GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 700 (God's 100 topics incoming!)
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/2/2009 1:21:36 PM | message detail |
700*500 = 350,000 posts. We need a social life <_< Also, per HaRRicH's awesome request, replacing rSFF with LFF. Lemme know if my definition sucks or something. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats ~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the match pics*~ http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them. X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process. LFF (Leech Fanbase Factor) - A common issue in four-way polls, where two entrants of the same fanbase leech one another's strength and make each other weaker. This is the main factor currently discussed in stat topics, since four-ways look like they're here to stay. Four-way contests are littered with examples of this, and the earliest we have is a match between Mega Man, KOS-MOS, Diablo and Arthas. Assuming static strength, Diablo takes second place here without a second thought. But because of the four-way poll and presence of Arthas, KOS-MOS snuck into second place as Diablo and Arthas leeched off of one another. SFF still happens now and again, but LFF is just as huge these days. Last Place Factor - A huge issue in four-way contests where an entrant having no predetermined chance to advance in the poll does far worse than past strength says they should. Not that a lot of these entrants are strong, but some of them do so badly that it makes no sense. See examples like Perfect Dark and the 348 other games that got like 5% in the last games contest. For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ "ToS reminds of my mother. It goes down a lot after 1:00 AM." -GrapefruitKing |
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 1:22:07 PM | message detail |
ego whore --- Smurf 60% of the time he's awesome every time. |
voltch | Posted 5/2/2009 1:22:18 PM | message detail |
OFFICIAL TOPIC! --- It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455 |
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/2/2009 1:22:50 PM | message detail |
--- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/2/2009 1:23:04 PM | message detail |
Your definition sucks or something. --- TBQH. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/2/2009 1:23:47 PM | message detail |
Someone else is more than welcome to rewrite it, I really don't mind. I knew I'd have it blow worse than Air Man. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ "ToS reminds of my mother. It goes down a lot after 1:00 AM." -GrapefruitKing |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/2/2009 1:23:51 PM | message detail |
Also this topic has been VOLTCH'D. Gotta use it now. --- :/ |
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 1:23:52 PM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator] |
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 5/2/2009 1:23:56 PM | message detail |
lol Ulti my topic's better it has a cool music video --- The Straight Up G The Palace of Wisdom Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
voltch | Posted 5/2/2009 1:24:41 PM | message detail |
ahh,Edgey,must obey him! --- It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455 |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/2/2009 1:25:12 PM | message detail |
O NOES --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ "ToS reminds of my mother. It goes down a lot after 1:00 AM." -GrapefruitKing |
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/2/2009 1:25:50 PM | message detail |
That's not Edgeworth! Look at his face! It's horribly deformed! --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/2/2009 1:26:45 PM | message detail |
What in the world is going on here? --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/2/2009 1:27:56 PM | message detail |
OBJECTION! THAT WAS... OBJECTIONABLE! --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ "ToS reminds of my mother. It goes down a lot after 1:00 AM." -GrapefruitKing |
redrocket | Posted 5/2/2009 1:28:02 PM | message detail |
It
should have the "obvious fist place underperformance factor too. Ugh,
there's gotta be a better nam for it than that. <_< --- From his looks Magus is Macho Man Randy Savage as an anime zombie. The black wind howls, and one of you will snap into a Slim Jim ooh yeeeah! -sonicblastpunch |
voltch | Posted 5/2/2009 1:28:28 PM | message detail |
your right,it's not edgey,smurf how could your paddy soul do this to my frenchie jap korea?/?? brit soul. --- It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455 |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/2/2009 1:29:21 PM | message detail |
obvious fist place underperformance factor too. Ugh, there's gotta be a better nam for it than that. Yes, there has to be a better name out there than "Obvious Fist". --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ "ToS reminds of my mother. It goes down a lot after 1:00 AM." -GrapefruitKing |
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 1:31:01 PM | message detail |
How many souls do you have? <_< --- Smurf 60% of the time he's awesome every time. |
voltch | Posted 5/2/2009 1:33:00 PM | message detail |
well i don't know,I'm a half blood,brought with an education in a different country,so 4 souls? or maybe it's divided into quarters? --- It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455 |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/2/2009 1:33:29 PM | message detail |
VOLTCH > SOWL M I RITE --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ "ToS reminds of my mother. It goes down a lot after 1:00 AM." -GrapefruitKing |
voltch | Posted 5/2/2009 1:36:32 PM | message detail |
whhaaaat? --- It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455 |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/2/2009 1:40:59 PM | message detail |
Lets get 50% from TP, which kills off enough of the votes for HL2/FF12 to let PW advance! --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/threesome.gif |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/2/2009 1:43:13 PM | message detail |
From: MyWorldIsCrono | Posted: 5/2/2009 4:40:59 PM | #022 I like this plan --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ "ToS reminds of my mother. It goes down a lot after 1:00 AM." -GrapefruitKing |
voltch | Posted 5/2/2009 1:45:16 PM | message detail |
tomorrow the first 300 votes better all be for PW,or is B8s loyalty to wrighto weak? HMMMMMMMM. --- It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455 |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/2/2009 1:48:45 PM | message detail |
From: nintendogirl1 | Posted: 5/2/2009 4:23:04 PM | #005 If you were being serious, what would you suggest? I pulled the earliest example I could. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ "ToS reminds of my mother. It goes down a lot after 1:00 AM." -GrapefruitKing |
ZFS | Posted 5/2/2009 1:48:47 PM | message detail |
phoenix suck no chance --- Jessica's whip skills improve! She becomes a whippersnapper! |
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/2/2009 1:49:31 PM | message detail |
Ban HM --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
charmander6000 | Posted 5/2/2009 1:52:30 PM | message detail |
700*500 = 350,000 posts. We need a social life <_< Sadly I'm probably responsible for a few thousand myself. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS3 > Halo 2 Points: 71/100 |
voltch | Posted 5/2/2009 1:54:23 PM | message detail |
aren't we all. --- It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455 |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/2/2009 2:01:49 PM | message detail |
I
have a weird feeling about TP. For some reason, I'd sooner expect a
bomb than I would an impressive performance (although no amount of
bombing can keep it from winning that match with ease). --- I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/2/2009 2:02:55 PM | message detail |
(although no amount of bombing can keep it from winning that match with ease). http://www.daxiongames.com/half_life/images/gordon_freeman_big.gif That so?... --- http://thengamer.com/guru/ |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/2/2009 2:03:18 PM | message detail |
Time to do this. --- I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him. |
HaRRicH | Posted 5/2/2009 2:05:34 PM | message detail |
Woo-hoo, 700! I like the new additions too Ulti, appreciate the change (and shout-out!). As for KH2 tomorrow, I'm waiting for KH2 to prove me wrong. In 2006 we saw that KH2 wasn't able to get very far away from Oblivion and was noticably under FF12 (which didn't beat Gears by a whole lot). I know KH impressed the other day, but after seeing GTA and MP bomb as much as they have, it's not as impressive as it had been...and the site was already being more kind to KH by the time KH2 came out, so KH2 didn't have a lot of excuses not to do better then. Gears has had a sequel since then, too (which I understand would have been better-received if not for some server-issues...?), so it's not exactly been irrelevant since then despite Fenix bombing last year. Meanwhile, we've seen RE4 impress a lot before. We know both its Gamecube and PS2 releases were easily the biggest releases in the drought between the end of 2004 (the sequel-off of GTA:SA, Halo 2, MGS3, MP2:E, and HL2) and a bit into 2006 (KH2), and its Wii-release was another million-seller. We can be certain RE4 is what made RE the new top Capcom series here over Mega Man. RE4 was #14 on the Top 100 List with just the Gamecube release (which was only out for nine months at the time). RE4 was second in the GotC-poll and would have likely done better on FFX if it wasn't for so much Nintendo competition (we've seen Pikachu and Kirby each hurt Leon against Dante). RE5 was one of the most anticipated games on GameFAQs and is still well-received and relevant. If you believe RE4 shouldn't be related to RE1 or RE2, it has every reason to beat some major ass tomorrow. I figure KH2 will be much closer to Gears than RE4, though all three should do well enough (I expect them all to leave SotC behind, though that was a real cool game and will probably get my vote). --- Prototype Shorthand, do you speak it?! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/2/2009 2:10:24 PM | message detail |
RE4
was second in the GotC-poll and would have likely done better on FFX if
it wasn't for so much Nintendo competition (we've seen Pikachu and
Kirby each hurt Leon against Dante) Make it just FFX, TP, and RE4, and RE4 probably comes in third by a good bit. Not to say it gets owned, but I don't think it's up to THAT level. --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
red sox 777 | Posted 5/2/2009 2:12:54 PM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
red sox 777 | Posted 5/2/2009 2:14:28 PM | message detail |
With
all this discussion about how the modern games all suck, it's really
too bad we have divisions by era. We could have seen these games fold
to older games in match after match- instead we have to wait for OOT
and MGS/RBY/FFX/SC/FFVIII or whatever is there to dismantle whatever
comes out of 2004-2009. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
HaRRicH | Posted 5/2/2009 2:18:05 PM | message detail |
Maybe
so, but make it just FFX and RE4 and I bet RE4 looks even better; Leon
looked 3%-4% worse against Dante with Pikachu or Kirby there than when
Leon/Dante fought with Riku/Hogger, and RE4 was dealing with two
LoZ-games and two big comebacks for other major Nintendo franchises in
the GotC-poll. I get that LoZ:TP should be with RE4 if we see them face off with FFX, and you're likely right. For all intents and purposes tomorrow though, RE4 should take care of business before Link comes into the picture. --- Prototype Shorthand, do you speak it?! |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/2/2009 2:31:33 PM | message detail |
Not completely serious, but I'd probably polish off the Last Place Factor a bit. Maybe more like this: Last Place Factor - A large issue in four-way contests is that often an entrant will be perceived to be too weak to have a chance at advancing in the poll. While these games are indeed normally weaker then the other entrants, they perform far worse than past strength says they should. A notable example is Prince of Persia getting 7.33% on Super Mario World while the character of the Prince achieved 31.19% on Sonic in 2007. This was extremeley prevalent in the early divisions of the 2009 Games Contest. How does that sound? --- ? |
ffmasterjose | Posted 5/2/2009 2:33:07 PM | message detail |
I just picked my nose after digging out wax in my ear. Interesting combination . --- 74/100 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest NP: Metal Gear Solid 3 > World of Warcraft | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4 |
HaRRicH | Posted 5/2/2009 2:39:24 PM | message detail |
Meh,
dunno about the PoP-comparison; how many people were expecting it to do
anything in its match? We also haven't seen enough BGE-matches to
really say if that example actually works or not. I'm having a hard
time finding a better example though...maybe Shadow from
Auron/Ryu/Bowser/Shadow? I think it was around that time we first
brought it up, though with Shadow bombing to Link/Zidane I don't know
if that applies to that match anymore..... --- Prototype Shorthand, do you speak it?! |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 5/2/2009 2:39:37 PM | message detail |
I don't think character to game comparisons is enough. He's just that much more popular than his games. --- *is Dranze* BGE2 - Today: MGS3 > WoW - Points: 70/100 Vote: MGS3 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/2/2009 2:47:19 PM | message detail |
Maybe Zero against Link, Vincent, and Crono would be a good example, or even Zero against MM, Snake, and Cube. --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/2/2009 2:48:53 PM | message detail |
From: nintendogirl1 | Posted: 5/2/2009 5:31:33 PM | #038 I mean no offense by this (you know I love ya =p), but that's unbelievably wordy. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ "ToS reminds of my mother. It goes down a lot after 1:00 AM." -GrapefruitKing |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/2/2009 2:49:50 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 5/2/2009 5:47:19 PM | #042 But Mega Man X did fine in its poll. We're talking about entrants that do HORRIBLY when they really shouldn't. Vincent is a good example, but wasn't he also in a poll with Cloud and Sephiroth? --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ "ToS reminds of my mother. It goes down a lot after 1:00 AM." -GrapefruitKing |
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/2/2009 2:50:02 PM | message detail |
I think the debate we had last night over if Diablo or WoW had a better day vote has been settled. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/threesome.gif |
LeonhartFour | Posted 5/2/2009 2:51:44 PM | message detail |
But Mega Man X did fine in its poll. We're talking about entrants that do HORRIBLY when they really shouldn't. And Zero DID do horribly against Link, Vincent, and Crono. Seriously, look at what he got on Crono in round 2 compared to round 3. --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/2/2009 2:51:52 PM | message detail |
From: HaRRicH Meh, dunno about the PoP-comparison; how many people were expecting it to do anything in its match? No-one was expecting anything, but we sure as hell weren't expectiing sub-4%. For reference, the oracle consensus was 10.50%. Which is a shocking difference which is kind of the point. --- No? |
red sox 777 | Posted 5/2/2009 2:52:17 PM | message detail |
Zero
did do horribly in that match though. The previous round he got like
47% on Crono and even cut several hundred votes off his lead with the
ASV, and then he went and just got fodderized when Link and Vincent
entered the picture. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/2/2009 2:52:34 PM | message detail |
People argued Diablo had a better day vote when it's lost every single day vote it's ever had? And Tales of Symphonia to advance to R3 thanks to WoW/Oblivion LFF!!1!!1 --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ "ToS reminds of my mother. It goes down a lot after 1:00 AM." -GrapefruitKing |
nintendogirl1 | Posted 5/2/2009 2:52:58 PM | message detail |
And yeah, very wordy, but I prefer to lean that way rather then the other. The joy of 50% of your degree being English. --- You learn to speak proper. |