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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 699

Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 5/1/2009 9:17:48 PM | message detail
Oh yeah, forgot it was the weekend. That's actually bad news for Halo, with more Americans being up to vote early. Should rise less than usual.
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FastFalcon and Solid Snake snapped my neck in the guru contest.
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 5/1/2009 9:19:01 PM | message detail
11 people fell off the Top 50 today. SoldierTwo, thedragon31, ThisSrGuy, setyouupthebomb, scool1986, Ian_Ventricle, LancelotBT, Breakdown777, LJBad89, Dodongo77 and Agent_M did not have Oblivion > ToS as yesterday's winners.

9 people scored half points went up in rank. menji76, metroidcomposit, kenrmcha19, 80Starfire08, Theo72, Gaddswell, cavalier_lowen, SarahFailin and Axem_King also did not have Oblivion > ToS as yesterday's winners.

10 people scored a single point and still went up in rank. Dracosage, Gavin_Sykes, IXKyotoXI, tablesandchairs, Galahad5, PunkGag, swrdof1000trths, stalfo18, Heroic_Rufus and expaniol had something vaguely similar to Oblivion > ToS as yesterday's winners.

20 people didn't score any points at all and managed to stay on the Top 50. spence1891, _gloomy, Mirrorzzz, Ludwig_Von_2, mentalmike_2000, ccbfan, Some_Character, Jayman4545, DaveTheUseless, Juan_Gigante, wizeman101986, JgCuBe, Obsessed117, JohnnyPolo, Aecioo, Vivi_XIII, SenelCoolidge, EmperorChiaotzu, paulg235 and Acoolusername had GoW > GTA:SA or GTA:SA > GoW as yesterday's winners.

No one on the Top 50 scored full points.

K1lr0y was the top rated person to predict Oblivion > ToS as yesterday's winners. He shot up 89 places to go from tied for 103rd to tied for 14th.
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Shall I take you with me? To the place in this town where wishes come true...
transience | Posted 5/1/2009 9:19:22 PM | message detail
MC swung like 3500 votes on DK on a weekend. Halo will be fine.

if anything, the real problem is that it's a Saturday which means it's a lot easier to rally votes.
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xyzzy
http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg
ffmasterjose | Posted 5/1/2009 9:19:29 PM | message detail
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/2/2009 12:08:55 AM | message detail
And hey, what's up with the "Snake Eater" omission? Don't get stingy with the titles now, Admin.


He's probably counting Snake Eater and Subsistence as one, considering he didn't provide a "Sons of Liberty" or "Substance" title for MGS2 when it had it's match earlier.

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74/100 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Metal Gear Solid 3 > World of Warcraft | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/1/2009 9:20:45 PM | message detail
Yeah, WoW has this.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
charmander6000 | Posted 5/1/2009 9:21:01 PM | message detail
Halo 2 is keeping constant.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS3 > Halo 2 Points: 71/100
red sox 777 | Posted 5/1/2009 9:21:36 PM | message detail
I'm assuming the rallying has already started?
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/1/2009 9:21:37 PM | message detail
http://img8.imageshack.us/img8/9646/wowde.jpg

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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
Master Moltar | Posted 5/1/2009 9:22:20 PM | message detail
what the...
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Moltar Status: ahh, there you are
Match 26 - Bracket: MGS3 > Halo 2 - Vote: MGS3 (69/100)
transience | Posted 5/1/2009 9:22:23 PM | message detail
Okami's hanging in there. pretty nice show from it considering the big names, but after TOS this shouldn't be a surprise.

I wonder if Phoenix Wright can get 15-20%. maybe it could advance if TP wrecks faces enough.
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xyzzy
http://img6.imageshack.us/img6/7033/trannyanalysis.png
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/1/2009 9:23:49 PM | message detail
Phoenix Wright advancing?

This is a train I can get on!

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
ZFS | Posted 5/1/2009 9:24:21 PM | message detail
Phoenix Wright hype train time to bail out on this

There's a Final Fantasy in the way

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Enough expository banter! Now we fight like men! And ladies! And ladies who dress like men!
General_Zimbad | Posted 5/1/2009 9:24:27 PM | message detail
probably not gunna happen though
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These are my friends, I have there backs, they are the closest thing to blood that I have!!!
WarThaHedgehog | Posted 5/1/2009 9:24:40 PM | message detail
Our mission: Phoenix Wright in 2nd at the freeze.

Let's do this.
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http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif
transience | Posted 5/1/2009 9:24:53 PM | message detail
time for a trainwreck

a 100 floor dungeon trainwreck
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xyzzy
red sox 777 | Posted 5/1/2009 9:25:16 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3282&type=2&seconds=60&max=0

Amaterasu was pretty good in Europe. Course, Crono was in the poll, but she improved relative to Ryu too.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
ffmasterjose | Posted 5/1/2009 9:25:46 PM | message detail
How the hell did tos and oblivion beat God Of war and San Andreas? they are possibly the best couple of ps2 games out there, shows how weak the users of gamefaqs are

Oblivion and ToS had more votes.

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74/100 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Metal Gear Solid 3 > World of Warcraft | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
charmander6000 | Posted 5/1/2009 9:25:47 PM | message detail
I wonder if Okami will lead against Halo 2 at night.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS3 > Halo 2 Points: 71/100
General_Zimbad | Posted 5/1/2009 9:25:54 PM | message detail
Halo 2 is dropping now.
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These are my friends, I have there backs, they are the closest thing to blood that I have!!!
charmander6000 | Posted 5/1/2009 9:31:33 PM | message detail
Unless Halo 2 decides to have some kind of night vote stall this is becoming over soon.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS3 > Halo 2 Points: 71/100
hochiminhX | Posted 5/1/2009 9:32:29 PM | message detail
World of Borecarft has tonight to build up a 2500-3000 vote lead because Halo 2 has no competition for the day vote. Since tomorrow is Saturday, Halo 2 should have a consistent day vote. Recall that Master Suck came back from a 2000 vote deficit against Donkey Flop on a Saturday.

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I may be fine and divine, but sometimes even contest know-nothings like Jose make better predictions than I...though not often
charmander6000 | Posted 5/1/2009 9:33:57 PM | message detail
Master Chief defeated Donkey Kong on Sunday, still a weekend match.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS3 > Halo 2 Points: 71/100
transience | Posted 5/1/2009 9:34:20 PM | message detail
I am no longer worried about World of Warcraft. it's going to take either a massive rally or a huge day vote to beat RE4 or TP. all things considered, this is a pretty pathetic performance from a game some thought could hit the finals. and after seeing the superior Halo suck it up, watching World of Warcraft struggle with it while getting blasted by a second-tier MGS title isn't very impressive.

I'll be curious to see if rallying even means anything here. most people will see that it's not even close to first and not care. it's only the Albions of the world that will rally for second place. I actually think, for rallying purposes, that it'd be better suited to a 1v1 contest because people would just care more.

how are people feeling about MGS3? it seems to falling into our expectations - above MGS2, probably not that close to MGS1. not a bad performance, but not a great one either.
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yzzyx
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/1/2009 9:35:02 PM | message detail
I think WoW is looking good for two rounds. Halo is bombing this contest, but I still doubt it's as weak as Symphonia or Oblivion (I'd bet KotOR beats either). MGS3 should wreck the poll against three RPGs, and it's hard to see WoW not picking up enough of the scraps to advance.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
Master Moltar | Posted 5/1/2009 9:35:58 PM | message detail
MGS3 > ToS next round yes
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Moltar Status: ahh, there you are
Match 26 - Bracket: MGS3 > Halo 2 - Vote: MGS3 (69/100)
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/1/2009 9:37:03 PM | message detail
Halo is bombing this contest, but I still doubt it's as weak as Symphonia or Oblivion

I know it pulls away away, but Halo is still dangerously close to Okami.

I think MGS3>ToS has a chance of happening. The three would be close anyway, and ToS is standing out like nuts. Again.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/1/2009 9:38:08 PM | message detail
MGS3 might be the third strongest PS2 game behind FFX and KH (and it might be stronger than KH - I think the jury's still out there). Of course, it all depends on just how big the gap is between FFX and everything else. Second or third best on the PS2 might still end up being just meh.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
Gaddswell | Posted 5/1/2009 9:38:18 PM | message detail
Well, that was an interesting 1 minute update.
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http://www.court-records.net/manga/4koma/(eng)4koma2.png
Hail FastFalcon, our new guru overlord!
transience | Posted 5/1/2009 9:38:58 PM | message detail
I don't think TOS stands out as much as it did last round. I'd peg it as being a little bit above Okami but nothing drastic, so if Warcraft beats it out by 7-8% I'd have a hard time calling for it to advance. we'll see though.
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xyzzy
http://img.imgcake.com//chewing.jpg
WarThaHedgehog | Posted 5/1/2009 9:39:12 PM | message detail
If I had known this was going to happen without knowing any other contest result, I'd have taken MGS3 out of this division.

As it is, Halo 2's big brother is on-par with KotOR, so uhh...yeah. Good performance by MGS3, but we won't really know anything about it until Round 3. All it can do next round is get exposed by ToS or Oblivion.
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http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif
WarThaHedgehog | Posted 5/1/2009 9:39:45 PM | message detail
In terms of doing anything to change opinion of it, I mean.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 5/1/2009 9:39:51 PM | message detail
Well, that was an interesting 1 minute update.

GameFAQs has been known to get a case of the "hiccups" and throw out updates when it normally doesn't.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ!
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/1/2009 9:40:17 PM | message detail
I would put Okami a good bit below ToS (and KOTOR for that matter). But yeah, we'll see.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
Karma Hunter | Posted 5/1/2009 9:40:34 PM | message detail
Just got back from the movies... hey, look at that!

BT, Solid_Mike86, assuming you don't want to wait until the end of the match to make it official, your new one line for 21 days/a month in your sig is:

http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg

"aw yeah"
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turnturnturn your brain in
http://fc03.deviantart.com/fs14/f/2007/020/b/f/Ariel_by_lolita_art.jpg
Naomi_Diamond | Posted 5/1/2009 9:41:00 PM | message detail
Yay, I know both Kilroy and Juan_Gigante. I just informed Kilroy on his placing. =D

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ziggie ziggie wop wop
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/1/2009 9:41:14 PM | message detail
best match ever
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
Krodis | Posted 5/1/2009 9:42:11 PM | message detail
WoW is really going to at least vaguely stand out when matched up with ANYTHING other than Diablo 2, so...
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Gamertag: Krodis
Go Tar Heels/Scarlet Knights, Panthers, Diamondbacks, Thunder, Penguins! (Mish-mash of teams!)
red sox 777 | Posted 5/1/2009 9:42:17 PM | message detail
Okami may lead Halo before the night is done. Don't really buy WoW doing great in Europe based on that Hogger poll, but it should be comfortably above Halo there at least. We'll see what the day vote can do for Halo- the problem is if it gets close, you can count on WoW to rally its way to victory.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 5/1/2009 9:43:19 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #088
Okami may lead Halo before the night is done. Don't really buy WoW doing great in Europe based on that Hogger poll, but it should be comfortably above Halo there at least. We'll see what the day vote can do for Halo- the problem is if it gets close, you can count on WoW to rally its way to victory.


Arthas did better in Europe, too.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/threesome.gif
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 5/1/2009 9:43:40 PM | message detail
Halo has to keep WoW's gains reasonable for the next eight hours and then just storm with the day vote. It needs to be overwhelming.
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I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
Master Moltar | Posted 5/1/2009 9:44:34 PM | message detail
save_us.DAY
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Moltar Status: ahh, there you are
Match 26 - Bracket: MGS3 > Halo 2 - Vote: MGS3 (69/100)
red sox 777 | Posted 5/1/2009 9:44:41 PM | message detail
Arthas was also against Pikachu, Captain Falcon, and Ike.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
WarThaHedgehog | Posted 5/1/2009 9:44:55 PM | message detail
Arthas did better in Europe against a Pokemon and a gay blue-haired muscleman with no neck. Not exactly top-tier European competition.

If anything I expect WoW to stay constant during Europe because of Snake's mug. It'll gain a bunch on Halo 2 and Okami though.
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http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif
charmander6000 | Posted 5/1/2009 9:45:03 PM | message detail
Halo 2 is going to need to catch WoW fans off guard. Still by morning WoW will probably have a lead of 2000 by then.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS3 > Halo 2 Points: 71/100
red sox 777 | Posted 5/1/2009 9:46:11 PM | message detail
Okami is beastly in Europe, but it's too far down to matter I think- it won't catch WoW overnight, and it's not going to hold up to Halo's day vote come daytime.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
charmander6000 | Posted 5/1/2009 9:46:46 PM | message detail
Nice to see MGS3 destroying everything.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: MGS3 > Halo 2 Points: 71/100
hochiminhX | Posted 5/1/2009 9:47:07 PM | message detail
Halo 2 is going to need to catch WoW fans off guard. Still by morning WoW will probably have a lead of 2000 by then.


If WoW is only up by 2000 by morning, then Halo 2 wins.

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I may be fine and divine, but sometimes even contest know-nothings like Jose make better predictions than I...though not often
transience | Posted 5/1/2009 9:47:23 PM | message detail
Halo's got next to no shot here. it's gonna need to turn like 2-3000 votes and I don't know if it can do it against a game that can rally whatever's necessary.

that would be pretty hilarious, though - World of Warcraft helpless against a huge comeback.
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xyzzy
http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 5/1/2009 9:48:16 PM | message detail
Halo cut around 2000 votes off of Diablo 2's lead while being down by 4000, so it's not impossible.

Definitely Advantage Warcraft, though.

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http://thengamer.com/guru/
transience | Posted 5/1/2009 9:49:53 PM | message detail
Halo's gonna bomb those overnight hours like it did against KOTOR. this will get worse before it gets better.
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xyzzy
http://img6.imageshack.us/img6/7033/trannyanalysis.png