GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 685
| Dilated Chemist | Posted 4/22/2009 5:23:03 AM | message detail |
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Looks like everyone went with high 40s, low 50s for CT in the Oracle Challenge. I went with 55% Highest prediction for it, I believe. =) --- [ FINAL FOUR ] FFVII / SMB3 / LoZ: OoT / MGS http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=161 |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/22/2009 5:24:24 AM | message detail |
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I don't even remember what I had, but it's aroudn 55/56% --- *is Dranze* BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI |
| Dilated Chemist | Posted 4/22/2009 5:24:50 AM | message detail |
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BTW, how are you guys coming up with these % on games 1-on-1. For example, how'd you figure out CT would get 78% on EB? I'm bad at math. >,> --- [ FINAL FOUR ] FFVII / SMB3 / LoZ: OoT / MGS http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=161 |
| Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/22/2009 5:24:54 AM | message detail |
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I told you guys CTDS was going to create a massive boost. What, you're gloating since CT's looking good what the Europe vote? I still think that it's more to do with CT's competition absolutely sucking. After all, everybody instantly thought Altair was midcarder level after dominating his round 1 matchup. Whoops!!! --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
| red sox 777 | Posted 4/22/2009 5:25:32 AM | message detail |
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By the way, CT is projected to get 77.89% on Earthbound according to
the 2004 stats. It's currently at 78.25% and rising. Doesn't mean very
much, but nice to see regardless. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
| Dilated Chemist | Posted 4/22/2009 5:26:20 AM | message detail |
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My Oracle Prediction: CT - 55% EB - 15% Lufia II - 4% YI - 26% --- [ FINAL FOUR ] FFVII / SMB3 / LoZ: OoT / MGS http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=161 |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/22/2009 5:26:43 AM | message detail |
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04:00 | 59.80% | 14.19% | 04.77% | 21.24% 05:00 | 59.56% | 14.37% | 05.18% | 20.89% 06:00 | 58.53% | 12.45% | 05.95% | 23.07% 07:00 | 56.84% | 13.58% | 04.14% | 25.44% 08:00 | 56.63% | 13.34% | 04.08% | 25.95% Nothing out of the ordinary. It lost ground but not a lot. --- *is Dranze* BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 4/22/2009 5:33:36 AM | message detail |
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Well, that wasn't quite what I expected to see when I woke up. CT
rising all the way up to 57% percent overnight, Earthbound dying, Lufia
rising a bit, and Yoshi's Island staying constant. YI is at 58.79% on Earthbound now, so it's ahead of what Doom got now, at least. --- http://www.court-records.net/animation/phoenix-superobjection.gif |
| red sox 777 | Posted 4/22/2009 5:33:51 AM | message detail |
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The gloating is only semi-serious, people. Just like the CT > LTTP
hype is not very serious. But yes, for CT to even be at 2004 levels
requires a moderate to large boost from CTDS (what I was told in this
topic was a very large boost, though I'd reserve that for stuff like
Snake 2k6 and New Square 2k3 myself). As for the 1v1 percentages, we're just ignore 2 of the games' votes, and find one of the remaining games' percentage of the votes between it and the other. It's not really an entirely accurate system, I think, and tends to make the game with fewer votes look better than it would in a real 1v1, if Morgoth's theory is to be believed. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
| -LusterSoldier- | Posted 4/22/2009 5:34:18 AM | message detail |
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Looks like CTDS may have patched up the Europe vote, although a poll
with two SNES RPGs and a third tier Nintendo game may not be much
competition though. CT is remaining fairly steady with the European vote. Though, Earthbound is going down big time since the game was never released in Europe. Hell, even Lufia was released in Europe (according to GameFAQs) though it is dropping slowly during this time period. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but still not as cool as FastFalcon05, Guru Champ! |
| transience | Posted 4/22/2009 5:34:49 AM | message detail |
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ha, looks like spin zone up in here. CT goes even during the day vote
and doesn't get killed in Europe and you give no credit. whoops~! --- xyzzy http://img6.imageshack.us/img6/7033/trannyanalysis.png |
| Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/22/2009 5:40:02 AM | message detail |
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ha, looks like spin zone up in here. CT goes even during the day
vote and doesn't get killed in Europe and you give no credit. whoops~! Hey, at least I'm not judging CT off of weak-ass competition. Seriously, two obscure RPGs and a Yoshi game struggling with frigging EARTHBOUND? --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
| MetricTrout | Posted 4/22/2009 5:42:38 AM | message detail |
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Wow, Chrono Trigger is really kicking ass here. --- http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147 |
| red sox 777 | Posted 4/22/2009 5:45:05 AM | message detail |
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That Yoshi game isn't struggling with Earthbound anymore, and will
probably end up over 60% relative to it. And yes, you can't say
anything definitive from ths competition, but that doesn't mean you can
say nothing at all- and CT looks very good right now, better than any
of its characters have looked in about 5 years. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
| Childproof | Posted 4/22/2009 5:46:55 AM | message detail |
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whoa... didn't expect to see Chrono Trigger over 55 when I woke up so... *buries oracle prediction* --- Is GrapefruitKing Today's prediction: Crono 48.65% - waaah! waaah! 31.50% - fuzzy pickles 14.60% - Lufia II 5.25% Status: crap. |
| MetricTrout | Posted 4/22/2009 5:49:09 AM | message detail |
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Rank these Mario games in a 4-way format: Super Mario Bros. 2 Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island Mario Party Paper Mario Mario & Luigi: Superstar Saga Luigi's Mansion Super Mario Sunshine Mario Kart DS New Super Mario Bros. Mario Kart Wii --- http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=147 |
| transience | Posted 4/22/2009 5:52:48 AM | message detail |
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before the match: "it's a Mario game, franchise voting" after Yoshi's Island bombs: "it's a Yoshi game, you can't take anything from it!" my head is spinning out of control --- xyzzy http://img.imgcake.com//chewing.jpg |
| red sox 777 | Posted 4/22/2009 6:02:32 AM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| red sox 777 | Posted 4/22/2009 6:05:28 AM | message detail |
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I went with 55% Highest prediction for it, I believe. =) I had 55.5%, but I think I saw a 56% prediction. CT still has the hurdle of the ASV to get through, so right now I'd say it probably finishes around 56%. But maybe it will gain during the ASV- that would be pretty incredible. --- Link he come to town to win the Gamefaqs Contests. |
| Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/22/2009 6:06:51 AM | message detail |
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And that just proves what we already know - that CT's competition is ass. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 4/22/2009 6:09:34 AM | message detail |
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Holy Chrono Trigger. --- No matter what, no matter how, I know I'll make it through somehow. http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/Saturn.gif |
| charmander6000 | Posted 4/22/2009 6:16:37 AM | message detail |
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*Wakes up* Did Chrono Trigger go up during the dead zone? --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: Chrono Trigger > SMW2: YI Points: 45/60 |
| MnMZero | Posted 4/22/2009 6:34:47 AM | message detail |
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Chrono Trigger kicking some ass. And Earthbound's fanbase holding up relatively well. Damn you Ness. Yoshi's Island isn't doing too bad. I didn't expect it to give Chrono Trigger a run for its money or anything near that. I just expected it to easily beat Earthboud. Earthbound held up though. And really, it's not fair to try to compare SMW2 to SMB3, SMB1, or SMW or SM64. Those games were all system pushers and/or incredibly hyped. SMW2 was just another good game released at the SNES's peak when tons of good games were being released. It wasn't going to be nearly as popular as those other games by default. I'd like to see how SMW2 does against Sonic 2 or MMX though. That would have been a good matchup to see how it holds up as a "Mario" game. --- Proud Supporter of Zero |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 4/22/2009 6:40:18 AM | message detail |
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So who wants to start the "Chrono Trigger gets to the finals therefore handing Ocarina of Time the win" hype train !! --- I've been waiting for this moment all my life - it's my destiny. http://64.81.113.250/a-kon-12/000177.jpg |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/22/2009 6:47:42 AM | message detail |
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From: MnMZero | #423 I'd easily take MMX, but Sonic 2.. not so sure even if it appears stronger. --- *is Dranze* BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/22/2009 6:48:00 AM | message detail |
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Actually I have no idea anymore. --- *is Dranze* BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI |
| Master Moltar | Posted 4/22/2009 7:05:46 AM | message detail |
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Wow CT, I'm seriously impressed by this! Then again, we (or at least I)
overestimated Mario World 2 after FF6/LA. It's looking to at least end
above 55%, and that's good stuff. Shouldn't take too much from this match though. What it gets against SM64 should be much more telling. --- Moltar Status: you can't hide forever Match 16 - Bracket: CT > SMW2 - Vote: Earthbound (46/60) |
| Ultimaphazon | Posted 4/22/2009 7:20:10 AM | message detail |
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So who wants to start the "Chrono Trigger gets to the finals therefore handing Ocarina of Time the win" hype train !! More like CT winning the entire contest. --- A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII |
| charmander6000 | Posted 4/22/2009 7:30:00 AM | message detail |
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Fun Stats: Using Doom and Earthbound; SMW2 defeats DKC2 55/45 and LttP defeats CT 52/48. --- Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls BGE2 - Today's Match: Chrono Trigger > SMW2: YI Points: 45/60 |
| Big Bob | Posted 4/22/2009 7:34:39 AM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| draarrowgant | Posted 4/22/2009 7:47:02 AM | message detail |
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And really, it's not fair to try to compare SMW2 to SMB3, SMB1, or
SMW or SM64. Those games were all system pushers and/or incredibly
hyped. SMW2 was just another good game released at the SNES's peak when
tons of good games were being released. It wasn't going to be nearly as
popular as those other games by default. I'd like to see how SMW2 does against Sonic 2 or MMX though. That would have been a good matchup to see how it holds up as a "Mario" game. You could do that... or how about throw it up against a game like Chrono Trigger or (insert decent FF game)? I think this is pretty telling of how well it holds up. So... surprisingly well considering it was as you said just "another good game" with Mario in it. What I would like to see is how well a game like Mario paint would hold up... that would be fun! FUZZY PICKLES --- ************************************** psn aarrowgant |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/22/2009 7:57:33 AM | message detail |
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| MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/22/2009 7:59:05 AM | message detail |
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I hate how Paper Mario will be the only Mario game NOT advancing.
That's so unfair considering it's the only N64 game in its division. Paper Mario rSFFs Metroid Prime and sticks out to Round 3. Believe. --- *is Dranze* BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 4/22/2009 7:59:47 AM | message detail |
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Hooooooooly crap, CT. 57%? I'm ever so hesitant to say that it looks
impressive enough to take down LttP (just questions about its
competition in general), but suffice to say I didn't think it would be
scoring this here. --- turnturnturn your brain in turnturnturn your brain in |
| jackdwolfwood | Posted 4/22/2009 8:13:49 AM | message detail |
| Why is SMW2 doing so well? That game took 1 day to beat and thankfully so. Baby Mario crying might possibly be the most annoying sound ever created in a video game. I thought a cult rpg like EB would thrive on here. |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/22/2009 8:19:23 AM | message detail |
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aww yeah CT finally has a Europe vote --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/22/2009 8:20:24 AM | message detail |
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http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=3461&sort=time&type=DESC&num=2 Remember when we said 2004 CT would be scoring 78% on Earthbound? --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 4/22/2009 8:45:47 AM | message detail |
| Nice, CT. Looks like it'll hit my optimistic
oracle of 56% pretty easily. EB looks like it has PWish trends and
Lufia II just sucks, so CT only has to compete with YI in the day. It
should definitely stay above 56%, good job. --- Mustache...and Green... http://backloggery.com/rpguy96 |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/22/2009 8:51:54 AM | message detail |
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You know, as far as we know, CT might go up in the ASV. Did anyone expect it to not lose percentage in the Europe vote, afterall? --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft |
| Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/22/2009 9:21:19 AM | message detail |
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| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/22/2009 9:22:19 AM | message detail |
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Crono has NEVER done even in the europe vote Regardless of the 4-pack, this is impressive new Europe vote. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft |
| Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/22/2009 9:25:39 AM | message detail |
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But I say we should wait until CT actually has, ya know, real competition before saying anything. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/22/2009 9:26:22 AM | message detail |
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Trends are trends, regardless of competition. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/22/2009 9:34:31 AM | message detail |
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Yeah, winning the day vote against games nobody cares about means you have a good day vote. --- *is Dranze* BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/22/2009 9:36:43 AM | message detail |
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From: MarioSuperstar | #444 In terms of percentage, it matters. Crono in 2008 for instance lost 1.5% from the europe vote against ammy, frank west, and kaim hardly good competition... this is probably better today. So to say his trends aren't looking better just because of the competition is dumb imho --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/22/2009 9:37:58 AM | message detail |
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If I remember, CT didn't have the same trends Crono did to the exact degree, did it? --- *is Dranze* BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/22/2009 9:39:40 AM | message detail |
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From: MarioSuperstar | #446 http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=1637&type=2&seconds=60&max=0 seems pretty similiar to me --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft |
| Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/22/2009 9:45:16 AM | message detail |
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In terms of percentage, it matters. Crono in 2008 for instance lost 1.5% from the europe vote against ammy, frank west, and kaim hardly good competition... this is probably better today. So to say his trends aren't looking better just because of the competition is dumb imho And what you're saying is equally stupid. --- "Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia |
| MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/22/2009 9:46:04 AM | message detail |
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From: Fayt_Esteed | #448 great reasoning to back up your claim --- http://card.mygamercard.net/geothermal/blue/Albion+Hero.png Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/22/2009 9:46:59 AM | message detail |
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That was when the poll started at 3AM. Though if you're referencing CT going up during the dead hours (3AM to 5AM), I don't really find that impressive as of yet. --- *is Dranze* BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI |
