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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 706

charmander6000 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:16:49 PM | message detail
Bioshock got 35.47% against CoD4 in 2007
Bioshock is getting 36.02% against MGS4, it will probably be lower by the end.

Also Portal is dying again.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > LBP Points: 87/120
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/6/2009 9:17:15 PM | message detail

From: Fayt_Esteed | Posted: 5/7/2009 12:14:20 AM | #192
Board 8 got stomped by the casuals.

Again:

B8: 0
Casuals: 1


The score is waaaaaay worse.
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"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
greatone10 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:17:38 PM | message detail
Epic Portal collapse, but like before, none of it is going where it needs to go. It's almost like Portal wants to be third and Bioshock is like "I'm cozy here right now."
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/6/2009 9:17:43 PM | message detail
Team Fortress's performance did worry me, if just a bit. They were both packaged together - even if Portal is stronger (and it clearly is), there's still a limit as to how much stronger it can be.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/6/2009 9:18:01 PM | message detail
The score is waaaaaay worse.

OK...But how much worse? Exactly how bad are we talking here?
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:18:18 PM | message detail
From: PartOfYourWorld
Team Fortress's performance did worry me, if just a bit. They were both packaged together - even if Portal is stronger (and it clearly is), there's still a limit as to how much stronger it can be.

They were also packaged with Half Life 2 which beat FFXII.
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Um ...
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/6/2009 9:18:41 PM | message detail
1. Super Mario Bros. 3
2. Super Mario Bros.
3. The Legend of Zelda
4. Zelda: Ocarina of Time
5. Final Fantasy VII
6. Chrono Trigger
7. Zelda: A Link to the Past
8. Super Mario World
9. Pokemon Red/Blue
10. Tetris
11. Super Smash Bros. Melee
12. Super Smash Bros. Brawl
13. Final Fantasy X
14. Final Fantasy IV
15. Super Mario 64
16. Final Fantasy VIII
17. Final Fantasy
18. Zelda: Twilight Princess
19. Sonic the Hedgehog
20. Kingdom Hearts
21. Metal Gear Solid
22. Final Fantasy VI
23. Resident Evil 4
24. GoldenEye
25. Kingdom Hearts 2
26. Metal Gear Solid 3
27. Super Metroid
28. Super Mario Kart
29. Mega Man 2
30. Call of Duty 4
31. Pokemon Gold/Silver
32. Sonic the Hedgehog 2
33. Street Fighter II
34. Super Mario RPG
35. Mega Man 3
36. Zelda: Link’s Awakening
37. Zelda: Majora’s Mask
38. Metal Gear Solid 2
39. StarCraft
40. Half-Life 2
41. Diablo II
42. Mortal Kombat II
43. Super Mario Galaxy
44. Pac-Man
45. Oblivion
46. Grand Theft Auto IV
47. Grand Theft Auto: Vice City
48. Halo
49. Final Fantasy XII
50. Mario Kart 64

Okay, time for the vote totals. Call of Duty 4 ended up with over 40k votes, and currently seems to be the strongest PC/Xbox game by a pretty good margin. Super Mario Galaxy, on the other hand, managed unnaturally low vote totals compared to the other games in the series. Methinks the same is true with Wind Waker as well, and the only explanation is that both games were SFFd or LFFd to the ground, preventing us from seeing their true strength. According to vote totals however, Super Mario Galaxy would still beat every GTA and Halo game, as well as Final Fantasy Tactics/IX/XII, but would lose to stuff like Mortal Kombat II, Diablo II, Half-Life 2, StarCraft, Metal Gear Solid 2, Link's Awakening, etc. There's no way that SMG is actually this weak, especially when you look at how the rest of the Super Mario series did with vote totals.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/6/2009 9:18:49 PM | message detail
But Half-Life 2 sold millions before the Orange Box.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
TheOceIot | Posted 5/6/2009 9:18:50 PM | message detail
I'm still confident in my BioShock pick right now.
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Currently Playing: Deus Ex, Suikoden Tierkreis, GTA: Chinatown Wars
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/6/2009 9:18:56 PM | message detail
It's almost like Portal wants to be third and Bioshock is like "I'm cozy here right now."

Let's get some Big Daddy As English Gentleman up in this stats topic

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red sox 777 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:18:57 PM | message detail
Board 8: Hundreds
Casuals: Much Lower
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/6/2009 9:20:16 PM | message detail

From: Fayt_Esteed | Posted: 5/7/2009 12:18:01 AM | #205
The score is waaaaaay worse.

OK...But how much worse? Exactly how bad are we talking here?


I dunno, I recall the casuals destroying us on Sonic > SF2, Doom, Contra, etc.

And if you pair up GlaDOS's trend with Big Daddy's, BioShock likely wins this easily. I'm just happy Portal didn't turn out to be some joke flop like some people thought it would be.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/6/2009 9:20:26 PM | message detail
Portal trying to kick it into gear.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:20:37 PM | message detail
Damn you cake!
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > LBP Points: 87/120
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:20:38 PM | message detail
Much happier.
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*sigh*
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 9:20:44 PM | message detail
Portal is like "lol just messing with you all'
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 5/6/2009 9:20:57 PM | message detail
Wow, I didn't realize Portal was the Guru favourite.

2 correct "upset" picks in a row aww yeah
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Master Moltar | Posted 5/6/2009 9:21:16 PM | message detail
nice recovery for portal

also portal and bioshock were my 2nd and 3rd favorite games of 2007, so i'm pleased with either winning here.
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Moltar Status: ahh, there you are
Match 31 - Bracket: MGS4 > Portal - Vote: MGS4 (83/120)
greatone10 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:21:26 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | Posted: 5/6/2009 9:18:57 PM | #211
Board 8: Hundreds
Casuals: Much Lower


That. I am #189 in the Guru contest, yet I rank in the 88th percentile in the total stats. The casuals faith in shooters was bound to serve them well once.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 9:21:46 PM | message detail

From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #217
Wow, I didn't realize Portal was the Guru favourite.

2 correct "upset" picks in a row aww yeah


Only Turtle can be saying his pick is already right about a game down by 4% 20 minutes in.
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KingBartz | Posted 5/6/2009 9:21:57 PM | message detail
bioshock is disappointing me.
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Check out my Guru bracket: http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=60
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/6/2009 9:22:26 PM | message detail
Oh, and I guess to compare Portal to GlaDOS, the Power Hour was by far her best time. She didn't drop off big time until morning though, which is when BioShock should get going. Portal should be safe for tonight, so we'll have to see what kind of lead it can build. WCC has joke trends, so forget that.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/6/2009 9:22:37 PM | message detail
nintendogrl1 (12:18:53 AM): And don't even THINK
nintendogrl1 (12:19:01 AM): of mentioning the Cube's trends

You mean like how WCC dropped 3-4% in every single one of its matches?
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´`·.,¸¸,.·´
"You are the king of derailing topics, by the way." -Lucid
greatone10 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:23:04 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | Posted: 5/6/2009 9:21:46 PM | #220
Only Turtle can be saying his pick is already right about a game down by 4% 20 minutes in.


Turtle's going to be gloating about Call of Duty for a while. Yet for some reason he wants us to give him a counter example not even minutes later.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
hochiminhX | Posted 5/6/2009 9:23:42 PM | message detail
HAHAHA! finally, I Hochiminh have returned to my leaderboard form! I'm number 36. Too bad I have BioShock today though.

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I will bury you.
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 5/6/2009 9:24:00 PM | message detail
9 people fell off the Top 50 today. Jayman4545, gogokainomega, Heed44utmost, rogueskateboard, entropyx, paulg235, CloudCloudCloud, SoldierTwo and IXKyotoXI did not have CoD4 > SMG as yesterday's winners.

27 people scored half points and survived. metroidcomposit, Mirrorzzz, Gaddswell, Gavin_Sykes, 80Starfire08, Rodri316, bgbball31, Aecioo, expaniol, Ludwig_Von_2, Tirofog, lololesecond, Megamanz777, Xcarvenger, Xuxon, Mac_Arrowny, Tendo128, setyouupthebomb, kenrmcha19, stalfo18, SenelCoolidge, Salient_0, leo3leo, bumpo, GameCuber018, Xeybozn and octoblinky also did not have CoD4 > SMG as yesterday's winners.

11 people scored 1 point and lived. menji76, _gloomy, Some_Character, mentalmike_2000, K1lr0y, spence1891, Dracosage, LancelotBT, trbeck, Galahad5 and Axem_King had something vaguely similar to CoD4 > SMG as yesterday's winners.

3 people on the Top 50 scored full points. Hybrid_Osiris, JayLabPrime and pinoy_boi correctly predicted CoD4 > SMG as yesterday's winners.
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Shall I take you with me? To the place in this town where wishes come true...
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/6/2009 9:24:16 PM | message detail
It's not over yet, hochuli. There's hope for BioShock yet!
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 9:24:51 PM | message detail
At least we can all agree that "lol LBP"
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nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:25:00 PM | message detail
From: LeonhartFour
It's not over yet, hochuli. There's hope for BioShock yet!

No there isn't, don't talk nonsense!
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I believe!
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/6/2009 9:25:25 PM | message detail
I'm number 36.

I just checked, and...I see "hochiminhX" at number 28.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
greatone10 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:25:28 PM | message detail
Was there any doubt LBP was not going to suck here? I mean, it collapses to MGS worse than Ryu H. does.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/6/2009 9:25:31 PM | message detail
Portal's lead up to almost 200. MGS4 is flying now. This performance looks a lot better now.
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transience | Posted 5/6/2009 9:25:36 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3254&type=1&seconds=60&max=0

Portal looks pretty stable trend-wise.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3255&type=1&seconds=60&max=280

I was wrong; Bioshock's a day thing.

hmm. 50/50 match, I think.
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xyzzy
"Actually, fire didn't make Sephiroth awesome. Sephiroth made fire awesome." -Karma Hunter
charmander6000 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:25:53 PM | message detail
At least we can all agree that "lol LBP"

Yup SFF decided not to go my way.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > LBP Points: 87/120
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/6/2009 9:25:57 PM | message detail
At least we can all agree that "lol LBP"

More like lol char
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Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 5/6/2009 9:26:16 PM | message detail
Team Fortress's performance did worry me, if just a bit. They were both packaged together - even if Portal is stronger (and it clearly is), there's still a limit as to how much stronger it can be.

TF2 being an online only game is a huge disadvantage.
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FastFalcon and Solid Snake snapped my neck in the guru contest.
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 5/6/2009 9:26:23 PM | message detail
lol LBP
lol charmander6000
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 9:26:48 PM | message detail
Bioshock lost some ground there too. Its like it doesn't want to capitalize.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/6/2009 9:26:58 PM | message detail
Portal looks pretty stable trend-wise.

There is a pretty noticeable drop from the very beginning of the poll though.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/6/2009 9:27:12 PM | message detail
MGS4 gobbled up all of BioShock's and Portal's lost percentage, while LBP remained constant.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
ZFS | Posted 5/6/2009 9:27:19 PM | message detail
whoops LBP

Nice job from Portal so far.

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a metal slime appears
charmander6000 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:27:34 PM | message detail
lol I knew LBP would flop, what's wrong with arguing for a game that you like?

>_>

<_<

*runs*
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > LBP Points: 87/120
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/6/2009 9:28:00 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #239
Portal looks pretty stable trend-wise.

There is a pretty noticeable drop from the very beginning of the poll though.


Its already lost 2%, how much more does it normally lose?
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hochiminhX | Posted 5/6/2009 9:28:10 PM | message detail
Now that I'm back on the leaderboard, I shall start "Hochi's League of Excellence."


I will now accept applications at this time. Space is limited.


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I will bury you.
greatone10 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:28:49 PM | message detail
*turns in application printed on a roll of toilet paper*
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:29:15 PM | message detail
From: hochiminhX
Now that I'm back on the leaderboard, I shall start "Hochi's League of Excellence."


I will now accept applications at this time. Space is limited.


APPLYING RIGHT NOW
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I need this.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 5/6/2009 9:29:15 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #242
lol I knew LBP would flop, what's wrong with arguing for a game that you like?

>_>

<_<

*runs*


burn him
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:29:46 PM | message detail
LBP is probably going to gain the most, and Portal/Bioshock still looks up in the air.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
charmander6000 | Posted 5/6/2009 9:29:55 PM | message detail
You can't catch me!
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS4 > LBP Points: 87/120
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 5/6/2009 9:30:39 PM | message detail

From: hochiminhX | #244
Now that I'm back on the leaderboard, I shall start "Hochi's League of Excellence."


I will now accept applications at this time. Space is limited.


I think I deserve it for correctly calling both Brawl > Galaxy and CoD > Galaxy

And I'm liking this CoD/MGS4 matchup. As long as Halo isn't there, should be a close match.
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