GameFAQs Contests

And Tetris STILL got tripled by Legend of Zelda.

Because it's ****ing Zelda!

(ok, yeah, I knew I was forgetting something)
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CoD4 proved to be a potentially pretty strong game and it only beat Halo 3 with about 60% in both of its polls against it in GotY 2007

Of course, Call of Duty 4 > Fallout 3 has some pretty steep inclinations if you judge by GotY polls that are pretty hard to swallow such as putting Galaxy and Brawl back on par with each other. So nevermind.. I guess

If Halo 3 affected CoD4 I wouldn't be surprised if the reverse happened.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Fallout 3 > Halo 3 Points: 89/124

If there was one game I had to bet on next round, I'd place my money on Tetris. It wouldn't surprise me at all if MM2 pulled out a win there, though.

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There were at least interesting games I cared about there, and a couple of strong games. I can say neither for the 2004-2009 divisions. I don't mind seeing blowouts- I've always enjoyed Link and Cloud blasting apart their competition for several rounds trying to one-up each other before their epic confrontation.

OK, but when you have half of the division getting 10% or less, then something's wrong - and it isn't swamp gas.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

Pong/Donkey Kong would be a debatable match IMO.

If you go by their matches with Tetris...then DK wins with 50.84%, so take that for what you will.

Just remember that Tetris tripled Pong while MM2 doubled it.
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Over/Under: Fallout 3 gets 57.5% on Halo 3?
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Over. I think it'll finish between 58 and 59
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Then again, round 2 should be looking good without many of those titles - only Monkey Island, Ninja Gaiden, and Metroid are liable to suffer that fate.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

If you go by their matches with Tetris...then DK wins with 50.84%, so take that for what you will.

Just remember that Tetris tripled Pong while MM2 doubled it.

You'd think that Tetris/Pong would have more overlap than Tetris/DK because it's ****ing Tetris can also be used with it's ****in Pong, but to a lesser extent.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Fallout 3 > Halo 3 Points: 89/124

Fallout's already got 57.25% or so on it. It should only go up overnight. Sure, there's the Halo 3 ASV, but Fallout 3's day vote should be fine, so I'll say over.
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fallout 3 might top 37% by the end of the power hour
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Halo always ends stronger than it starts, so I'll have to say under. Figure the two losing games gain more out of the night vote than Fallout 3... and while Fallout 3 won't collapse with the day or anything Halo is gonna be consuming everyone.
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Halo's gonna dive before that ASV. this is gonna be kinda similar to the KOTOR match.

L4D's totally taking the lead tonight.
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xyzzy
"Actually, fire didn't make Sephiroth awesome. Sephiroth made fire awesome." -Karma Hunter

I don't think Halo's ASV will be quite as dominant as normal, because other than Mass Effect these other games' day votes should be fine. It'll still clearly win the ASV of course.
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Left 4 Dead shouldn't have a good ASV if other Valve games are any indication.
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L4D might win some hours but it won't lead.
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L4D should lead tonight I think. I mean Halo's really slowing down against it right now.
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No problem!
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Halo 3 has only gained 15 votes on L4D in the last 10 minutes, and Halo should really die off in the night vote, and I expect L4D to be a great nocturnal game.
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Let's predict the next match!!! But first, let's recap. Assuming trends will continue as they are doing so, I get 93 points in my bracket and 95 for predictions (thanks to taking a Mass Effect upset here). Alright, first let's recape each game's past results.

Tetris - So much for nobody caring about Tetris, as it was one of the few games to break 60k votes by itself in round 1. I wonder why the heck Tetris did so badly last time. Maybe it was because Tetris Worlds diluted the game's appeal, whereas Tetris DS and Tetris Party have boosted the Russian puzzler, not to mention L-Block's crazy run two years ago still carries some momentum?
Donkey Kong - For once, Donkey Kong did not choke. After a surprising near-loss to Duck Hunt all those years ago, DK upset Punch Out and made most of the statheads look bad. Maybe the game got a boost from SSBB?
Mega Man 2 - Well, we saw Mega Man as an elite character, and then Mega Man 2, widely believed to be the best game in the series, goes and flops like this. I would think that MM2 would, y'know, SFF Pac-Man and Pong, but no, that didn't happen.
Pac-Man - After staying under the shadow of SFF for a long while, Pac-Man came back from under and broke 32k votes in its match. Could the Championship Edition on Xbox Live have provided extra strength?

One thing that we must watch in this match is if and how Tetris uses "old-school SFF" on the other games in the poll. Some would say that L-Block used that on Sonic two character contests ago, but meh, I don't think so. Still, Tetris managed a higher percentage and vote total in round 1 than Mega Man 2, not to mention being more impressive in its match. Yeah, I'm going to go with the Russian puzzler FTW. And DK will probably lose to Pac-Man.
Prediction - Tetris > Mega Man 2
Tetris - 40% Donkey Kong - 10% Pac-Man - 20% Mega Man 2 - 30%
Bracket - Mega Man 2 > Tetris
Favorites - Tetris > Mega Man 2
Favorites Bracket - Tetris > Mega Man 2

I don't see where Mega Man 2's votes are going to come from. It got about 35% in a pack without Tetris. It's probably going to need to hold onto all of that in order to even have a shot at winning. Either Mega Man fans would have to be incredibly loyal, or a significant portion of the Oregon Trail fanbase would have to go to Mega Man. I don't see either happening.
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lol Left 4 Dead more like LFF'd for Dead.
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lol Left 4 Dead more like LFF'd for Dead.

Hahahahaha best use yet

these votals are hideous, its gonna have trouble hitting 100k today
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It doesn't need to hold onto that. Tetris can very easily be put below 30% here. I expect Pac-Man and Mega Man 2 to do a number on Tetris. I really think Tetris's fans were pretty much all apathy vote, so when games that people actually like start showing up it's going to topple big time.

Also... it very well might hold onto all of that because Mega Man 2 isn't going to have some white dork for its picture this time.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

So the picture really DID hurt Mega Man 2? Hmm. That was like Mega Man's version of Solid **** if you ask me.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia

That was a pretty atrocious pic MM2 got, and I'm sure it hurt, but I doubt it made too much difference. Not enough to turn MM2's showing from disappointment to impressive, anyway.

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L4D's totally taking the lead tonight.

Ehhh, I'm not so sure.
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well theres the first cut on halo
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Cut!
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Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.

L4D cut!

Looks like the Halo Power Hour is over!
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Hail FastFalcon, our new guru overlord!

Only 9267 votes after the first hour. That's quite poor.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

It's weird because I figured that the newer games would have higher votals considering they have people coming to the site just in order to talk about that specific game. No ones coming to gfaqs to talk about oh lets say Goldeneye nowadays, yet its going to end up with more votes than Halo 3. Heck maybe even Fallout 3.

Rereading this I can tell that this is horribly written but I'm tired.

My thoughts exactly, Fayt. That picture should be devastating.

For everyone doubting the impact of the pic, think of it this way: Do you expect Tetris to do as well as Mega Man 3 did against FFIV and company? Because I sure don't.
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No problem!
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Okami took the lead on Halo 2. Okami didn't start cutting until 3am.

Halo's definitely dropping to third.
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yzzyx

I think the problem with todays match is that its 4 xbox games on a nintendo/square site
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Only 9267 votes after the first hour.

Also, for the record, the Fallout 3/MGS4/SSBB GotY final had 9479 votes after the first hour and finished with 108236 votes. This match may not even break 110000 votes and could possibly end up with the lowest totals of the contest.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!

These games are all relatively new, still relatively expensive (even Halo 3 goes for $30+ most of the time), and share a home that's still not as relatively broad as Nintendo or Sony on this site. I can't say I gave any thought to poor votals, but eh, there's nothing in here to really spice the match up.
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Yesterday's chart:

Time | BioShock | LBP | MGS4 | Portal | Demographic
EBV | 22.42% | 10.11% | 39.17% | 28.30% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 22.36% | 10.28% | 41.65% | 25.72% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 21.84% | 10.36% | 42.37% | 25.43% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 22.44% | 11.17% | 41.40% | 24.99% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 22.96% | 11.11% | 42.13% | 23.80% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 23.25% | 11.90% | 41.73% | 23.12% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 23.88% | 11.01% | 41.94% | 23.17% | (22:00-24:00)

MGS4, like 2 and 3, is pretty stable throughout, though it does dip a bit during the morning and ASV. Portal basically drops throughout. Great board vote though. BioShock beats Portal outright in the ASV and second night vote, just not by enough. It gradually goes up throughout the match from the first night vote on. LittleBigPlanet's a day vote game.

Yesterday's stats:

Metal Gear Solid 4 – 50.00%
Portal – 36.55%
BioShock – 35.23%
LittleBigPlanet – 21.03%
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Maybe too casual as well? I mean they all are essentially shooters.

I will cut you for calling FO3 a shooter.
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41% update for Fallout 3, by far its best. Seems its getting into its night vote now
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From: PartOfYourWorld | Posted: 5/8/2009 1:05:02 AM | #287
These games are all relatively new, still relatively expensive (even Halo 3 goes for $30+ most of the time), and share a home that's still not as relatively broad as Nintendo or Sony on this site. I can't say I gave any thought to poor votals, but eh, there's nothing in here to really spice the match up.

I think low vote totals matter. Max Payne against Dirk the Daring wasn't low-scoring by accident.
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"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid

Abnormally low votals can be a leading indicator of entrant weakness, but when you start splitting hairs among comparisons of relatively small total vote fractions, it becomes pointless. Not to mention that some of the strongest characters out there are notoriously poor vote draws - Samus springs immediately to mind.
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I was just about to type "L4D has stalled the last 45 minutes. This would probably be one of the matches we'd watch excitedly if we didn't have all this knowledge about trends."

Good thing I refreshed!
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

CoD4 proved to be a potentially pretty strong game and it only beat Halo 3 with about 60% in both of its polls against it in GotY 2007

Of course, Call of Duty 4 > Fallout 3 has some pretty steep inclinations if you judge by GotY polls that are pretty hard to swallow such as putting Galaxy and Brawl back on par with each other. So nevermind.. I guess

Except CoD4 was being hurt by Halo, and Mario Galaxy had more reason to impress in it's poll than Brawl (released closer to GotY polls, 2007 was the height of Nintendo love).

I've made these arguments before. You should probaly start listening.

And lol failo 3
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I had to say this.

Shouldn't Mario Kart Wii have made the contest? I mean, it would probably be stronger than Persona 4 or Street Fighter IV. Same with Braid and World of Goo.

And from an addiction/memorable experience perspective, Counter-Strike, Codename: Eagle, Shenmue, Crazy Taxi, Super Monkey Ball, ICO, Battlefield 1942, WarioWare, and Final Fantasy Tactics Advance are some huge snubs.

Braid and World of Goo would have done just as badly as the other recent losers, and they don't "deserve" to make it any more than those weaklings. I do think Mario Kart Wii would have been an excellent add, though. Toss SFIV. Throw Left 4 Dead or Halo 3 in its place. Substitute Mario Kart Wii for the replaced game today. Boom. Two matches just became a lot more interesting.
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Yoblazer: http://i42.tinypic.com/avk9ie.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

come on left 4 dead
you can do this
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The Straight Up G
The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko

Needs more joke games in the modern division. They should have placed Wii Fit in there somewhere.

Oh and maybe it's there and I just didn't see it, but I am surprised that none of the music games (Rock Band/ Guitar Hero) are in the contests.