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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 685

Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/21/2009 9:32:05 PM | message detail
I'm surprised that Earthbound's doing so well, but that's probably Yoshi's Island sucking.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/21/2009 9:32:07 PM | message detail
EB looking to cut YI before the Power Hour ends. That's just sad, I'm sorry.

At least we know know that not all of LA's strength came from franchise voting.

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:32:19 PM | message detail
What would you guys predict FF7 to get in this match if it took CTs spot?
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
Childproof | Posted 4/21/2009 9:32:39 PM | message detail
YI = one of the biggest disappointments of the contest
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Is GrapefruitKing
Today's prediction: Crono 48.65% - waaah! waaah! 31.50% - fuzzy pickles 14.60% - Lufia II 5.25% Status:
The n00b Avenger | Posted 4/21/2009 9:32:40 PM | message detail
FF7 managed to increase about 3.5% from the end of its board vote to the end of the power hour.

CT managed to that in half the time so far. The heck
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
LeonhartFour | Posted 4/21/2009 9:32:47 PM | message detail
If it were FFVII, it'd clear 60% easily, I'd think. How much beyond that, I don't know.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:33:02 PM | message detail

From: transience | #199
EB should be a night vote god, I would think. I know it's Nintendo but I don't think it matters - it's not like other Nintendo stuff.


If Ness is any indication, it drops off hard after power hour, and Ness let Zidane do like 3% better then him during Europe hours
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
greatone10 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:33:08 PM | message detail
I think CT's total domination is directly causing YI to not pull away from Earthbound. This is scary strength here.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
Janus5000 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:33:30 PM | message detail
I seriously did a double take at that one. This is the most interested I've been in a blowout (at least as far as 1st > 2nd is concerned) in a long time.
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Stay a while and breathe me in.
ZFS | Posted 4/21/2009 9:33:45 PM | message detail
Who knows, but FFVII would be killing this poll hard right now, probably around 65%. Yoshi's Island fodder zone.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 4/21/2009 9:33:48 PM | message detail
Ness runs on Smash Bros. EB doesn't.

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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:33:49 PM | message detail
And that's Ness being purely on Smash support. Earthbound has even less exposure in Europe than Chrono Trigger!
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hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI
RPGuy96 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:33:57 PM | message detail
Well, the Power Hour is traditionally Crono's best time, and FFVII's worst. And apparently YI has a really good board vote for some reason (come on guys, BRACKETS are dead).
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/21/2009 9:34:10 PM | message detail
Okay, red sox don't go crazy just yet. I'm pretty sure the consensus is YI sucking now. This match, imo, says nothing about CT so far because it's going by expected at least in my terms: YI barely being above EB.
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI
PegasusLover123 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:34:42 PM | message detail
Are saying that CT wasn't as strong as this before?

Is it performing greater than expected unlike Yoshi's Island?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:34:55 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #211
Ness runs on Smash Bros. EB doesn't.


It would be even worse without the Smash Bros support from Europe, then.
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
__hiei__ | Posted 4/21/2009 9:35:01 PM | message detail
I think CT is stronger than LTTP,but it'd need to be like FF7 strength to have a hope of beating LTTP with all the SFF in that match,so yeah...
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:35:48 PM | message detail
Chrono Trigger's fall to 40% begins
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hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/21/2009 9:35:55 PM | message detail
Keep it up EB. You may not be able to win but at least prove this match wasn't easy!
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/21/2009 9:36:17 PM | message detail
Europe, yeah, but EB isn't going to drop off after the PH. It'll rise.

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/21/2009 9:36:27 PM | message detail
Aww, CT is mortal.

And hey, it took eight damned tries, but Yoshi's Island is the first entrant so far from Nintendo's two biggest series to drop the ball.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 4/21/2009 9:36:40 PM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | SOTN | Kirby S.S. | Resi. Evil | Mario 64 | Demographic
EBV | 24.31% | 14.71% | 17.07% | 43.90% | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 23.82% | 13.64% | 18.48% | 44.07% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 24.81% | 10.51% | 21.92% | 42.76% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 22.75% | 9.89% | 22.09% | 45.26% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 24.20% | 9.78% | 21.49% | 44.53% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 20.73% | 11.75% | 19.51% | 48.01% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 23.63% | 12.15% | 19.90% | 44.32% | (22:00-24:00)

SOTN will a good night vote as usual and does well with the during school hours as well. It took a big hit during the ASV, as expected. Kirby Super Star, like Star Fox 64, was almost all Board Vote and Power Hour. Resident Evil had a bad Power Hour but did better until the ASV rolled around. Mario 64 destroyed everything with the ASV here.

Yesterday's stats:

Super Mario 64 – 50.00%
Symphony of the Night – 33.52%
Resident Evil – 31.19%
Kirby Super Star – 19.57%
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Childproof | Posted 4/21/2009 9:36:44 PM | message detail
there hasn't been enough talk about Lufia II in this topic



so... uuh...


....
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Is GrapefruitKing
Today's prediction: Crono 48.65% - waaah! waaah! 31.50% - fuzzy pickles 14.60% - Lufia II 5.25% Status:
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:36:46 PM | message detail

From: MarioSuperstar | #219
Keep it up EB. You may not be able to win but at least prove this match wasn't easy!


if it loses by 1000 or more it woulda been a lock according to bacon!
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
HaRRicH | Posted 4/21/2009 9:36:52 PM | message detail
Let's ask what Leonhart asked earlier again: Doom or SMW2:YI, who ya got?
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Prototype
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:37:41 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #225
Let's ask what Leonhart asked earlier again: Doom or SMW2:YI, who ya got?


YI
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/21/2009 9:37:46 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #225
Let's ask what Leonhart asked earlier again: Doom or SMW2:YI, who ya got?


MARIO
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/21/2009 9:37:52 PM | message detail
YI is barely beating EB when EB has two other SNES RPGs to contend with.

Doom couldn't beat DKC with LTTP in the poll.

Tough choice.

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/21/2009 9:38:19 PM | message detail
I don't know how to feel about the RE series having the worst Power Hour this side of FFVII.

I'll just feel proud for some reason.
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Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
red sox 777 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:38:20 PM | message detail
CT finally takes a breather.

See people, CTDS did much more than just stem the bleeding; it reversed it.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 4/21/2009 9:38:26 PM | message detail
Does anyone have graph of the EB/Doom match trends?

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LeonhartFour | Posted 4/21/2009 9:38:36 PM | message detail
I'll still take Yoshi's Island. Despite how bad it's looking, Doom sucked pretty badly, too.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:38:36 PM | message detail
Yoshi's Island. Doom's fallen off since 2k4, and, well, it's a Mario game vs. an ancient FPS.

Now, Doom 2k4 vs. YI, that'd be a tougher one.
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hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:39:11 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #231
Does anyone have graph of the EB/Doom match trends?


I don't think we had poll results and graphs at that point of the games contest
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 4/21/2009 9:39:40 PM | message detail
I still don't see how it will be FFVII > LttP instead of vice versa ... I didn't even think about that one and and i strongly believe LttP will pull first in that poll .. Am i underestimating FFVII here or overestimating LttP?

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Awaiting Final Fantasy XIII
creativename | Posted 4/21/2009 9:40:01 PM | message detail
So Yoshi's Island is indeed a flop. Won't have any trouble beating EB but that's saying nothing.

Match doesn't really tell us anything about how much Chrono Trigger's dropped, since EB has probably dropped as well and YI is unknown.
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Save_Us.RAT
BREAK THE BLOCK DOWN
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/21/2009 9:40:07 PM | message detail
Which is why I asked. TRE's pulled some mojo before, I wouldn't put it past him to pull a graph out of thin air somehow!

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:40:15 PM | message detail

From: ExquisiteSamurai | #235
I still don't see how it will be FFVII > LttP instead of vice versa ... I didn't even think about that one and and i strongly believe LttP will pull first in that poll .. Am i underestimating FFVII here or overestimating LttP?


overestimating lttp. FF7 won't let anything sff it enough to lose to lttp
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
RPGuy96 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:40:35 PM | message detail
Yoshi's Island can probably recover to the point where it beats Doom's percentage on EB (EB's probably frontloaded and what else could possibly win the ASV), but I guess we'll see. It looks pretty awful at present.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:40:38 PM | message detail
aww yeah that a boy earthbound
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
LeonhartFour | Posted 4/21/2009 9:41:06 PM | message detail
Right now, CT has 74% on Earthbound. For what it's worth, it's supposed to get nearly 78%.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 4/21/2009 9:41:12 PM | message detail
This is pretty crazy actually, now that I think about it. I would've probably taken YI > EB if Super Mario 64 was in the match. To falter so hard when the top tier entry in the match is more likely to take away from EARTHBOUND as much as anything else... EB's got to have more strength than some (*cough*) gave it credit for, but it's kinda sad to see YI choke like this.
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Childproof | Posted 4/21/2009 9:41:16 PM | message detail
frickin' miracle, Yoshi's Island went UP in percentage
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Is GrapefruitKing
Today's prediction: Crono 48.65% - waaah! waaah! 31.50% - fuzzy pickles 14.60% - Lufia II 5.25% Status: crap.
Sonic_Factor | Posted 4/21/2009 9:41:29 PM | message detail
I'm wondering if CT will plummet with the morning/afternoon vote like Crono does.. Crono has been known to drop nearly 6% in those times.. like 9% against Master Chief.
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Fayt_Esteed | Posted 4/21/2009 9:41:49 PM | message detail
lol Yoshi's Island. For a game that's part of one of Nintendo's biggest series, it's doing pretty damn bad.
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"Here I go! Divine judgment for an evil soul! Sacred Penance! Rest in peace." - Estellise Sidos Heurassein, Tales of Vesperia
FastFalcon05 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:41:51 PM | message detail
Now granted I"m not going to be the most mature person when it comes to Yoshi's Island, since it was my pick to get in this contest, but why don't we wait until the day vote and after school vote before declaring it a failure. Chrono Trigger should be impressing here, it's always been a god at night; this isn't surprising.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:41:53 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #241
Right now, CT has 74% on Earthbound. For what it's worth, it's supposed to get nearly 78%.


It'll get 80% eaisly once the match is done imho. I see Earthbound finishing about 15% here after the dreadful night it should have
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
greatone10 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:42:09 PM | message detail
Here's an obvious solution. Lower votals favor which of the three entrants of note in this match?
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
LeonhartFour | Posted 4/21/2009 9:42:10 PM | message detail
And yeah, Yoshi's Island has GOT to win the day vote, so it'll look better than this by the end...right?

...Right?
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/21/2009 9:42:27 PM | message detail
FastFalcon, this is the power hour.
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI