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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 681

charmander6000 | Posted 4/18/2009 6:59:39 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Karma Hunter | Posted 4/18/2009 7:01:02 PM | message detail
I don't think discarding the Ramza comparison is the right way to go. Characters =/= games, but we can establish some general trendlines from how they perform. I don't think anyone expects SotN to be even close to how it performed in 2004, and a good deal of this is a result of Alucard's constant slippage throughout the years. Ramza decreasing relative to 2003 is a similar situation, I think.

That's not why I'm taking Pokemon > FFT (that's more a combination of STF, faith in Xenogears' 2k4 strength coupled with Pokemon increasing and MGS hurting it to a certain extent). But it's something that can't be ignored.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 4/18/2009 7:02:59 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2983
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2993

Putting up 43.3% on a Zelda game is pretty damn impressive to me.


A Zelda game that got quintupled by Super Mario Galaxy? Your argument is floundering.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/18/2009 7:03:35 PM | message detail

From: Karma Hunter | #453
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2983
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2993

Putting up 43.3% on a Zelda game is pretty damn impressive to me.


A Zelda game that got quintupled by Super Mario Galaxy? Your argument is floundering.


SFF.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 4/18/2009 7:06:02 PM | message detail
The only Pokemon game that's going to be worth much is R/B/Y (which should be worth a lot).

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Karma Hunter | Posted 4/18/2009 7:06:35 PM | message detail
Any Zelda game that gets SFFed to the tune of being driven below 16% by a third tier Mario isn't a Zelda game worth discussing on any level. Period. I have G/S > FFT, but this is just an awful line of reasoning.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/18/2009 7:07:41 PM | message detail
Third tier? I'd say Mario Galaxy should be at SMW/SM64 level.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/18/2009 7:08:31 PM | message detail
Mario Galaxy: third tier in strength, first tier in gameplay.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 4/18/2009 7:09:28 PM | message detail
Go ahead and take that pick, then!

Wouldn't much matter in any case. SMB3 itself could have been the SFFing entity in that match - the horridness of that performance still makes for an abysmally weak Zelda.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 4/18/2009 7:10:03 PM | message detail
Which means the only argument for FFT is franchise voting. And thanks for providing the two polls. We have 2 FF games scoring 5.5 and 11.25, respectively. Franchise voting is obviously not as big for FF as it is for other franchises.

Or I could just point out that FFIV got 51% a few days ago or that FFI got more on Mario World than it had any right to get.

Also, I love Albion's circular and selective reasoning in his arguments.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/18/2009 7:10:08 PM | message detail
Oh, I'm not taking Phantom Hourglass to mean anything, and that was a bad example he used. I was just saying why it looked so bad on Galaxy.
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MetricTrout | Posted 4/18/2009 7:10:19 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1225

Hey look, Link's Awakening got octupled by Ocarina of Time, it must be weak as hell.

All I am saying is that Pokemon is almost twice as strong right now as it is in 2004. This, the format, and standing out as the only Nintendo game in the poll should give it an easy win.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/18/2009 7:11:40 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1225

You know, I just realized with this poll with MM beign sff'd majorly, it should be way stronger then Links Awakening, and Links Awakening put up like what, almost 40% on FF6 itself?

Majoras Mask is one to watch.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/18/2009 7:12:19 PM | message detail

All I am saying is that Pokemon is almost twice as strong right now as it is in 2004.


That's a really bold statement. I'm willing to believe it's stronger, but the individual games are gonna have to pony up before I believe the series as a whole is that much stronger. A couple of wonky Pikachu polls and an overperformance on Metroid are not enough to sway me, especially given Diamond/Pearl's inexplicably bad performance in that GotY poll.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/18/2009 7:13:56 PM | message detail
especially given Diamond/Pearl's inexplicably bad performance in that GotY poll.

Pokemon is a casual series, no? I can easily see it losing support to bigger named Nintendo series.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 4/18/2009 7:15:11 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1225

Hey look, Link's Awakening got octupled by Ocarina of Time, it must be weak as hell.


You're seriously comparing the strongest Zelda SFFing one of the weaker ones from its own series - in a multi-way poll comprised of NOTHING but Zeldas! - to a third-tier Mario SFFing a Zelda game, which is already an embarrassment because ZELDA is the one that SFFs Mario, not the other way around.

Phantom Hourglass is next to nothing - it's an absurdly weak, gimmicky, throwaway entry that couldn't hold a candle to anything with a name and a fanbase.

And D/P still loses to it - because D/P *is* nothing.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 4/18/2009 7:16:07 PM | message detail
Using Pikachu, Mewtwo, GotY polls ect. to determine the strength of any Pokemon games, especially R/B/Y, is really poor reasoning. Which is all the reasoning we have, but it just doesn't work.

We're not going to know how they do until we get to them. Anything else is just guesswork on our part.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 4/18/2009 7:16:57 PM | message detail
I would consider taking SMG over SM64, but I'm probably in the minority there.

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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/18/2009 7:18:15 PM | message detail
This is the last I will argue about Pokemon.

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Pikachu_vs_Tidus_vs_Isaac_vs_Serge_2007

Check the oracle for it. Nobody gave Pikachu a chance because they expected him to be weak again like he used to be. To lose big to effing Tidus. You guys are once again going to be burned by Pokemon by not giving it a shot and its going to come back to burn you

And thats all I'll talk about it till the eve of the first Pokemon match!
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MetricTrout | Posted 4/18/2009 7:18:53 PM | message detail
Pokemon is not a casual series, that is why it does so well in this format.

Let me make it clear that I am not taking Pokemon over FFT one-on-one. I am taking Pokemon over FFT in a 4-way format with MGS also in the poll.


As for Pokemon being twice as strong, the number of people "not interested" in Pokemon has been cut in half between the first and the thrid polls.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=319
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1198
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2727

Or just click on "Topic List". In 2002, the whole board was cheering on Parappa to beat Pikachu. How many topics do you see about Pokemon right now on Board 8?
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 4/18/2009 7:19:08 PM | message detail
Regardless of contest strength I doubt handheld games would do well in GotY polls. There's a certain stigma that comes with wanting to crown a handheld game the title of GotY regardless of how well liked it is
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 4/18/2009 7:21:02 PM | message detail
R/B/Y should do at least decently, at least. Even if it doesn't squeeze into R2, I could never see it getting fodderized. Everything else is more or less just one step or two above PoP in strength though. I simply don't see the rest of the Pokémon line being loved here.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/18/2009 7:22:35 PM | message detail
Regardless of contest strength I doubt handheld games would do well in GotY polls. There's a certain stigma that comes with wanting to crown a handheld game the title of GotY regardless of how well liked it is

You know, I agree with this to an extent. That, and these contest polls are just different than the GotY polls at times. I don't think either will be worth much, but pit Phantom Hourglass against Diamond/Purple in one of these matches, and I wouldn't be at all surprised if the Pokemon game won.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/18/2009 7:22:40 PM | message detail
Everything else is more or less just one step or two above PoP in strength though

You're saying they are barely going to hit 4%? -.-
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LeonhartFour | Posted 4/18/2009 7:23:14 PM | message detail
I would consider taking SMG over SM64, but I'm probably in the minority there.

I'd love to see it happen, but I just wouldn't imagine it would.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 4/18/2009 7:23:46 PM | message detail
I don't think either will be worth much, but pit Phantom Hourglass against Diamond/Purple in one of these matches, and I wouldn't be at all surprised if the Pokemon game won.

...I would.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 4/18/2009 7:24:35 PM | message detail

From: MyWorldIsCrono | #457
Third tier? I'd say Mario Galaxy should be at SMW/SM64 level.


lol albion
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KamikazePotato | Posted 4/18/2009 7:25:58 PM | message detail
SM64 has nostalgia, Galaxy has recency. I'd say both are liked about the same among the fanbase (maybe SM64 has a slight edge, but it's nothing huge).

It could do it! =(

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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 4/18/2009 7:27:52 PM | message detail
You're saying they are barely going to hit 4%? -.-

Reread what I wrote. "One or two steps above", which means they're going to be at any range from Vyse-like to low-midcarder levels, but no better than that. I didn't say "at PoP's level", after all.
DiorHomme | Posted 4/18/2009 7:29:25 PM | message detail
Beep.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/18/2009 7:42:02 PM | message detail
There's going to be a drop-off after R/B/Y, and considering that I think R/B/Y/FFT would be a good match, FFT > GS makes it all the easier for me.

I can see G/S placing, however. Xenogears is looking better by the day, and FFT is most likely nowhere near its 2004 levels, but after looking at the first Final Fantasy, it should have enough to at least win now.
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MetricTrout | Posted 4/18/2009 7:43:04 PM | message detail
Also, where did the idea that Galaxy was a third-tier Mario come from?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2995

It put 47.7% on Twilight Princess... which I thought we agreed was the third strongest Zelda. Pretty damn good, if you ask me.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 4/18/2009 7:44:06 PM | message detail
That poll was at the absolute height of Galaxy mania, though.
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/18/2009 7:44:22 PM | message detail
Just letting you all know I've started my work on my WoW rallying strategy for this year; to have a level 1 alt on all 127 servers spamming once every 15 minutes on the general channel to "www.gamefaqs.com Vote for World of Warcraft!". I'm not pulling any punches this time.
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HaRRicH | Posted 4/18/2009 7:44:45 PM | message detail
Oh, and LoZ:WW is also in the poll.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/18/2009 7:46:00 PM | message detail

From: MetricTrout | #482
It put 47.7% on Twilight Princess... which I thought we agreed was the third strongest Zelda. Pretty damn good, if you ask me.


Yes... 2 months after its release. TP was also splitting with Windwaker there.
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MetricTrout | Posted 4/18/2009 7:52:43 PM | message detail
That is not the point here, though. Say we adjust for Galaxy hype dying down and it puts up only 40% on TP. Can you imagine SMW putting up 40% on LttP? Or SM64 putting up 40% on OoT? The fact that it holds up so well to SFF suggests that Galaxy is closer to the SMW/SM64 as opposed to the SMB/SMW2 tier.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 4/18/2009 7:56:22 PM | message detail
We don't know if they would or not, but I don't see why they couldn't. TP isn't stronger than Ocarina of Time and Mario World is already projected to get 38%. 40% should be no problem for both games.
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Big Bob | Posted 4/18/2009 7:57:58 PM | message detail
Okay, I'm getting sick of this.

Stop saying "oh man super mario kart universe got 34.56% against Zelda: train wars" when the games are in a multi-way poll. Time after time it's been proven that the only thing those polls are good for is just a general sense of where the games are in comparison to each other. There's bound to be much more SFF-infestation in those polls, regardless of how obvious it is (games from different genres, platforms, and eras can still have an effect on each other). I haven't even bothered taking a look at the X-stats for the last two contests because I know they're completely worthless. Trying to translate multi-game polls into a 1 v 1 setting is pretty useless. Just...stop trying to explain things with numbers.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 4/18/2009 7:58:33 PM | message detail
Or that TP was a massive disappointment and that is reflected by Galaxy's very performance on it. There's a reason why the Wii is looked upon so unfavorably by today's voters - and the Brawl hype letdown is only one piece of the puzzle.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 4/18/2009 8:01:19 PM | message detail
Oooooor...it could be elitism showing through. I have a feeling the Wii isn't liked simply because it doesn't cater to the hardcore people here, not because its actually bad. Sort of like the Rock Band/Guitar Hero real instrument controversy, if you will.
Karma Hunter | Posted 4/18/2009 8:06:17 PM | message detail
If TP and Brawl hadn't been such disappointments, you certainly wouldn't be seeing the Wii getting crushed by the Playstation 3, of all things. The hype surrounding both was deafening, and both releases were heralded by legions of fans anticipating - nay, EXPECTING - the best game ever. Not only did they not get that, they got games that ended up woefully disappointing, and even though both got their respective GotYs they don't hold a candle to their major predecessors. TP would be lucky to edge Zelda 1, honestly.
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MetricTrout | Posted 4/18/2009 8:07:21 PM | message detail
You know something? Twilight Princess was a disappointment to me, too. So what? We are talking about contest strength, and we validate our statements with cold, hard facts. Are you going to dispute the fact that TP is the third strongest Zelda? Tell me, which other Zeldas other than OoT and LttP would you put over it?

And we all saw how strong a low-tier Zelda like Link's Awakening can be. Which just means that Mario Galaxy has every right to be strong as well.
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SonicRaptor | Posted 4/18/2009 8:09:58 PM | message detail
Yeah, LA may be a low tier Zelda game but it put on a damn good performance meaning that even low-lying main series titles can make a little noise.

After OOT and LTTP, I would put MM...go ahead and attack me.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 4/18/2009 8:10:18 PM | message detail
Are you going to dispute the fact that TP is the third strongest Zelda? Tell me, which other Zeldas other than OoT and LttP would you put over it?

TP would be lucky to edge Zelda 1


For clarity's sake.
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MetricTrout | Posted 4/18/2009 8:10:35 PM | message detail
Oh, it seems I posted too late.

You seem to think that the strength of a console somehow translates to the strengths of the individual games on it! Ha. What faulty logic.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3209

This is the only console poll that matters.
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SonicRaptor | Posted 4/18/2009 8:10:49 PM | message detail
Actually, more I think about it Zelda 1 or MM would contend for the third-strongest slot.
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PrinceKaro | Posted 4/18/2009 8:11:56 PM | message detail
500?
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MyWorldIsCrono | Posted 4/18/2009 8:12:44 PM | message detail
play lufia 2
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transience | Posted 4/18/2009 8:12:47 PM | message detail
earthbound sucks

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