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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 685

greatone10 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:20:51 PM | message detail
I really wouldn't say FF6 tanked. MMX and LA are both wildcards and have reasons to do good.
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 4/21/2009 9:20:54 PM | message detail
This is a GREAT performance by Chrono Trigger. Between it and EB doing so well, I can't complain about this match at all no matter who gets second place. And even then, I spent nearly 4 years writing a guide for Yoshi's Island. And from what I've heard, I'd love Lufia 2.

Long story short, my favorite poll so far regardless of results. That's what contests are all about.
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Now Playing: Etrian Odyssey 2, Lunar 2, Devil May Cry 3
charmander6000 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:20:54 PM | message detail
Well at least YI is stopping the bleeding.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Chrono Trigger > SMW2: YI Points: 45/60
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/21/2009 9:21:19 PM | message detail
Chrono Trigger: OM NOM NOM PERCENTAGE AGAIN
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/21/2009 9:21:40 PM | message detail
Holy Chrono Trigger

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Childproof | Posted 4/21/2009 9:22:23 PM | message detail
so....
Chrono Trigger > FFVII

book it
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Is GrapefruitKing
Today's prediction: Crono 48.65% - waaah! waaah! 31.50% - fuzzy pickles 14.60% - Lufia II 5.25% Status:
ZFS | Posted 4/21/2009 9:22:29 PM | message detail
I really wouldn't say FF6 tanked. MMX and LA are both wildcards and have reasons to do good.

I wouldn't say it tanked necessarily, but it's hard to argue that it hasn't dropped since 2k4. 40% on LA and MMX doesn't scream the same 47% it put on LTTP, at least not to me. We'll have to see how it holds up against LTTP later on.

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RPGuy96 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:22:32 PM | message detail
Agreed with HM - YI looks worse than 2k4 Doom at the moment wrt EarthBound, but at least CT is grabbing a good percentage and steadily increasing, unlike little brother FFVI. I'm going to wait a while before making any observations about SM64/CT with FFVII in the match, but right now I don't think CT has much to worry about.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/21/2009 9:22:44 PM | message detail
I have a hard time taking anything from that FF6 match. Both MMX and LA were unknowns with reason to be decently strong. It definitely isn't at 2004 levels, but it should still be the fourth strongest SNES game.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:23:24 PM | message detail
so um

CT actually did worse with the board vote for once?
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
LeonhartFour | Posted 4/21/2009 9:23:31 PM | message detail
With the complete and utter lack of LFF we've seen for most of the contest so far, I don't think CT has much to worry about anyway.
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red sox 777 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:23:45 PM | message detail
CTDS has transformed CT into FFVII obviously. But in any case, its competition is really really frontloaded.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 4/21/2009 9:24:00 PM | message detail
so um

CT actually did worse with the board vote for once?


Obvious first place finishers tend to do badly with the board vote. It's been happening for three contests now.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/21/2009 9:24:25 PM | message detail
Obvious favourite, 2 board favourites and an obscure piece of crap to soak up Board interest etc. It will be back to having a killer board vote next round and especially in round 3.
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Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy. -trancer1
MetricTrout | Posted 4/21/2009 9:24:32 PM | message detail
Chrono Trigger looks pretty good here. Should finish at around 50%.

Wow, is Yoshi's Island weak.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 4/21/2009 9:24:35 PM | message detail
CT apparently not weakening is a big shocker. At least to me.

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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 4/21/2009 9:25:05 PM | message detail
CT's morning vote won't be nearly as bad with the DS remake, and the competition here.

It should have a bad morning vote, but shouldn't be as bad had there been no DS remake. SMRPG did bad in Europe despite a VC release.

Given CT's weak competition, the Geolocation stats on this match might not be that accurate of how much CTDS has improved CT's European vote. The later round CT matches would be more accurate here.
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ZFS | Posted 4/21/2009 9:25:07 PM | message detail
Yeah, CT shouldn't have too much to worry about in round 3.

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RPGuy96 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:25:18 PM | message detail
I really wouldn't say FF6 tanked. MMX and LA are both wildcards and have reasons to do good.

I would. 56.1% on Link's Awakening is a far cry from 47.3% on LttP. FFVI and 007 are by far the two most disappointing games of the contest for me, because I thought both would be top ten or higher and I don't think either is now.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:25:36 PM | message detail
good god ct
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:25:54 PM | message detail
....Trigger was really hurt by being the favorite. Holy damn.
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hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI
charmander6000 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:25:57 PM | message detail
Okay Earthbound drop like 3% and give it to YI and we'll be good for this match.
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Board 8 BOP: http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/BGE2%20BOP.xls
BGE2 - Today's Match: Chrono Trigger > SMW2: YI Points: 45/60
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/21/2009 9:26:01 PM | message detail
CT has gone up by .5% for three updates in a row now.

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greatone10 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:26:18 PM | message detail
The fact that LFF has yet to play a major role in matches may help CT in Round 4. Could CT pull off the near impossible?
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Donkey Kong Country 2's path to Best Game Ever '09.
Not even 10%? What is wrong with you people? At least SMRPG and Goldeneye moved on.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/21/2009 9:26:19 PM | message detail
Strangely enough, the only thing that suffers here is my bracket.

My oracle and spread are on point!
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*is Dranze*
BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI
__hiei__ | Posted 4/21/2009 9:26:23 PM | message detail
it was pretty obvious that CT would have boosted in general

Crono went from losing by 2000+ votes to Vincent to beating him the next year.
ZFS | Posted 4/21/2009 9:26:29 PM | message detail
ffvii/ct final watch out

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LeonhartFour | Posted 4/21/2009 9:26:45 PM | message detail
CT keeps movin' on up. It's getting a higher percentage of the votes every update.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:26:49 PM | message detail
and the scary thing is, it should getting more % of each update once we're out of the power hour...
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:27:25 PM | message detail

From: greatone10 | #174
The fact that LFF has yet to play a major role in matches may help CT in Round 4. Could CT pull off the near impossible?


If anyone could, its CT. And even if it can't on its own strength, the CT supporters will "Rally' to make sure it does!
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
red sox 777 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:27:59 PM | message detail
Not only that, but CT has never been all that great with the board vote. Crono lost it to Mario every time but 2004 I think, and really more often than not, the trend has been for it to rise through the first hour and a half of the poll or so, then level off, and then start dropping. It's never risen like this though. This is......this is faster than FFVII rose 2 days ago.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:28:18 PM | message detail
LttP > CT (> FFVII > FFVI) in round 4 believe
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hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI
ZFS | Posted 4/21/2009 9:28:27 PM | message detail
Crono went from losing by 2000+ votes to Vincent to beating him the next year.

Aside from the shenanigans Crono had to pull to win that one, Link being removed from the poll probably helped that more than anything.

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Janus5000 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:28:49 PM | message detail
Chrono Trigger... impressing? what in the
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Sonic_Factor | Posted 4/21/2009 9:29:44 PM | message detail
Wow, what does this mean for the potential match of...

ff7
ff6
CT
LttP


CT is resistant to Square SFF somewhat.. and takes some nintendo votes in.
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He's the Lion with a fire tail from Final Fantasy VII.
RPGuy96 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:29:45 PM | message detail
Nah, LttP is definitely stronger than CT nowadays, and even if there isn't much LFF there it would still be enough to swing the 400 votes or whatever it was last time. I've pretty much given up on LttP > FFVII, though, both because we haven't seen much LFF (certainly not where it hurts the stronger game, at least), and because I don't think FFVI is strong enough now to hold back FFVII as much as it needs to.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:30:03 PM | message detail
Man this is getting me so hyped

I was really worried CT would have gotten a lot weaker since last contest
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:30:25 PM | message detail
.....what the HELL was that?
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hey look i'm war and i'm stupid - WVI
transience | Posted 4/21/2009 9:30:34 PM | message detail
CT looks good, but I want to see it come the morning. I don't expect it to finish above whatever percentage it stabilizes at.

Yoshi's Island looks pretty bad. really bad, in fact.
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xyzzy
http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg
LeonhartFour | Posted 4/21/2009 9:30:42 PM | message detail
Whoa, nearly 60% update for CT that time.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/21/2009 9:30:46 PM | message detail
Come on Earthbound, do it!
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BGE2 - Today: CT > EB - Points: 46/60 Vote: YI
MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/21/2009 9:30:49 PM | message detail
55% next update!
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Starcraft >= Diablo 2 > The Lost Vikings 2 >> trash >>>> World of Warcraft
KamikazePotato | Posted 4/21/2009 9:30:59 PM | message detail
What the HELL Chrono Trigger

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MegatokyoEd | Posted 4/21/2009 9:31:14 PM | message detail
Chrono Trigger almost goes up a full percent as Earthbound stalls Yoshi's Island. Chrono Trigger hurting Yoshi's Island more than Earthbound confirmed!
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__hiei__ | Posted 4/21/2009 9:31:18 PM | message detail
Aside from the shenanigans Crono had to pull to win that one, Link being removed from the poll probably helped that more than anything.

regardless,even without that last hour it was a 2000+ vote gain. and the other two characters were nintendo again too...you can't blame all that on Link.
ZFS | Posted 4/21/2009 9:31:27 PM | message detail
I wouldn't say this changes much for that match -- that's so lopsided that CT can't do much even if it were stronger than LTTP, which I doubt it is. It's doing great here, for sure, but this is more because of this group not being worth anything.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 4/21/2009 9:31:35 PM | message detail
You can blame that update on Lufia and Yoshi's Island dropping off, by the way. CT only increased 12 votes.
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paulg235 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:31:40 PM | message detail
Holy crap that was a crazy % increase.
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transience | Posted 4/21/2009 9:31:49 PM | message detail
EB should be a night vote god, I would think. I know it's Nintendo but I don't think it matters - it's not like other Nintendo stuff.
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xyzzy
http://www.mistwalkercorp.com/en/_src/sc569/HNI_0022.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 4/21/2009 9:31:59 PM | message detail
Whoa Chrono Trigger. 59.71% update inside the power hour, and up over 54% now. Alright.....CT > LTTP upset train now boarding!
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