GameFAQs Contests

Master using it and you can have this.



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. The earliest example we have of this is Arthas/Diablo leeching each other half to death and letting KOS-MOS sneak into second place back in 2007. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days.

Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no expected chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength dictates. A lot of these entrants are naturally weak, but a lot of things come along that make little to no sense. A great example is Zero -- he scored 47% on Crono and won several updates, then one round later he gets disproportionally blown out once Link enters the picture. This factor also works in reverse, when an obvious first place game does worse than expected thanks to smart voters helping a game come in second place. The final of 2008 is a good example of this, where Snake stayed even with Link until the day vote and ultimately defeated Cloud. (Credit to red sox 777 and Leonhart4 for the examples)

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.

Hochi's League of Excellence™

Hochiminh
Nintendogirl
Karma Hunter
Kleenex
Leonhart
Ultimaterializer
ZFS
Lopen
Yoblazer
Harrich
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

What was with that axe anyway. Why did stomping on it make a bridge collapse.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

Maaaaaah rio
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Fortes in Unitate.
I ain't conceited only positive and way better

http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/gamefaqs.com

If I, a regular gamefaqs user, can find out right now that the traffic is down...

...You don't think the big wigs who actually get revenue out of the site can?
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://blog.codefront.net/wp-content/uploads/2007/05/lucky_star_i_am_a_tank_thumb.jpg

And I mean it!
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #494
A company that owns a top 300 website would constantly be up to date with the amount of revenue/hits the site is generating. They are going to know exactly, not just based off what Bacon says.

Disagree 100%. If they had their eye on things constantly, we'd get two contests a year, right on schedule. Or we'd get them scrapped. Bacon goes at his own pace and calls the shots.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Only a gain of 15 for Mario there! How long until the first cut?
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Seriously, people, if we all went and played FFX right now, we'd all feel a lot better. Go watch the laughing scene or something!

*leaves*
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http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif

I've been thinking about replaying it.
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Yoblazer: http://i42.tinypic.com/avk9ie.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

GameFAQs traffick is going down because...well, when's the last time we saw a big game release?

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http://thengamer.com/guru/

Traffic is mostly seasonal and the contests won't affect things too much, just a bit. Things like the L-Block finals boost are among the rare occasions the contests will help.

Suteki Da Ne rules.
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gamefaqscontests.com
gamefaqscontests.com/gallery

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/traffic.jpg

Its not just seasonal, its down big time over the last year. It makes me think C-net and Bacon are gonna try new things soon to try to spice things up
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://blog.codefront.net/wp-content/uploads/2007/05/lucky_star_i_am_a_tank_thumb.jpg

You know, I was playing Civ 4 at 11:55 PM, and decided to keep playing rather than vote early/check early results, figuring this match would provide disappointment.

I love you GameFAQS.
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http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif

SMB by the hour:

1:00 | 55.94%
2:00 | 54.91%

Projection Time!

2 hours in, Super Mario Bros. has 55.51% on the Legend of Zelda.

At this time, Crono had 55.89% on Vincent in 2007 and ended at 48.58%.
Projection: The Legend of Zelda wins with 51.77%

At this time, Super Mario Bros. 3 had 60.07% on The Legend of Zelda, and ended at 56.78%.
Projection: Super Mario Bros. wins with 52.22%

Remember that the SMB3/Zelda match started at 3 AM- not sure which game that helps out here. Obviously, trends could have changed a lot in the past 5 years, even if we had the same start time.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

We'll have to see where this ends up, but right now, it looks like Mario 1 is just a smidgen beneath Mario 3 indirectly. This should have been a bit more obvious after Mario 1 put up 70% on competition far stronger than 3's (Duck Hunt and Ninja Gaiden would have crushed Monkey Island and SimCity; let's not even argue that one), but I guess I had the blinders on and went with my bracket. Luckily, I only gave Zelda a 2% win, but it was still blindness on my part.
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Yoblazer: http://i42.tinypic.com/avk9ie.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

I still have difficulty comprehending the idea of SMB being this close to SMB3, unless those projections turn out to be more right than I can reasonably expect. SMB > SMW? SMB > SM64? All of my "common sense" said that it should be weaker than those 2 games.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

as the contest progressed, I said to myself "why was I stupid enough to pick Zelda over Mario? that doesn't make sense." at least I righted it in my Oracle, I guess.
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xyzzy
"Actually, fire didn't make Sephiroth awesome. Sephiroth made fire awesome." -Karma Hunter

I still have difficulty comprehending the idea of SMB being this close to SMB3, unless those projections turn out to be more right than I can reasonably expect. SMB > SMW? SMB > SM64? All of my "common sense" said that it should be weaker than those 2 games.

Well, SMB might just be the most unique entrant we've ever had (and for clearly obvious reasons). I still doubt it takes World or 64, but I'm not going to proclaim that it can't be indirectly stronger with any confidence.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

SMB should be the second strongest indirectly. Its by far the most well known among non gamers, at least. Everyone knows that song and that first level.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://blog.codefront.net/wp-content/uploads/2007/05/lucky_star_i_am_a_tank_thumb.jpg

Its by far the most well known among non gamers, at least

which should be just about meaningless on GameFAQs
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, FastFalcon05

From: MoogleKupo141 | #020
Its by far the most well known among non gamers, at least

which should be just about meaningless on GameFAQs

I know, but the fact that its so well known shouldn't be a drawback.
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://blog.codefront.net/wp-content/uploads/2007/05/lucky_star_i_am_a_tank_thumb.jpg

Heh, posts like that remind me that there are people always lurking this topic.

They are watching... I better watch the typos.
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Yoblazer: http://i38.tinypic.com/2s024p4.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

My contest-related common sense is going to take days to recover after this. Unless Zelda gets to 47%, this is honestly the most shocking result of the contest so far for me.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

From: red sox 777 | #023
My contest-related common sense is going to take days to recover after this. Unless Zelda gets to 47%, this is honestly the most shocking result of the contest so far for me.

I really don't see how it is after how SMB did round 1 >_>

-hugs his Mario > Zelda pick on his bracket-
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http://www.xboxlc.com/cards/blue2/Albion%20Hero.jpg
http://blog.codefront.net/wp-content/uploads/2007/05/lucky_star_i_am_a_tank_thumb.jpg

Well, part of it because we didn't have any genuinely shocking matches happen in the first round. Closest thing was probably Tales of Symphonia, but 4 games that previously had not appeared in a contest + 4-way = not that shocking.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

My contest-related common sense is going to take days to recover after this. Unless Zelda gets to 47%, this is honestly the most shocking result of the contest so far for me.

This one is? ...are you sure?

You didn't think Mario could have been two notches stronger than many of us (not an overwhelmingly huge majority, either) were expecting, given its history? This is obviously surprising compared to our pre-contest expectations, but it doesn't top Pokemon being some ten notches stronger, or FFT being so much weaker.
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Yoblazer: http://i42.tinypic.com/avk9ie.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Not saying that this result should necessarily be shocking, by the way. I was just very very wrong.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

My contest-related common sense is going to take days to recover after this. Unless Zelda gets to 47%, this is honestly the most shocking result of the contest so far for me.


I think you're just having too much faith in the applicability of results from five years ago in a different poll format ;>_>

and in a super S/LFF filled match
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, FastFalcon05

Traffic on GameFAQs is down because gaming i dying. That is to say that gaming isn't as popular as it once was.

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I will bury you.

Thank you for keeping Madden's spirit alive, hochi.
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http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif

Master looks after us now.
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Yoblazer: http://i42.tinypic.com/avk9ie.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

I think it's easy to look past the fact that, on top of everything else SMB1 has going for it, it's also a very good game, even by today's standards. I'm not quite sure I'd put this right under Mario 3 just yet, but it's probably hanging around there. Good show.

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a metal slime appears

Traffic on GameFAQs is down because gaming i dying. That is to say that gaming isn't as popular as it once was.

I appreciate the second sentence because the first sentence is confusing without it.
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For your health.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v239/Cyclo/pokewhat.jpg This is my Chocomander, FastFalcon05

My faith in Zelda had much more to do with Zelda > Mario than with the 2004 contest. Seeing Zelda put up 43% on SMB3 helped a lot of course, but I wouldn't be too surprised if the 2004 stats were wildly inaccurate. Mario beating Zelda on other hand......

As for RBY, I knew it had a huge range before the match, and I even said that it could be as strong as FFVI. I thought it probably wouldn't be, and therefore didn't predict it anywhere near what it got (still high enough to get the #3 pick in the Oracle that day though), but it was a possibility I could see happening.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

And there we are. Zelda gets its first cut of the day. Now let's see many more of those!
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.

Yeah, I think the lack of big-name releases lately is going to hurt the site. There are certainly games I'm interested, but I can't think of any huge releases until FFXIII, which is several months away.
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Curses! Sig foiled by 7 votes.
The Force grows ever stronger in creativename

I didn't state anything publicly that I don't personally believe in. 1 vs 1 is dull and always has been. Generations make for more interesting matchups (SMB has no chance against most modern games for example, but it can do pretty well in the current bracket).

http://i39.tinypic.com/2luc4rm.gif

Did he really...

i mean seriously what the hell how can someone be so wrong
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Moltar Status: complete global saturation
Match 34 - Bracket: Zelda > SMB - Vote: Zelda (95/136)

you've been on the Zelda 1 as a top 10-ish game for a long time so I guess this result is a bit shaking for you.. but this seems pretty damn understandable to me.
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yzzyx

Some SMB supporter needs to post Tiger pronto.
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Yoblazer: http://i37.tinypic.com/x1d2s9.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

Zelda 1 as a top ten game? What? Anyone still considering that after TP and WW struggled as much as they did were being pretty damn silly.
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http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/CenaJFrog.gif
hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI

I didn't state anything publicly that I don't personally believe in. 1 vs 1 is dull and always has been. Generations make for more interesting matchups (SMB has no chance against most modern games for example, but it can do pretty well in the current bracket).

And yeah, seriously... I don't even think I read this, because I might have flipped out or something. Generational gaps make for more interesting match-ups? Tetris/Donkey Kong/Punch-Out is more interesting than Tetris/Halo/Final Fantasy Tactics... how, exactly?
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

http://i38.tinypic.com/68wxeh.jpg
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xyzzy
"Actually, fire didn't make Sephiroth awesome. Sephiroth made fire awesome." -Karma Hunter

http://i38.tinypic.com/68wxeh.jpg

Awesome.
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http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/CenaJFrog.gif
hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI

Yeah, my first reaction was Zelda 1 > Mario 1...but then I thought about it and came to the conclusion that it's friggin' Mario 1. Zelda 1's strong in it's own right, but without that 43% on Mario 3 five years ago I guarantee Mario 1 is the big favourite over Zelda 1.

I really, really want to see it not against Mario 3 (and possibly Mario World), it could've done huge damage in a mixed division bracket. Since its first round fourpack was so weak I was hesitant to give it a too much credit, but I think it's earned its spot in top 15 or whatever discussions now.
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Mustache...and Green...
http://backloggery.com/rpguy96

even with this result, I like Zelda moving on in round 4. heck, we could get some FF4 > Zelda or something if Mario 1 is strong enough.
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xyzzy

FF4 > Zelda would only net me quarter-points.

But would lead to epic FFVII > FFIV (> LttP > LoZ) the next round, so I could....sorta live with it.
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http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/CenaJFrog.gif
hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI

I thought of possibilities that Mario 1 would beat Zelda 1, but I sided with my bracket. Now we know who's going to win the division (and rightfully so!).

So with that, my "crazy upset territory" has just gotten larger and I'm more confident about such things. So here are the rest of my current round 2 predictions, though I will still do full writeups daily.

Super Mario Bros. 3 > Sonic the Hedgehog
Super Mario World > Final Fantasy IV
Zelda: A Link to the Past > Super Mario Kart
Final Fantasy VI > Zelda: Link's Awakening
Final Fantasy VII > GoldenEye
Chrono Trigger > Super Mario 64
Metal Gear Solid > Pokemon Red/Blue
Zelda: Ocarina of Time > Final Fantasy VIII
Final Fantasy X > Kingdom Hearts
Super Smash Bros. Melee > Diablo II
Metal Gear Solid 3 > Tales of Symphonia
Zelda: Twilight Princess > Kingdom Hearts 2
Super Smash Bros. Brawl > Call of Duty 4
Metal Gear Solid 4 > Fallout 3

Round 3 and onwards
Super Mario Bros. > The Legend of Zelda
Final Fantasy IV > Super Mario Bros. 3
Final Fantasy VI > Zelda: A Link to the Past
Final Fantasy VII > Chrono Trigger
Zelda: Ocarina of Time > Metal Gear Solid
Super Smash Bros. Melee > Final Fantasy X
Zelda: Twilight Princess > Kingdom Hearts 2
Super Smash Bros. Brawl > Metal Gear Solid 4
Final Fantasy IV > Super Mario Bros. 3
Zelda: A Link to the Past > Final Fantasy VII
Zelda: Ocarina of Time > Final Fantasy X
Super Smash Bros. Brawl > Metal Gear Solid 4
Final Fantasy VII > Zelda: A Link to the Past
Zelda: Ocarina of Time > Final Fantasy X
Final Fantasy VII > Zelda: Ocarina of Time

CRAZY UPSET TERRITORY HERE WE COME!!!

Yeah, I'm not feeling bad about having FF4 go super far. I still think we're in for a ton of SFF-crap in these later rounds, so at the moment, FF1 worries me more than the big Marios and Zelda 1.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/8zkzm1.gif
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

I have SMW > MM3. FF and FF4 will probably split pretty bad. FF4 impressed me and could even be considered the favorite but FF4 could very well lose in 2 days.
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I will bury you.

Bacon's idiocy from the other topic boggles my mind. It makes me want to not even vote, just to drive votals down even further, even if only by 1.
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FastFalcon owned me in the Guru Contest!