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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 710

PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/10/2009 9:04:19 PM | message detail
Yeah, Mario isn't exactly looking like a charmer. The bad pic might have something to do with it.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/10/2009 9:04:49 PM | message detail
Mario Bros 1 > Mario Bros 3
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
therealmnm | Posted 5/10/2009 9:04:50 PM | message detail
yep, SFII giving up right about now
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Currently playing: GTAIV, SSBB, MP3, Apollo Justice, FFIVDS, Dracula X
ZFS | Posted 5/10/2009 9:05:25 PM | message detail
Although thinking about it, Sonic being there instead of SF2 should make FFIV stand out that much more among three, essentially Nintendo, platformers !

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a metal slime appears
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2009 9:05:25 PM | message detail
Sonic up by 60 at the freeze.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
charmander6000 | Posted 5/10/2009 9:05:42 PM | message detail
Sonic 1 is looking good here.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SMB3 > SFII Points: 101/144
GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/10/2009 9:06:31 PM | message detail
pfff SMB3 is doing fine, just give it a few updates
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Today's prediction: Kuribo's Shoe 54.02% - SFII, SON 20.28% - Sonic 19.62% - Monkey Island 6.08%
Status:
red sox 777 | Posted 5/10/2009 9:06:46 PM | message detail
Mario 3 is the obvious winner here with 2 games vying for second though, so it ought to rise a lot.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
charmander6000 | Posted 5/10/2009 9:07:45 PM | message detail
59.46% / 23.60%
53.98% / 28.65%

Board 8 gets owned again.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SMB3 > SFII Points: 101/144
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/10/2009 9:08:17 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #209
59.46% / 23.60%
53.98% / 28.65%

Board 8 gets owned again.


Yep, I figured it would. Mario 1 > Zelda just sounds like common sense if you don't look at stats
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
deadeyedllv | Posted 5/10/2009 9:08:31 PM | message detail
*yawn*. Over. Next.
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You can't run away from trouble, there ain't no place that far.
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2009 9:09:05 PM | message detail
Wow, Mario only beat Zelda 44-41% in the U.S. Mario 1 destroyed it everywhere else though.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2009 9:10:09 PM | message detail
You can also blame Mario 1's higher percentage on the "Order matters?" Factor.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/10/2009 9:10:15 PM | message detail
Sonic's morning vote will be weakened by the presence of Monkey Island, because Europe loves that game as well. Now Europe has 2 options to split between. SFII could take advantage of this.
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Majin Lou | Posted 5/10/2009 9:10:30 PM | message detail
SFII stall!
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I am absolute corruption.
Pokemon Platinum FC: 1934 6546 0293
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2009 9:10:33 PM | message detail
Uh oh, SFII stall.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
xp1337 | Posted 5/10/2009 9:10:36 PM | message detail
Sonic only up 4.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
charmander6000 | Posted 5/10/2009 9:10:47 PM | message detail
SFII isn't dying...
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SMB3 > SFII Points: 101/144
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/10/2009 9:10:50 PM | message detail
SHORYUKEN
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/10/2009 9:10:54 PM | message detail
epic stall
though I still think SFII is done for
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Today's prediction: Kuribo's Shoe 54.02% - SFII, SON 20.28% - Sonic 19.62% - Monkey Island 6.08%
Status:
creativename | Posted 5/10/2009 9:11:38 PM | message detail
A while back people wondered what Monkey Island would get in this match and most said it would hold up do the its "dedicated fanbase".

I said that dedicated fanbase talk was junk and it would get 7%.

Looks like I was about right or overestimated. It should go up with Europe to over 7%, maybe even 8%, then drop in the day.

Can we please never, ever bring up "dedicated fanbase" again. Ever.
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creativename | Posted 5/10/2009 9:12:06 PM | message detail
Board 8 gets owned again.

Eh. The casuals are absolutely sucking major ass at bracketing this year. The board is totally dominating. If your bracket isn't in the top 95% it completely blows chunks.
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/10/2009 9:12:12 PM | message detail
Other games weakening/strengthening trends is really overrated. If MI is hurting Sonic (don't see why it would be), it'll hurt it during all time periods.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
RockMFR 5 | Posted 5/10/2009 9:12:26 PM | message detail
We could end up with very different trends from round 1 if SMB3 eats up Sonic's casual vote. That's probably what is going on here.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/10/2009 9:12:39 PM | message detail
for what it's worth,

in Round 1

Sonic after 10 minutes: 44.06%
Sonic at the end: 44.41%

SFII after 10 minutes: 37.35%
SFII at the end: 35.58%
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Today's prediction: Kuribo's Shoe 54.02% - SFII, SON 20.28% - Sonic 19.62% - Monkey Island 6.08%
Status:
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2009 9:13:07 PM | message detail
Also, good job tranny on the top Oracle prediction for the last match!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 5/10/2009 9:13:52 PM | message detail
I suppose SFII might have a chance if that start was all the knowledgeable contest followers voting for the contested match. SFF would get more severe when we get into the casual voters. SFII needs to start moving fast though.
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FastFalcon and Solid Snake snapped my neck in the guru contest.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 5/10/2009 9:13:57 PM | message detail
Europe and there Sonic love is going to bury SF2.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/10/2009 9:14:01 PM | message detail
Although thinking about it, Sonic being there instead of SF2 should make FFIV stand out that much more among three, essentially Nintendo, platformers !

You are absolutely right. FF4 > Mario 3 is looking better!
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Yoblazer: http://i42.tinypic.com/avk9ie.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/10/2009 9:14:23 PM | message detail
SF2 always has a bad board vote, and sonic has a good board vote

People were overreacting. lets see how this plays out after a couple updates
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
xp1337 | Posted 5/10/2009 9:14:32 PM | message detail
Wait, Monkey Island was argued to do fairly well? I can't see how anyone would argue against its ceiling in this match being over the 9.73% from last time, and it would make sense that would have to go down a bit here because not only is it a stronger pack, but well, the first round competition was uh.... interesting.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 5/10/2009 9:14:55 PM | message detail
15 people fell off the Top 50 today. Some_Character, Rodri316, ZenOfThunder, HopefulDeath, Ludwig_Von_2, SensiShadeSIaye, SoldierTwo, KamikazePotato, MadGamer_11, Hybrid_Osiris, TheMightyPeanut, Xcarvenger, Demon_HunterX, FinalFantasyXV and Dasmopp did not have SMB > LoZ as yesterday's winners.

5 people scored half points and survived. Gaddswell, pinoy_boi, metroidcomposit, mentalmike_2000 and Judicious_F also did not have SMB > LoZ as yesterday's winners.
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Shall I take you with me? To the place in this town where wishes come true...
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2009 9:14:59 PM | message detail
Get this FFIV talk out of here! It has to survive FFI first!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
KingBartz | Posted 5/10/2009 9:15:28 PM | message detail
omg SFII alive!!
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Check out my Guru bracket: http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=60
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2009 9:15:39 PM | message detail
And there's a cut.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/10/2009 9:15:41 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #233
Get this FFIV talk out of here! It has to survive FFI first!


FFsomething > Mario 3 is looking good!
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/10/2009 9:15:48 PM | message detail
sf2 cut
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
Majin Lou | Posted 5/10/2009 9:15:48 PM | message detail
SPINNING BIRD KICK!
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I am absolute corruption.
Pokemon Platinum FC: 1934 6546 0293
ZFS | Posted 5/10/2009 9:15:49 PM | message detail
FFIV over SMB3 would be the greatest result to ever happen in these contests. Don't have any faith in that happening, though!

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a metal slime appears
charmander6000 | Posted 5/10/2009 9:15:57 PM | message detail
Let's go Street Fighter II!
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SMB3 > SFII Points: 101/144
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/10/2009 9:16:31 PM | message detail
A few more of those and I'll be posting song lyrics.

Still, I can't believe Sonic is doing this well against Mario 3. The picture's gotta have something to do with it.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
masseffect90 | Posted 5/10/2009 9:16:38 PM | message detail
What are SFII's chances? For some reason I accidentally put it over Sonic, even though I had sonic last round.
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2009 9:16:43 PM | message detail
FFIV over SMB3 would be the greatest result to ever happen in these contests

It would be a bad, bad result! Don't even compare it to such greats as Squall > Luigi!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/10/2009 9:16:45 PM | message detail
Yep, people were calling this one too early. This may be a good match.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://img2.gelbooru.com/images/34/14a0c4231b6fe6e9657190b033e368594f4a462c.jpg
creativename | Posted 5/10/2009 9:17:17 PM | message detail
SMB3 doing worse here than I expected. Will obviously go up in the day but still probably won't reach 55%.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2009 9:17:20 PM | message detail
Sonic's getting 31% on Mario 3. That's not entirely unreasonable to me, honestly.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/10/2009 9:17:36 PM | message detail
...

I'm not getting updated stats, anyone else?
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Little puzzled.
ZFS | Posted 5/10/2009 9:17:53 PM | message detail
More like awesome result. Squall > Luigi this isn't even top 10!

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a metal slime appears
charmander6000 | Posted 5/10/2009 9:18:32 PM | message detail
...

I'm not getting updated stats, anyone else?


It rarely updates just keep using F5.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: SMB3 > SFII Points: 101/144
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/10/2009 9:18:39 PM | message detail
Just hit refresh to get updated stats. Happens to me sometimes.
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif