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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 699

MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/1/2009 10:41:26 PM | message detail
WoW can't win with updates like that, though.
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charmander6000 | Posted 5/1/2009 10:41:37 PM | message detail
WoW likely has a better ASV then Diablo too, since its a popular casual game that many kids play.

Weren't people always saying how Diablo had such a great day vote? Also Diablo won the ASV against Arthas if that means anything.
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BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS3 > Halo 2 Points: 71/100
transience | Posted 5/1/2009 10:41:38 PM | message detail
yeah, FFT > WOW seems fairly obvious if only because of the brand name.

I'd take WOW over Morrowind easily.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/1/2009 10:42:22 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #152
WoW likely has a better ASV then Diablo too, since its a popular casual game that many kids play.

Weren't people always saying how Diablo had such a great day vote? Also Diablo won the ASV against Arthas if that means anything.


Arthas at that point was popular due to Warcraft 3, which isn't as casual friendly as WoW is. And I never ntoiced Diablo having a good day vote... Kratos Aurion killed him in the asv.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/1/2009 10:44:28 PM | message detail
Actually nm, I though Kratos did better then he actually did against Diablo in the ASV

Still, I don't think Diablos ASV is that good.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/1/2009 10:45:34 PM | message detail
Halo is actually making cuts on WoW even at this time - yeah, we're not full-blown night vote, but this isn't going to be the kind of lead that WoW can feel safe with. It's probably got a better day vote than D2, but against Halo that won't say much.
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Mumei | Posted 5/1/2009 10:46:36 PM | message detail
For the record, WoW's currently getting 39.83% on MGS3. Compare that to Morrowind getting 38.02% on MGS2 and FFT getting 28.07% on MGS.

FFT getting 38.07%*

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/1/2009 10:46:50 PM | message detail
Man Halo stop gaining

you'er not supposed to be a night game damnit !
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Solid_Mike86 | Posted 5/1/2009 10:48:05 PM | message detail
Lets go Halo 2! My favorite online shooter of all time. So many memories on XBL with that game from the midnight release until 2006.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/1/2009 10:48:52 PM | message detail
Trends are weird in this match. Apparently Halo is now a better night game then MGS.
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FastFalcon05 | Posted 5/1/2009 10:49:59 PM | message detail
*agrees with Solid Mike*

Halo 2 deserves this, such a fun game.

What do people think the hierarchy of the Halo games is for this contest?

3 > 2 > 1?

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/1/2009 10:52:05 PM | message detail
1>2>=3
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/1/2009 10:52:15 PM | message detail
Hmm....Halo can probably come back if it can keep WoW's lead under 2000. If it keeps the lead under 1500, it can probably come back and get a lead of 1000+ before the second night vote. It's hard to say what kind of cushion Halo would need- we still haven't seen anything except for Starcraft actually pull off a massive rally with the second night vote (no, Frog's was tiny compared to what Starcraft did), and that was 5 years ago. And of course WoW could potentially rally more than Starcraft ever did.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/1/2009 10:54:39 PM | message detail
I guess I'm going to predict the next match.

Ho ho ho, the time for perhaps the best game of the century is here. The adrenaline rush one could get from playing Resident Evil 4 may not sound like much, but go back to Ocarina of Time, Metal Gear Solid, or Metroid Prime and you'll realize how much you're missing those huge hoards of enemies, instead seeing bad guys come in onsies and twosies, or maybe groups of five at most. That, plus a great atmosphere, gives Resident Evil 4 my vote. I've never actually played any of the games in this fourpack, but all the critical acclaim about RE4 hands the vote there. Following that we have Shadow of the Colossus, an underrated hit just like Okami, and my favorite for second due to its art style and unique nature. Then comes Kingdom Hearts 2, our first Square title since, uhm, 5 matches ago! KH2 isn't exactly a huge favorite for me; I've heard the game can be stupidly easy at parts. And finally, Gears of War, a game that follows in RE4's footsteps and sets the player in a war-torn environment. As far as the actual match goes, methinks Resident Evil 4 shouldn't have too many problems getting first place. I stupidly took Gears of War for 2nd in my bracket; Kingdom Hearts 2 is probably going to take that spot now. Gears of War will disappoint, but Shadow of the Colossus will get PS2 SFF and finish last. I'm going to root for Wander and Agro (greatest sidekick ever!!!) to upset KH2 and GoW (wouldn't mind if GoW advanced though) and come in 2nd.

Prediction: Resident Evil 4 > Kingdom Hearts 2
Bracket: Resident Evil 4 > Gears of War
Favorites: Resident Evil 4 > Shadow of the Colossus
transience | Posted 5/1/2009 10:56:08 PM | message detail
tomorrow's match is interesting.. KH2 stands out like hell compared to the others, and it's the only Square/Nintendo game.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/1/2009 10:58:34 PM | message detail
If KH2 isn't that strong, though (and KH's win looks less and less impressive by the day), RE4 has to dominate despite that STF if it wants to prove itself as a Top 15 game. It's a potential Top 10 to boot, and unlike so many others its path actually isn't set in stone.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/1/2009 11:00:17 PM | message detail
Yep, that's what scares me. I don't expect KHII to be stronger than the original, but RE4 and Gears are probably the biggest two reps in that third person action shooter genre. Luckily for RE4, there's at least another PS2 title present.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
transience | Posted 5/1/2009 11:02:09 PM | message detail
jeeze, it's like Warcraft ran out of votes. Halo looks better and better with every update.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/1/2009 11:05:33 PM | message detail
And in the midst of the battle between WoW and Halo 2... MGS3 keeps on going down???
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red sox 777 | Posted 5/1/2009 11:05:37 PM | message detail
I wouldn't be too surprised to see KH2 win. The main support for RE4 being strong is the Game of the Century poll and the List, neither of which looks too good now.

Trend Comparisons, 2:00 AM Edition

Halo 2's current percentage against World of Warcraft: 47.64%
Halo's percentage against Diablo 2: 45.81%
Halo's final percentage against Diablo 2: 48.49%

Projection based on Halo/Diablo 2: Halo 2 wins with 50.32%.

Halo 2 is now projected to win based on the Halo/Diablo 2 match. Hopefully when I wake up it'll be down less the 2000 votes.
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hochiminhX | Posted 5/1/2009 11:09:01 PM | message detail
With Halo's monstrous comeback imminent and the rallying potentiality of WoW, this is shaping up to be one of the best matches of the contest. Too bad it's between two crappy capitalist games.

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I may be fine and divine, but sometimes even contest know-nothings like Jose make better predictions than I...though not often
Karma Hunter | Posted 5/1/2009 11:09:22 PM | message detail
I'm probably one of the only people that has MGS3 > Halo 2 for two rounds, so I'm mostly just crossing my fingers on this comeback. Maybe this'll actually get my bracket back in the game if it works!
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/1/2009 11:12:18 PM | message detail
I'm really surprised as to how big a favorite WoW was around here (I thought it was an underdog given its awful poll performances). Guess I was far from the only one sick of getting burned by Blizzard.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
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transience | Posted 5/1/2009 11:15:31 PM | message detail
GTA was a monsterous fave based on polls and Warcraft still had a large backing. people will follow Blizzard off a cliff after Starcraft.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/1/2009 11:18:35 PM | message detail
WEll Halo is finally reverting to night form and the big gains are starting for WoW. Lets continue this till like 8 or 9 am!
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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/1/2009 11:22:13 PM | message detail
WoW's lead on Halo 2 is about half as much as Diablo 2's was on Halo at this point. The worst is yet to come for H2, but it should suck up votes like a maniac come daytime - there's no option like KOTOR among this bunch, and the dominant entry is definitively nocturnal.
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hochiminhX | Posted 5/1/2009 11:23:24 PM | message detail
WoW's lead on Halo 2 is about half as much as Diablo 2's was on Halo at this point. The worst is yet to come for H2, but it should suck up votes like a maniac come daytime - there's no option like KOTOR among this bunch, and the dominant entry is definitively nocturnal.


I already said. You are too slow for me... Karma Hunter.

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I may be fine and divine, but sometimes even contest know-nothings like Jose make better predictions than I...though not often
FastFalcon05 | Posted 5/1/2009 11:23:32 PM | message detail
I'm probably one of the only people that has MGS3 > Halo 2 for two rounds, so I'm mostly just crossing my fingers on this comeback. Maybe this'll actually get my bracket back in the game if it works!

Same here!
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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/1/2009 11:24:19 PM | message detail
My apologies great hochi I was just spreading your everlasting wisdom for more to see
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/1/2009 11:30:39 PM | message detail
We've already seen some weird trends in this match, though. I mean, Halo outperforming MGS3 for 60 straight minutes after the Power Hour? I dunno what's in store for the rest of this thing, but seeing as how it's a Saturday (and how the early vote seemed to last almost twice as long as usual, albeit in somewhat diluted form), I think WoW has a lot more than four hours to pad this lead.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
Karma Hunter | Posted 5/1/2009 11:37:06 PM | message detail
Eh, the second hour isn't really all that different from the Power Hour proper. Halo was making a ton of sporadic stalls on KOTOR and refused to relinquish its lead until we entered the true night vote (which floods in right about now).

Also, there's no telling on how MGS3's trends completely break down. The original MGS's day vote was, if anything, even more abysmal than we expected, but MGS2 was a completely different story. Then again, with MGS2 being the black sheep of the series, maybe its weakness came primarily from night-voting fans of MGS that hated Raiden?
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 5/1/2009 11:38:18 PM | message detail
Who could hate Raiden.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/1/2009 11:38:26 PM | message detail
and right about now wow is making 40-50 vote gains constantly

die halo die
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Karma Hunter | Posted 5/1/2009 11:39:18 PM | message detail
...and THAT would be right on schedule. Yeah, I'm not feeling terribly great about H2's chances, but I don't think it's in for any bigger night thrashing than its brothers are.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/1/2009 11:59:42 PM | message detail
Go Naked Snake

Anyways, I wouldn't be too surprised to see Kingdom Hearts 2 win, but something tells me KH2 could be a disappointment just like KH1 in the first games contest.
syco_coaster | Posted 5/2/2009 12:14:42 AM | message detail
I made some attempts rallying for WoW. I found that people who play WoW could care less.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/2/2009 12:38:23 AM | message detail
Heh, I've been told that many of the people who play WoW don't even like it. It's like a job that pays negative $15 a month.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/2/2009 12:40:31 AM | message detail
Once you're addicted and in a guild, you kinda have people that depend on you so you can't just quit on 'em. Unless you're a jerk.
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ffmasterjose | Posted 5/2/2009 12:43:12 AM | message detail
Alrighty, I'm hitting the hay. As of this post World of Warcraft leads Halo 2 for second place by 864 votes. Let's see where things stand later.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/2/2009 12:44:19 AM | message detail
This'll easily get over 2k, especially with the Europe vote starting soon.
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 5/2/2009 12:44:52 AM | message detail
eh pretty much


but I get my enjoyment out of it.
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/2/2009 12:53:27 AM | message detail
World of Warcraft holds the lead against the Xbox Live's launch title, but it's like 4 am in US time (I'm in New Delhi here), so who knows?
Gaddswell | Posted 5/2/2009 12:55:49 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3470&region=ASI

Wow, ToS did bad in Asia. Guess its Nintendo Hate > Anime RPG over there.
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Lopen | Posted 5/2/2009 1:00:52 AM | message detail
Augh.

Disgusting. Mostly Halo 2 flopping why this is even a match, though. Were Halo 2 and MGS3 close to even like I expected WoW wouldn't be in contention.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/2/2009 1:08:44 AM | message detail
Great update there!

-WoW is now 1000 above Halo 2
-Okami is now 500 below Halo 2
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/2/2009 1:16:07 AM | message detail
Kingdom Hearts 2
Tournament Headquarters Contest Results: Did Not Participate
Video Game Madness VII Results: Did Not Participate

Gears of War
Tournament Headquarters Contest Results: Did Not Participate
Video Game Madness VII Results: Lost to #11 Mass Effect in Round 1

Resident Evil 4
Tournament Headquarters Contest Results: Lost to #5 Half-Life 2 in Final Four
Video Game Madness VII Results: Lost to #2 Chrono Trigger in Final Four

Shadow of the Colossus
Tournament Headquarters Contest Results: Did Not Participate
Video Game Madness VII Results: Lost to #2 Chrono Trigger in Sweet Sixteen

Halo 2
Tournament Headquarters Contest Results: Did Not Participate
Video Game Madness VII Results: Did Not Participate

Metal Gear Solid 3
Tournament Headquarters Contest Results: Did Not Participate
Video Game Madness VII Results: Lost to #1 Super Metroid in Round 2

Okami
Tournament Headquarters Contest Results: Did Not Participate
Video Game Madness VII Results: Did Not Participate

World of Warcraft
Tournament Headquarters Contest Results: Did Not Participate
Video Game Madness VII Results: Did Not Participate
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 5/2/2009 1:24:37 AM | message detail
Is Video Game Madness VII refering to the rottentomatoes tournament? That contest gets fewer votes than many Board 8 contests.
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 5/2/2009 1:25:36 AM | message detail
rottentomatoes had a VG tournament 0_O?
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 5/2/2009 1:31:02 AM | message detail
It seemed to be a tournament held on their general video game discussion board. Each match had about 70 votes at best.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 5/2/2009 1:32:21 AM | message detail
Not to mention that, out of all the games that have won a VGM tournament, one is already out in this contest. And two of them failed to place first, but still advanced.