Home What's New Contribute Features Boards My Games Answers Help

GameFAQs Contests

advertisement

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 695

UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/28/2009 9:49:50 PM | message detail
NOT EVEN DEATH CAN SAVE YOU FROM ME!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
---
.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.
Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Lunar 2, Devil May Cry 3
XIII_rocks | Posted 4/28/2009 9:51:14 PM | message detail
Not even the purge can save people's humiliation from NGamer's archives!


Wow, that was terrible
---
Justice for FD
"This topic is now about Renee Walker aka Rack Bauer." - LostHisHardcore http://i39.tinypic.com/2ps1s76.jpg
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 4/28/2009 9:53:09 PM | message detail
^Even though I don't know what that's about, I loled
Diet Water | Posted 4/28/2009 9:53:37 PM | message detail
This match is the hardest ever to predict
---
PSN: Sfandi Proud NC sports fan
My balls are huge.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/28/2009 9:53:46 PM | message detail

From: XIII_rocks | Posted: 4/29/2009 12:51:14 AM | #002
Not even the purge can save people's humiliation from NGamer's archives!


Wow, that was terrible


What happened?
---
.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.
Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Lunar 2, Devil May Cry 3
MnMZero | Posted 4/29/2009 5:25:33 AM | message detail
Whoa Star Wars. I'll gladly take the unearned 2 points for having Halo > KOTOR!
---
Proud Supporter of Zero
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/29/2009 6:33:56 AM | message detail
Tag

And I never expected KOTOR to still be in the running, let alone in second place.
---
"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
charmander6000 | Posted 4/29/2009 6:34:50 AM | message detail
GTA3 almost cut Diablo II here, I love this match.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > Diablo II Points: 65/88
Master Moltar | Posted 4/29/2009 6:35:48 AM | message detail
Hmm, DII LOOKS safe for now. Nice to see KotOR in second again, but Halo is keeping it close, and even GTA recovered overnight. Wouldn't be surprised to see it in last, but I'm hoping it can at least hold onto third.
---
Moltar Status: ahh, there you are
Match 23 - Bracket: Halo > D2 - Vote: KotOR (63/88)
Smurf FAQs | Posted 4/29/2009 6:38:14 AM | message detail
jumping the gun
---
(\__/) Meet Ziggy,the Evil Bunny who wants to take over the world and eat the flesh of the weak.
(='.'=] Put Ziggy in your sig to support his cause.
charmander6000 | Posted 4/29/2009 6:39:36 AM | message detail
Pfft, Diablo II is going to fall off the map while the other three games make a massive comeback making a four-way tie at the second to last update.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > Diablo II Points: 65/88
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/29/2009 7:05:06 AM | message detail
Damn, Halo looks like it has second place. It won that morning vote, so it'll likely make a killing with the ASV.
---
I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
The Mana Sword | Posted 4/29/2009 7:45:57 AM | message detail
Halo should...probably try and do a better job of stalling here.
---
Kleenex...at work!
Starion | Posted 4/29/2009 7:50:59 AM | message detail
I don't know. The graph looks more like a convergence rather than Halo "winning".

Oh and chucks a Lightning Fury at Ulti for saying Amazons are no good.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/29/2009 7:51:25 AM | message detail
On the contrary, KotOR needs to do much better than these dinky little 10 vote gains. I wanna see blood!
---
I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
red sox 777 | Posted 4/29/2009 7:52:31 AM | message detail
Halo's morning vote really is nothing special. It'll have no problems overcoming KOTOR's lead come 3 PM.
---
Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
The Mana Sword | Posted 4/29/2009 7:52:45 AM | message detail
Is this Master Chief's blood?!
---
Kleenex...at work!
HaRRicH | Posted 4/29/2009 8:01:21 AM | message detail
Halo's probably got this; all it needs is a little bit of an ASV-advantage over SW:KotOR and not blow it with GTA3...both of which should be easy enough given Halo's past trends, but are asking for a lot given Halo's reputation.
---
Prototype
Shorthand, do you speak it?!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/29/2009 8:02:23 AM | message detail
Ugh, that was brutal.

Come on, KotOR! All the kids are in school! No excuses for the next four hours!
---
I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/29/2009 8:03:15 AM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #018
Halo's probably got this; all it needs is a little bit of an ASV-advantage over SW:KotOR and not blow it with GTA3...both of which should be easy enough given Halo's past trends, but are asking for a lot given Halo's reputation.


If Halo finds a way to choke again after five years, it would absolutely make this contest.
---
I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
ZFS | Posted 4/29/2009 8:04:17 AM | message detail
Whoa, Diablo with a nice lead over everything. Need Halo rock the ASV and I'll have gotten this match right!

---
http://i44.tinypic.com/hwh4yo.gif
draarrowgant | Posted 4/29/2009 8:04:58 AM | message detail
Yeah- this is going to be one of the most enjoyable matches to watch all day of the first round, if not the entire tournament. Just for this the contest is saved!

well, maybe not... but fun day anyway.
---
**************************************
psn aarrowgant
knowltz | Posted 4/29/2009 8:05:29 AM | message detail
This entire contest is a joke. Most of the best games are getting voted out. Who are these RPG losers ? I mean I like RPG's as much as anyone else, but lets be realistic. GTA 3 & Halo are on the verge of elimination. I've lost all hope in gamefaqs.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/29/2009 8:06:47 AM | message detail
Not the best match for complaints. KotOR is almost universally acclaimed as one of the greatest games ever made.
---
I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
red sox 777 | Posted 4/29/2009 8:07:42 AM | message detail
If you people had CT/FFVII/OOT as your favorite 3 games like I do, you wouldn't need to complain!
---
Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/29/2009 8:10:16 AM | message detail
What a weird 20-minute stretch.

KotOR wins the ASV?(?!?!?!?!)
---
I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
Lopen | Posted 4/29/2009 8:27:46 AM | message detail
Halo is at the edge of what I'd consider its possible comeback capabilities. (vs D2 not KotoR obviously, that thing's gonna be trampled)

Start stallin you loser!
---
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
Lopen | Posted 4/29/2009 8:29:49 AM | message detail
Ooh, cutting works too.
---
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
draarrowgant | Posted 4/29/2009 8:34:09 AM | message detail
C'mon people- GameFax BGE is really like the MTV movie awards.... definately not the Academy Awards. The masses are voting, and the masses are definately skewed from a critics standpoint.

So all these games that are wonderful but intended for a particular audience are going to be blown out of the water by games that are accessible to all.

---
**************************************
psn aarrowgant
charmander6000 | Posted 4/29/2009 8:34:58 AM | message detail
Diablo II is currently getting 56% on GTA3.

Also it would take a miracle for Halo to come in first.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > Diablo II Points: 65/88
Smurf FAQs | Posted 4/29/2009 8:35:05 AM | message detail

From: Lopen | #027
Halo is at the edge of what I'd consider its possible comeback capabilities. (vs D2)


I'm glad to see you're as aware as ever of how contests work!

---
Smurf
60% of the time he's awesome every time.
Lopen | Posted 4/29/2009 8:51:22 AM | message detail
Of course, Smurf. What kinda loser would forget Halo's dominant ASV.
---
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
draarrowgant | Posted 4/29/2009 9:04:58 AM | message detail
We are only around 60,000 votes. Does everyone think Diablo still has this locked? I don't see the rest of the voting going so strong for the remainder of the day.

Then again- Diablo has a great pic. Maybe the kiddies will just vote for the cool pick if they haven't played the others (although hard to believe no kid hasn't played Halo #)


---
**************************************
psn aarrowgant
red sox 777 | Posted 4/29/2009 9:08:22 AM | message detail
Diablo is up 3000 votes in a 4-way. That should be beyond even Halo's ASV. I do think it'll make substantial cuts though- maybe 1000. No way does it catch up though, and even if it did, it'd have to deal wth rallying then (and I mean the kind of rallying Starcraft used against it, not just Albion rallying).
---
Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
charmander6000 | Posted 4/29/2009 9:27:30 AM | message detail
So does Fire Emblem survive Disgaea with Melee and Wind Waker in the poll?

I'm thinking no.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > Diablo II Points: 65/88
Darklurkr | Posted 4/29/2009 9:31:12 AM | message detail
If Halo doesn't at least place that's going to throw off ALOT of brackets from users.

I had Halo/Diablo 2, but I didn't think it would ever be this even. This is insane (Not complain insane, just results insane that there so evenly matched)
---
Dr.Mario is not a real doctor. Do not let him touch your genitals.
Smurf FAQs | Posted 4/29/2009 9:32:02 AM | message detail

From: Lopen | #032
Of course, Smurf. What kinda loser would forget Halo's dominant ASV.


my bad, if it was down 4 million votes halo would still come back to win right?
---
(\__/) Meet Ziggy,the Evil Bunny who wants to take over the world and eat the flesh of the weak.
(='.'=] Put Ziggy in your sig to support his cause.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/29/2009 9:32:09 AM | message detail
XD, nice sig.
---
I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
charmander6000 | Posted 4/29/2009 9:32:45 AM | message detail
I have Halo > Melee next round so right now I'm hoping that KotOR is really affecting it a lot.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > Diablo II Points: 65/88
Darklurkr | Posted 4/29/2009 9:33:29 AM | message detail
the only way halo has a chance is if people stop voting for GTA 3 flat.
---
Dr.Mario is not a real doctor. Do not let him touch your genitals.
charmander6000 | Posted 4/29/2009 9:34:22 AM | message detail
my bad, if it was down 4 million votes halo would still come back to win right?

I still remember people calling the match for Halo when Castlevania had a lead of 700 after the first hour.

Like Kingdom Hearts Halo's ASV is overrated, it's good, but not that good.
---
Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Halo > Diablo II Points: 65/88
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/29/2009 9:41:48 AM | message detail
So does Fire Emblem survive Disgaea with Melee and Wind Waker in the poll?

I'm thinking no.


I think not. You're talking about getting hit from the Nintendo side AND getting hit from the SRPG side.
---
"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
TheOceIot | Posted 4/29/2009 9:49:03 AM | message detail
*wakes up and sees KOTOR in 2nd*

Best match ever.
---
http://i130.photobucket.com/albums/p245/ThEVeGSaVaGe/fliegetn0.gif
Currently Playing: Deus Ex, Suikoden Tierkreis, GTA: Chinatown Wars
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/29/2009 9:52:17 AM | message detail
Interesting, KOTOR is still gaining.
---
http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v410/RyanSaotome/threesome.gif
The Mana Sword | Posted 4/29/2009 9:52:49 AM | message detail
What exactly is interesting about that.
---
Kleenex...at work!
creativename | Posted 4/29/2009 9:54:02 AM | message detail
Cool, surprised to see Star Wars in 2nd.

This match's outcome was pretty much locked a half an hour into the poll, but Halo will only beat Star Wars by like a 1000 votes. Yet another (expected by many - should've been expected by more!) humiliation in an endless string of them.

Let's see how Halo 2 and 3 continue the string.
---
gamefaqscontests.com
gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/29/2009 9:58:56 AM | message detail
If KotOR holds on, I think it might go down as the most incredible upset ever. Even in cases like Pac-Man/Ocelot and Chief/Sub-Zero, we could have at least come up with some viable reasons for the results. KotOR isn't new, and neither is Halo. KotOR was weak in 2004 and has had absolutely, positively no reason to get any stronger. Hell, it's even got another RPG to contend with in Diablo II (although that's quite the stretch).

The only thing anywhere near this level of bafflement (that I can think of) is Magus/Knuckles, and even that had more legit reasoning behind it than this one would.
---
I, like clockwork, have been humiliated by hochiminh
Hochiminh is better than me. I was a numbskull for thinking I could defy Him.
XIII_rocks | Posted 4/29/2009 10:02:56 AM | message detail
Magus/Knuckles had no legit reasoning behind it. That's just statheads trying to rationalise. Is and always will be the biggest upset ever - certainly nothing in this format can ever top it, since it is much more conducive to upsets.
---
Justice for FD
"This topic is now about Renee Walker aka Rack Bauer." - LostHisHardcore http://i39.tinypic.com/2ps1s76.jpg
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/29/2009 10:02:58 AM | message detail
CS&D POLL: Starcraft vs. Diablo 2
---
Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
XIII_rocks | Posted 4/29/2009 10:04:05 AM | message detail
And in all honesty, GTA3 has more chance of finishing second than KoTOR >_>

Well not quite, but not far off
---
Justice for FD
"This topic is now about Renee Walker aka Rack Bauer." - LostHisHardcore http://i39.tinypic.com/2ps1s76.jpg