,the Evil Bunny who wants to take over the world and eat the flesh of the weak.
(='.'=] Put Ziggy in your sig to support his cause.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/11/2009 2:59:05 AM | message detail
From: Smurf Alt
Ever think a predominantly PC based Sim City might just have affected MI slightly? <_<;

Hey Smurf, this is the HARDCORE FANBASE showing what it's made of. Keep your logic out of this.
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It has no place here.
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/11/2009 2:59:40 AM | message detail
oh yeah? Well you fight like a cow!
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/11/2009 3:01:56 AM | message detail
How appropriate! You churn out the one line that the entire internet knows!

Have you even played the game?
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Did you see what I did with churning there. Like churning milk.
I feel clever.
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/11/2009 3:05:27 AM | message detail
I'm the definition of the monkey island hardcore fanboy, how dare you question me as such inferior fangirl!

Today by myself twelve people I've beaten!

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(\__/) Meet Ziggy,the Evil Bunny who wants to take over the world and eat the flesh of the weak.
(='.'=] Put Ziggy in your sig to support his cause.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/11/2009 3:08:36 AM | message detail
From: Smurf Alt
I'm the definition of the monkey island hardcore fanboy, how dare you question me as such inferior fangirl!

Today by myself twelve people I've beaten!


That's the second biggest lie I've ever seen!
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Also, from the size of your gut I'd guess they were eaten.
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/11/2009 3:10:28 AM | message detail
Hey look over there!
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/11/2009 3:13:33 AM | message detail
woah, Mario is plummeting now. half a percent in an hour. niiiiiiiiiice
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/11/2009 3:15:01 AM | message detail
Sounds like a crock of monkey snot to me.
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15.79% on Mario 3 or 58.13% on R1.
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/11/2009 3:17:33 AM | message detail
The day votes stupefying strength will shatter MI's ulna into a million pieces!
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
paulg235 | Posted 5/11/2009 3:18:51 AM | message detail
Godamnit, Sonic. Either take 2nd place already or just roll over and die.
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The Gamer In Me
http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=158
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/11/2009 3:20:29 AM | message detail
Street Fighter II's strongest time peaks at 5:00, when just after it had a 209 vote lead.
Sonic's peak time begins in an hour and its already eating into the lead. It's a sure thing the blue blur wins.
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
transience | Posted 5/11/2009 3:23:28 AM | message detail
game, SF's gonna be down like 800 votes by noon
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xyzzy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/11/2009 3:40:54 AM | message detail
Yeah the Sonic day vote is here. It's still getting SFFd to hell by a Mario 3 in the way, but it still has enough to win second place.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/11/2009 3:43:53 AM | message detail
I wonder if Mario World and SMB3 split each other down the middle next round and Sonic maintained its usual ~25% split from its hardcore audience if it could have an outside shot.
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
dragoontheguy | Posted 5/11/2009 3:49:33 AM | message detail
I wonder if Mario World and SMB3 split each other down the middle next round and Sonic maintained its usual ~25% split from its hardcore audience if it could have an outside shot.

I wouldn't call it impossible, but whichever final fantasy that advances tomorrow (probably 4) is going to have a pretty crazy advantage on it, being the game that's least likely to suffer from any sff and all. Sonic is definitely showing itself to be quite capable of minimizing sff damage here anyways.
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"A casual stroll through the lunatic asylum shows that faith does not prove anything." - Friedrich Nietzsche
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Smurf Alt | Posted 5/11/2009 3:53:10 AM | message detail
I've always thought of Sonic characters and games of having a small core audience of about a 20-25% share but also with a large casual pull from the Nintendo base that'll favour it against non-Nintendo. I think Nintendo's influence on it is best described as stunting rather than complete SFFing, I'd never expect to see a Sonic game or character SFF'd into the ground by Nintendo like Metroid would for example.

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dragoontheguy | Posted 5/11/2009 4:05:09 AM | message detail
And Sonic finally takes back second place. I think it's pretty safe to assume it won't be in danger of losing it from any point here on out.
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"A casual stroll through the lunatic asylum shows that faith does not prove anything." - Friedrich Nietzsche
http://www.last.fm/user/dragoontheguy
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/11/2009 4:15:24 AM | message detail
Looks like I was wrong about Monkey Island weakening Sonic's morning vote. Monkey Island is doing worse now than it was when we were in the dead zone (4:00 AM to 6:00 AM EST).
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/11/2009 4:48:57 AM | message detail
Yep, Sonic's ahead. Being ahead by ten thousand votes last round assured 2nd place here.

This also makes Kingdom Hearts look better against Final Fantasy X.
Solid_Mike86 | Posted 5/11/2009 5:11:33 AM | message detail
Does Sonic 2 have a chance to place 2nd in it's match in a couple days?
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***UNC TARHEELS 2008-2009 NCAA CHAMPIONS***
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/11/2009 5:20:02 AM | message detail
Maybe, but LA's performance was great and Mortal Kombat II > Mega Man X would have to be true.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SMB3 > SFII Points: 101/144
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/11/2009 5:23:29 AM | message detail
If Sonics morning vote continues to be so bad that its allowing a game series that lost the morning vote to PERSONA to make a good amount of cuts, this match isnt over.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/11/2009 5:23:56 AM | message detail
Given MM's consistent bombings thats not exactly impossible.
---
(\__/) Meet Ziggy,the Evil Bunny who wants to take over the world and eat the flesh of the weak.
(='.'=] Put Ziggy in your sig to support his cause.
charmander6000 | Posted 5/11/2009 5:27:40 AM | message detail
eh, SFII may make some cuts during the DSV, but Sonic 1 has the ASV and all he needs to do is build a large enough lead so the SNV doesn't kill him.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SMB3 > SFII Points: 101/144
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/11/2009 5:30:23 AM | message detail
Well, Sonic 2 managed a higher vote total than Link's Awakening, but only about 5,000 votes more, and methinks Link's Awakening can SFF enough to avoid that.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/11/2009 5:30:44 AM | message detail
lol vote totals
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http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/11/2009 5:31:08 AM | message detail
The moment of truth (aka, FF1 > FF4) is getting close.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/11/2009 5:33:39 AM | message detail
I use to side with FFIV > FF1 but with Mario 1's great performance, being the founder game of the series may really be worth more than I thought. I'd probably take FF1 to be stronger indirectly but I still don't know about a head to head match
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
charmander6000 | Posted 5/11/2009 5:35:27 AM | message detail
Looks like SMB3 is awake now.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SMB3 > SFII Points: 101/144