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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 701

LeonhartFour | Posted 5/3/2009 9:25:53 PM | message detail
TP dropping back off and PW is dropping like crazy.
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paulg235 | Posted 5/3/2009 9:25:58 PM | message detail
42.21% / 36.48%
21.65% / 18.00%


THAT many brackets had faith in GearsOW?!
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The Gamer In Me
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 5/3/2009 9:26:06 PM | message detail
Hey TRE, have you ever missed a leaderboard update?

Maybe 2 or 3 since I started arching them near the start of the Summer 2003 Contest.
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Shall I take you with me? To the place in this town where wishes come true...
hochiminhX | Posted 5/3/2009 9:26:10 PM | message detail
...and Twilight Princess is falling.

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I will bury you.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 5/3/2009 9:26:53 PM | message detail
Zelda fear?


Ever wonder why people stopped talking about 8.8
cause they played it
kinsho3 | Posted 5/3/2009 9:27:05 PM | message detail
Hmm...a lot of you seem to be writing off RE4. Isn't it possible that the Kingdom Hearts series is just that strong in this contest? Kingdom Hearts 1 unexpectedly beats Metroid Prime and Paper Mario combined. Now, Kingdom Hearts 2 unexpectedly matches up to RE4.

I'm basically saying that RE4 can still be stronger than TP, especially if this poll means anything:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2995

Also, Twilight Princess is not impressing so far in this poll. It needs at least 40% here considering the competition.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/3/2009 9:27:12 PM | message detail
TP will get first place quite easily next round
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Today's prediction: Twilight 38.27% - Sky Pirate 23.89% - Half-Life 2 19.92% - Phoenix 17.92%
Status:
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/3/2009 9:27:13 PM | message detail
Speaking of the leaderboard, it amuses me that the #1 guy on there has MGS4 winning amidst the swarm of FFVII and OoT pickers. Heck, one guy on there has FFT winning.
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Meeks54 | Posted 5/3/2009 9:27:15 PM | message detail

From: Shoenin_Kakashi | #343
So whats the FF strength tiering at now?




I have

FF VII


FF X
FF VIII

FF VI

FF IX
FF IV
FF


FF T
FF XII

I just can't see Tactics looking this awful.
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Gunner is, what is the word... passionate. but i think that MichaelWClark dude is far crazier than anything Gunner has posted. Posted by Mark Milton
MegatokyoEd | Posted 5/3/2009 9:27:22 PM | message detail
HL2 cutting TP in the night would be awesome.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/3/2009 9:28:06 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #358
Speaking of the leaderboard, it amuses me that the #1 guy on there has MGS4 winning amidst the swarm of FFVII and OoT pickers. Heck, one guy on there has FFT winning.


And that number 1 guy constantly brags on b8 about how he's gonna win, too.
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creativename | Posted 5/3/2009 9:29:12 PM | message detail
Were people expecting FFXII to be stronger than FF1? I wouldn't think there'd be many of those around here.

Weren't you one of those people? I remember you having very little faith in FF1's ranking in the series. FF1 has quite legit strength. The strength tiers are probably FF7 tier 1, FFX/FF8/FF6/FF4/FF1 tier 2 (no order), FF9 tier 3, then the rest.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/3/2009 9:29:18 PM | message detail
http://img73.imageshack.us/img73/920/onedown.jpg

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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
plasmabeam | Posted 5/3/2009 9:29:21 PM | message detail
Were people expecting FFXII to be stronger than FF1? I wouldn't think there'd be many of those around here.

I would hope that FF12 > FF1. For as awful as FF12 was, at least it never unleashed FF1's brand of boredom.

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~Jacksonville Jaguars~
ZFS | Posted 5/3/2009 9:29:41 PM | message detail
Oh man, I have 87 points...

Damn you Half-Life !

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RPGuy96 | Posted 5/3/2009 9:30:07 PM | message detail
I want to know why on earth Balthier has artwork like that. Who thought that was a good idea?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/3/2009 9:30:40 PM | message detail
Yeah, I think HL2's got this.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 5/3/2009 9:30:58 PM | message detail
last time I got two matches right in a row in my bracket was...

Mario 64/SOTN and CT/Yoshi's Island .... yaaaay
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Today's prediction: Twilight 38.27% - Sky Pirate 23.89% - Half-Life 2 19.92% - Phoenix 17.92%
Status:
ZFS | Posted 5/3/2009 9:31:01 PM | message detail
Weren't you one of those people? I remember you having very little faith in FF1's ranking in the series. FF1 has quite legit strength. The strength tiers are probably FF7 tier 1, FFX/FF8/FF6/FF4/FF1 tier 2 (no order), FF9 tier 3, then the rest.

Nah, I've always put FFXII toward the bottom of the rankings. I was arguing that FFIX would be stronger, directly and indirectly, over FF1. Still think it is, but it's hard to say, and we won't really know because of how round 2 is setup.

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/3/2009 9:31:11 PM | message detail
I want to know why on earth Balthier has artwork like that. Who thought that was a good idea?

They had an epiphany about this day.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/3/2009 9:31:50 PM | message detail
I wonder if HL2 will get many cuts over night.
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plasmabeam | Posted 5/3/2009 9:32:15 PM | message detail
Tell you what kiddos... MGS3 v. WoW v. TP v. RE4/KH2 should be a real treat.

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/3/2009 9:32:36 PM | message detail
VII > X > VIII > VI > IX > Tactics > II > I > XII

That's how I ranked them before the contest, IIRC.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
ffmasterjose | Posted 5/3/2009 9:32:52 PM | message detail
Whoa, yeah this is definitely over if Half-Life 2 can get more updates like that! Or even close to it.

Orange Box = Gordon's savior.

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82/108 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Zelda: Twilight Princess > Half-Life 2 | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
creativename | Posted 5/3/2009 9:33:38 PM | message detail
RE4 still has a good chance next round just because of general contest wonkiness.

Even though logic points to TP hurting RE4 worse than KH2, weird things can always happen.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/3/2009 9:33:38 PM | message detail

From: plasmabeam | #372
Tell you what kiddos... MGS3 v. WoW v. TP v. RE4/KH2 should be a real treat.


If this happens... TP > WoW. Sore thumb factor, and the other games aren't really standing out.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/3/2009 9:34:09 PM | message detail
Damn you yoblazer. Beat me to the punch.

http://img127.imageshack.us/img127/2227/hl2awyeah.png

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The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/3/2009 9:34:20 PM | message detail
Instead of hoping for TP > RE4 next round, I think I'd be better off hoping TP falls off and next round being KH2 > RE4 X_X
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
creativename | Posted 5/3/2009 9:34:36 PM | message detail
Oh this match is done. HL2 is going to do great overnight probably.
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transience | Posted 5/3/2009 9:34:50 PM | message detail
pre-contest - 7 > 10 > 6 > 8 > 9 > Tactics > 4 > 1 > 12
after round 1 - 7 > 10 > 8 > 6 > 9 > Tactics > 4 > 1 > 12

Tactics/4/1 are impossible to judge until we get a real opponent for the old ones.
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 5/3/2009 9:35:10 PM | message detail
TP > HL2 next round. Gordon is going to the third round again!
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Demyx is better than Axel.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/3/2009 9:35:30 PM | message detail
And yeah, why not take Gordon's chances next round a bit more seriously? Zelda, RE4, and KHII have triple overlap in either general appeal or console exposure. Half-Life 2 is obviously bringing in a pretty decent fanbase and the only Xbox option (although a lot of good that did for Gears, I'll admit). Still, I wouldn't be shocked if second through fourth place was only separated by a few percent.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
creativename | Posted 5/3/2009 9:36:09 PM | message detail
after round 1 - 7 > 10 > 8 > 6 > 9 > Tactics > 4 > 1 > 12

What the frig. There's no way in hell Tactics is stronger than 1 and 4, it's not even in their league.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/3/2009 9:36:17 PM | message detail
What yoblazer said...not to mention the fact that HL2 should make this look even better overnight..

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ZFS | Posted 5/3/2009 9:36:19 PM | message detail
Okay, we're starting to get a little silly with this standout factor.

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/3/2009 9:36:24 PM | message detail
Oh, HL2 has a shot next round. All 4 games do. I just think its the lowest chance of advancing out of the 4. That said, no order of the 4 games would surprise me.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/3/2009 9:36:41 PM | message detail
If this happens... TP > WoW. Sore thumb factor, and the other games aren't really standing out.

Yeah, keep telling yourself that. WoW is really going to stand out with RE4 and MGS3 there.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 5/3/2009 9:37:18 PM | message detail
Post round 1:
VII > VIII >= X > VI > I > IX > IV > T > XII

Don't remember what it looked like pre-contest, but it was pretty different.
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transience | Posted 5/3/2009 9:37:27 PM | message detail
I'll feel better about judging FF4 when it's not going against Crystalis and River City Ransom.

I'll feel better about judging 1 when there's real competition besides Mario. and even then, it's got another FF in the mix so who knows.
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yzzyx
creativename | Posted 5/3/2009 9:37:39 PM | message detail
Still, I wouldn't be shocked if second through fourth place was only separated by a few percent.

I don't like HL2's chances next round, but I agree on this.
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ZFS | Posted 5/3/2009 9:38:26 PM | message detail
Yeah, I wouldn't put Tactics above FFIV or FF1, don't even think it's all that close to them.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/3/2009 9:39:34 PM | message detail
I just realized yesterday's poll had a lot of votes. Wouldn't have expected a poll like that to get to 130,000.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/3/2009 9:39:54 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #377
Damn you yoblazer. Beat me to the punch.

http://img127.imageshack.us/img127/2227/hl2awyeah.png


XD, nice one! He's taking out the entire cast with a damn crowbar!
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/3/2009 9:39:58 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #387
If this happens... TP > WoW. Sore thumb factor, and the other games aren't really standing out.

Yeah, keep telling yourself that. WoW is really going to stand out with RE4 and MGS3 there.


Its the only American title/PC Title, with MGS3/RE4 likely sffing a bit.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 5/3/2009 9:40:46 PM | message detail
And a gravity gun.

Sweet, sweet gravity gun.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/3/2009 9:40:59 PM | message detail
Its the only American title/PC Title, with MGS3/RE4 likely sffing a bit.

I don't think many voters care where their games are made.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/3/2009 9:41:03 PM | message detail
The attorney's gonna run out of percentage at this rate.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/3/2009 9:41:27 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #396
Its the only American title/PC Title, with MGS3/RE4 likely sffing a bit.

I don't think many voters care where their games are made.


Tales of Symphonia voters seemed to.
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/3/2009 9:41:45 PM | message detail
Half-Life 2's current percentage on Final Fantasy XII: 55.65%
Crono's percentage on Vincent at this time, 2007: 56.86%
Crono's final percentage: 48.58%

Projection based on Crono/Vincent: Final Fantasy XII wins with 52.63%
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LeonhartFour | Posted 5/3/2009 9:42:10 PM | message detail
It's sad that HL2 can gain nearly 100 votes on its lead on FFXII, and FFXII still went up in percentage because PW had a 11% update.
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