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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 706

greatone10 | Posted 5/6/2009 10:12:52 PM | message detail
Everytime we get a BioCut, Portal regains everything and pulls away further the next update.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/6/2009 10:13:23 PM | message detail
From: charmander6000
Well I'm tired pretending to be Confucius

Bioshock is looking okay going in to the night.


Confucius say: He who tire, win Ed Bellis Award.
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He did as well.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 10:13:34 PM | message detail

From: greatone10 | #351
Everytime we get a BioCut, Portal regains everything and pulls away further the next update.


Its almost like the Portal fans weren't very happy about it.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/6/2009 10:13:41 PM | message detail
If MGS4 gets to 45%, I will be flat out amazed. It hasn't even had a 45% update yet.
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transience | Posted 5/6/2009 10:14:24 PM | message detail
I still like Bioshock here.
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xyzzy
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nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/6/2009 10:14:29 PM | message detail
From: MyWorldIsCrono
Its almost like the Portal fans weren't very happy about it.

Yeah, I can't overstate my satisfaction.

/sarcasm
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<.<
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 10:14:33 PM | message detail
I think 43% is about its cap. It will fall during the day most likely.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 10:15:52 PM | message detail
yep there is the big update
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/6/2009 10:16:00 PM | message detail
As usual, Portal responds with a big update.
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nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/6/2009 10:16:01 PM | message detail
And Portal with it's best update since the freeze.
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Aww yeah.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/6/2009 10:16:17 PM | message detail
Wow.

This is like watching someone at a deli shave off a tiny bit of meat to test the slicer before digging in and carving stuff up.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
ff6man | Posted 5/6/2009 10:19:14 PM | message detail
This is like watching someone at a deli shave off a tiny bit of meat to test the slicer before digging in and carving stuff up.

You make some crazy analogys ulti. XD
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Rs Name: Igglybuff138 - Skill Total - 1830+ - Combat level 118 - 282/282 Quest Points -
BGE Contest Score: 91/120 Today: MGS4 > Bioshock
MnMZero | Posted 5/6/2009 10:19:42 PM | message detail
What is this? A League of Contest Prediction Excellence? I am not worthy to be amongst your collective presence.

*leaves*
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Proud Supporter of Zero
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 10:24:00 PM | message detail
Bold Prediction:

If Bioshock stays at 22% for the rest of the match, it won't win.
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/6/2009 10:25:23 PM | message detail
That's not a very bold prediction!
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/6/2009 10:27:31 PM | message detail
It still hasn't lef tit's 0.5% safety range.

22.27-22.75% all the way!
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lulz.
Lopen | Posted 5/6/2009 10:28:51 PM | message detail
BOLDER PREDICTION: Bioshock will stay at the 22% range for the whole match and it won't win.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/6/2009 10:30:10 PM | message detail
BOLTALIC PREDICTION: BioShock will finish with 22.99% AND it will win!
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ff6man | Posted 5/6/2009 10:31:27 PM | message detail
3 vote cut for Bioshock, prepare for a 45 vote gain by Portal.
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Rs Name: Igglybuff138 - Skill Total - 1830+ - Combat level 118 - 282/282 Quest Points -
BGE Contest Score: 91/120 Today: MGS4 > Bioshock
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/6/2009 10:31:36 PM | message detail
If LBP stays above 10%, that will be 9 straight matches of the last place entrant being above 10%!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 10:35:54 PM | message detail
39 vote gain, close enough
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ff6man | Posted 5/6/2009 10:35:59 PM | message detail
39 vote gain, close enough.
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Rs Name: Igglybuff138 - Skill Total - 1830+ - Combat level 118 - 282/282 Quest Points -
BGE Contest Score: 91/120 Today: MGS4 > Bioshock
ff6man | Posted 5/6/2009 10:36:40 PM | message detail
o_O 5 seconds away from epic same time same content post.
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Rs Name: Igglybuff138 - Skill Total - 1830+ - Combat level 118 - 282/282 Quest Points -
BGE Contest Score: 91/120 Today: MGS4 > Bioshock
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/6/2009 10:38:21 PM | message detail
Speaking of which, round 2 is going to be good without the 10%-or-less army.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 10:39:04 PM | message detail
We'll still get some less then 10%. Hey there Monkey Island
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/6/2009 10:39:27 PM | message detail
God what the hey happened? Portal is a great game, but it is a bit short, and yet, it is beating a full-fledged FPS adventure??? Though my younger brother likes playing Portal (he likes FPSs, to be fully honest).

Okay, nothing TOO wrong with that, I suppose.

Now I will predict tomorrow's match, which is the last and final match of round 1. We don't know anything about Fallout 3, Halo 3, Left 4 Dead, and Mass Effect. I'm looking at Fallout 3 as the big giant right now since it's one of my friends' favorite games and won loads of Game of the Year awards due to its open-world gameplay and awesome story. After that comes the other competitors. Halo 3 was massively hyped, but since this is Halo the hype will probably backfire and contradict the great performances that Half-Life 2 and Call of Duty 4 put up. Because of that, I'm taking a risky direction and prediction Mass Effect for 2nd! I mean, Halo 1 almost lost to Knights of the Old Republic, and we can assume that Halo 3 and Mass Effect are proportional to their predecessors. Halo 3 will split votes will Left 4 Dead, allowing Mass Effect to sneak through! Wait, isn't Mass Effect going to lose votes to Fallout 3? Uhm, wasn't Knights of the Old Republic losing votes to Diablo II? Yeah, I'm game for a risky upset.

Prediction: Fallout 3 > Mass Effect
Fallout 3 - 35% Halo 3 - 20% Left 4 Dead - 15% Mass Effect - 30%
Bracket: Fallout 3 > Halo 3
Favorites: Fallout 3 > Mass Effect (don't really care about 2nd place, though)
GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/6/2009 10:39:54 PM | message detail
and Ninja Gaiden.... maybe even Metroid
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Today's prediction: Nanomachines 41.87% - Portal 21.75% - Bioshock 20.88% - Sackboy 15.50%
Status:
Lopen | Posted 5/6/2009 10:40:13 PM | message detail
Speaking of which, round 2 is going to be good without the 10%-or-less army.

Grade: F-

ROLF LOL XD
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Seriously where will we get that with them gone.
No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/6/2009 10:40:41 PM | message detail
We'll still get some less then 10%. Hey there Monkey Island

...Speaking of which, the fact that a game can advance with less than 10% of the vote is a disgusting mockery of what these contests should stand for - and we have the division by generations to blame for it!
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/6/2009 10:45:47 PM | message detail
God what the hey happened? Portal is a great game, but it is a bit short, and yet, it is beating a full-fledged FPS adventure??? Though my younger brother likes playing Portal (he likes FPSs, to be fully honest).

Okay, nothing TOO wrong with that, I suppose.

Now I will predict tomorrow's match, which is the last and final match of round 1. We don't know anything about Fallout 3, Halo 3, Left 4 Dead, and Mass Effect. I'm looking at Fallout 3 as the big giant right now since it's one of my friends' favorite games and won loads of Game of the Year awards due to its open-world gameplay and awesome story. After that comes the other competitors. Halo 3 was massively hyped, but since this is Halo the hype will probably backfire and contradict the great performances that Half-Life 2 and Call of Duty 4 put up. Because of that, I'm taking a risky direction and prediction Mass Effect for 2nd! I mean, Halo 1 almost lost to Knights of the Old Republic, and we can assume that Halo 3 and Mass Effect are proportional to their predecessors. Halo 3 will split votes will Left 4 Dead, allowing Mass Effect to sneak through! Wait, isn't Mass Effect going to lose votes to Fallout 3? Uhm, wasn't Knights of the Old Republic losing votes to Diablo II? Yeah, I'm game for a risky upset.

Prediction: Fallout 3 > Mass Effect
Fallout 3 - 35% Halo 3 - 20% Left 4 Dead - 15% Mass Effect - 30%
Bracket: Fallout 3 > Halo 3
Favorites: Fallout 3 > Mass Effect (don't really care about 2nd place, though)


OK, but being the last match of round 1 means some weird **** might happen. That's how it was in every contest since Spring 2005.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 10:47:13 PM | message detail
At this pace, Portal is gonna have too big of a lead come the day for Bioshock to do anything about it.
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hochiminhX | Posted 5/6/2009 10:48:42 PM | message detail
Bioshock needs to step it up. Being down by 500 2 hours in is not a good sign.

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I will bury you.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/6/2009 10:48:51 PM | message detail

From: nintendogirl1 | Posted: 5/7/2009 1:27:31 AM | #366
It still hasn't lef tit's 0.5% safety range.

22.27-22.75% all the way!


An English major TOTALLY wouldn't make this typo on purpose.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/6/2009 10:51:39 PM | message detail
Yeah, Bioshock really needs to get its ass in gear if it wants to have a chance at advancing.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 10:52:18 PM | message detail
SEems like Portal has stablized its percentage.
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creativename | Posted 5/6/2009 10:55:08 PM | message detail
Woah @ 58% picking CoD4.

Congrats to hochi on making it back home :)

Now that I look at the leaderboard, it seems to be more weighted towards FF7 than last time I remember.
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greatone10 | Posted 5/6/2009 10:56:17 PM | message detail
We really need the second place pick for the finals to go along with first place on the leaderboard.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 11:02:14 PM | message detail
I'm seeing this another possible wow/halo 2 thing. Portal might be just too strong that even during the day, Bioshock might do nothing but stall it
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Masato_Tanaka | Posted 5/6/2009 11:13:20 PM | message detail
Well, Portal and BioShock are both tremendous games. I voted MGS4, but either one would be a great game to advance. BioShock would help my bracket though...
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The Straight Up G
The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 5/6/2009 11:16:19 PM | message detail
well after that I'd say BioShock is pretty much boned
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The Straight Up G
The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/6/2009 11:21:17 PM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | CoD 4 | Poke. D/P | Galaxy | T. Fortress 2 | Demographic
EBV | 34.60% | 23.85% | 29.04% | 12.51% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 33.92% | 22.52% | 28.96% | 14.60% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 34.68% | 23.36% | 28.79% | 13.16% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 33.86% | 23.91% | 29.69% | 12.54% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 35.38% | 22.52% | 30.41% | 11.69% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 37.45% | 24.16% | 26.77% | 11.63% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 37.90% | 22.98% | 26.51% | 12.61% | (22:00-24:00)

Call of Duty has a strong board vote, but the morning vote was its worst time. Strong ASV and second night vote though. Man, did you ever think you'd see a major Nintendo game do so badly during the ASV? Galaxy really struggled there. Its best time was the DSV, a time when games with bad day votes usually thrive. D/P has a good ASV, like every other Pokemon, but it's pretty balanced all around. TF2 had a bad board vote but a good Power Hour. Strange combination. It did badly once we hit daylight.

Yesterday's stats:

Call of Duty 4 – 50.00%
Super Mario Galaxy – 44.30%
Pokemon Diamond/Pearl – 39.53%
Team Fortress 2 – 25.63%
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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/6/2009 11:46:12 PM | message detail
Hmm... I'm kinda disappointed by Portal, it's not getting *quite* as close to MGS4 as I was touting (though it's certainly getting closer than most any other sane person expected it to). I'm most impressed by Bioshock though, never got a good read on it and thought it might flop on the level of LBP, whose performance here was pretty telegraphed.

MGS4 isn't doing much to inspire a reversal of that match against Brawl, but it's doesn't look like it's showing vulnerability to, say, Fallout 3. It'll need a big performance tomorrow to gain any sort of favorite status.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/6/2009 11:55:20 PM | message detail
Bioshock is definitely showing day trends. It's even on the verge of dipping below 22% (who would have thought?!). Anyway, this is a pretty good showing from MGS4. I still think that GotY final was an overperformance and that Brawl would handle it more easily in a setting like this one, but yeah, Fallout 3 has to smash faces to be considered a realistic threat.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
transience | Posted 5/7/2009 12:13:37 AM | message detail
hmm, Portal's gonna need to drop 2% *and* Bioshock's gotta rise 2%. Portal didn't die off like I thought it might.

I guess I'll jump ship and back Portal here. it'll have a comparatively bad day vote but nothing hideous, I think. conversely, Bioshock's not going to be a day god, just better.
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xyzzy
PegasusLover123 | Posted 5/7/2009 12:15:02 AM | message detail
Hi guys.

Computer has been on the fritz lately, so i couldnt get on for a while.

So I took a look at the matches I missed, so theres a GTA game that advances this time. Seems this site doesn't hate all FPS games as Call of Duty 4 advanced too.

Now today's match seems to have surprised a lot of people thought Portal was gonna be dead last but no it's in 2nd now above Bioshock.

To be honest i have not played any of the games in this match, but i would definitely try out Metal Gear Solid 4 if I didn't have to buy a PS3.
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"If history is to change, let it change. If the world is to be destroyed, so be it. If my fate is to die, I must simply laugh." -Magus
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/7/2009 12:19:43 AM | message detail
So I took a look at the matches I missed, so theres a GTA game that advances this time. Seems this site doesn't hate all FPS games as Call of Duty 4 advanced too.

Oh yeah, Street Fighter 4 looked like ASS, struggling with frigging PERSONA (for the entire day, no less!) in a match where the lead never even got past 300 votes (between them, that is; SF4 beat Persona by a mere 7 votes). And Mario Galaxy embarrassed itself.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/7/2009 12:27:56 AM | message detail
I see why The Orange Box boosted Gordon and why Half-Life 2 is looked at with such high regard. The final hour of Episode 2 is a great game maker at the height of their craft. There's no way HL2 as a whole didn't increase from that.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/7/2009 12:36:34 AM | message detail
Am I off in thinking Fallout 3 has a chance to beat the percentage that Metal Gear Solid 4 has here tomorrow? I can see it SFFing just about everything in that pack to get a good score.
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Masato_Tanaka | Posted 5/7/2009 12:41:08 AM | message detail
Am I off in thinking Fallout 3 has a chance to beat the percentage that Metal Gear Solid 4 has here tomorrow? I can see it SFFing just about everything in that pack to get a good score.

It essentially has elements of all three games it's up against, so I guess it's possible.
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The Straight Up G
The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/7/2009 12:42:06 AM | message detail
It's not impossible, but Fallout 3 is a weaker game than MGS4, so its opponents will have to be a clear notch below these guys. There won't be any game as weak as LBP, and if GTAIV is any indication, Halo 3 might be the strongest Halo game, or at least right up there with the others.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.