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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 693

WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 4/27/2009 9:17:19 PM | message detail
Why do FFVII and Cloud win all the time Link should win one of these days

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

~*Character Contest Histories (Thanks to Raven 2 for the info transfer)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the match pics*~
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Some Common Stat Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote, because the Zelda fanbase so clearly sided with him. However, take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make total sense. This has caused a few SFF jokes, with LordOfDabu's "Some Frivolous Factor" being the funniest of them.

X-Stats - Short form of Extrapolated Statistics, aka the mathematical "strength" of a contestant that can be determined based on their performance in any given matchup. See above for a detailed explanation of the x-stat process.

rSFF (Reverse Same Fanbase Factor): An unproven theory that states that an SFF match will feature the expected weaker character receiving more benefit from SFF than the stronger character. For example, all evidence supports Samus being indirectly stronger than Mario, yet Mario blew Samus away during their 2005 match. That's rSFF in action, and the one case we have of the weaker statistical character winning with it.

For other information, surf the contest sites a bit. They have everything.
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http://i77.photobucket.com/albums/j69/War13104/CenaJFrog.gif
hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI
M_e_g_a_6_4 | Posted 4/27/2009 9:19:44 PM | message detail
Probably my last post in one of these topics under this name.

Hahaha
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http://gamebros.smackjeeves.com/
http://l33trappacat.smackjeeves.com/
UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/27/2009 9:32:45 PM | message detail
tagggggalicousous

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Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Lunar 2, Devil May Cry 3
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 9:42:16 PM | message detail
c'mon vice city
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png
Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/27/2009 9:42:16 PM | message detail
Nobody cares about Niko/Kefka though I don't remember the end result being close.
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: FFX > MGS2 - Points: 55/80 Vote: MGS2
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 9:43:38 PM | message detail
Diablo 2 > GTA3 in 2 days

lets do it
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png
Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
red sox 777 | Posted 4/27/2009 9:44:06 PM | message detail
That's because Kefka pulled his standard choke job with the day vote.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/27/2009 9:44:28 PM | message detail
Tag
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 4/27/2009 9:45:04 PM | message detail
METROID ALWAYS WINS CLOSE MATCHES!!!

It's happened twice before, y'know?
KingBartz | Posted 4/27/2009 9:45:17 PM | message detail
did i certainly miss a suicide?
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Check out my Guru bracket: http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=60
Gr8CyberMonkey | Posted 4/27/2009 9:45:31 PM | message detail
stallll
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The question to everyone's answer.
charmander6000 | Posted 4/27/2009 9:45:43 PM | message detail
Just die MP.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: KH > GTA: VC Points: 61/84
Master Moltar | Posted 4/27/2009 9:46:13 PM | message detail
woo Prime nullifying all that damage
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Moltar Status: ahh, there you are
Match 22 - Bracket: MP > KH - Vote: MP (62/84)
GrapefruitKing | Posted 4/27/2009 9:46:13 PM | message detail
the last hawaiian shirt is in captivity
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Today's prediction: Darkness 33.85% - Prime 29.00% - Hawaiian Shirt City 21.78% - Pepper Mario 15.37%
Status:
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 9:46:16 PM | message detail
good job mega, doing a suicide when people are too wrapped up in a close match to care
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png
Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
KingBartz | Posted 4/27/2009 9:48:36 PM | message detail
wow, undid all the damage in one update.
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Check out my Guru bracket: http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=60
charmander6000 | Posted 4/27/2009 9:49:02 PM | message detail
So who wants to see GTAIII > Diablo 2 tomorrow?
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: KH > GTA: VC Points: 61/84
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 9:49:26 PM | message detail

From: KingBartz | #016
wow, undid all the damage in one update.


This is still the power hour. The fact that VC is keeping it as close as it is, is just a good sign if you're a VC fan.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png
Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/27/2009 9:50:33 PM | message detail
Does anybody think this makes SM > MP possible again?

Or are GTA games still a force to be reckoned with?
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: FFX > MGS2 - Points: 55/80 Vote: MGS2
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 9:51:02 PM | message detail
I think Metroid the game just sucks overall in these things
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png
Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
charmander6000 | Posted 4/27/2009 9:51:11 PM | message detail
Vice City keeping alive.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: KH > GTA: VC Points: 61/84
eaglesarebeasts | Posted 4/27/2009 9:51:54 PM | message detail
So mega pretty much went out in the lamest/boringest way possible.
red sox 777 | Posted 4/27/2009 9:52:22 PM | message detail
When was SM > MP ever not possible?
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
Darklurkr | Posted 4/27/2009 9:53:36 PM | message detail
I can't believe Vice City is catching up to Metroid Prime.
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Dr.Mario is not a real doctor. Do not let him touch your genitals.
KingBartz | Posted 4/27/2009 10:00:51 PM | message detail
I can't believe Vice City is catching up to Metroid Prime.

I'd believe that if it were true.
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Check out my Guru bracket: http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=60
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 10:00:52 PM | message detail
Cut by VC to end the power hour

LEts do this
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http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png
Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
charmander6000 | Posted 4/27/2009 10:00:57 PM | message detail
Vice City needs to destroy the night vote for it to survive.

Good Luck.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: KH > GTA: VC Points: 61/84
GrapefruitKing | Posted 4/27/2009 10:02:15 PM | message detail
yep, let's see how long MP can survive
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Today's prediction: Darkness 33.85% - Prime 29.00% - Hawaiian Shirt City 21.78% - Pepper Mario 15.37%
Status:
Lopen | Posted 4/27/2009 10:04:10 PM | message detail
I'm not seeing trends as being big in this match for either competitor. My money's on Prime at the moment just because it happens to be in the lead right now. Their trends should be similar, with the exception of the Power Hour. Well, alright, I guess my money is on whoever wins this next hour.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
KingBartz | Posted 4/27/2009 10:04:41 PM | message detail
I expect to wake up tomorrow and see MP in second still
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Check out my Guru bracket: http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=60
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 10:05:34 PM | message detail
Thats a good way to start off the next hour.
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
KingBartz | Posted 4/27/2009 10:05:49 PM | message detail
maybe i spoke too soon...
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Check out my Guru bracket: http://www.thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=60
greatone10 | Posted 4/27/2009 10:06:43 PM | message detail
OH **** IT'S ON!
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
red sox 777 | Posted 4/27/2009 10:08:13 PM | message detail
Nice start to the night vote.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 10:08:16 PM | message detail
Knowing how we're past Metroids best time and GTAs worst time... I gotta say, I think VC is the favorite right now.
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/27/2009 10:08:18 PM | message detail
Anybody also know why Mega just randomly suicided?
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: FFX > MGS2 - Points: 55/80 Vote: MGS2
The n00b Avenger | Posted 4/27/2009 10:08:21 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
The n00b Avenger | Posted 4/27/2009 10:08:35 PM | message detail
And Samus once against puzzles me with how the hell she manages to be so popular as a character.

People must really.. REALLY love that suit.
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 10:08:43 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #036
Anybody also know why Mega just randomly suicided?


He was bored
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/27/2009 10:11:00 PM | message detail
I guess we underestimated how big SSB makes her.

But doesn't she have a different audience anyhow?
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: FFX > MGS2 - Points: 55/80 Vote: MGS2
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 10:11:29 PM | message detail
She has an older and hornier audience then a typical nintendo character.
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
greatone10 | Posted 4/27/2009 10:11:29 PM | message detail
And Metroid just gained everything back. What an odd match.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 10:12:17 PM | message detail
I still think that GTA should have a better ASV... Samus has never seemed to be that overwhelming with ASV, and alot of that ASV support was probably from SSB.
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
red sox 777 | Posted 4/27/2009 10:12:30 PM | message detail
Nah, we're not far out of the power hour yet. Metroid Prime will gradually sink for the next 3 hours before really plummeting past 4.
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Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests.
ffmasterjose | Posted 4/27/2009 10:12:34 PM | message detail
What a SLOBBERKNOCKER
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66/84 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Kingdom Hearts > Metroid Prime | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 10:13:16 PM | message detail
By the time we get to the Europe hours, GTA should be doing 15-20 vote gains each time.
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/27/2009 10:13:53 PM | message detail
Metroid should do good overnight, but I'm conflicted on who gets the day vote. VC will probably take Europe because lol europe, but both games have reason to do good with the ASV. I'll give the edge to VC though.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
ffmasterjose | Posted 4/27/2009 10:14:21 PM | message detail
I still think that GTA should have a better ASV... Samus has never seemed to be that overwhelming with ASV, and alot of that ASV support was probably from SSB.

Of course, there's Kingdom Hearts in the match too. And we all know how good KH has been with the ASV. Most of it's going to be sucked up by the DARKNESS

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66/84 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Kingdom Hearts > Metroid Prime | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/27/2009 10:15:32 PM | message detail
and GTA takes it all back again

lol wut
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
ffmasterjose | Posted 4/27/2009 10:16:12 PM | message detail
And GTA cuts back to where it was before. lol wut
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66/84 points - The Best. Game. Ever 2009 Contest
NP: Kingdom Hearts > Metroid Prime | http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=4