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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 699

Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 5/2/2009 1:39:01 AM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c6j8EiWIVZs

Man I love this theme
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/2/2009 1:43:03 AM | message detail
I love these 13% updates from Halo.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 5/2/2009 1:44:01 AM | message detail
I wouldn't call this over thanks to Halo's day vote, but it's looking good if you have WoW in second place twice. Just popular enough to place, but hated enough not to be L-Block.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´
"ToS reminds of my mother. It goes down a lot after 1:00 AM." -GrapefruitKing
General_Zimbad | Posted 5/2/2009 1:50:18 AM | message detail
Just wondering what time each match starts for you guys? Its 2pm for me.
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These are my friends, I have there backs, they are the closest thing to blood that I have!!!
Master_roxas | Posted 5/2/2009 1:50:25 AM | message detail
I can't believe Okami is losing.
gamepro88 | Posted 5/2/2009 1:55:27 AM | message detail
Why oh why did I put WoW placing so high.
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BtT - 3:16.46 10MM - 3:02.95
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/2/2009 1:59:29 AM | message detail
The silly thing is that I saw one bracket in which the winner was World of Warcraft and Final Fantasy VII was the runner-up. And that bracket had Ocarina of Time getting eliminated in the 2nd round.
Lopen | Posted 5/2/2009 2:05:11 AM | message detail
Halo 2 probably wins, but this is no win to be proud of even if does slip by. For shame, Halo 2.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 2:19:36 AM | message detail
>_< Halo is not going to come back from 1300 votes on a weekend, its day votes are mixed into the night and every other voting timeslot already. Just in the same way that Halo didn't turnover 3000 votes on Diablo. How do you come up with these gems? =P
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Lopen | Posted 5/2/2009 2:22:37 AM | message detail
Halo is up against much crappier day votes this time. GTA3 would probably win the day vote against this pack. Also this whole "the weekend day vote is weak" is a myth to some degree. Master Chief's 2000 vote comeback against Donkey Kong was on a weekend, for example.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/2/2009 2:24:17 AM | message detail
This'll likely be 2000 once we get to 8-9 AM
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transience | Posted 5/2/2009 2:26:14 AM | message detail
we don't really have any idea what Warcraft's day vote is like. I won't count Halo out and think it's got a fair shot, but it could very easily flop.
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xyzzy
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/2/2009 2:28:50 AM | message detail
The Chief has only had 2 matches on a weekend since the switch to Eastern Time

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=2530&type=1&seconds=900&max=0

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=2904&type=1&seconds=900&max=0

The latter one being impressive, but that's steroid Chief against... well, the opposition speaks for itself.

The first match is kind of lacking oh what you'd usually expect but it shows plenty of comeback potential I imagine
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/2/2009 2:29:01 AM | message detail
Any serious comeback attempt is just gonna be rallied against.
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Lopen | Posted 5/2/2009 2:30:13 AM | message detail
We've got a decent idea. We've seen Arthas, Thrall, Hogger, and the series. None of which have had anything impressive happen with daylight hours. All things point to it being a night game, especially its ramping up more than MGS3 of all games during the dead hours right now.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 2:31:13 AM | message detail

From: Lopen | #210
Halo is up against much crappier day votes this time. GTA3 would probably win the day vote against this pack. Also this whole "the weekend day vote is weak" is a myth to some degree. Master Chief's 2000 vote comeback against Donkey Kong was on a weekend, for example.


1) That was in a two way poll.
2) Donkey Kong is the biggest lead jobber in the history of contests.

You seem to have serious problems distinguishing between what has a remote possibility of happening and what is likely.
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(\__/) Meet Ziggy,the Evil Bunny who wants to take over the world and eat the flesh of the weak.
(='.'=] Put Ziggy in your sig to support his cause.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/2/2009 2:31:35 AM | message detail
Warcraft 3=/=World of Warcraft
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Lopen | Posted 5/2/2009 2:32:26 AM | message detail
"For example", Smurf.

n00b there just gave two more examples that show the weekend's lack of day vote is a myth.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/2/2009 2:32:52 AM | message detail
My point being is that Warcraft 3 is a hardcore RTS PC game, and WoW is about as casual as it gets, with many people of all ages who play it. Don't expect hardcore PC kinda trends. Not to mention its really not doing that great at night, its just gaining percentage due to the bleeding from Halo having to go SOMEWHERE.
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greatone10 | Posted 5/2/2009 2:33:03 AM | message detail
lol at Okami cutting into the lead
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 2:34:18 AM | message detail
Oh Halo will come back, but when it's likely to be 1800+ votes down it'll never come back anywhere near enough to be in danger of taking 2nd place.
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
Lopen | Posted 5/2/2009 2:34:38 AM | message detail
It's not just going SOMEWHERE, though. It's going to WoW more than it's going to two night game specialists in MGS3 and Okami. I wouldn't be too surprised to see WoW to take the biggest dip from the day vote at this point, and that's saying something considering the competition.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/2/2009 2:35:31 AM | message detail
Theres also the fact that WoW always gets horrible board vote. It'll gain percentage over night to make up for that bad board vote.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/2/2009 2:36:08 AM | message detail
What Smurf said was positively ridiculous (as par for the course), but I'd feel much better about Halo 2's chances if... it would shape up and stop getting cut by Okami as we prepare for the sun to rise, for one.
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turnturnturn your brain in
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transience | Posted 5/2/2009 2:36:37 AM | message detail
I'm skeptical about comparing Warcraft characters to the game. they're just playing to different markets, I think, kinda like Axel Steel to Guitar Hero. I think Warcraft will be somewhat balanced in general - Halo might be able to swing 2000 votes but any counterrallying will make that number harder to come by.
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yzzyx
transience | Posted 5/2/2009 2:37:39 AM | message detail
I'd feel much better about Halo 2's chances if... it would shape up and stop getting cut by Okami as we prepare for the sun to rise, for one.

chek out that Chief/Yuna graph - the reason Halo's day vote is so amazing is because its night vote is so bad.
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xyzzy
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transience | Posted 5/2/2009 2:37:45 AM | message detail
lol chek
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com//chewing.jpg
LordTMax | Posted 5/2/2009 2:38:07 AM | message detail
I feel so amazing
I had Obliv > ToS for serious on my bracket, and that's what really happened GG
Now I have MGS 3 > Halo 2. Wtf is with WoW winning second..
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CT For Best game ever. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjChn33Zj-o - those who posted in the topic to get their name said for no reason video.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 5/2/2009 2:43:39 AM | message detail
watching He-man and She-Ra: Secret of the Sword

man, they never even try separating the fact She-Ra is He-man with a Vagina, infact they enforced it
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 2:46:17 AM | message detail
In a 4-way contest how many examples do we actually have of a game/character that has come back from the upper ends of the 1000's to actually win?
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 5/2/2009 3:06:52 AM | message detail
"Skeletor to King Randor, Skeletor to King Randor, Come in you royal boob"

God damn I love Skeletor
consolefreak | Posted 5/2/2009 3:10:05 AM | message detail
In a 4-way contest how many examples do we actually have of a game/character that has come back from the upper ends of the 1000's to actually win?

Sandbag vs Magus. Once the lead here is around 1800, MC's comeback will be the biggest ever (at 1500, Sandbag's is more impressive).


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Oh, I've got one. A Mexican, a Jew and a colored guy go into a bar. The bartender looks up to them and says: "Get the **** out of here" -- Gran Torino
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 5/2/2009 3:10:34 AM | message detail
So TOS had the lowest advancing percentage so far eh?
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Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 3:12:06 AM | message detail
So all we need for that to happen is World of Warcraft to be as obscure to the casual audience as a mid nineties rpg villain. Not to mention the fact that said match was on a week day.

Jesus christ why is a come back even being discussed. This match is over.
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 5/2/2009 3:14:12 AM | message detail
mid nineties villain that looks like a DBZ character mind you.



Course it wasnt the 1st time a Chrono character died in the day <_<
The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/2/2009 3:15:03 AM | message detail
Wonder if Okami can take the lead over Halo 2 before it bounces back
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/2/2009 3:25:39 AM | message detail
Well, Halo 2 is now within a percent of losing to Okami.

BTW do you guys think Okami is getting SFFd by MGS3, as I predicted in my analysis? And do you think that Resident Evil 4 could PS2-SFF (most of its popularity is with the PS2, right?) Kingdom Hearts 2 and Shadow of the Colossus?

One stupid thing is that in my bracket, I almost forgot that Kingdom Hearts existed. During KH1's match, I originally had Metroid Prime > Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, before realizing that KINGDOM FREAKING HEARTS was in the match, and so I changed my bracket (and I did end up calling that match right, though I didn't want to see Metroid Prime leave so early). For tomorrow's match though, I forgot that KH2 was there, and picked Resident Evil 4 > Gears of War.

Whoops.
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 3:44:52 AM | message detail
Nah this site is very Nintendo based, most of Resi 4's popularity probably comes from the Gamecube.
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
voltch | Posted 5/2/2009 3:48:54 AM | message detail
looking at yesterday's poll.......so...huh....USA does not like games featuring black people?SA...did what we thought it'd do everwhere else...so yeah!
blame...oh well i'm sure some guys will still manage to blame europe for this.
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It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455
Gaddswell | Posted 5/2/2009 3:49:12 AM | message detail
I wonder if Halo can get a single digit update here. That last was was just over 10%.
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Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 3:51:37 AM | message detail

From: voltch | #239
looking at yesterday's poll.......so...huh....USA does not like games featuring black people?SA...did what we thought it'd do everwhere else...so yeah!
blame...oh well i'm sure some guys will still manage to blame europe for this.


I'm just surprised Asians voted GTA And GoW over ToS. o_0
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Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
voltch | Posted 5/2/2009 3:54:15 AM | message detail
well looks like Asia likes what the americans were supposed to like?

this poll makes noooooooooo sense.
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It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 3:57:05 AM | message detail
Lopen, tranny, Karma.

Halo 2 is 1800 behind now, but I'm sure it'll come "roaring" back any moment now.
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(='.'=] Put Ziggy in your sig to support his cause.
voltch | Posted 5/2/2009 4:01:37 AM | message detail
just wait till the kiddies wake up.
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It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455
The n00b Avenger | Posted 5/2/2009 4:07:12 AM | message detail
If Halo 2 doesn't show signs off life by the end of the hour it's probably not going to make it
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 4:08:49 AM | message detail
No kidding.
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(\__/) Meet Ziggy,the Evil Bunny who wants to take over the world and eat the flesh of the weak.
(='.'=] Put Ziggy in your sig to support his cause.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 5/2/2009 4:09:27 AM | message detail
the hells Tran Man have to do with those goons?
greatone10 | Posted 5/2/2009 4:15:03 AM | message detail
Halo 2 will be lucky if it makes the comeback against Okami at this rate.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
voltch | Posted 5/2/2009 4:16:36 AM | message detail
ooh boy,Halo 3 is probably weaker than Halo 2 as well,man is that franchise in for a rough ride.
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It's not fair if FF is in the title it always wins.
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2455
Smurf Alt | Posted 5/2/2009 4:17:25 AM | message detail

From: greatone10 | #248
Halo 2 will be lucky if it makes the comeback against Okami at this rate.


No it'll just make it all the more impressive when halo comes storming back. MGS3 will clearly be lucky to hold on.
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(\__/) Meet Ziggy,the Evil Bunny who wants to take over the world and eat the flesh of the weak.
(='.'=] Put Ziggy in your sig to support his cause.